The Southern California Mega Region. Being Competitive Participants in the Global Economy.
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Transcript of The Southern California Mega Region. Being Competitive Participants in the Global Economy.
The Southern California Mega Region
Being Competitive Participants in theGlobal Economy
Being Competitive Participants in theGlobal Economy
Southern California
Southern California
Southern California
1.5% of U.S. land area (53,000 sq.mi.)
Over 7% of U.S. population (22 million)
58% of California annual GDP ($900 billion)
The WORLD’S 10th LARGEST ECONOMY
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MEGA-REGION
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MEGA-REGION
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY TRENDS
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY TRENDS
Southern California
POPULATION GROWTHPOPULATION GROWTH
Population is expected to grow to
by 2030
35%Increase
from 2000
27,700,000
TRADE GROWTHTRADE GROWTH
Los Angeles/Long Beach port complex 5th largest in world44 million 20 ft. containers by 2030 - reaching capacity
GROWTH IN AIRPORT DEMANDGROWTH IN AIRPORT DEMAND
• Mega-region’s airports make So. Cal the busiest of all regions in the country
• 94 million passengers served in 2003
• Demand forecast to double before 2030
• Cargo expected to triple
The region accomodates nearly 30% of the nation’s waterborne trade, and 60% of total
cargo containers.
Although this activity greatly benefits the nation as a whole, the region incurs a
disproportionate share of the burden in congestion and air quality costs.
Southern California
HIGHWAY CONGESTIONHIGHWAY CONGESTION
Worst in nation since 1982
2000 2010 20252020
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Projected Growth
population
auto travel
truck travel
AIR POLLUTIONAIR POLLUTION
• Progress has stalled and diesel emissions from ships, locomotives and port complex are projected to increase
• Mega-region continues to have the worst air quality in the U.S.
THREATENED ENVIRONMENT & QUALITY OF LIFE
THREATENED ENVIRONMENT & QUALITY OF LIFE
ENERGYDemands on the capacity and distribution of energy will remain a major challenge
WATERPer capita demand not projected to decline as the population increases
HABITAT & OPEN SPACESuburban-style sprawl continues to consume native habitat
Southern California
2/3 of region is government-owned
and off-limits to development
Dense development pattern: 15,000 to
20,000 people/sq.mi.
Among Nine Largest Metro Regions
GROWING ECONOMIC &SOCIAL DISPARITY
GROWING ECONOMIC &SOCIAL DISPARITY
#9 Percentage of adults who have attained at least a high school diploma
Highest percentage of owner and rental households
spending 30% or more on housing
#1
Highest rate of crowded housing
#1
Improving the region’s jobs-housing balance is the most critical short-term
goal to avoid a complete collapse of the transportation, housing and social
networks in place.
Southern California
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY STRATEGIES
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY STRATEGIES
Southern California
Reinvest and redevelop alongexisting and planned transportation
corridors and in regional centers
Reinvest and redevelop alongexisting and planned transportation
corridors and in regional centers
Preferred AlternativePreferred Alternative
Sustainability
Mobility Prosperity•Distributes regional employment & housing growth following 4 guiding principles
•Focuses growth along existing & planned transportation corridors and in existing and emerging centers
•Will guide SCAG’s regional programs & policies
Livability
Household GrowthHousehold Growth 2010- 2010-20302030((without Growth Visionwithout Growth Vision))
Household GrowthHousehold Growth 2010- 2010-20302030((with Growth Visionwith Growth Vision))
Project Vision
Changes will affect only 2%
of regional land mass
Changes will affect only 2%
of regional land mass
Southern California Based
Blue Collar
Good Entry Level Pay
Defined Skill Ladder
On the Job Learning
Tech Dependent
Support Industry Sectors providing good-payingjobs to a less educatedlaborforce
Wholesale Trade
Truck Transportation
Transportation Support
Couriers
General Warehousing
Air Transportation
Rail Transportation
Water Transportation
In 2003 352,373
54,504
52,662
30,090
28,442
25,466
2,952
1,789
548,278Source: Quarterly Census of Employment Wages, CA EDD, 2004
Total
Logistics Jobs
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
% SCAG Jobs
Leisure and
Hosp.
9.6
Other Services
3.5
Educ. & Health
Services
10.6
Constr.
4.8
Prof. & Bus.
Services
14.1
Manf.
12.1
Logis-tics
8.1
Gov’t.
14.9
Financial Activities
7.5
Motion Picture
1.7
1 out of 12 jobs in 2003
Share of Mega-Region Jobs
Average weekly pay for all industries is $749
0$
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1000
$1200
$1400
$1600
$ Weekly Pay
Leisure and
Hospitality
$400
Other Services
$413
Educ. & Health
Services
$718
Constr.
$777
Prof. & Bus.
Services
$811
Manf.
$843
Logistics
$847
Gov’t.
$866
Financial Activities
$1194
Motion Picture
$1353
1 of highest paying
Compared to other Sectors
Make transportation infrastructure investments to support growth of trade and jobsand reduce congestion
13.213.2
18.318.3
36.036.0
44.744.7
2005 2010 2020 2030
In Million TEU’s (20’ Equivalent Units)Source: POLA, POLB
Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years
Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years
Source: SCAQMD, Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study II, March 2000
They comprise 71% of the
major pollutants contributing to cancer risk in
the South Coast Air Basin
Diesel ParticulatesDiesel Particulates
5,400 Premature Deaths Annually
140,000 Children Have Asthma
980,000 Lost Work Days
2,400 Hospitalizations
75% - 80% of the emissions come
from mobile sources outside of
local control
Proposed High-Speed SystemProposed High-Speed System
Initial Operating Segment81 miles6 stations$11 billion capital cost$110 million annual O&M
Freight System90 miles6 stations$19 billion capital cost$296 million annual O&M4 to 13 million TEUs
ELECTRIFIED
New Rail Capacity & ImprovementsNew Rail Capacity & Improvements
Alameda Corridor
East-West Corridor
More tracks, alternative routes, grade crossings
Colton
Hobart
ELECTRIFIED
Promotes relationships between existing metropolitan areas
Supports sustainability and long-term vitality
Streamlines transportation and land use patterns
Fosters better economies
Encourages cost-saving measures through cooperation
GLOBAL GATEWAY THINKINGGLOBAL GATEWAY THINKING
Thank You