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The Scope for Electricity & Carbon Saving in the EU
Transcript of The Scope for Electricity & Carbon Saving in the EU
Institut für Elektroprozesstechnik
The Scope for Electricity & Carbon Saving in the EU through the use of
EPM Technologies
Prof. Dr.-Ing. Egbert Baake
Dipl. Wirtsch.-Ing. Bernhard Ubbenjans
Institute of Electrotechnology
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Scope of the Project
Electromagnetic processing of materials (EPM) provides significant opportunities for
saving primary energy and reducing carbon emissions in industrial thermal
processes. The use of electricity for industrial thermal processes has a current
market share of around 10% in Europe and is divided in numerous different
applications and industrial branches, where today the share between fossil fuel and
electricity used as the end energy carrier is absolute different. All applications and
processes play a different role and offer different potentials in terms of saving of
primary energy and reducing of greenhouse gas emission. Potentially, electricity can
replace up to 100% of other energy carriers currently used for process heat. As the
average primary energy factor (PEF) gradually decreases from 2.5 currently, to 1 for
a 100% renewable electricity system, the benefits of EPM will gradually increase. The
CO2-emission factor will decrease as well which means a decrease in greenhouse
gas emissions. Moreover, as the electricity system is decarbonising rapidly, EPM
technologies will increase with time. A very important background and basic for this
analysis is the forecast of the future energy supply.
The paper demonstrates the features, benefits and advantages of processes and
technologies for electromagnetic processing of materials (EPM). For the time horizon
from now to the year 2050 a transition scenario is developed and described. In this
scenario the industrial processes are gradually switched from the actual situation to a
situation with 100% electrically operated industrial processes. The scenario will take
into account both the most energy intensive industrial thermal processes, which could
be replaced by electrothermal technologies and offer obviously the biggest future
potential in terms of saving of primary energy and reducing of carbon emissions but
also lower energy intensive heating processes, which are used in many different
industrial branches and require a more detailed investigation.
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Executive Summary
The work in hand makes clear that a switching of fuel operated industrial processes
to electro-thermal processes offers big potentials for saving of primary energy and
CO2-emission.
A very important background and basic for this analysis is the forecast of the future
energy supply in Europe. In this investigation the main focus is set on the
development of the primary energy factor (PEF) and CO2-emission factor which is
presented for each year till to 2050. It can be expected that the primary energy factor
will decrease from currently 2.5 to 1 due to the increasing supply by renewable
energies. The CO2-emission factor will decrease as well, which means a decrease in
greenhouse gas emissions.
In this work the savings of CO2-emissions are calculated for a variety of different
energy-intensive industrial processes. To calculate the savings three different
switching scenarios are compared.
• The first is the reference scenario, which implies no switching to electrical
processes.
• The second scenario, called linear scenario, assumes a linear increase of
electrical processes to 100% in the year 2050.
• The shock scenario is the third one and implies an increase from the current
situation to 100% between the years 2020 and 2025.
In 2009 the overall energy consumption of the European industry reached a value of
3,133,762 GWh. Altogether five energy intensive industrial branches have been
analysed with the help of case studies. These five industry sectors ordered by the
final energy demand in 2009 are the chemical industry with 585,896 GWh, the iron
and steel industry with 514,848 GWh, the glass, pottery and building material industry
with 424,832 GWh, the paper and printing industry with 384,116 GWh and the non-
ferrous metal industry with 103,681 GWh (compare with Fig. 5). These selected five
industry sectors cover about 70 % of the overall energy consumption of the European
industry.
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Table 1 summarizes the share of the calculated final energy demand on the overall
final energy demand of the five different branches. The table gives an overview how
much the case studies cover the overall energy demand.
Table 2 summarizes the savings respectively additional amounts of final energy,
primary energy and CO2-emission that can be achieved.
Branch Industry sector
Calculated final energy demand
in 2010
Final energy demand of the branch
Share
Chemical Plastic 110,500
Sum 110,500 585,896 19 %
Iron & steel Steel 434,923
Grey iron 10,972
Sum 445,904 514,848 87 %
Glass, pottery &
building materials Glass
55,500
Roof tile 10,493
Brick 28,976
Cement 289,907
Lime 36,400
Sum 421,275 424,832 99 %
Paper & printing Paper 200,299
Sum 200,299 384,116 52 %
NF metals Aluminum 2,774
Sum 2,774 103,681 3 %
Table 1: Share of the calculated final energy demands on the overall energy demand of the five different branches.
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Table 2: Savings of final energy, primary energy and CO2-emission for the two the different industry sectors for both switching scenarios (* Negative numbers imply an additional effort).
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Table of contents
1. Introduction ........................................................................................................ 8
2. Primary energy factor & CO2 emission factor.................................................. 9
3. Energy consumption of the European industry ............................................ 12
3.1 Energy consumption divided by industry sectors ....................................... 12
3.1.1 Iron & steel industry ......................................................................................... 14
3.1.2 Non-ferrous metal industry ............................................................................. 15
3.1.3 Chemical industry ............................................................................................ 16
3.1.4 Glass, pottery & building material Industry .................................................. 17
3.1.5 Ore-extraction industry ................................................................................... 18
3.1.6 Food, drink & tobacco industry ...................................................................... 19
3.1.7 Textile, leather & clothing industry ................................................................ 20
3.1.8 Paper and printing ........................................................................................... 21
3.1.9 Transport equipment ....................................................................................... 22
3.1.10 Machinery ......................................................................................................... 23
3.1.11 Wood and wood products ............................................................................... 24
3.1.12 Construction ..................................................................................................... 25
3.2 Energy consumption divided by energy supplies ....................................... 26
3.2.1 Hard coal ........................................................................................................... 27
3.2.2 Coke ................................................................................................................... 28
3.2.3 Lignite, Peat and Brown coal briquettes ...................................................... 29
3.2.4 Petroleum products ......................................................................................... 30
3.2.5 Natural gas and derived gas .......................................................................... 31
3.2.6 Renewable energy ........................................................................................... 32
3.2.7 Other fuels ........................................................................................................ 33
3.2.8 Derived heat ..................................................................................................... 34
3.2.9 Electrical power ................................................................................................ 35
4. Case studies for the five most energy-intensive industry sectors in the EU-27 ............................................................................................................... 36
4.1 Three different scenarios .................................................................................... 37
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4.2 Theoretical saving potential for the five most energy-intensive industry sectors of the EU-27 ............................................................................................. 38
4.3 Iron & steel industry ............................................................................................. 42
4.3.1 Steel production ............................................................................................... 42
4.3.2 Casting grey iron .............................................................................................. 46
4.4 Non-ferrous metal industry ................................................................................ 50
4.4.1 Casting copper ................................................................................................. 50
4.4.2 Casting aluminum ............................................................................................ 51
4.5 Chemical industry ................................................................................................. 54
4.5.1 Plastic production ............................................................................................ 54
4.6 Glass, pottery and building materials ............................................................. 57
4.6.1 Glass industry ................................................................................................... 57
4.6.2 Brick industry .................................................................................................... 61
4.6.3 Roof tile industry .............................................................................................. 64
4.6.4 Cement industry ............................................................................................... 67
4.6.5 Lime industry .................................................................................................... 70
4.7 Paper and printing ................................................................................................ 73
5. Conclusion .............................................................................................................. 77
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1. Introduction
The aim of this work is the formulation of a position report that demonstrates the
benefits and advantages of processes and technologies for electromagnetic
processing of materials (EPM) in Europe (EU-27). For the time horizon from now to
the year 2050 a transition scenario is developed. In this scenario the industrial
processes are gradually switched from the actual situation to a situation with 100%
electrically operated industrial processes. The scenario will take into account both the
most energy intensive industrial thermal processes, which could be replaced by
electro-thermal technologies and offer obviously the biggest future potential in terms
of saving of primary energy and reducing of carbon emissions but also lower energy
intensive heating processes, which are used in many different industrial branches
and require a more detailed investigation.
