The Seven Transitions Murray Gell-Mann (The Quark and the Jaguar, 1994) Demographic: slow population...
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Transcript of The Seven Transitions Murray Gell-Mann (The Quark and the Jaguar, 1994) Demographic: slow population...
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The Seven TransitionsMurray Gell-Mann (The Quark and the Jaguar, 1994)Demographic: slow population growthTechnological: decrease environmental
impactsEconomic: incentives to reduce energy useSocial: increase equityInstitutional: create effective institutionsInformational: better understanding of
problemsIdeological: increase environmental concern
Good News on Climate Change
or
Why We’re Going to Beat this Thing!
Thanks to the followingfor their suggestions!Jeff McGee, University of Newcastle, AustraliaIan Fry, Australian National UniversityGeoffrey Wandesforde-Smith, UC-DavisJonathan Rosenberg, University of AlaskaPaul Steinberg, Harvey Mudd CollegeRadoslav S. Dimitrov, University of Western
OntarioRasmus Karlsson, Hankuk University of Foreign
StudiesChristopher Gore, Ryerson UniversityPeter Newell, University of Sussex
Technological Developments Are Promising
Americans Drive More Fuel-Efficient Carsand Drive Them Fewer Miles
Source: http://www.umich.edu/~umtriswt/PDF/EDI_September-2012.pdf
Cool Electric Car gets 75 mpgTesla Model S named as Motor Trends 2013
Car of the Year – It’s electric and gets the equivalent of 75 mpg
http://www.motortrend.com/oftheyear/car/1301_2013_motor_trend_car_of_the_year_tesla_model_s/
Batteries May Make Solar and Wind Energy ViableNew battery technologies help overcome a
major obstacle to renewable energy, by providing storage
http://www.ted.com/talks/donald_sadoway_the_missing_link_to_renewable_energy.html
Low fuel plane designAn MIT-led team designed an airplane
estimated to use 70% less fuel than current planes (and reduces noise and nitrogen oxide pollutants too)
http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2010/nplus3-0517.html
International Cooperation is Succeeding at Fostering New Energy TechnologiesResearch into generating electricity through
fusion rather than fission is making steady, if slow, progress.
Research supported through international cooperation of China, EU, India, Japan, Korea, Russia, and the US
If successful, it is environmentally safe and offers a real alternative to fossil fuels
http://www.iter.org/
Social Developments Are Very Promising
Katrina vs. SandyAfter Katrina, nobody talked about climate
change After Sandy, mayor and governor of New York
did talk about climate change
California prices carbonCalifornia adopts cap-and-trade system and
first efforts at auctioning greenhouse gas permits goes smoothly and “prices” carbon
http://www.sfgate.com/green/article/State-s-1st-carbon-auction-goes-smoothly-4051866.php
Australia taxes carbonAustralia legislated an economy wide carbon price. It
started as a carbon tax in 2013 and will transition to an emissions trading scheme in 2015.
Despite climate science skepticism, strong opposition from the conservative party and a powerful mining sector, the carbon tax has started with little harm to the economy and growing public acceptance
http://theconversation.edu.au/explainer-australias-carbon-price-mechanism-in-six-dot-points-4230
LEED Buildings make rapid headwayLeadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED)
idea launched by Green Building Council in 1998 by group of “industry mavericks”
US market for green building grew 50% during recession of 2008-2010
Over 30,000 LEED projects cover 1.6 billion square feet of commercial building space
All new US embassies must meet LEED standards
Paul Steinberg. 2013. Who Rules the Earth? How Social Rules Shape Our Planet and Our Lives Oxford UP
German City CreatesEnergy Technology ParkGelsenkirchen Germany (an old coal, steel and
glass industry city) set up energy technology park with help from European Union and set a voluntary carbon reduction target to go from “a city of a thousand furnaces to a city of a thousand suns”
Peter Newell, Jon Phillips, and Dustin Mulvaney Pursuing Clean Energy Equitably. Human Development Research Paper 2011/03.
Efforts to Address the ClimateAnd Social Justice“Just Energy”: innovative collaboration of
NGO, engineers, lawyers, academics, and consultants that is helping low-income communities in South Africa to provide "a fair return on renewable energy for local people and investors alike.“
http://just-energy.org/
Indonesian Islamic leaderspreach conservationThe Islamic Leader Forum for Environmental
Care (FORDALING) argues that the Koran directly addresses the need to protect nature in Ayat-Ayat Konservasi (Islamic Verses for Conservation) and educated Islamic leaders to use sermons to promote nature conservation
http://www.enn.com/wildlife/article/42391
There is REAL ProgressBeing Made
We can make headway if we tryPortland OR vs. United States
These are total emissions. Per-capita emissions are 26% lower in 2010 than in 1990. http://www.portlandonline.com/mayor/?a=393835&c=49522
Being an Environmentalist
Types of environmentalistsPersonal environmentalistPolitical environmentalistPolicy environmentalistBeing a full environmentalist means:
Heart-felt concern about environmental problemsCreative innovation: need to come up with new ideasCareful implementation: listen to the needs, adjust your
plan accordingly, engage other people and viewsThoughtful evaluation: evaluate carefully the results of
policy actionsNon-defensive revision: do not be afraid to revise and
correct mistakes made
ANDThe Beauty of the World
Still Inspires Us
The Color of Glaciers