THE ROLE OF THE STATE IN THE 21st CENTURY: CHALLENGES FOR PUBLIC

MANAGEMENT

Keynote Session 5Progress and challenges for social

development in BrazilTiago Falcão

September, 2015

Fundamental objective of the Republic“To eradicate poverty and substandard living conditions and to reduce social and regional inequalities "

Social RightsHealth, education, work, housing, leisure, security, social security, protection of motherhood and childhood, and assistance to the destituteMain Guidelines• universality of coverage and service• uniformity and equivalence of benefits and services for rural and

urban populations• equitable participation in funding• diversity of the financing basis • management decentralization• social participation

Constituição Federal de 1988

SOCIAL POLICIES

Solidarity and social security to people and groups, in response to

risks, contingencies and social needs

Generation and use of individual and social

capacities

Social security

Health

Social Assistance

Infrastructure, housing , urban planning, sanitation

Employment and income

Education

Agricultural development

Culture

SECTOR POLICIES

Social promotion(opportunities

and results)

Social Protection(social security)

Social Benefits (coverage)

Old-age pension and disability

Aid for occupational accidents and diseases

Social Assistance Benefits (age, physical disability)

Unemployment Insurance

Bolsa Família Program

(Conditional cash transference)

Types of Benefits

Contributory

Non-Contributory

INACTIVES* ACTIVES*

(*) Inactive or active in the job m)arket

Real GDP per capita* and Gini Index**

* Values adjusted by GDP deflator ( 2012) .** Monthly income per householdSource: PNAD/IBGE and NSCN/IBGE.

R$

Evolution rate (%) of monetary poverty

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 20140.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0 23.7

21.520.3

16.315.1

13.312.2

10.2

8.0 7.8

8.27.1 6.5

5.3 4.94.2 4.0 3.7

2.9 3.1

Extremamente pobres Pobres

Source: PNAD/IBGE. Elaboração: MDS.

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 2012 20130.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

8.3% 8.1% 7.8%

7.0%

5.4%

4.4%

3.4%

2.9%

1.8%1.5%

1.1%

Pobreza crônica, SAGI/MDS

Source: PNAD-IBGE. Prepared by: MDS e Banco Mundial

Evolution of multidimensional poverty

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (j-jun)

28.70 29.5031.40

33.2035.20

37.6039.40

41.2044.10

46.30 47.40 48.90 49.49

Source: RAIS/MTE

Evolution of formal jobs (millions)

+20.8 million formal jobs

BRAZIL - population malnutrition (%)

Source: FAO, 2014 . Prepared by SAGI/MDS.

82% deredução

1,7%1990-92

1991-93

1992-94

1993-95

1994-96

1995-97

1996-98

1997-99

1998-00

1999-01

2000-02

2001-03

2002-04

2003-05

2004-06

2005-07

2006-08

2007-09

2008-10

2009-11

2010-12

2011-13

2012-14

-1.0

1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0

9.0

11.0

13.0

15.0

Triennium

% Population

Malnutrition

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

29.02

27.48

26.04

24.6823.39

22.1821.04

19.9818.99

18.0717.22

16.4315.69

15.0214.4

13.82

MDG goal

Infant Mortality

Source: IBGE.

Rate per 1,000 live births

Life Expectancy at birth

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 200962

64

66

68

70

72

74

66.967.3

67.768.1

68.568.9

69.369.7

70.170.4

70.8 71.171.4

71.772.1

72.4 72.573

73.3

Source: IBGE.

Illiteracy (15 to24 years old)

Source: IBGE.

19901992

19931995

19961997

19981999

20012002

20032004

20052006

20072008

20092011

20122013

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

9.73

1.26

Região Centro-oeste Região Norte Região Nordeste Região Sul Região Sudeste Brasil

Average years of schooling

Source: IBGE.

19901992

19931995

19961997

19981999

20012002

20032004

20052006

20072008

20092011

20122013

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

4.8

7.7

Região Centro-oeste Região Norte Região NordesteRegião Sul Região Sudeste Brasil

Social Policies financing : highly regressive tax structure ; per capita spending

Equity Promotion

Quality assurance: gigantic systems and heterogeneities

Demographic transition : bonus ?

"New " agenda : socio-environmental , youth, infancy, violence ...

Challenges

Thank you!bsm@mds.gov.br www.wwp.org.br