The Review of the Universal Service Fund System - … · The Review of the Universal Service Fund...

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1 The Review of the Universal Service Fund System Tariff Division, Telecommunications Business Department, Telecommunications Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications November 2005

Transcript of The Review of the Universal Service Fund System - … · The Review of the Universal Service Fund...

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The Review of the Universal Service Fund System

Tariff Division, Telecommunications Business Department,Telecommunications Bureau,

Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications

November 2005

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Outline of Presentation

Current SystemBackground to the ReviewSummary to the Review

Scope of Universal Service Cost Calculation MethodologyContribution Methodology

Current SystemBackground Summary

Scope Costing Contributions

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Current System

Current SystemBackground Summary

Scope Costing Contributions

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The current system was introduced in June 2002.

Universal Service: Should ensure the provision of telecommunications services nationwide which are indispensable for people's daily lives.

(”Universal services” are stipulated in the applicable ministerial ordinance of the MIC.)

The telecommunication carriers shall make efforts to provide such services appropriately, impartially and stably.

Scope of Universal Service:Subscriber telephone services

(Subscriber line access, local calls, calls to remote islands under special tariff, emergency calls)

Type 1 public telephone services (Local calls, calls to remote islands under special tariff, emergency calls)

Current SystemCurrent System

5Current System

Revenue-Cost Methodology (Offset type)

Profit

Loss

Surpluses in profitable areas cannot cover losses in unprofitable areas therefore

support provided.

Revenue

Cost

↑revenue/cost per lineFor NTT East/West

Number of subscriber lines →

Carriers make contributions based on the amount of related revenue

After the USF system was introduced in June 2002, the fund has not been act ivated yet since there have been n o d e f i c i t s i n t h e un iversa l serv ices.

After the USF system was introduced in June 2002, the fund has not been act ivated yet since there have been n o d e f i c i t s i n t h e un iversa l serv ices.

Current System

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Background to the Review

Current SystemBackground Summary

Scope Costing Contributions

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Promoting competition throughout voice servicesThe penetration of mobile phones has exceeded that of fixed telephones. The rapid penetration of IP telephony.

Further competition in subscriber telephone services

Start of "dry Copper dedicated line" services

Transfer NTS cost to the basic fee cost

Background to the ReviewBackground to the Review

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2,691

3,825

4,731

5,9616,0776,133 6,022

5,456 5,6365,781 5,907 6,028 6,164

6,263 6,285 6,263 6,2236,196

5,1635,1595,1165,1005,226

5,8566,0456,153

5,245

5,453 5,627 5,7655,883 5,994 6,111

5,555

9,1478,6658,112

7,482

6,678

5,685

49 87 138 171 213433

1,170

1,951

943

1,541

8522387

527.6830.5

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

End of FY89 End of FY90 End of FY91 End of FY92 End of FY93 End of FY94 End of FY95 End of FY96 End of FY97 End of FY98 End of FY99 End of FY00 End of FY01 End of FY02 End of FY03 End of FY04

Fixed te lephone (Subscriber te lephone +ISDN)Subscriber te lephone

Mobile te lephone (cell phones + PHS)

Num ber of high speed/ultra high speedInternet subscribersIP te lephony

(Unit: 10,000 subscriptions)

(DSL+ CATV+FTTH+Wireless)

(preliminary figures)

(preliminary figures)

The number of subscribers to mobile and subscriber phones

reversedSubscriber line: 55,550,000Mobile phones: 56,850,000

(March 2000)

The number of subscribers to fixed lines and mobile phones

reversedFixed: 62,190,000Mobile: 6,,820,000(November 2000)

Transition of subscribers with respect to fixed telephone, mobile phones and broadband services

Competition throughout voice services (1) Background to the Review

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0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

H10 H11 H12 H13 H14 H15 H16

fixed phonesmobile phones

H10 H11 H12 H13 H14 H15

mobile phones 836 1,135 1,453 1,631 1,752 1,884

7.5%

3,315

-17.0%

1,825

Compared to prev. FY - 35.8% 28.0% 12.3% 7.4% -3.1%

H16

fixed phones 4,575 5,016 5,573 4,935 3,995 2,836 Compared to prev. FY - 9.6% 11.1% -11.4% -19.0% -14.5%

(1 mil. hours)Transition in Traffic

Background to the Review Competition throughout voice services (2)

(FY04 are preliminary figures)

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NCC also has facilities that have equivalent functions to NTT East/West facilities

Dry copper

Company A

RT

NTT GC station

MDF

Subscriber’s port

ZC

GC

NTT East/West

Router

IP network

Company B

NGW

Dry copper

ZC

GC

Further competition in subscriber telephone services Background to the Review

Start of "dry Copper dedicated line" services

11Transfer NTS cost to the basic fee costBackground to the Review

IC carriers

Telephone poles

MDFconduit

(GC station)

