The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2014 2020 · The Public Safety LTE & Mobile...

The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2014 – 2020

The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2014 – 2020 © 2014 SNS Research

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Table of Contents

List of Figures ......................................................................................................... 12

1 Chapter 1: Introduction ................................................................................... 15

1.1 Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................... 15

1.2 Key Findings ............................................................................................................................................... 18

1.3 Topics Covered ........................................................................................................................................... 19

1.4 Forecast Segmentation .............................................................................................................................. 20

1.5 Key Questions Answered ........................................................................................................................... 22

1.6 Methodology .............................................................................................................................................. 24

1.7 Target Audience ......................................................................................................................................... 25

1.8 Companies Mentioned ............................................................................................................................... 26

2 Chapter 2: An Overview of the Public Safety Mobile Broadband Market .......... 31

2.1 Narrowband Land Mobile Radio (LMR) Systems in Public Safety .............................................................. 31

2.1.1 LMR Market Size ................................................................................................................................ 32

2.1.2 The Perceived Role of Mobile Broadband in Public Safety Scenarios ............................................... 33

2.1.3 The Limitations of LMR Data Capabilities .......................................................................................... 33

2.2 Mobile Broadband for Public Safety .......................................................................................................... 34

2.2.1 Partnerships with Commercial Carriers ............................................................................................. 34

2.2.2 Private LTE and WiMAX Deployments ............................................................................................... 34

2.3 How big is the Mobile Broadband Market? ............................................................................................... 34

2.3.1 Will the Public Safety Segment Witness the Same Level of Growth as the Consumer Segment? .... 35

2.3.2 What are the Growth Drivers? .......................................................................................................... 35

2.3.3 LMR Systems will Continue to Support Mission-Critical Voice .......................................................... 37

2.4 Why use Commercial Mobile Broadband Technology for Public Safety .................................................... 38

2.5 Why LTE? .................................................................................................................................................... 38

2.5.1 Performance Metrics ......................................................................................................................... 38

2.5.2 Coexistence, Interoperability and Spectrum Flexibility ..................................................................... 39

2.5.3 A Thriving Ecosystem ......................................................................................................................... 39

2.5.4 OPEX Reduction ................................................................................................................................. 39

2.6 Public Safety LTE Technology & Architecture ............................................................................................ 41

2.6.1 E-UTRAN - LTE Radio Access Network ............................................................................................... 42

2.6.2 TDD vs. FDD ....................................................................................................................................... 43


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2.6.3 UE (User Equipment) ......................................................................................................................... 43

2.6.3.1 USB Data Cards ............................................................................................................................................. 43

2.6.3.2 Vehicular Modems ........................................................................................................................................ 44

2.6.3.3 Smartphones & Handheld LMR Terminals .................................................................................................... 44

2.6.3.4 Tablets & Laptops ......................................................................................................................................... 44

2.6.4 Public Safety LTE EPC (Evolved Packet Core) ..................................................................................... 45

2.6.4.1 SGW (Serving Gateway) ................................................................................................................................ 45

2.6.4.2 PGW (Packet Data Network Gateway) .......................................................................................................... 45

2.6.4.3 MME (Mobility Management Entity) ............................................................................................................ 46

2.6.4.4 HSS (Home Subscriber Server) ...................................................................................................................... 46

2.6.4.5 PCRF (Policy Charging and Rules Function) ................................................................................................... 46

2.6.5 LMR Network Integration and Inter-Working ................................................................................... 47

2.6.6 Support for Roaming in Public Safety LTE ......................................................................................... 48

2.6.7 Inter-System Roaming ....................................................................................................................... 48

2.6.8 Intra-System Roaming to Commercial Carriers ................................................................................. 48

2.6.9 The Evolution to LTE-Advanced and its Implications for Public Safety ............................................. 49

2.7 Public Safety LTE Deployment Models ....................................................................................................... 50

2.7.1 Private Public Satiety LTE Network Deployments ............................................................................. 50

2.7.2 Shared Commercial Public Safety LTE (Private-Public Partnerships) ................................................. 50

2.7.3 Public Safety LTE Access over Commercial Networks ....................................................................... 50

2.7.4 Hosted Core Public Safety LTE Networks .......................................................................................... 51

2.8 Funding Models for Private Public Safety LTE Network Deployment ........................................................ 51

2.8.1 Built, Owned and Operated by Integrator/Vendor ........................................................................... 51

2.8.2 Owned and Operated by the Government Authority ....................................................................... 51

2.8.3 Local Agency Hosted Core ................................................................................................................. 52