Very important for this analysis is the forecast of the future energy supply in
Europe. In this work the main focus is set on the development of the primary energy
factor and CO2-emission factor which will be presented for every year up to 2050. It
can be expected that the primary energy factor will decrease from 2.5 currently to 1
due to the increasing supply by renewable energies. The CO2-emission factor will
decrease as well which means a decrease in greenhouse gas emissions. In this work
the savings of CO2-emissions will be calculated for a variety of different energy-
intensive industrial processes. To calculate the savings three different switching
scenarios are compared. The first is the reference scenario, which implies no
switching to electrical processes. The second scenario, called linear scenario,
assumes a linear increase of electrical processes to 100% in the year 2050. The
shock scenario is the third one and implies an increase from the current situation to
100% between the years 2020 and 2025.
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2. Primary energy factor & CO2 emission factor
For the evaluation of the advantages of the energy switching it is important to know
who much primary energy and CO2 –emissions can be saved with this strategy. For
that it is important to know the primary energy factor and the CO2 emission factor for
each energy carrier.
The primary energy factor and the CO2-emission factor for fossil fuels have been
investigated in different studies1. The factors used in this work are listed in Table 3.
Primary energy factor
CO2 –emission factor
[g/kWh]
Hard coal 1.071811361 406
Coke 1.114827202 473
Lignite 1.038421599 413
Petroleum products 1.095290252 301
Natural gas 1.072961373 227
Table 3: Primary energy factors and CO2-emission factors for different fossil energy carriers.
The factors of primary energy and CO2 –emissions for electrical power depend on the
composition of the energy mix in Europe. For that the forecast of the energy supply in
Europe is a crucial factor of this work. With an increasing share of renewable energy
carrier on the energy mix in Europe both factors will decrease. The development of
the primary energy factor and the CO2 -emission factor from now to the year 2050 will
be used to calculate the possible savings of primary energy and CO2 – emissions in
Europe. The primary energy factor is calculated by dividing the development of the
gross electricity generation by the primary energy used for the gross electricity
generation. The estimated development of the gross electricity production in Europe
is pictured in Fig. 1 and the estimated primary energy that is used for this gross
1 E. Baake, U. Jörn, A. Mühlbauer. 1996. Energiebedarf und CO2-Emission industrieller Prozeßwärmeverfahren. Essen : VULKAN VERLAG, 1996. 3-8027-2912-9.
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energy generation can be seen in Fig. 2. In Fig. 3 the development of the calculated
primary energy factor is shown.
Fig. 1: Estimated gross electricity generation in the EU-27 in 1000 TWh/year divided by energy carrier2
Fig. 2: Estimated primary energy used for the gross electricity generation in the EU-27 in EJ/year divided by energy carrier2
2 Wissenschaftlicher Beirat der Bundesregierung Globale Umweltveränderungen (WBGU). 2011. Hauptgutachten Welt im Wandel Gesellschaftsvertrag für eine Große Transformation. Berlin : s.n., 2011. ISBN 978-3-936191-36-3.
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Fig. 3: Primary energy faktor from the year 2005 to 2050
The CO2 -emission factor for electricity is calculated from the estimated use of
primary energy in Fig. 2 taking the single CO2 -emission factors of all the different
contained energy carriers into account. The estimated CO2 -emission factor for
producing electricity in the EU-27 can be seen in Fig. 4.
Fig. 4: CO2 - emission faktor from the year 2005 to 2050 in g/kWh
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3. Energy consumption of the European industry
3.1 Energy consumption divided by industry sectors
The energy consumption of the European industry reached a value of
3,133,762 GWh in the year 2009. The industry can be split up into 12 different
sectors. They are:
• Iron & steel industry
• Non-ferrous metal industry
• Chemical industry
• Glass, pottery & building material industry
• Ore-extraction industry
• Food, drink & tobacco industry
• Textile, leather & clothing industry
• Paper and printing
• Transport equipment
• Machinery
• Wood and wood products
• Construction
The share and the amount of every industry sector can be seen in Fig. 5.
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Fig. 5: Final energy consumption of the EU-27 industry in 2009 divided by industry sectors (Sum: 3,133,762 GWh )3
3 Eurostat - European Commission. 2011. Energy Balance Sheets — 2008-2009. Luxembourg : Publications Office of the European Union, 2011.
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3.1.1 Iron & steel industry
The energy consumption of the iron & steel industry in the EU-27 reaches a value of
514,848 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. So the iron & steel
industry is the sector with the second highest energy consumption in Europe after the
chemical industry. The distribution on a percentage basis to the different energy
carriers can be seen in Fig. 6. It is noticeable that coke is the most important energy
carrier with a share of 30 %. This can be explained with the need of coke for the blast
furnace to produce raw iron. Other important energy carriers are gas (30 %),
electrical power (21 %) and hard coal (13 %).
Fig. 6: Final energy consumption in the Iron & steel industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 514,848 GWh)3
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3.1.2 Non-ferrous metal industry
The energy consumption of the non-ferrous metal industry in the EU-27 reaches a
value of 103,681 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. The distribution
on a percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in Fig. 7. It is
interesting that electrical energy is the most important energy carrier for this energy
sector by far. This can be explained be the high amount of electrical processes that
already exist in this sector. Typical processes in this field are melting with the
induction channel furnace and electrolyzing. The second considerable energy carrier
is gas with an amount of 26 %.
Fig. 7: Final energy consumption in the non-ferrous metal industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 103,681 GWh) 3
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3.1.3 Chemical industry
The energy consumption of the chemical industry in the EU-27 reaches a value of
585,896 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. So the chemical industry
is the sector with the highest energy consumption in Europe. The distribution on a
percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in Fig. 8. The most
important energy carrier is gas with 33 %. It is followed by electrical energy with
30 %. Other important energy carriers are petroleum products (15 %) and derived
heat (14 %).
Fig. 8: Final energy consumption in the chemical industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 585,896 GWh) 3
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3.1.4 Glass, pottery & building material Industry
The energy consumption of the glass, pottery and building material industry in the
EU-27 reaches a value of 424,832 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5.
This industry sector is the sector with the third highest energy consumption in
Europe. The distribution on a percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be
seen in Fig. 9. The most important energy carrier is gas with 36 %. It is followed by
petroleum products with 26 %. Other important energy carriers are electrical energy
(17 %) and also hard coal (9 %).
Fig. 9: Final energy consumption in the glass, pottery and building material industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 424,832 GWh) 3
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3.1.5 Ore-extraction industry
The energy consumption of the ore-extraction industry in the EU-27 reaches a value
of 31,285 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. This industry sector has
a relatively low level of energy consuming in Europe. The distribution on a
percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in Fig. 10. The most
important energy carrier is electrical energy with 45 %. It is followed by petroleum
products with 26 % and gas with 17 %.
Fig. 10: Final energy consumption in the ore-extraction industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 31,285 GWh) 3
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3.1.6 Food, drink & tobacco industry
The energy consumption of the food, drink and tobacco industry in the EU-27
reaches a value of 319,116 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. This
industry sector has a relatively high level of energy consuming in Europe. The
distribution on a percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in
Fig. 11. The most important energy carrier is gas with 41 %. It is followed by electrical
energy with 34 % and petroleum products with 11 %.
Fig. 11: Final energy consumption in the food, drink and tobacco industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 319,116 GWh) 3
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3.1.7 Textile, leather & clothing industry
The energy consumption of the textile, leather and clothing industry in the EU-27
reaches a value of 55,906 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. This
industry sector has a relatively low level of energy consuming in Europe. The
distribution on a percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in
Fig. 12. The most important energy carrier is gas with 44 %. It is followed by electrical
energy with 39 % and petroleum products with 11 %.
Fig. 12: Final energy consumption in the textile, leather and clothing industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 59,906 GWh) 3
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3.1.8 Paper and printing
The energy consumption of the paper and printing industry in the EU-27 reaches a
value of 384,116 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. This industry
sector is the sector with the fourth highest energy consumption in Europe. The
distribution on a percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in Fig.
13. The most important energy carriers are renewable energies with 32 %. It is
followed by electrical energy with 32 % and gas 22 %.
