The SYNER-G project - VCE SYNER-G project.pdf · •Critical facilities (e.g. hospitals, fire...

SYNER-G Final Workshop, Milano, 21-22 March 2013 1

The SYNER-G project

Kyriazis Pitilakis, Coordinator

Aristotle University of Thessaloniki

Systemic Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Analysis

for Buildings, Lifeline Networks

and Infrastructures Safety Gain


SYNER-G consortium

14 participants from 11 countries

GRE FRA AUS BEL NOR ITA GER TUR UK USA JAP

AUTH

VCE

BRGM

JRC

NGI

UPAV

UROMA

METU

AMRA

KIT

UPAT

WILLIS

UILLINOIS

UKOBE

Duration: 36 + 5 months


SYNER-G concept and goals

Critical

Facilities

Transportation

Systems

Utility and

Infrastructure

Systems

Building Stock

Physical

Damage

Social and Economic

Consequences

Housing

Economic

Loss

Health

Emergency Shelter,

Temporary Housing

Direct Damage, Price

Increases, Business

Interruption, Supply

Disruption

Casualties,

Fatalities, Health Care

Disruption

Social

DisruptionEmergency Supplies,

Family Separation

Hazard

Event

Short Term Long Term

Relocation,

Displacement

Fiscal Impacts,

Business Failure,

Job Loss,

Reconstruction

Psychological

Distress,

Chronic Injury

Family Stress,

Neighborhood

DisruptionSo

cia

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nd

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V

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Assessment

of Impact

Syste

mic

vuln

era

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Syste

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era

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Syste

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V

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Soc

ia

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SYNER-G main objectives

1. Encompass all past and ongoing knowledge and know-how on

this topic at a European and International level

2. Develop a unified taxonomy, typology and inventory for all

elements at risk and systems

3. Review and select the most advanced fragility functions and

methods to assess the physical and societal-economic

vulnerability of all assets, improving and further developing

new ones where necessary, considering European distinctive

features

4. Propose the most appropriate means for seismic hazard

assessment at system level (including spatial correlation of

ground motion, site effects and geotechnical hazards)

adequate to SYNER-G


SYNER-G main objectives

5. Develop a unified methodology to assess vulnerability at a

system level considering interdependencies between elements at

risk, belonging within systems and between different systems as a

whole at different scales (local, city, regional, national…)

6. Build an appropriate open-source software and tool to deal with

systemic vulnerability, risk and loss assessment

7. Validate the effectiveness of the methodology and tools to

selected case studies at city and regional scale

8. Propose adequate guidelines and build appropriate dissemination

schemes for all products of the project at European and

International level

SYNER-G Final Workshop, Milano, 21-22 March 2013

Synergies

6

Seismic risk - Overview

Inventory, Taxonomy

Importance

Seismic risk management

Risk Damages, losses

Dead, injured, displaced people

Indirect & Economical losses

Buildings, Lifelines,

Infrastructures,

Population, Activities

Site effects,

Spatial correlations

Seismic

Hazard (& Geotechnical

hazards)

Vulnerability Exposure/

Elements at risk


• Taxonomy/ Ontology

• Classification in several categories and classes

• Seismic hazard

• Fragility functions

• Vulnerability assessment of elements at risk

• Systemic analysis, synergies

• Risk assessment and losses at system’s level

• Socio-economic losses

Systemic approach – Main Steps


• Buildings

• Energy systems (gas/oil, electric power)

• Water and sewage systems

• Transportation and infrastructure systems (road, railway, port)

• Critical facilities (e.g. hospitals, fire fighting system)

Elements at risk


SYNER-G project

workflow GENERAL METHODOLOGY

PHYSICAL

VULNERABILITY & LOSSES

for elements and systems

SOCIO-ECONOMIC

VULNERABILITY & LOSSES

for elements and systems

SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY & LOSSES

APPLICATION & VALIDATION

GUIDELINES &

DISSEMINATION

SOFTWARE

TOOLS

Buildings &

Aggregates

Utility

Systems

Transportation

Infrastructures

Critical

facilities

Urban Scale

Thessaloniki city

Vienna city

Utility - Transportation

Gas network (L’Aquila)

Motorway in Italy

Electric network in Italy

Harbor of Thessaloniki

Critical Facilities

Hospital facility

in Italy

Interdependencies


SYNER-G methodology


Taxonomy: Utility networks

Electric Power Systems

Electric power grids

Generation plants

Substations

Distribution circuits

Macro components

Micro components

Gas & Oil Networks

Natural Gas System

Production facilities and extra

European supply sources

Tank farms

Pipelines

Stations

Oil System

Refineries

Pumping plants

Water and Waste-Water Systems

Tanks

Water treatment plant

Canals

Tunnels

Pipes

Pumping stations

Waste-water treatment plant

Lift station


Typology: Buildings

FRM/FRMM/P/E/C-CM/D/FS-FSM/RS-RSM/HL-NS/CL

Force Resisting Mechanism (FRM) Moment Resisting Frame, Bearing Wall..

