The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4...

26
The story behind the numbers 2013

Transcript of The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4...

Page 1: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

The story behind the numbers

2013

Page 2: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted)

Q1 2002 – Q4 2012€ Billion

GDP

GNP

Page 3: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

International Growth Rates (% GDP) for selected countries

% change

Page 4: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Debt & Deficit

Page 5: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Imports, Exports &Trade Balance (2012)

€ billion

€ billion

Page 6: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Importance of MNEs

2010

2009

Number of Enterprises

Number of Persons Engaged

Gross Value Added

Page 7: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Importance of Top 50 enterprises

2009

2010

Page 8: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Distortionary impact of MNEs

Page 9: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Foreign & Irish owned MNEs (2010)

Page 10: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Employment and Unemployment Rates (%)

Unemployment rate

Employment rate

2000 - 2012% %

Page 11: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Labour Market – Current Situation'000

Q4 2007 Q4 2011 Q4 2012

Labour Force 2,260.6 2,161.6 2,143.5

Employed 2,156.0 1,847.7 1,848.9Full-Time 1,765.3 1,411.4 1,398.7Part-Time 390.7 436.2 450.2

Unemployed 104.6 313.9 294.6Short-Term 72.0 113.8 116.1Long-Term 31.7 196.1 176.4Youth (15-24 years old) 31.1 67.7 59.0Long-Term Youth 6.9 35.6 27.3

1,283.1 1,433.2 1,453.0Potential additional labour force 20.7 55.6 60.0Others 1,262.4 1,377.6 1,393.0

%

4.6 14.5 13.7Long-Term unemployment rate 1.4 9.1 8.2Youth Unemployment rate 1.4 3.1 2.8

Unemployment rate

Not in the Labour Force

Page 12: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

European Unemployment Rates (%) Q4 2007 vs Q4 2012Q4 2007

Q4 2012

Page 13: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Enterprise births, deaths & impact on employment

Deaths

Births

Jobs lost

Jobs created

Enterprises Persons Engaged

Page 14: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Enterprise survival

Enterprises

Born in 2006

Born in 20072008

2009

Year of birth

Survived 1 year

Survived 2 years

Survived 3 years

Survived 4 years

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Persons Engaged

Page 15: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Retail Sector

Retail Sales Index Seasonally Adjusted Volume

(Base: Year 2005 = 100)

Page 16: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Residential Property & Rent Prices

(Base: Jan 2005 = 100)

Page 17: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Household Investments & Savings€ Billion

Page 18: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Household indebtedness€ Billion

Page 19: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Impact on Well-being

(Base: Year 2007 = 100)

Page 20: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Poverty, Deprivation & income inequality rates

% %

Consistent Poverty

Deprivation

At Risk of Poverty

Gini coefficient

Page 21: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Overall Population Change

Page 22: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Components of Population Change

Page 23: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Births: 1970 - 2010

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Per

cen

tag

e o

f b

irth

s

20-24

35-39

Page 24: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Migration: 1996 - 2012

000’s

Page 25: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Actual and Projected dependency ratios

Projections based on M3F1 assumptions

Page 26: The story behind the numbers 2013. GDP & GNP (Constant Prices - Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q4 2012 € Billion GDP GNP.

Take a closer look

www.cso.ie