Fig. 13: Final energy consumption in the paper and printing industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 384,116 GWh) 3
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3.1.9 Transport equipment
The energy consumption of the transport equipment industry in the EU-27 reaches a
value of 90,877 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. This industry
sector has a relatively low level of energy consuming in Europe. The distribution on a
percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in Fig. 14. The most
important energy carrier is electrical energy with 53 %. It is followed by gas with 32 %
and derived heat with 8 %.
Fig. 14: Final energy consumption in the transport equipment industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 90,877 GWh) 3
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3.1.10 Machinery
The energy consumption of the machinery industry in the EU-27 reaches a value of
196,268 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. The distribution on a
percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in Fig. 15. The most
important energy carrier is electrical energy with 48 %. It is followed by gas with 39 %
and petroleum products with 10 %.
Fig. 15: Final energy consumption in the machinery industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 196,268 GWh) 3
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3.1.11 Wood and wood products
The energy consumption of the wood and wood products industry in the EU-27
reaches a value of 95,680 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. This
industry sector has a relatively low level of energy consuming in Europe. The
distribution on a percentage basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in Fig.
16. The most important energy carriers are renewable energies with 56 %. It is
followed by electrical energy with 26 %
Fig. 16: Final energy consumption in the wood and wood product industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 95,680 GWh) 3
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3.1.12 Construction
The energy consumption of the construction industry in the EU-27 reaches a value of
71,234 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 5. This industry sector has a
relatively low level of energy consuming in Europe. The distribution on a percentage
basis to the different energy carriers can be seen in Fig. 17. The most important
energy carriers are petroleum products with 55 %. It is followed by electrical energy
with 25 % and gas with 17 %.
Fig. 17: Final energy consumption in the construction industry of the EU-27 in 2009 (Sum: 71,234 GWh) 3
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3.2 Energy consumption divided by energy source In Fig. 18 the final energy of the industry in the EU-27 is presented divided by energy
supplies. The sum of the final energy is the same like in Fig. 5 and has a value of
3,133,762 GWh. It can be seen that electrical power has already the biggest share
on the final energy consumption with 31 %. The second important energy carrier is
gas with 30 %. It is followed by petroleum products with 14 %, renewable energy with
7 %, derived heat with 6 % and coke and hard coal with each 5 %. The other two
energy carriers lignite, peat and brown coal briquettes and other have each 1 %.
Fig. 18: Final energy consumption of the EU-27 industry in 2009 divided by energy carrier (Sum: 3,133,762 GWh ) 3
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3.2.1 Hard coal
The energy consumption of hard coal in the EU-27 reaches a value of 160,924 GWh
in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 18. This industry sector has a relatively low
level of energy consuming in Europe. The distribution on a percentage basis to the
different industry sectors can be seen in Fig. 19. The iron and steel industry is the
most important industry sector with a share of 43 %. It is followed by the glass,
pottery and building material sector with 24 %, the chemical industry with 14 % and
the food, drink and tobacco industry with 9 %.
Fig. 19: Final energy consumption in the industry of the EU-27 covered by hard coal in 2009 (Sum: 160,924 GWh) 3
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3.2.2 Coke
The energy consumption of coke in the EU-27 reaches a value of 165,693 GWh in
the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 18. This industry sector has a relatively low
level of energy consuming in Europe. The distribution on a percentage basis to the
different industry sectors can be seen in Fig. 20. It is remarkable that 94 % of the
energy is used by the iron and steel industry. Coke is needed for the blast furnace to
produce raw iron. Other industry sectors do not have high coke consumptions.
Fig. 20: Final energy consumption in the industry of the EU-27 covered by coke in 2009 (Sum: 165,693 GWh) 3
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3.2.3 Lignite, Peat and Brown coal briquettes
The energy consumption of lignite, Peat and Brown coal briquettes in the EU-27
reaches a value of 30,354 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 18. This
industry sector has a relatively low level of energy consuming in Europe. The
distribution on a percentage basis to the different industry sectors can be seen in Fig.
21. The chemical industry is the most important industry sector with a share of 38 %.
It is followed by the glass, pottery and building material sector with 37 % and the
paper and printing industry with 15 %.
Fig. 21: Final energy consumption in the industry of the EU-27 covered by lignite, peat and brown coal briquettes in 2009 (Sum: 30,354 GWh) 3
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3.2.4 Petroleum products
The energy consumption of petroleum products in the EU-27 reaches a value of
428,600 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 18. This energy carrier is the
sector with the third highest energy consumption in Europe. The distribution on a
percentage basis to the different industry sectors can be seen in Fig. 22. The glass,
pottery and building material industry is the most important industry sector with a
share of 31 %. It is followed by the chemical industry sector with 24 %, the
construction industry with 11 % and the food drink and tobacco industry with 10 %
Fig. 22: Final energy consumption in the industry of the EU-27 covered by crude oil and petroleum products in 2009 (Sum: 428,600 GWh) 3
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3.2.5 Natural gas and derived gas
The energy consumption of natural and derived gas in the EU-27 reaches a value of
936,320 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 18. This energy carrier is the
sector with the second highest energy consumption in Europe. The distribution on a
percentage basis to the different industry sectors can be seen in Fig. 23. Close to
every industry sector uses gas as an energy carrier for their production. The biggest
share has the chemical industry with 22 %. It is followed by the iron and steel industry
and the glass, pottery and building material industry with each 17 %. Other important
industry sectors using gas are the food, drink and tobacco industry with 15 %, the
paper and printing industry with 9 % and the machinery industry with 8 %.
Fig. 23: Final energy consumption in the industry of the EU-27 covered by natural and derived gas in 2009 (Sum: 936,320 GWh) 3
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3.2.6 Renewable energy
The energy consumption of renewable energies in the EU-27 reaches a value of
228,623 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 18. Energy carrier gets more
and more important. Renewable energies are already the fourth most important
energy carrier in the European industry. The distribution on a percentage basis to the
different industry sectors can be seen in Fig. 24. The biggest share by a long way
has the paper and printing industry with 57 %. It is followed by the wood and wood
products industry with 25 % and the glass, pottery and building material industry and
food, drink and tobacco industry with each 7 %.
Fig. 24: Final energy consumption in the industry of the EU-27 covered by renewable energies in 2009 (Sum: 228,623 GWh) 3
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3.2.7 Other fuels
The energy consumption of other fuels in the EU-27 reaches a value of 24,516 GWh
in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 18. This energy carrier has the lowest
energy consumption in Europe. The distribution on a percentage basis to the different
industry sectors can be seen in Fig. 25. The biggest share has the machinery
industry with 69 %. It is followed by the chemical industry with 21 %.
Fig. 25: Final energy consumption in the industry of the EU-27 covered by other fuels in 2009 (Sum: 24,516 GWh) 3
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3.2.8 Derived heat
The energy consumption of derived heat in the EU-27 reaches a value of
173,287 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 18. This industry sector has
a relatively low level of energy consuming in Europe. The distribution on a
percentage basis to the different industry sectors can be seen in Fig. 26. The biggest
share has the chemical industry with 55 %. It is followed by the paper and printing
industry with 15 %. Beside this two industry sectors close to every other sector uses
derived heat as well.
Fig. 26: Final energy consumption in the industry of the EU-27 covered by derived heat in 2009 (Sum: 173,287 GWh) 3
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3.2.9 Electrical power
The energy consumption of electrical energy in the EU-27 reaches a value of
980,994 GWh in the year 2009 as already shown in Fig. 18. This energy carrier is the
sector with the highest energy consumption in Europe. The distribution on a
percentage basis to the different industry sectors can be seen in Fig. 27. Every
industry sector uses electrical energy as an energy carrier for their production. The
biggest share has the chemical industry with 20 %. It is followed by the paper and
printing industry with 14 % and the iron and steel industry and the food, drink and
tobacco industry with each 12 %. Other important industry sectors with high
consumption are the machinery industry with 11 %, the glass, pottery and building
material industry with 8%, the paper and printing industry with 7 % and the transport
equipment with 6 %.