2.8.4 Multiple Networks ............................................................................................................................. 52

2.9 The Public Safety LTE Business Case .......................................................................................................... 53

2.9.1 Higher throughput and Low Latency ................................................................................................. 53

2.9.2 Economic Feasibility .......................................................................................................................... 53

2.9.3 Bandwidth Flexibility ......................................................................................................................... 53

2.9.4 Spectral Efficiency ............................................................................................................................. 53

2.9.5 Regional Interoperability ................................................................................................................... 54

2.9.6 Lack of Competition from Other Standards ...................................................................................... 54

2.9.7 Endorsement from the Public Safety Community ............................................................................. 55

2.9.8 Commitments by Infrastructure and Device vendors ....................................................................... 55


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2.9.9 Quality of Service (QoS) & Priority Provisioning ................................................................................ 56

2.9.10 Support for Group Voice & Multimedia Communication .................................................................. 56

2.10 Challenges to the Public Safety LTE Ecosystem .......................................................................................... 57

2.10.1 Spectrum Allocation .......................................................................................................................... 57

2.10.2 Interworking with LMR Networks & Standardization........................................................................ 58

2.10.3 Budgetary Issues ................................................................................................................................ 58

2.10.4 Security & Resilience ......................................................................................................................... 59

2.10.5 Support for Mission-Critical Voice and Direct Mode-Operation ....................................................... 59

2.10.6 Smaller Coverage Footprint to Comparison to LMR Systems............................................................ 60

2.10.7 Lack of Specifications for Battery Life in Public Safety Scenarios ...................................................... 60

2.10.8 User Profiles to Fit Public Safety Requirements ................................................................................ 61

3 Chapter 3: Public Safety LTE and Mobile Broadband Industry Roadmap ........... 62

3.1 Industry Roadmap ...................................................................................................................................... 62

3.2 2011 – 2013: The Disparate Networks Era ................................................................................................. 63

3.3 2014 – 2016: Mission Critical Data over Private LTE .................................................................................. 63

3.4 2017 – 2020: Emergence of Mission Critical Voice and Proximity Services ............................................... 64

3.5 Public Safety LTE Deployment & Trial Case Studies ................................................................................... 65

3.5.1 Zhengzhou Metro .............................................................................................................................. 65

3.5.2 Harris County ..................................................................................................................................... 66

3.5.3 Qatar MOI .......................................................................................................................................... 67

3.5.4 Oman Royal Office ............................................................................................................................. 67

3.5.5 Turkish National Police Force ............................................................................................................ 67

3.5.6 Hong Kong Police Force Trial ............................................................................................................. 68

3.5.7 China’s Ministry of Public Security .................................................................................................... 68

3.5.8 German Armed Forces....................................................................................................................... 68

4 Chapter 4: Public Safety LTE and Mobile Broadband Applications Ecosystem ... 69

4.1 Mobile Video .............................................................................................................................................. 69

4.2 Mobile Broadband and Seamless Mobile VPN Access ............................................................................... 70

4.3 GIS, AVLS and Mapping .............................................................................................................................. 70

4.4 CAD (Computer Aided Dispatching) ........................................................................................................... 71

4.5 Remote Database Access ........................................................................................................................... 71

4.6 Telemetry and Remote Diagnostics ........................................................................................................... 71

4.7 Bulk Multimedia/Data Transfers ................................................................................................................ 72


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4.8 Situational Awareness Applications ........................................................................................................... 72

4.9 PTT over LTE ............................................................................................................................................... 72

4.10 The Present State of the Market: What’s on offer ..................................................................................... 73

4.11 The Numbers: How big is the Public Safety LTE Applications Ecosystem? ................................................ 74

5 Chapter 5: Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Vendor Assessment ............ 75

5.1 7 layers AG..................................................................................................................................................... 75

5.2 Aculab ............................................................................................................................................................ 75

5.3 Adax ............................................................................................................................................................... 76

5.4 Aeroflex ......................................................................................................................................................... 76

5.5 Airbus Defence and Space (Formerly Cassidian) ........................................................................................... 77

5.6 Airspan Networks .......................................................................................................................................... 78

5.7 Alcatel-Lucent ................................................................................................................................................ 78

5.8 Amdocs (Bridgewater) ................................................................................................................................... 79

5.9 Anritsu ........................................................................................................................................................... 79

5.10 Aricent Group ............................................................................................................................................. 79

5.11 Artevea ....................................................................................................................................................... 80

5.12 Aviat Networks ........................................................................................................................................... 81

5.13 Avtec .......................................................................................................................................................... 82