(ZC station)

POI GC

ZCPOI

Feeder RT Subscriber’s port (SLIC)

Basic fee costs Call charge/connection charge

NTS cost

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Scope of Universal ServiceCost Calculation MethodologyContributions Methodology

Current SystemBackground Overview

Scope Costing Contributions

Summary of the Review

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Scope of Universal Service

Current SystemBackground Overview

Scope Costing Contributions

14Scope of Universal Service

Subscriber telephone services(Subscriber line access, special calls to remote islands,

emergency calls)

Type 1 public telephone services (local calls, calls to remote islands under special tariff, emergency calls)

(Services NOT supported by the fund…)

□ Local calls: - Promoted competition among carriers after carrier pre-selection (“My Line”)introduced.

□ Mobile phones: - Improvement of Networks through the competition among carriers - Rates are relatively high (almost double that of fixed phone call rate) - Requires huge capital investment to cover entire area

□ Broadband Services: - Improvement of Networks through competition among carriers - Still in the process of penetration although accessible household are increasing

Scope of Universal Services

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Current SystemBackground Overview

Scope Costing Contributions

Cost Calculation Methodology

16Issues facing current system of cost calculation methodology

Costs might increase as NTT East/West price fall

If 300 billion yen of NTS cost is transferred to the basic fee cost, it is possible that NTT East/West will incur a deficit regardless of the area. However, all losses can be covered by the fund.

Costing

17Issues facing current system of cost calculation methodology

Revenue

Cost

↑Revenue/cost per line

by NTT East/West

loss

profit

Number of subscriber lines→

Costing

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Subject of cost calculation:Support differences between the national average costs and the costs incurring from subscriber lines (4.9%). The threshold of the calculation will be 2 standard deviation above average cost of NTT East/West subscriber lines.

Cost calculation methodology:Use a Long Run Incremental Cost model to eliminate the inefficiencies of NTT East/West

Estimates for support payment:FY05 11 billion to 17 billion yen FY06 19.5 billion to 27.5 billion yen FY07 28 billion to 38 billion yen

Costing New Methodology for Cost Calculation

19New Cost Calculation Methodology

Revenue Basis

Benchmark Method

Telephone Number Basis

Earning Cost Method (Offset type)

Black

Red

Surpluses in profitable areas cannot cover losses in unprofitable areas

therefore support provided.

○ Promoted competition in urban areas ⇒Decrease of revenue caused by price reductions

○ Transfer of NTS costs ⇒Increase the cost

Changes in circumstances surroundingTelecommunication Business

Support the cost of “High Cost” area

revenue

cost

average costs

cost

4.9%

↑Costs per line for NTT East/West

Number of subscriber lines → Number of subscriber lines →

↑revenue/costs per line

For NTT East/West

Costing

20Analysis of the Historical Cost by NTT East/West

Subscriber density vs cost per line Cost per line vs number of lines

Costing

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000

加入者密度[加入/km2]

回線

あたり費用

[円/月]

Cos

t per

line

[yen

/mon

th]

Subscriber density [subscribers/km2]

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000

加入者密度[加入/km2]

回線

あたり費用

[円/月

]C

ost p

er li

ne [y

en/m

onth

]

Subscriber density [subscribers/km2]

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000

回線あたり費用[円/月]

加入

者回

線数

対数平均:2,287円/月

対数平均+1σ:3,055円/月

対数平均+2σ:4,080円/月Num

ber o

f sub

scrib

er li

nes

Cost per line [yen/month]

Logarithmic mean: 2,287yen/month

Logarithmic mean + 1σ: 3,055yen/month

Logarithmic mean + 2σ: 4,080yen/month

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非高コスト地域高コスト地域非高コスト地域高コスト地域

Cost of Lines by AreasCosting

Areas relatively inexpensiveAreas relatively expensive

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Current SystemBackground Summary

Scope Costing Contributions

Contribution Methodology

23Contribution Methodology

Current system Beneficiary-pay principle Contribution basis: related revenues of telecommunications carriers

Issues in Current system Difficulty in grasping the related revenues accurately Requires huge outlay (ex. System renovation) to fully understandthe related revenues

New method: based on usage of telecommunications numbers

Contributions decided based on usage of telecommunications numbers allocated to each carrier.

Contributions

24Special Consideration and Information Disclosure to Users

Scale of carriers contribution and upper limit of contributions

Receive contributions only from telecommunication carriers that have profits exceeding 1 billion yen The amount of contribution should not exceed 3% of telecommunications revenue

Information Disclosure to Users The contributions of carriers will ultimately be covered by userrevenueIt is preferable to indicate that the contributions are being conducted properly by having the carriers disclose information to users concerning their contributions to the fund

Contributions

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Thank you for your attention.