Fig. 27: Final energy consumption in the industry of the EU-27 covered by electrical energy in 2009 (Sum: 980,994 GWh) 3
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4. Case studies for the five most energy-intensive industry sectors in the EU-27
In this chapter the saving potential of primary energy and CO2 –emissions is
calculated for different industrial products. Therefore the five most energy-intensive
industry sectors are investigated in detail. These five most energy-intensive industry
sectors are:
• Iron & steel industry
• Non-ferrous metal industry
• Chemical industry
• Glass, pottery and building materials
• Paper and printing
Typical products out of every industry sector are investigated in form of case studies.
It is assumed that the demands of these products are kept constant until 2050. For
every product the demand of final energy, primary energy and CO2 –emissions is
calculated for every year and for three different switching scenarios. Furthermore the
integrated savings of final energy, primary energy and CO2 –emissions are
presented. The three different switching scenarios are described in chapter 4.1. In
chapter 4.2 the theoretical saving potential of the five most energy-intensive industry
sectors is calculated. Afterwards the case studies for these five industry sectors are
presented in the chapters 4.3 to 4.7.
37
4.1 Three different scenarios
In the analysis of the case studies three different switching scenarios will be
compared with each other. The first scenario is that there will be no change. This is
called “reference scenario”. The second scenario assumes that there will be a linear
switching from the current situation to a status with 100% electrical power application.
This case is called “linear scenario”. The third instance is that we assume a complete
switching inside of five years from 2020 to 2025. Within these five years the share of
the electrical power use is linearly increased from the current situation to 100%. This
scenario is called “shock scenario”. A graph of the share of electrical power for the
three different scenarios is shown in Fig. 28. The graphics with the integrated savings
in the chapters 4.2 to 4.7 show the savings for the linear and shock scenario instead
of taking the reference scenario.
Fig. 28: Share of electrical power for the three different scenarios from the current
situation in the year 2010 up to a situation with 100% electrical power in the year
2050
38
4.2 Theoretical saving potential for the five most energy-intensive industry sectors of the EU-27
In this chapter the theoretical saving potential is analyzed. Therefore it is assumed
that all processes of the five most energy-intensive industry sectors will be replaced
by electrical processes for 100 %. In the following pictures the cumulative savings of
primary energy and CO2 –emissions for these industry sectors are shown.
Fig. 29: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of primary energy for selected processes in the iron & steel industry sector of the EU-27
Fig. 30: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of CO2-emissions for selected processes in the iron & steel industry sector of the EU-27
-18.000
-16.000
-14.000
-12.000
-10.000
-8.000
-6.000
-4.000
-2.000
0.000
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
-0.500
0.000
0.500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Savi
ng o
f CO
2 em
issi
on [M
io t]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
-500
500
39
Fig. 31: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of primary energy for selected processes in the non-ferrous metal industry sector of the EU-27
Fig. 32: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of CO2-emissions for selected processes in the non-ferrous metal industry sector of the EU-27
Fig. 33: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of primary energy for selected processes in the chemical industry sector of the EU-27
-1.800
-1.600
-1.400
-1.200
-1.000
-0.800
-0.600
-0.400
-0.200
0.000
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
-200
-400
-600
-800
-14.000
-12.000
-10.000
-8.000
-6.000
-4.000
-2.000
0.000
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
40
Fig. 34: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of CO2-emissions for selected processes in the chemical industry sector of the EU-27
Fig. 35: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of primary energy for selected processes in the glass, pottery and building materials industry sector of the EU-27
Fig. 36: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of CO2-emissions for selected processes in the glass, pottery and building materials industry sector of the EU-27
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Savi
ng o
f CO
2 em
issi
on [M
io t]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
1,400
1,200
1,000
-14.000
-12.000
-10.000
-8.000
-6.000
-4.000
-2.000
0.000
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Savi
ng o
f CO
2 em
issi
on [M
io t]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
41
Fig. 37: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of primary energy for selected processes in the paper and printing industry sector of the EU-27
Fig. 38: Theoretical cumulative savings potential of CO2-emissions for selected processes in the paper and printing industry sector of the EU-27
-1400
-1200
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
42
4.3 Iron & steel industry
4.3.1 Steel production
In the year 2009 the 27 European states produced more than 139 Million tons of
steel4. It is assumed that the total demand of steel per year in Europe will be constant
until 2050. In principle there exist two ways for the production of steel in Europe. The
first is the production of crude iron in a blast furnace that is subsequently transformed
into steel using an oxygen blown converter. This is the classical route of steel
production and has a share of 56 % on the over-all output4. The second technique is
the production of steel in furnaces operated with electrical power, especially electric
arc furnaces. This furnace can be operated with steel scrap as well as with direct
reduced iron. The share of the electric arc furnace on the cumulated steel production
is about 44 %4.
The feedstock for the blast furnace is iron ore that is reduced to iron with the help of
coke and lime. This is a very energy intensive process. For the fabrication of 1 ton of
crude iron a typical blast furnace needs 650 kg of iron ore and 907 kg of sinter.
Additionally 475 kg of coke, 800 MJ of electrical energy and 2.5 kg of scrap are
used5. 18 % of the blast furnace gas is recovered for the production of coke5. Directly
after the furnace process the liquid iron is transformed into steel in an oxygen blown
converter. Nearly pure oxygen is pumped through the melt to reduce the high amount
of carbon inside the volume. The oxygen converter needs for 1 ton of steel approx.
925 kg of raw iron, 50 m3 of oxygen and 220 kg of scrap to cool down the melt during
the process6.
4 World Steel Association (worldsteel). July 2011. Steel Statistical Yearbook 2011. Brussels : s.n., July 2011.
5 K., Wegener-Giebel. 1996. Bewertung des Energiebedarfs und der CO2-Emission konkurrierender Verfahren zur Eisen- und Stahlproduktion. Diplomarbeit. Universität Hannover : s.n., 1996. 6 Fraunhofer-Institut für Systemtechnik und Innovationsforschung ISI. August 2004. Werkstoffeffizienz - Einsparpotenziale bei Herstellung und Verwendung energieintensiver Grundstoffe. s.l. : Fraunhofer IRB Verlag, August 2004.
43
The electric arc furnace is charged with scrap or optional with direct reduced ore. The
volume is melted down through a powerful electric arc that is burning between the
carbon electrodes and the charged material. For the production of 1 ton of steel the
arc furnace has to be filled with approx. 1080 kg of raw material. The melting process
requires additionally 1500 MJ of electrical energy, 30 m3 oxygen, 14 kg coke and
38 kg lime5. At the moment almost all electric arc furnaces in Europe are operating
with steel scrap as the charged material.
In order to save carbon emissions in Europe it is reasonable to switch the steel
production from the current situation to a new situation, where no blast furnaces are
in operation anymore. In order to reach this aim the whole European steel production
has to be done by electric furnaces. Assuming that the amount of steel scrap
available cannot be increased significantly, the production of direct reduced ore has
to be enlarged. At the moment only 0.5 million tons of this material are produced in
Europe4. Therefore the production of direct reduced iron has to be increased
significant. For the production of 1 ton of direct reduced iron approx. 1,500 kg ore,
376 m3 of natural gas and 486 MJ of electrical power is need in average in Europe5.
Fig. 39 shows the final energy demand of the steel industry for the three different
switching scenarios. In Fig. 40 the integrated savings of final energy is demonstrated.
It shows the savings for taking the linear and the shock scenario compared with the
reference scenario. By taking the reference scenario the savings would be zero. Fig.
41 displays the associated primary energy of the steel industry. This energy is
calculated from the final energy with the use of the corresponding primary energy
factors described in the paragraph above. Fig. 42 demonstrates the potentials of
savings of primary energy that can be obtained by using the linear or shock scenario.
Fig. 43 displays the progress of the CO2-emission in the steel industry from 2010 till
2050. This is calculated by using the CO2-emission factors presented in the text
above. Fig. 44 shows analogous to the pictures before the possible reduction of CO2-
emission depending on the linear or shock scenario.