5.14 Axell Wireless (Acquired by Cobham) ........................................................................................................ 82

5.15 Axis Communications ................................................................................................................................. 83

5.16 BFDX ........................................................................................................................................................... 83

5.17 Broadcom ................................................................................................................................................... 84

5.18 CalAmp ....................................................................................................................................................... 84

5.19 CCTI (Catalyst Communications Technologies Inc) .................................................................................... 85

5.20 Cisco ........................................................................................................................................................... 85

5.21 Cobham ...................................................................................................................................................... 86

5.22 CommScope ............................................................................................................................................... 86

5.23 Covia Labs ................................................................................................................................................... 87

5.24 DAMM Cellular Systems A/S ...................................................................................................................... 87

5.25 Eastcom ...................................................................................................................................................... 87

5.26 Ericsson ...................................................................................................................................................... 88

5.27 ETELM ......................................................................................................................................................... 88

5.28 Etherstack................................................................................................................................................... 89

5.29 EXACOM ..................................................................................................................................................... 90


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5.30 Exalt Communications ................................................................................................................................ 90

5.31 Exelis and C4i .............................................................................................................................................. 90

5.32 FREQUENTIS AG ......................................................................................................................................... 91

5.33 General Dynamics C4 Systems ................................................................................................................... 92

5.34 The Genesis Group ..................................................................................................................................... 93

5.35 Harris .......................................................................................................................................................... 93

5.36 Hitachi ........................................................................................................................................................ 94

5.37 Honeywell .................................................................................................................................................. 95

5.38 HQT Radio .................................................................................................................................................. 95

5.39 Huawei ....................................................................................................................................................... 95

5.40 Hytera ......................................................................................................................................................... 97

5.41 iCOM .......................................................................................................................................................... 97

5.42 Imtradex ..................................................................................................................................................... 98

5.43 Intel ............................................................................................................................................................ 98

5.44 InterSec ...................................................................................................................................................... 99

5.45 Intrado ........................................................................................................................................................ 99

5.46 Japan Radio Company .............................................................................................................................. 100

5.47 JDI (JING DENG INDUSTRIAL) ................................................................................................................... 100

5.48 JVC Kenwood ............................................................................................................................................ 100

5.49 Kapsch CarrierCom ................................................................................................................................... 101

5.50 Kirisun ...................................................................................................................................................... 102

5.51 Kodiak Networks ...................................................................................................................................... 102

5.52 L-3 Communications................................................................................................................................. 103

5.53 Lemko ....................................................................................................................................................... 103

5.54 LiveViewGPS ............................................................................................................................................. 104

5.55 Mentura Group ........................................................................................................................................ 105

5.56 MODUCOM .............................................................................................................................................. 105

5.57 Motorola Solutions................................................................................................................................... 106

5.58 Mutualink ................................................................................................................................................. 108

5.59 NEC ........................................................................................................................................................... 108

5.60 NetMotion Wireless ................................................................................................................................. 109

5.61 NextNav .................................................................................................................................................... 109

5.62 NSN (Nokia Solutions & Networks) .......................................................................................................... 110

5.63 Northrop Grumman ................................................................................................................................. 111

5.64 nTerop ...................................................................................................................................................... 111


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5.65 Oceus Networks ....................................................................................................................................... 112

5.66 Panasonic ................................................................................................................................................. 113

5.67 Panorama Antennas ................................................................................................................................. 113

5.68 Phonak ..................................................................................................................................................... 114

5.69 Piciorgros (Funk-Electronic Piciorgros GmbH) ......................................................................................... 114

5.70 Polaris ....................................................................................................................................................... 114

5.71 Portalify Ltd (Acquired by Sepura) ........................................................................................................... 115

5.72 POTEVIO International ............................................................................................................................. 115

5.73 PowerTrunk (Teltronic Subsidiary) ........................................................................................................... 116

5.74 Puxing Radio ............................................................................................................................................. 116

5.75 Qualcomm ................................................................................................................................................ 116

5.76 RACOM ..................................................................................................................................................... 117

5.77 Radisys...................................................................................................................................................... 117

5.78 Radio IP .................................................................................................................................................... 118

5.79 Raytheon .................................................................................................................................................. 119

5.80 Reality Mobile (ASTRO Solutions) ............................................................................................................ 120

5.81 RELM Wireless .......................................................................................................................................... 121

5.82 Rivada Networks ...................................................................................................................................... 121

5.83 Rohill ........................................................................................................................................................ 122

5.84 SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation) ............................................................................ 123

5.85 Samsung ................................................................................................................................................... 123