FRM Material (FRMM) Masonry, Concrete, Fired Brick, Stone..

Plan (P) Regular, Irregular..

Elevation (E) Regular/irregular geometry..

Cladding (C) Regular/irregular vertically..

Cladding Material (CM) Fired brick, glazing, open first floor..

Detailing (D) Ductile, non-ductile, with tie-rods..

Floor System (FS) Rigid, flexible..

Floor System Material (FSM) RC, steel, timber..

Roof System (RS) Peaked, flat..

Roof System Material (RSM) Timber, thatch..

Height Level (HL)/Number of Stories (NS) Low, mid, high-rise, 1, 2, 3..

Code Level (CL) None, low code, mid code, high code..


Seismic Hazard

SHARE

EC/FP7 research project

www.share-eu.org


Seismic Hazard Development of Shake-Fields

• Stochastic Simulation

• Generation of spatially correlated

and cross-correlated fields for

ground motion intensity measures

(IMs) – i.e. PGA, PGV, Sa, etc

• Multiple source typologies

• Area Sources

• Simple Fault Sources

• Complex Fault Sources

• Site effects

• Extension to geotechnical hazard

(liquefaction, fault crossing,

landslide displacements)

Median PGA (g)

Ground motion residuals (ε)

PGA on rock (g)


Physical Vulnerability: Fragility Curves

- Review available fragility curves

- Select fragility curves based on

SYNER-G taxonomy for all elements

at risk, through:

- Adapt/modify of existing ones

- Validation studies

- Develop new fragility curves


Store, Visualize, Manage large number of fragility functions sets

Fragility Function Manager Tool


Each system is specified with its:

Components

Solving algorithms – Interactions between components

Performance indicators

Interactions with other systems

Buildings Electric power

Water

Gas

Roadway

Harbor

Health care

Systemic analysis


BDG EPN WSS GAS OIL RDN HBR HCS

Buildings BDG D D D D G D

Power EPN P P P P P P

Water WSS P P

Gas GAS P P P P

Oil OIL P P

Roads RDN P P P

Harbor HBR D

Hospitals HCS D

Impacts

P: Physical D: Estimation of demand G: Geographical

Two-ways interaction

One-way interaction

Systemic analysis: Interdependencies


Interactions - Impacts

Direct

losses

Shelter Needs

Index

Health Impact

Index

Socio-economic Indicator Model

Indirect

losses


2

11

0

3

4

13

5

7

6

8

14

1

189

17

10

15

12

19

16

Shelter Needs Index (SNI)

SCD_WGS84

SCD_WGS84.SNI / none

0,000000000 - 0,025800001

0,025800002 - 0,056899998

0,056899999 - 0,185000002

0,185000003 - 0,334199995

0,334199996 - 0,611000001

Legend

open_areas1

<all other values>

USE

church

hospital

military

open area-oaed

park

park, parking

parking

school

school, sport

social

sport

square

university

SCD_WGS84

SCD_WGS84.SNI / none

0,000000000 - 0,025800001

0,025800002 - 0,056899998

0,056899999 - 0,185000002

0,185000003 - 0,334199995

0,334199996 - 0,611000001

Low

High

Shelter Needs

Example: Shelter Needs (Thessaloniki case study)


Inventory

• Census Data, Owner/Operators Data

• Urban Audit/EUROSTAT

• National Census

• Network operators databases

Water system of

Thessaloniki

Buildings database of Vienna


Inventory

• Ground surveys

The AeDES survey form

(Italy)


Inventory

• Remote sensing techniques (optical, SAR etc)

• Land-uses, build-up areas,

• Building geometry

• Utility & transportation network characteristics


Inventory

SYNER-G Final Workshop, Milano, 21-22 March 2013

23.05, 40.52

23°4'0"E

23°4'0"E

23°2'0"E

23°2'0"E

23°0'0"E

23°0'0"E

22°56'0"E

22°56'0"E

22°52'0"E

22°52'0"E

22°48'0"E

22°48'0"E

22°44'0"E

22°44'0"E

22°40'0"E

22°40'0"E

40°46'0"N 40°46'0"N

40°44'0"N 40°44'0"N

40°42'0"N 40°42'0"N

40°40'0"N 40°40'0"N

40°38'0"N 40°38'0"N

40°36'0"N 40°36'0"N

40°34'0"N 40°34'0"N

40°32'0"N 40°32'0"N

40°30'0"N 40°30'0"N

40°28'0"N 40°28'0"N

40°26'0"N 40°26'0"N

PGA rock (g)