It becomes obvious that a switching in the steel production from the blast furnace
process to the production of direct reduced offers big potentials for saving of primary
energy and CO2-emission. By taking the linear scenario instead of the reference
scenario 7.3 million GWh of final energy, 34 million PJ of primary energy and
3.4 billion tons of CO2-emission can be saved. By using the shock scenario instead of
44
the reference scenario it is possible to save 10 million GWh of final energy, 48 million
PJ of primary energy and 4.8 billion tons of CO2-emission.
Fig. 39: Final energy demand for producing steel in the EU-27 from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 40: Saving of final energy for producing steel by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 41: Primary energy demand for producing steel in the EU-27 from 2010 to 2050
400.000
410.000
420.000
430.000
440.000
450.000
460.000
470.000
480.000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
400000
800000
1200000
1600000
2000000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f fin
al e
nerg
y [G
Wh]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
2,000,000
1,600,000
1,200,000
800,000
400,000
0
1.800
1.900
2.000
2.100
2.200
2.300
2.400
2.500
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Prim
ary
ener
gy d
eman
d [P
J]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
45
Fig. 42: Saving of primary energy for producing steel by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 43: CO2-emission for producing steel in the EU-27 from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 44: Saving of CO2-emission for producing steel by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
0.000
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
9.000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CO2
emis
sion
[Mio
t]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0.000
0.500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f CO
2 em
issi
on [M
io t]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
500
46
4.3.2 Casting grey iron
In the EU-27 in 2007 the yearly production rate of casted grey iron was 13 million
tons. For the fabrication of grey iron a couple of different techniques exist. There a
three oven types that are used for melting namely cupola furnaces, rotary furnaces
and induction furnaces. Each furnace type can be subdivided into some sub-
categories which differ in some process parameters. Despite of this great number of
processes in the EU-27 mainly only two of them are used. This is the hot blast cupola
furnace which is heated with combustibles and the medium frequency induction
crucible furnace which is heated with electrical power. The amount of both processes
is each approximately 50 % of the total amount of casted grey iron7.
The melting of iron with the cupola furnace is based on the principle of countervailing
influence of a shaft furnace. Iron, coke and lime are continuous filled inside the shaft
from above. In the low range of the combustion chamber wind is blown inside to
induce the reaction of the coke with the iron. The special feature of the hot blast
cupola furnace is the preheating of the wind which increases the efficiency. The used
coke is not only the energy supplier for the process but also a reducing agent. With
the help of a siphon the grey iron can be drained continuously. This leads to a
constant quality level of the product but also to an increase of heat losses. For the
production of 1 ton of grey iron 900 kWh of coke, 20 kWh of gas and 30 kWh of
electrical power are needed. Additional 143 kWh are needed for the compensation of
the fire losses7.
The induction crucible furnace is based on a completely different principle of
operation. The induction crucible furnace is based on the mechanisms of the
induction effect. The used frequency of the medium frequency induction crucible
furnace is the range between 150 Hz and 1,000 Hz. For the calculation in this
chapter the averaged and also common frequency of 250 Hz is used. The induction
crucible has some advantages over the cupola furnace. It is possible to melt low-
prized steel scrap. The strong movement of the melt leads to homogenization of the
material and by association to a higher quality. The input energy can be controlled
7 E. Baake, U. Jörn, A. Mühlbauer. 1996. Energiebedarf und CO2-Emission industrieller Prozeßwärmeverfahren. Essen : VULKAN VERLAG, 1996. 3-8027-2912-9.
47
precisely and automated. This leads to a good temperature control inside the
crucible. For the production of 1 ton of grey iron 520 kWh of electrical power are
needed. Additional 48 kWh are needed for the compensation of the fire losses and
74 kWh for the carburization7.
Taking the above numbers into account, the production of 13 million tons of grey iron
consumes 11,000 GWh. It has saving potentials for energy and CO2-emission. The
use of final energy, primary energy, CO2-emission and the integrated savings can be
seen in the following figures. By taking the linear scenario instead of the reference
scenario 53,833 GWh of final energy, 135.6 PJ of primary energy and 48.1 million
tons of CO2-emission can be saved. By using the shock scenario instead of the
reference scenario it is possible to save 74,841 GWh of final energy, 184.5 PJ of
primary energy and 66.6 million tons of CO2-emission.
Fig. 45: Final energy demand for casting grey iron from 2010 to 2050
8.000
8.500
9.000
9.500
10.000
10.500
11.000
11.500
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
48
Fig. 46: Saving of final energy for casting grey iron by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 47: Primary energy demand for casting grey iron from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 48: Saving of primary energy for casting grey iron by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
0
49
Fig. 49: CO2 emission for casting grey iron from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 50: Saving of CO2 emission for casting grey iron by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
50
4.4 Non-ferrous metal industry
4.4.1 Casting copper
In the EU-27 in 2009 the yearly production rate of casted copper and copper-based
alloys was 158 thousand tons8. Compared to the aluminum production this is a
relatively small number. Discussions with some branch experts concluded that
approximately 70 – 90 % of the overall casted copper production was covered by
electro-thermal processes. Especially induction channel furnaces are used to cast
copper. The reason is the relatively high efficiency of induction channel furnaces.
Induction crucible furnaces are frequently used for copper alloys, because they can
be used in batch mode. This is necessary to adjust the correct proportion between
the supplied raw materials. Due to the relatively low installed capacities of fuel
operated processes a switching scenario for the copper production wouldn’t provide
further findings.
8 Modern Casting. December 2010. 44th Census of World Casting Production. December 2010.
51
4.4.2 Casting aluminum
In the EU-27 in 2009 the yearly production rate of casted aluminum was 1.96 million
tons8. Approximately 8 % of the overall production was covered by electro-thermal
processes and 92 % by fuel operated processes9. The electro-thermal processes can
be divided into induction crucible furnaces and induction channel furnaces. The
induction channel furnace is the more common process. A typical induction channel
furnace with an oven capacity of 55 tons needs approximately 415 kWh of electrical
energy7. To replace the fire losses of the aluminum about 200 kWh of electrical
energy is used7. The fuel operated furnaces are mostly rotary furnaces that have a
capacity of about 35 tons7. They are operated with natural gas and have an energy
consumption of approximately 712 kWh7. The fire losses are taken into account with
775 kWh7. These losses are much higher than for the electro-thermal processes.
The use of final energy, primary energy, CO2-emission and the integrated savings
can be seen in the following figures.The production of aluminium has both saving
potentials for energy and CO2-emission. By taking the linear scenario instead of the
reference scenario 32,126.7 GWh of final energy, 104.9 PJ of primary energy and
13.2 million tons of CO2-emission can be saved. By using the shock scenario instead
of the reference scenario it is possible to save 44,677.9 GWh of final energy,
144.8 PJ of primary energy and 18.3 million tons of CO2-emission.
9 Vereinigung Deutscher Schmelzhütten (VDS). 2000. Aluminiumrecycling. Düsseldorf : W.A. Meinke, 2000. 3-00-003839-6.
52
Fig. 51: Final energy demand for casting aluminum from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 52: Saving of final energy for casting aluminum by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 53: Primary energy demand for casting aluminum from 2010 to 2050
1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600 1.800 2.000 2.200 2.400 2.600 2.800 3.000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0.000 5.000
10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000 50.000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f fin
al e
nerg
y [G
Wh]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Prim
ary
ener
gy d
eman
d [P
J]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
53
Fig. 54: Saving of primary energy for casting aluminum by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 55: CO2 emission for casting aluminum from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 56: Saving of CO2 emission for casting aluminum by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CO2
emis
sion
[Mio
t]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 2 4 6 8
10 12 14 16 18 20
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f CO
2 em
issi
on [M
io t]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
54
4.5 Chemical industry
4.5.1 Plastic production
In the EU-27 in 2007 the yearly plastic production rate was 65 million tons10. For the
fabrication of plastic products mechanical and thermal energy is needed. Mechanical
energy is used for transport processes, for mixing and grinding and for filling and
wrapping applications. Thermal energy is used in large amounts for all kinds of
plastic productions. This heat is mostly produced by electrical energy. In addition
thermal energy is used for drying plastic pellets. Thermal energy is also used for
process steam, which is needed for the Styrofoam production. In the plastic
production the three energy carriers, gas, oil and electrical power are used. In former
times also coal has been used but since the year 2000 this stopped. The rate of gas
is 30%, oil 9 % and the rate of electrical energy is already 61 %11. The specific use of
energy for the plastic production is 1.7 MWh/to 12 . This leads to a final energy
demand of 110,500 GWh.
