The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0...

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Gerhard Schmidt Ford Motor Company Chief Technical Officer Vice President, Research and Advanced Engineering Gerhard Schmidt Ford Motor Company Chief Technical Officer Vice President, Research and Advanced Engineering 21 st ESV Conference Stuttgart, Germany 15 – 18 June, 2009 21 st ESV Conference Stuttgart, Germany 15 – 18 June, 2009 The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 st Century The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 st Century

Transcript of The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0...

Page 1: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Gerhard SchmidtFord Motor Company

Chief Technical OfficerVice President, Research and Advanced Engineering

Gerhard SchmidtFord Motor Company

Chief Technical OfficerVice President, Research and Advanced Engineering

21st ESV ConferenceStuttgart, Germany15 – 18 June, 2009

21st ESV ConferenceStuttgart, Germany15 – 18 June, 2009

The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21st CenturyThe Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21st Century

Page 2: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Outline

• State of Safety

• Sustainability and Safety

• Safety Technologies

• Shared Responsibilities

Page 3: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Top 10 Causes of Death & Disability in the World (2004)

Source: World Health Organization, 2006

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Road Accident Fatalities are a significant cause…..

Page 4: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

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Source: World Health Organization, 2006

Top 10 Causes of Death & Disability in the World (2030)

And will be more important in the future

Page 5: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Estimated Worldwide 2004/5 Traffic Fatalities

Total: 1.3 Million Fatalities in 2004

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

India

Japan

UK

US

CarLight Truck Motorcycle Bicycle Pedestrian Other

Percentage of Fatalities

Sources: - WHO, World Report on Road Traffic Injury Prevention, 2004 - International Road Traffic and Accident Database (IRTAD - OEC/ITF), 2008

Vehicle safety technologies may need to vary by region

Page 6: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Fuel Economy

• Fleet shift to smaller vehicles will increase compatibility challenges

• Alignment of structures per Voluntary Agreement will help increase compatibility in North America

• Structural enhancements (e.g., adaptive structures) can help reduce the impact of downsizing and weight reduction

Page 7: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Effect of Changing Vehicle Mix on Fatality Rates Drivers killed / 1000 crash events*

0.6 0.6

1.6 0.3

2.1 0.5

2.0 0.3

0.7 0.7

0.9 0.9

0.9 1.2

0.8 0.8

1.2 1.3

1.6 1.6

5.8

3.7

10.6

10.6Changing the fleet mix increases the likelihood of incompatible vehicle interactions

Vehicle-to-Vehicle Accidents

Single Vehicle

Source: UMTRI

* All crash types included in analysis

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Vehicle Compatibility

Geometry

Peak

Acc

eler

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n (g

)

0 2 40

1000

2000

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Wheelbase (m)

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g)

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Mass (kg)

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400 600 800Max Crush (mm)

Mini Car

B Car

C/CD Car

Mass & Size

Mass & Size

Crush Space

Sources: Evans, AJPH, 2001 & Evans, SAE, 2004

Page 9: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Small Vehicle Safety Challenges

• Smaller vehicles, in general: are lighter and have less crush space

have lower structural height

experience higher accelerations than larger vehicles in multi-vehicle accidents

• Therefore, the challenge for the safety community is to: continuously improve safety by democratization of

safety technologies (e.g., airbags, ESC, etc)

make newer technologies affordable for small vehicles

Page 10: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Safety Technology Trends

Levels of autonomous safety features for driver assistance/accident avoidance and crash protection will increase due to:

Increasing computing power

Faster algorithms

Advanced sensor capabilities

Lower sensing costs

Advanced electrical chassis systems

Page 11: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Safety Technologies Outlook

Safety potential

100%

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 ? ? ...

brake assistACC

ABS

ESP

traction control

active body control

lane detection

collision mitigationactive steer

active driver assist.

active accidentavoidance

Active safety

V2V & V2I

safety cell

safety belts

crumple zone

front bag

advanced seat beltsside impact protection

side airbag

Passive safety

head restraints

safety pedals

adaptive restraintscompatibility

preactivated restraints

Page 12: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Ford Safety Technology Implementation – 2010 Taurus

MyKeyTMMyKeyTM

Ford SYNCRFord SYNCR

Power Sunshade

SecuriCodeTM

Keyless Entry Keypad

Blind SpotInformation(BLISR

)

CrossTraffic

Alert

Collision WarningWith Brake Support

Auto High Beams

Rain Sensing Wipers

Multi-Contour SeatsWith Active MotionTMMulti-Contour SeatsWith Active MotionTM

Adaptive Cruise Control

Page 13: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Shared Responsibilities

Breakthroughs in safety will occur when all entities work together.

Driver• Safety belt use• Blood alcohol limits• Speed limits• Driver education

OEM• V2V communications• Pre-crash technology• Adv. crash technology• Post-crash technology

Consumer• Relevant tests• Solicit input from OEMs

before new testing protocols• Communication

Government• Global regulations• Partnership with industry• Seatbelt use laws• Litigation Reform

Infrastructure• Design• V2I Integration • Construction/Maintenance• Rescue chain

Page 14: The Role of New Technologies for Safety in the 21 Century · 2009. 7. 17. · 1.6 0.3 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 5.8 3.7 10.6 Changing the fleet

Outlook

• Vehicle safety technologies will make a significant contribution to the improvement of road safety

• Technologies must address customer needs and be adapted to specific national situations

• Shared responsibilities exist for all stakeholders


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