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P.Oetker, Interpera, Rio Negro 2013 1
The success of the reefer containerand its potential to influence the logistics chain
P.Oetker, Interpera, Rio Negro 2013 2
Reefer market1
Conventional vessels vs. reefer containers
3
Omnipresence4
Economy of scale5
Reefer container fleet2
Strengths and weaknesses of the container
7
Agenda
Transport costs for reefer containers
6
P.Oetker, Interpera, Rio Negro 2013 3
91 95 103 113
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2011 2012 2014 2016
Mio
ts
Year (Source: Drewry)
Ø +4.4% p.a.
1
Reefer marketGlobal volume (in conventional and container vessels)
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38%
17%
25%
18%
2%
(Source: Drewry)
2001
2011
1
Reefer marketGlobal seaborne cargo (91 mm tons for 2011)
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51% 35%
8%
1%1% 4%
2005
2012
1
Reefer marketHamburg Süd commodity split
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Reefer container fleetTop 15 carriers
(Source: DynaLiners, early 2012)
2
Reefer Reefer as %age of Total Total Container
Carrier (TEU) Container Inventory Inventory (TEU)
Maersk Line 470.100 12% 3.761.000
MSC 250.000 8% 3.000.000
CMA CGM 150.000 7% 2.100.000
Hamburg Süd ( 4 ) 118.000 ( 1 ) 17% 691.000
APL 110.000 10% 1.100.000
Hapag-Lloyd 72.900 7% 1.042.000
CSAV 71.700 10% 712.000
Evergreen 57.000 5% 1.185.000
MOL 48.300 7% 690.000
OOCL 46.000 6% 730.000
NYK 41.000 6% 730.000
ZIM 38.400 6% 598.000
Hanjin 37.100 5% 723.900
China Shipping 30.000 3% 912.000
Coscon 28.000 3% 910.000
Total 1.568.500 8% 18.884.900
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2
Year
2013 / 14
2010 / 12
2004 / 09
2001 / 07
Class
Cap San
Santa
Monte / Rio
Cap San / Bahia
Lenght(m)
ca. 336
300
272 / 286.5
254
Width(m)
ca. 48.2
42.8
40
32
Reefer Plugs(TEU)
2,100
1,600
1,365
800
Capacity(TEU)
ca. 9,600
7,100
5,500 / 5,900
3,700
Reefer container fleetHamburg Süd ship size development
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85%
81%
78%74%
72%
69%70%
67%70%
61%67%
63%
84% 84%
15%
19%
22%26%
28%
31%
30%
33%
30%
39%
33%37%
16% 16%
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013wk 12
units
20' Reefer
40' Reefer
13.144 TEU
114.503 TEU
22
Reefer container fleetHamburg Süd 2000 - 2013
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Age Profile of conventional Reefer Fleet, Jan. 2012
above 100,000cft [Number of Vessels]
(Source: Drewry)
� Average age of
specialised reefer
vessels: 23 years
Conventional vessels vs. reefer containers
3
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Age Profile of Reefer Container Vessel Fleet, Jan. 2012 [Number of Vessels]
(Source: Drewry)
� Average age of
reefer container
vessels: 11 years
Conventional vessels vs. reefer containers
3
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51%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2011 2012 2014 2016
Mio
tsConventional Reefer Vessel Reefer Container
68%
(Source: Drewry) � 2011-2016 Conventionals: Ø - 2.9% p.a.
Containers: Ø +7.3% p.a.
71% 74% 78%
29% 26% 22%32%
Conventional vessels vs. reefer containers Market shares container/ conventional
3
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Conventional vessels vs. reefer containersMarket shares per commodity group 2011
3
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Bananas Citrus Deciduous Exotics Fish &Seafood
Meat &Poultry
Dairy Other Total
Sha
re in
%
Reefer Container
Conventional Reefer Vessel
(Source: Drewry)
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Conventional vessels vs. reefer containersMarket shares per commodity group 2016
3
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Bananas Citrus Deciduous Exotics Fish &Seafood
Meat &Poultry
Dairy Other Total
Sha
re in
%
Reefer Container
Conventional Reefer Vessel
(Source: Drewry)
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OmnipresenceHS Container services are omnipresent
4
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OmnipresenceHS Multiplication through transhipment hubs in 2012
4
Transhipments Worldwide: 1,329,000 TEU
(of which internal Transhipments 756,000 TEU)
Transhipment Share: 37%
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� Example: „Rio Class“ Vessel from South America to Europe
Economy of scaleVersatility of a container ship
Meat (beef, poultry, pork)Fruit and vegetables (apples, citrus, mangoes, juice, grapes)
Fish and seafood
Wood products (furniture, plywood, paper)Coffee and tobacco
Car parts, steel products, agricultural products, chemicals, plastics
Other
5
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� Dimensions of a „Santa Class“ Vessel vs. a large Reefer Vessel (approx.)