The use of final energy, primary energy, CO2-emission and the integrated savings
can be seen in the following figures. The production of plastic has saving potentials
of CO2-emission but needs an additional use of primary energy. By taking the linear
scenario instead of the reference scenario 102.6 million tons of CO2-emission can be
saved while 1,245.8 PJ of primary energy has to be used additionally. By using the
shock scenario instead of the reference scenario it is possible to save 138.5 million
tons of CO2-emission while 1,787 PJ of primary energy are needed additionally. The
demand of final energy remains constant for the whole time period and for all
scenarios. Because of this no final energy can be saved.
10 EuPC, EPRO, EuPR and PlasticsEurope. 2008. Daten und Fakten zu Kunststoff 2007. Kunststoffproduktion, Verbrauch und Verwertung in Europa 2007. s.l. : PlasticsEurope, 2008. 11 A. Trautmann, J. Meyer, S. Herpertz. 2002. Rationelle Energienutzung in der Kunststoff verarbeitenden Industrie. Braunschweig/Wiesbaden : Vieweg, 2002. 12 NRW, Landesinitiative Zukunfsenergien. 2002. Rationelle Energienutzung in der Kunststoff verarbeitenden Industrie. Düsseldorf : Landesinitiative Zukunfsenergien, 2002.
55
Fig. 57: Final energy demand for producing plastic from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 58: Saving of final energy for producing plastic by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 59: Primary energy demand for producing plastic from 2010 to 2050
110.000 110.100 110.200 110.300 110.400 110.500 110.600 110.700 110.800 110.900 111.000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f fin
al e
nerg
y [G
Wh]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
56
Fig. 60: Saving of primary energy for producing plastic by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 61: CO2 emission for producing plastic from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 62: Saving of CO2 emission for producing plastic by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
-2.000 -1.800 -1.600 -1.400 -1.200 -1.000 -0.800 -0.600 -0.400 -0.200 0.000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
-800
-600
-400
0
-200
57
4.6 Glass, pottery and building materials
4.6.1 Glass industry
In the EU-27 in 2007 the yearly production rate for glass was 37 million tons13. The
specific use of energy for the glass production is about 1.5 MWh/to14. This leads to a
final energy demand of 55.5 TWh. The rate of gas is 34%, oil 46 % and the rate of
electrical energy is 20 %15. The production of glass can be divided into six steps.
They are preparation of the batch, fusing of the batch, contouring, cooling, control of
the quality and finishing. For the preparation of the batch the different components of
the glass are weighted and mixed. The second step of the process, melting of the
batch, is the most energy intensive step, because high temperatures have to be
reached. Afterwards the glass is cooled down to contouring temperature to give the
glass the final shape. Depending on the application range a large number of different
contouring machines are used. The biggest amount of the flat glass production is
manufactured with the float procedure. The melt is passed through a zinc bath to
obtain a flat and high quality glass. Another important procedure is the fabrication of
container or bottle glass which happens in two steps. First the primary form is
produced which will be blown up to the end form in the second step. After contouring
the glass will be cooled down, controlled in quality and maybe also finished and
packed16.
The use of final energy, primary energy, CO2-emission and the integrated savings
can be seen in the following figures. The production of glass has saving potentials
only for CO2-emission. The use of primary energy will increase for both scenarios.
For the linear scenario 128.9 million tons of CO2-emission can be saved and for the
13 European Comission (EC). 2009. Putting Europe´s glass and ceramics industries on the right track. Brussels : s.n., 2009.
14 Glassglobal The glass community. 2009. Mehr Energieeffizienz bei der Glasherstellung. s.l. : VDMA.
15 Bayerisches Landesamt für Umweltschutz (LfU) . 1997. Anlagenbezogene CO2-Minderungspotentiale in der Glasindustrie. München : Bay. St. für Landesent. u. Umweltfragen. 16 Bundesverband Glasindustrie e.V. (BV Glas)
58
shock scenario 174.9 million tons. Compared with this 1,258.3 PJ of additional
primary energy has to be used for the linear scenario and 1,806 PJ of primary energy
for the shock scenario. Final energy cannot be saved, because the demand remains
constant for the whole time period and for all scenarios.
Fig. 63: Final energy demand for producing glass from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 64: Saving of final energy for producing glass by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
55.490 55.492 55.494 55.496 55.498 55.500 55.502 55.504 55.506 55.508 55.510
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f fin
al e
nerg
y [G
Wh]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
59
Fig. 65: Primary energy demand for producing glass from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 66: Saving of primary energy for producing glass by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 67: CO2 emission for producing glass from 2010 to 2050
-800 -600 -400
0 -200
60
Fig. 68: Saving of final energy for producing glass by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
61
4.6.2 Brick industry
In the EU-27 the yearly production rate of bricks is about 52.6 million tons17. The
specific use of energy for the brick production is about 551 kWh/to18. This leads to a
final energy demand of 28,976 GWh. The rate of gas is 90 %, oil 2 % and the rate of
electrical energy is 8 %18. In principle bricks consist only of loam and clay. The
production process is energy intensive and simple. In the first step clay and loam are
grinded and mixed. After that the raw material is pressed in an extruder to an endless
line. After cutting into pieces the raw bricks are fired in a tunnel kiln at about 900°C.
The use of final energy, primary energy, CO2-emission and the integrated savings
can be seen in the following figures. The production of bricks has saving potentials of
CO2-emission but needs an additional use of primary energy. By taking the linear
scenario instead of the reference scenario 55 million tons of CO2-emission can be
saved while 779.9 PJ of primary energy has to be used additionally. By using the
shock scenario instead of the reference scenario it is possible to save 74 million tons
of CO2-emission while 1,118.1 PJ of primary energy are needed additionally. There
are no saving possibilities for final energy.
17 Tiles and bricks of Europe (TBE). activated in January 2012. About TBE. [Homepage: http://www.tbe-euro.com/default-en.asp] Bruxelles : s.n., activated in January 2012. 18 Bayerisches Landesamt für Umweltschutz (LfU). 1998. Anlagenbezogene CO2-Minderungspotentiale in der Ziegelindustrie. München : Bayrisches Landesamt für Landesentwicklung und Umweltfragen, 1998
62
Fig. 69: Final energy demand for producing bricks from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 70: Saving of final energy for producing bricks by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 71: Primary energy demand for producing bricks from 2010 to 2050
28.971 28.972 28.973 28.974 28.975 28.976 28.977 28.978 28.979 28.980
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f fin
al e
nerg
y [G
Wh]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
63
Fig. 72: Saving of primary energy for producing bricks by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 73: CO2 emission for producing bricks from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 74: Saving of final energy for producing bricks by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
-800
-600
-400
0
-200
64
4.6.3 Roof tile industry
In the EU-27 in 2009 the yearly production rate for roof tiles was 9.5 million tons17.
The specific use of energy for the brick production is about 1.105 MWh/to19. This
leads to a final energy demand of 10,493 GWh. The rate of gas is 90 %, the rate of
petroleum products is 0.5 % and the rate of electrical energy is 9.5 %19. The
production of roof tiles is in principle very similar to the brick production. The material
is the same. Only the way of contouring the raw products differs, because most of the
roof tiles cannot be formed with an extruder press. This is a reason why roof tiles are
a bit more energy intensive than bricks. The burning of the roof tiles in the tunnel kiln
is again similar to the brick production.
