Race/Cruise in Company Race to Leenane – Saturday April 30 th Race around Inishturk Sunday May 1st.
The Race to Debase
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Transcript of The Race to Debase
The Race to Debase
2-Jan-02
22-May-0
2
9-Oct-
02
26-Feb-03
16-Jul-0
3
3-Dec-0
3
21-Apr-0
4
8-Sep-04
26-Jan-05
15-Jun-05
2-Nov-0
5
22-Mar-0
6
9-Aug-0
6
27-Dec-0
6
16-May-0
7
3-Oct-
07
20-Feb-08
9-Jul-0
8
26-Nov-0
8
15-Apr-0
9
2-Sep-09
20-Jan-10
9-Jun-10
27-Oct-
10
16-Mar-1
1
3-Aug-1
1
21-Dec-1
1
9-May-1
2
26-Sep-12
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Spot Gold Since January 2002
2006-05-23
2006-09-12
2007-01-02
2007-04-24
2007-08-14
2007-12-04
2008-03-25
2008-07-15
2008-11-04
2009-02-24
2009-06-16
2009-10-06
2010-01-26
2010-05-18
2010-09-07
2010-12-28
2011-04-19
2011-08-09
2011-11-29
2012-03-20
2012-07-10
2012-10-30 $-
$500,000.00
$1,000,000.00
$1,500,000.00
$2,000,000.00
$2,500,000.00
$3,000,000.00
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) vs Spot Gold
5/23/06 - 11/12/12
GDXSpot Gold
2009-11-11
2010-01-06
2010-03-03
2010-04-28
2010-06-23
2010-08-18
2010-10-13
2010-12-08
2011-02-02
2011-03-30
2011-05-25
2011-07-20
2011-09-14
2011-11-09
2012-01-04
2012-02-29
2012-04-25
2012-06-20
2012-08-15
2012-10-10 $750,000.00
$950,000.00
$1,150,000.00
$1,350,000.00
$1,550,000.00
$1,750,000.00
$1,950,000.00
Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) vs Spot Gold
11/11/09 - 11/12/12
GDXJSpot Gold
Gold and the Monetary Base
Is Gold a Currency?“We see gold as an officially recognized form of money for one primary reason: it is widely held by most of the world’s larger central banks as a component of reserves.” – Deutsche Bank
Gold & Fiat Currency
Demand for Gold Net central bank purchases in 2011 exceeded 455 tonnes, the largest increase since 1964. The World Gold Council (WGC) reported that central-bank purchases totaled 80.8 tonnes
in Q1 2012, about 7% of global demand. Over the past 12 months, net purchases have averaged almost 20% of total annual supply.
09/20/1
2
09/23/1
2
09/26/1
2
09/29/1
2
10/02/1
2
10/05/1
2
10/08/1
2
10/11/1
2
10/14/1
2
10/17/1
2
10/20/1
2
10/23/1
2
10/26/1
2
10/29/1
2
11/01/1
2
11/04/1
2
11/07/1
2
11/10/1
2
11/13/1
2 $90,000,000.00
$92,000,000.00
$94,000,000.00
$96,000,000.00
$98,000,000.00
$100,000,000.00
$102,000,000.00
$104,000,000.00
KKM Hedged Gold vs Spot GoldSept. 20 – Nov. 13
Buy & Hold Gold KKM Hedged Gold Strategy
Hedging GoldWhy?• Increase profitability by knowing where to sell• Decrease volatility, making forecasting future profits easier• Create yield on gold while its being held
Buy and Hold Gold
Gold Buy Write
Average Daily Return 0.06% 0.08%
Annualized Return 16.22% 21.10%
Standard Deviation 1.15% 0.79%
Annualized Standard Deviation 18.24% 12.57%
Standard Deviation of Negative Returns 0.87% 0.72%
Annualized Standard Deviation of Negative Returns
13.80% 11.50%
Max Daily Draw Down -5.47% -4.52%
Max Daily Draw Up 3.88% 2.71%
Peak-Trough Draw Down -19.03% -10.16%
Trough-Peak Draw Up 51.78% 54.69%
Total Sharpe Ratio* 0.06
0.11
Annualzied Sharpe Ratio* 0.89
1.68
*Riskless Rate = 0.0%
Total Sortino Ratio 0.07
0.12
Annualized Sortinio Ratio 1.18
1.83
09/10/1
0
10/14/1
0
11/17/1
0
12/21/1
0
01/24/1
1
02/27/1
1
04/02/1
1
05/06/1
1
06/09/1
1
07/13/1
1
08/16/1
1
09/19/1
1
10/23/1
1
11/26/1
1
12/30/1
1
02/02/1
2
03/07/1
2
04/10/1
2
05/14/1
2
06/17/1
2
07/21/1
2
08/24/1
2
09/27/1
2
10/31/1
2 $900,000.00
$1,000,000.00
$1,100,000.00
$1,200,000.00
$1,300,000.00
$1,400,000.00
$1,500,000.00
$1,600,000.00
KKM Hedged Gold vs B&H Hold Gold
Gold Buy-Write Strategy Buy and Hold Gold Stutland Gold Buy-Write Returns
Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual2010 3.55% 3.41% 7.08%2011 9.28% 4.28% 10.99% 0.21% 26.74%2012 8.44% -2.47% 7.27% 0.47% 13.99%
Questions?