5.86 Savox Communications ............................................................................................................................ 124

5.87 Selex ES .................................................................................................................................................... 124

5.88 Sepura ...................................................................................................................................................... 125

5.89 Signalion ................................................................................................................................................... 126

5.90 Simoco ...................................................................................................................................................... 126

5.91 SiRRAN ...................................................................................................................................................... 126

5.92 SmithMicro ............................................................................................................................................... 127

5.93 Sonic Communications ............................................................................................................................. 127

5.94 Space Data................................................................................................................................................ 128

5.95 Star Solutions ........................................................................................................................................... 128

5.96 Stop Noise ................................................................................................................................................ 129

5.97 Tait ........................................................................................................................................................... 129

5.98 Tecore Networks ...................................................................................................................................... 130

5.99 TCS (TeleCommunication Systems) .......................................................................................................... 130


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5.100 Televate ............................................................................................................................................... 131

5.101 TELEX (Bosch Security Systems) ........................................................................................................... 131

5.102 Teltronic ............................................................................................................................................... 132

5.103 Telum ................................................................................................................................................... 133

5.104 TETRAtab .............................................................................................................................................. 133

5.105 Thales ................................................................................................................................................... 134

5.106 TITAN Communication Systems ........................................................................................................... 135

5.107 Toshiba ................................................................................................................................................. 135

5.108 Twisted Pair Solutions (Acquired by Motorola Solutions) ................................................................... 136

5.109 UNIMO Technology .............................................................................................................................. 137

5.110 Utility ................................................................................................................................................... 137

5.111 Vidyo .................................................................................................................................................... 138

5.112 Zetron (Part of JVC Kenwood) .............................................................................................................. 138

5.113 ZTE ....................................................................................................................................................... 139

6 Chapter 6: Public Safety LTE Spectrum Allocation Strategies Worldwide ........ 140

6.1 North America .......................................................................................................................................... 140

6.2 Latin & Central America ........................................................................................................................... 141

6.3 Europe ...................................................................................................................................................... 141

6.4 Middle East & Africa ................................................................................................................................. 142

6.5 Asia Pacific ................................................................................................................................................ 143

6.6 The Prospects of Spectrum Harmonization ............................................................................................. 144

7 Chapter 7: Market Analysis and Forecasts ...................................................... 145

7.1 The Global Public Safety Mobile Broadband Market ............................................................................... 145

7.1.1 First Responder Data Subscriptions over Public (Commercial) Cellular Networks .......................... 145

7.1.2 First Responder Data Subscriptions Over LMR Networks ............................................................... 146

7.1.3 First Responder Data Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband ............................................. 147

7.1.3.1 The Unreliability of Commercial Cellular Mobile Broadband Networks ..................................................... 147

7.1.3.2 Private Public Safety LTE and WiMAX Subscriptions Compared ................................................................. 147

7.1.4 Private Public Safety LTE Networks ................................................................................................. 149

7.1.4.1 Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks .............................................................................. 149

7.1.4.2 Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks ....................................................................... 151

7.1.4.3 Private Public Safety LTE Network Service Revenue ................................................................................... 153

7.1.5 Public Safety LTE over Public (Commercial) LTE Networks ............................................................. 154

7.1.5.1 Public Safety Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks ...................................................................... 154


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7.1.5.2 Public Safety Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks ............................................................... 156

7.1.5.3 Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks ................................................................. 158

7.1.6 Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Compared ...................................................................... 159

7.1.6.1 Private and Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions Compared .......................................................... 159

7.1.6.2 Private and Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments Compared ................................................... 160

7.1.6.3 Private and Commercial Public Safety LTE Service Revenues Compared .................................................... 161

7.1.7 Public Safety LTE Device Shipments by Form Factor ....................................................................... 162

7.1.8 Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments .................................................................................. 163

7.1.8.1 Commercial and Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments Compared ................................................. 163

7.1.8.2 Regional Assessment of Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments ....................................................... 165

7.1.9 Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Installed Base ............................................................................. 166

7.2 Regional Market Assessment ................................................................................................................... 167

7.2.1 Asia Pacific ....................................................................................................................................... 167

7.2.1.1 Private Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues ........................................ 167

7.2.1.2 Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions, Device Shipments & Service Revenues ................................ 169

7.2.1.3 Private Public Safety LTE eNodeB Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base ................................................... 171

7.2.2 North America ................................................................................................................................. 173




7.2.3 Latin & Central America .................................................................................................................. 179




7.2.4 Middle East & Africa ........................................................................................................................ 185




7.2.5 Eastern Europe ................................................................................................................................ 191