The use of final energy, primary energy, CO2-emission and the integrated savings
can be seen in the following figures. The production of roof tiles is similar to the brick
production in terms of saving possibilities. By taking the linear scenario instead of the
reference scenario 19.4 million tons of CO2-emission can be saved while 278 PJ of
primary energy has to be used additionally. By using the shock scenario instead of
the reference scenario it is possible to save 26 million tons of CO2-emission while
398.7 PJ of primary energy are needed additionally. There are no saving possibilities
for final energy.
19 Bayerisches Landesamt für Umweltschutz (LfU). 1998. Anlagenbezogene CO2-Minderungspotentiale bei der Dachziegelherstellung. München : Bayerisches Staatsministerium für Landesentwicklung und Umweltfragen, 1998.
65
Fig. 75: Final energy demand for producing roof tiles from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 76: Saving of final energy for producing roof tiles by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 77: Primary energy demand for producing roof tiles from 2010 to 2050
10.490
10.491
10.492
10.493
10.494
10.495
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f fin
al e
nerg
y [G
Wh]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
66
Fig. 78: Saving of primary energy for producing roof tiles by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 79: CO2 emission for producing roof tiles from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 80: Saving of final energy for producing roof tiles by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CO2
emis
sion
[Mio
to]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0.5
1.5
2.5
67
4.6.4 Cement industry
In the EU-27 in 2008 the yearly production rate for cement was 255,4 million tons20.
The specific use of energy for the cement production is about 867 kWh/to21. This
value is an average over all different oven types for producing lime. This leads to a
final energy demand of 221432 GWh. The rate of petcoke is 41,2 %, coal is 23,6 %,
lignite is 4,3 %, gas is 0,9 %, fuel oil 2,7 %, waste fuels is 15,9 % and the rate of
electrical energy is 11,4 %21. The cement industry is very energy intensive. The basic
material for the cement manufacturing is gained in the stone quarry and contains
limestone, clay, sand and iron ore. The process begins with the decomposition of the
contained calcium carbonate (CaCO3) at about 900 °C. Calcium oxide (CaO, lime)
and carbon dioxide (CO2) leave the CaCO3. This process is also called calcinations.
The next step is the clinkering-process. At high temperatures between 1400°C and
1500 °C the raw material reacts with silica, aluminum, ferrous oxide, aluminates and
ferrites of calcium to a clinker. Afterwards these clinkers are grounded together with
gypsum and other additives21.
The use of final energy, primary energy, CO2-emission and the integrated savings
can be seen in the following figures. The production of cement has saving potentials
of CO2-emission but needs an additional use of primary energy. By taking the linear
scenario instead of the reference scenario 1.6 billion tons of CO2-emission can be
saved while 7,181 PJ of primary energy has to be used additionally. By using the
shock scenario instead of the reference scenario it is possible to save 2.2 billion tons
of CO2-emission while 10,311.7 PJ of primary energy are needed additionally. The
demand of final energy remains constant for the whole time period and for all
scenarios. Because of this no final energy can be saved.
20 Verein Deutscher Zementwerke e.V. (VDZ). May 2011. Zahlen und Daten 2010-2011. Berlin : s.n., May 2011.
21 Umweltbundesamt (German Federal Environment Agency). May 2010. Merkblatt über die Besten Verfügbaren Techniken in der Zement-, Kalk- und Magnesiumoxidindustrie. Dessau : s.n., May 2010.
68
Fig. 81: Final energy demand for producing cement from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 82: Saving of final energy for producing cement by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 83: Primary energy demand for producing cement from 2010 to 2050
289.000 289.200 289.400 289.600 289.800 290.000 290.200 290.400 290.600 290.800 291.000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f fin
al e
nerg
y [G
Wh]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
500
0
69
Fig. 84: Saving of primary energy for producing cement by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 85: CO2 emission for producing cement from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 86: Saving of final energy for producing cement by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CO2
emis
sion
[Mio
to]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0.000
0.500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f CO
2 em
issi
on [M
io to
] Linear scenario
Shock scenario
-500
0
-500
0
0
70
4.6.5 Lime industry
In the EU-27 in 2006 the yearly production rate for lime was 28 million tons21. The
specific use of energy for the lime production is about 1.3 MWh/to21. This value is an
average over all different oven types for producing lime. This leads to a final energy
demand of 28,976 GWh. The rate of gas is 90 %, oil 2 % and the rate of electrical
energy is 8 %21. The raw material for the lime production is lime stone which is
gained in quarries or mines. The production is similar to the cement production. The
calcium carbonate (CaCO3) in the limestone is calcinated at about 900 °C. The
resulting lime is called quick lime. Together with water the quick lime can be hydrated
and is now called hydrated lime. The hydration is an exothermic reaction.
The use of final energy, primary energy, CO2-emission and the integrated savings
can be seen in the following figures. The production of lime is similar to the cement
production in terms of saving possibilities. By using the linear scenario instead of the
reference scenario 150.2 million tons of CO2-emission can be saved while 1,047.8 PJ
of primary energy has to be used additionally. By using the shock scenario instead of
the reference scenario it is possible to save 205.4 million tons of CO2-emission while
1,502.4 PJ of primary energy are needed additionally. There are no saving
possibilities for final energy.
Fig. 87: Final energy demand for producing lime from 2010 to 2050
36.390
36.395
36.400
36.405
36.410
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
71
Fig. 88: Saving of final energy for producing lime by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 89: energy demand for producing lime from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 90: Saving of primary energy for producing lime by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f fin
al e
nerg
y [G
Wh]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
-1.600
-1.400
-1.200
-1.000
-0.800
-0.600
-0.400
-0.200
0.000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
-400
-600
-800
0
-200
72
Fig. 91: CO2 emission for producing lime from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 92: Saving of final energy for producing lime by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
73
4.7 Paper and printing
In the EU-27 in 2009 the yearly production rate for paper, carton and pasteboard was
87.1 million tons22. The process of paper production consists in principle of four
steps. It starts with the pulp production, followed by conditioning and the paper
machine and it ends with the refinement. The pulp production produces single fibers
for the processing. This can be done by recycling old paper or by defibering wood.
For both processes mechanical and thermal energy energy is needed especially for
the comminution. The conditioning process includes suspending, cleaning and
grinding of the pulp, mixing of different types of fibers and the addition of fillers. In the
third production step the paper is produced out on the paper machine. This step is
subdivided into seven, pressing, drying and rolling up the paper web. The seven
machine has the task to spread the raw material on the paper machine in an evenly
way. The first amount of water is removed. In the press the paper web is drained
even more. This is very important, because the more you drain the paper with the
press the less you have to do it with the thermal dryer that is much more energy-
intensive. In the dryer the paper is drained up to a residual moisture of approx. 5-8%.
After this procedure the paper is smoothed and rolled up. The last production step is
the refinement. Here the paper gets coated and satined, depending on the desired
properties. The specific use of energy for the paper production was 2.7 MWh/ton in
the year 200123. This leads to a final energy demand of 200,300 GWh. The rate of
hard coal is 12 %, oil 2 %, gas 42 % and the rate of electrical energy is 30 %23.
The use of final energy, primary energy, CO2-emission and the integrated savings
can be seen in the following figures. The production of paper has saving potentials of
CO2-emission but needs an additional use of primary energy. By taking the linear
scenario instead of the reference scenario 374.4 million tons of CO2-emission can be
saved while 3,814.7 PJ of primary energy has to be used additionally. By using the
shock scenario instead of the reference scenario it is possible to save 508.1 million
22 Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken e. V. (VDP). 2011. Papier Kompass 2011. Bonn : VDP, 2011.
23 Bayerisches Landeramt für Umweltschutz (LfU). 2002. Klimaschutz durch effiziente Energieverwendung in der Papierindustrie. Nutzung von Niedertemperaturabwärme. Augsburg : LfU, 2002.
74
tons of CO2-emission while 5,469.7 PJ of primary energy are needed additionally.
The demand of final energy remains constant for the whole time period and for all
scenarios. Because of this no final energy can be saved.