0.01 - 0.1

0.1 - 0.2

0.2 - 0.3

0.3 - 0.4

0.4 - 0.5

0.5 - 0.6

980

ΠΡΑΣΙΝΑ

ΚΙΤΡΙΝΑ

ΚΟΚΚΙΝΑ

ΚΑΤΑΝΟΜΗ ΒΛΑΒΩΝ

980

ΠΡΑΣΙΝΑ

ΚΙΤΡΙΝΑ

ΚΟΚΚΙΝΑ

26

Methodology & Software tools

Hazard Definition &

Seismic Intensity

Measures (IM)

Inventory

Selection

Fragility

Models

Damage & Loss

Prediction

Decision

Support

Waterfront structures - H<=10m, Vs=250m/s

0,00

0,25

0,50

0,75

1,00

0,00 0,20 0,40 0,60 0,80 1,00 1,20 1,40

PGA - rock (g)

Pro

bab

ilit

y o

f exceed

an

ce

minor damages moderate damages extensive damages

Systemic

Analysis

SHAKEFIELDS

SHARE

FRAGILITY

MANAGER TOOL

OBJECT ORIENTED

PARADIGM

SYNER-G

platform

OOFIMS: Object Oriented Framework

for Infrastructure Modeling and Simulation

2

11

0

3

4

13

5

7

6

8

14

1

189

17

10

15

12

19

16

Shelter Needs

Health Impact

Accessibility analysis


SYNER-G platform

SYNER-G platform

Inventory /GIS database

Input for OOFIMS

Post-processing

& Mapping Pre-processing

Computation modules

OOFIMS:

Object Oriented Framework for

Infrastructure Modeling and Simulation

2

11

0

3

4

13

5

7

6

8

14

1

189

17

10

15

12

19

16


Computation Modules

Input Output Modules

Hazard Mapping

System Performance

Consequence Analysis

Decision Support

Simulations

Sa

telli

te I

ma

ge

s

Mo

nito

ring

S

yste

ms

Su

rve

illa

nce

In

pu

t

Exte

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l D

ata

ba

ses

Tra

nsp

ort

atio

n

Lan

dslid

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Build

ing I

nvento

ry

Life

lines

Emergency Plan L

ife

line M

odu

le

Bu

ildin

g D

am

ag

e

An

aly

sis

Fra

gili

ty M

ana

ge

r

De

cis

ion S

upp

ort

GIS

Mo

du

le

Sce

na

rio

Ge

ne

rato

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Loss E

stim

ation

Ha

za

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odu

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Va

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odu

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Dis

aste

r M

ana

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- m

ent M

odu

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Inpu

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PLATFORM

Inpu

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FIM

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Connection M

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A s

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Inpu

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IMS

S

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A

SYNER-G platform


Urban area in

Thessaloniki, Greece

Urban area in

Vienna, Austria

Buildings, networks

Validation studies

Buildings, Road network,

Water supply system,

Electric power network,

Shelter needs & Accessibility


Validation studies

Gas network,

L’ Aquila, Italy

Road Network,

Calabria, S. Italy

Electric Power Network,

Sicily, Italy

Hospital facilities,

Ιtaly

Harbor of

Thessaloniki, Greece


• SYNER-G web portal (www.syner-g.eu)

• 80 deliverables (reports, software tools, dissemination material…)

• 7 Reference reports

• 2 Books (Springer ed.)

• Journal and conference papers

• 3 Workshops

• Thessaloniki, 1 March 2013

• Vienna, 7 March 2013

• Milano – Final Workshop, 21-22 March 2013

• Link to other projects (e.g. Global Earthquake Model…..)

• End-Users

Dissemination

http://www.syner-g.eu




• Italy: Department of Civil Protection (supporting L’Aquila test site); ENEL

Rete

• Turkey: Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality’s Directorate of Earthquake

and Grounds Research; Ministry of Public Works and Settlement-General

Directorate of Disaster Affairs.

• Greece: Region of Central Macedonia; State Company of Natural Gas;

Water and Waste Water Authority of Thessaloniki; Egnatia Odos S.A.;

Civil Protection

• Slovenia: Administration of the Republic of Slovenia for Civil Protection

and Disaster Relief

• Austria: City of Vienna

• Germany: Munich Re

• USA: ASCE/TCLEE

End users


SYNER-G web portal

http://www.syner-g.eu/

The SYNER-G project - VCE SYNER-G project.pdf · •Critical facilities (e.g. hospitals, fire...

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