8 mio cft
8 x 1 mio cft
Economy of scale
5
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587
1.218
338
874
105
375
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
Conventional Reefer Vessel
1 Mio cbf
Container Vessel (Santa Type)
8 Mio. cbf
TUSD
Port Costs
Time Charter
Fuel Costs
5
Conventional Reefer Vessel vs. Container Vessel (dry + reefer)
Economy of scaleVoyage calculation Buenos Aires / Rotterdam
Σ 1.030
Σ 2.466
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0,66
0,16
0,38
0,11
0,12
0,05
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
Conventional Reefer Vessel
1 Mio cbf
Container Vessel (Santa Type)
8 Mio. cbf
USD / cbf
Port Costs
Time Charter
Fuel Costs
5
Economy of scaleVoyage calculation Buenos Aires / Rotterdam
Σ 1,16
Σ 0,32
Conventional Reefer Vessel vs. Container Vessel (dry + reefer)
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Cap San reefer carrying capacity vs. a modern conventional reefer vessel:
5 Mio. cbf vs. 1 Mio. cbf
5
Economy of scaleThe new „Cap San Class“ vessels
Container capacity: 9,600 TEUReefer capacity: 2,100 plugsOverall length: 333.20 mWidth: 48.20 mMax. draft: 14.00 mSpeed: 21 knots
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Transport costs for reefer containers (1)Bunker price development 2005-2013
6
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
Ø 233 Ø 292 Ø 345 Ø 475 Ø 352 Ø 450 Ø 618 Ø 641
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Ø 619
Source: Platts Oilgram Bunkerwire; IFO 380 Basis Rotterdam
Impact for RFSegment
1. Higher cost for vessel main engine
2. Higher cost for auxilliary engines required to generate the electricity required for the RF container cooling onboard
3. Higher cost for pre-/on-carriage with active cooling
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Transport costs for reefer containers (2)Purchasing costs for reefer containers
6
■ Cost of a 40‘RH in absolute terms: 17,500 USD■ Current 40‘RH Hamburg Süd Reefer fleet: 52,000 units■ Annual ratio of equipment replacement: 8.33%
Annual replacement capital expenditure (1st year): 75.8 Mio USDAssuming an add. annual fleet growth of 5%: 45.5 Mio USD/yearTotal reefer equipment costs per year: 121.3 Mio US D
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Reefer40’RHReefer40’RH
PURCHASE PRICE +340%
M & R COSTS +1.100%
EQUIPMENT FIX COSTS +580%
BUNKER COST
PTI AND DEPOT COSTS
INSURANCE
SEASONALITY
Dry40’HC
Dry40’HC
MKT OPPORTUNITIES
EQ PRODUCTIVITY +22%
6
Transport costs for reefer containers (3)Opportunity Cost Analysis
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6
Transport costs for reefer containers (3)Opportunity Cost Analysis (continued)
CARGO SELECTION ANALYSIS 40' DRY 40' REEFER CHOICEPeanuts Pears
BUE-RTM BUE-RTM
2012
A) Revenue* based USD 1.920 USD 3.530 REEFEREquivalent to Ocean freight incl. BAF USD 1.500 USD 3.000B) Contribution based before fuel costs and equipment repositioning x � REEFER
C) Contribution based after fuel costs but before empty repositioning x � REEFER
D) Contribution based after fuel costs and empty repositioning � x DRY
Average equipment productivity per year (index) 122 100
E) Contribution based after fuel costs and empty repo sitioning p.a. 100 67 DRY
2013
A) Revenue* based USD 1.920 USD 4.730 REEFEREquivalent to Ocean freight incl. BAF USD 1.500 USD 4.200B) Contribution based before fuel costs and equipment repositioning X � REEFER
C) Contribution based after fuel costs but before empty repositioning X � REEFER
D) Contribution based after fuel costs and empty repositioning X � REEFER
Average equipment productivity per year (index) 122 100
E) Contribution based after fuel costs and empty repo sitioning p.a. 100 120 REEFER
* Ocean Freight incl. BAF, LTHC, DTHC
X
����
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6
Transport costs for reefer containers (3)Opportunity Cost Analysis (continued)
In USD per 40'RF for RTM STP PHL SIN SSZChilled Fruit Rotterdam St. Petersburg Philadelphia Singapore Santos
Chile Base PortsPeak-Season $6,400 $7,600
$4,700$6,400
$4,000Off-Peak $4,700 $5,900 $4,500
South Africa Base Ports $6,000 $6,500 $6,500 $3,600 $4,600
Brazil Base PortsPeak-Season
$4,000 $5,000$4,300
$3,000 N/AOff-Peak $6,100
Australia/New Zealand Base Ports $7,200 $8,500 $7,000 $4,100 $5,600
Rates are indications of the levels applied during 2013
Rates are inclusive of BAF but subject to origin and destination charges
Rates are net of any discount or volume rebate
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PRODUCT
SUPPLIESTAXES
INVESTMENTSLOGISTIC
DEPRECIATIONADMINISTRATION
SUPERMARKETTRANSPORT
1 x 40’RH = USD 30,000 6% @ USD 3.64/kg = USD 92.800
C&F PriceRotterdam
Retail Price to Final
Consumer
6
Transport costs for reefer containers (4)Ocean Freight in the context of the overall value chain
Ocean Freight as % of Final Consumer
Price
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Feature ReeferVessel
ReeferContainer
Short transit times due to limited calls Yes NoFumigation aboard (USDA) Yes NoOpen sea exchange (vessel to vessel, for fish) Yes No
Intermodal advantages:Door-to-door steering → Higher flexibility No YesNo intermediate cargo storage → Reduced costs No YesMinimized handling → Less claims No YesUnbroken cold chain → Less claims No YesFixed-day-service (Liner schedule) No (partly) YesSuited for small lots (e.g. air cargo) No Yes
7
Strengths and weaknesses of the container
Pre-carriage Ocean Transport Ware-
housingDistri-bution
TerminalHandling
On-carriage
TerminalHandling
Pre-cool.
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Thank you for your attention!