Fig. 93: Final energy demand for producing paper from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 94: Saving of final energy for producing paper by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
200.000
200.100
200.200
200.300
200.400
200.500
200.600
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fina
l ene
rgy
dem
and
[GW
h]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f fin
al e
nerg
y [G
Wh]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
75
Fig. 95: Primary energy demand for producing paper from 2010 to 2050
Fig. 96: Saving of primary energy for producing paper by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
Fig. 97: CO2 emission for producing paper from 2010 to 2050
0.400
0.600
0.800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Prim
ary
ener
gy d
eman
d [P
J]
Reference scenario
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
400
600
800
-6.000
-5.000
-4.000
-3.000
-2.000
-1.000
0.000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Savi
ng o
f prim
ary
ener
gy [P
J]
Linear scenario
Shock scenario
0
76
Fig. 98: Saving of final energy for producing paper by using the linear and shock scenario compared of the reference scenario
77
5. Conclusion
The work in hand makes clear that a switching of fuel operated industrial processes
to electro-thermal processes offers big potentials for saving of primary energy and
CO2-emission. Altogether five energy intensive industrial branches have been
analysed with the help of case studies. These five industry sectors ordered by the
final energy demand in 2009 are the chemical industry with 585,896 GWh, the iron
and steel industry with 514,848.47 GWh, the glass, pottery and building material
industry with 424,832.27 GWh, the paper and printing industry with 384,115.64 GWh
and the non-ferrous metal industry with 103,681.45 GWh.
In the year 2010 the calculated final energy demand for the plastic production was
110,500 GWh. This covers about 18.8 % of the chemical industry. The calculated
final energy demand for the steel production was 434,923 GWh and 10,972 GWh for
the production of grey iron. Consequently the sum of 445,904 GWh covers about
86.6 % of the full iron and steel industry. The final energy demand for the glass
production is 55,500 GWh, for the roof tile production 10,493 GWh, 28,976 GWh for
the brick production, 289,907 GWh for the cement production and 36,400 GWh for
the lime production. The sum of 421,275 GWh covers about 99 % of the glass,
pottery and building material industry. The final energy for producing paper was
calculated with 200,299 GWh that covers 52 % of the overall paper and printing
industry. The production of casted aluminum needs about 2,774 GWh of energy that
covers 2.7 % of the complete non-ferrous metal industry.
Table 3 summarizes the share of the calculated final energy demand on the overall
final energy demand of the five different branches. The table gives an overview how
much the case studies cover the overall energy demand. Table 4 summarizes the
yearly savings respectively the additional yearly amounts of final energy, primary
energy and CO2-emission that can be achieved after the year 2050. This year marks
the point when a complete switching to EPM technologies is realized. As shown in
the table 4 all together 67,512.66 GWh of final energy can be saved yearly in the ten
regarded industry sectors. This means a decrease of 13.7 %. In terms of primary
78
energy the saving per year after 2050 is 210.29 PJ which connotes to a decrease of
4.1 %. The most substantial saving can be achieved with CO2-emission. 246.56
million tons of CO2-emission can be saved yearly which is related to a decrease of
63.4 %.
It is remarkable that the consumption of primary energy increases for all industry
sectors except the Iron & Steel industry and the NF metals industry. The reason for
this additional effort of primary energy can be explained with the particular primary
energy factor. The PEF for electrical power is higher than the PEF´s for other energy
carriers like coke, natural gas, lignite and petroleum products. This is status of today
and it will still be the case in the year 2050. The steel and NF-metal industry will
achieve a decrease in the primary energy consumption in spite of that. The reason is
that here the process is completely changed in particular the physical heating
principle. In the grey iron industry for example a switching from a coke fired cupola
furnace to an induction furnace is realized. The induction furnace has a high
efficiency and needs much less final energy than the cupola furnace which leads to
savings of final energy as well as primary energy consequently. In the other branches
(Chemical, Glass, pottery & building materials and Paper & printing) the complete
process, in particular the physical principal of the heating process, is not changed but
only the energy carrier. This has no significant effect on the demand of final energy.
Table 5 summarizes the integrated savings respectively additional amounts of final
energy, primary energy and CO2-emission that can be achieved in the time period
from 2010 to 2050. It is obvious that the savings depend on the chosen scenario.
79
Branch Industry sector
Calculated final energy demand
in 2010
Final energy demand of the branch
Share
Chemical Plastic 110,500
Sum 110,500 585,896 19 %
Iron & steel Steel 434,923
Grey iron 10,972
Sum 445,904 514,848 87 %
Glass, pottery &
building materials
Glass 55,500
Roof tile 10,493
Brick 28,976
Cement 289,907
Lime 36,400
Sum 421,275 424,832 99 %
Paper & printing Paper 200,299
Sum 200,299 384,116 52 %
NF metals Aluminum 2,774
Sum 2,774 103,681 3 %
Table 3: Share of the calculated final energy demands on the overall energy demand of the five different branches.
80
CO
2-em
issi
on
%
68.7
39.5
77.1
83.4
82.3
82.7
90.5
88.8
80.3
77.2
63.4
Mill
ion
tons
8.93
74.7
0
2.63
10.3
3
1.81
5.11
101.
61
10.5
9
30.1
4
0,71
246.
56
Prim
ary
ener
gy
%
-2.3
14.1
23.0
-4.3
-6.0
-6.1
-4.3
-6.6
-4.2
54.,9
4.1
PJ
-10.
35*
315.
71
10.2
1
-9.4
3
-2.4
5
-6.8
5
-49.
80
-9.2
5
-33.
49
5.99
210.
29
Fina
l ene
rgy %
0
13.2
23.9
0 0 0 0 0 0
56.5
13.7
GW
h
0
63,3
19.0
2
2626
.00
0 0 0 0 0 0
1567
.64
67,5
12.6
6
Indu
stry
se
ctor
Pla
stic
Ste
el
Gre
y iro
n
Gla
ss
Roo
f tile
Bric
k
Cem
ent
Lim
e
Pap
er
Alu
min
um
Sum
Bra
nch
Che
mic
al
Iron
& s
teel
Gla
ss, p
otte
ry &
bu
ildin
g m
ater
ials
Pap
er &
prin
ting
Non
-ferro
us
met
als
Table 4: Savings of final energy, primary energy and CO2-emission per year after 2050 (* Negative numbers imply an additional effort).
81
Savi
ng p
oten
tials
for u
sing
the
shoc
k sc
enar
io C
O2-
emis
sion
Mill
ion
tons
138.
5
2,03
9.9
66.6
175.
0
26.0
73.9
2,20
4.6
205.
4
508.
1
18.3
5,45
6.3
Prim
ary
ener
gy
PJ
-1,7
86.9
7,85
2.2
184.
5
-1,8
06.0
-398
.7
-1,1
18.1
-10,
311.
7
-1,5
02.4
-5,4
69.7
144.
8
-14,
212
Fina
l en
ergy
GW
h
0
1,80
4,59
1.2
74,8
41
0 0 0 0 0 0
44,6
77.9
1,92
4,11
0.8
Savi
ng p
oten
tials
for u
sing
the
linea
r sce
nario
CO
2-em
issi
on
Mill
ion
tons
102.
6
1,46
9.6
48.1
128.
9
19.4
55.0
1,60
3.5
150.
2
374.
4
13.3
3,96
5.0
Prim
ary
ener
gy
PJ
-1,2
45.8
*
5,67
8.5
135.
6
-1,2
58.3
-278
.0
-779
.8
-7,1
81.5
-1,0
47.8
-3,8
14.7
104.
9
-9,6
86.9
Fina
l en
ergy
GW
h
0
1,29
8,03
9.8
53,8
33
0 0 0 0 0 0
32,1
36.7
1,38
4,00
9.5
Indu
stry
se
ctor
Pla
stic
Ste
el
Gre
y iro
n
Gla
ss
Roo
f tile
Bric
k
Cem
ent
Lim
e
Pap
er
Alu
min
um
Sum
Bra
nch
Che
mic
al
Iron
& s
teel
Gla
ss, p
otte
ry &
bu
ildin
g m
ater
ials
Pap
er &
prin
ting
Non
-ferro
us
met
als
Table 5: Savings of final energy, primary energy and CO2-emission for the two the different industry sectors for both switching scenarios (* Negative numbers imply an additional effort).
82
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