7.2.6 Western Europe .............................................................................................................................. 197





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8 Chapter 8: Standardization & Regulatory Initiatives ....................................... 203

8.1 NPSTC (National Public Safety Telecommunications Council) ................................................................. 203

8.2 NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology) ........................................................................... 203

8.3 NTIA (National Telecommunications and Information Administration) .................................................. 204

8.4 PSCR (Public Safety Communications Research) ...................................................................................... 204

8.5 APCO (Association of Public-Safety Communications Officials-International) ......................................... 205

8.6 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project) .......................................................................................... 205

8.7 TCCA (TETRA and Critical Communications Association) ......................................................................... 205

8.8 ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute) ...................................................................... 206

8.9 UIC (International Union of Railways) ...................................................................................................... 206

8.10 ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions) .................................................................... 207

8.11 TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association) ...................................................................................... 207

8.12 Features for Public Safety LTE Standardization ........................................................................................ 208

8.12.1 Group Communications................................................................................................................... 208

8.12.2 Proximity based Services (3GPP ProSe) ........................................................................................... 208

8.12.3 Resilience ......................................................................................................................................... 210

8.12.4 PTT Voice Application Standardization............................................................................................ 210

8.12.5 Higher Power Terminals (UEs) for Public Safety Requirements ...................................................... 211

9 Chapter 9: Conclusion and Strategic Recommendations ................................. 212

9.1 How Big is the Private Public Safety LTE/EPC Mobile Core Market? ....................................................... 212

9.2 Backhaul Investments to Support Public Safety LTE ................................................................................ 213

9.3 Military & Tactical Deployments .............................................................................................................. 214

9.4 Prospects of FirstNet ................................................................................................................................ 214

9.4.1 Funding Prospects ........................................................................................................................... 214

9.4.2 Is Funding the Key Constraint? ........................................................................................................ 215

9.4.3 Technical Constraints ...................................................................................................................... 215

9.4.4 Moving Towards the Applications Ecosystem ................................................................................. 216

9.4.5 Halt of Early LTE Deployments: Good or Bad? ................................................................................ 216

9.5 Spectrum: Will 700 MHz Gear Dominate the Market Worldwide? ......................................................... 217

9.5.1 Prospects of 400 MHz LTE ............................................................................................................... 217

9.5.2 TD-LTE and Opportunities for Higher Bands in Public Safety .......................................................... 218

9.6 Proposals for Wholly Commercial Public Safety LTE Networks ............................................................... 219

9.6.1 Case Study: UK Home Office............................................................................................................ 219

9.7 The Public Safety LTE MVNO Opportunity ............................................................................................... 220


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9.8 Revenue Prospects for Commercial Carriers ............................................................................................ 220

9.9 TCO Analysis: Private LTE vs. Public-Private Partnerships........................................................................ 221

9.10 Mission Critical PTT over LTE .................................................................................................................... 222

9.10.1 Off-Network PTT/LTE-Direct: A Long Road Ahead .......................................................................... 222

9.11 Standardization & Interoperability: The Key to a Successful Ecosystem ................................................. 223

9.12 Vendor Alliances: Are there more to come? ............................................................................................ 223

9.13 What Cell Types will Public Safety LTE Networks Encompass? ................................................................ 224

9.13.1 Macrocells ....................................................................................................................................... 226

9.13.2 Small Cells ........................................................................................................................................ 227

9.13.3 Macrocell Relay Nodes .................................................................................................................... 228

9.13.4 Tactical Cells on Wheels (COWs) ..................................................................................................... 229

9.13.5 Tactical Cells in a Box (CIABs) .......................................................................................................... 230

9.13.6 Airborne Cells .................................................................................................................................. 231

9.14 Strategic Recommendations .................................................................................................................... 232

9.14.1 Recommendations for LMR Vendors/Integrators ........................................................................... 232

9.14.2 Recommendations for LTE Infrastructure Vendors ......................................................................... 232

9.14.3 Recommendations for Public Safety Agencies ................................................................................ 233

9.14.4 Recommendations for Commercial Wireless Carriers..................................................................... 234

10 Chapter 10: Expert Opinion – Interview Transcripts ....................................... 235

10.1 Airbus Defence and Space (Formerly Cassidian) ...................................................................................... 235

10.2 General Dynamics C4 Systems ................................................................................................................. 240

10.3 Motorola Solutions................................................................................................................................... 244

10.4 Mentura Group ........................................................................................................................................ 250

10.5 InterSec .................................................................................................................................................... 253

10.6 Aculab....................................................................................................................................................... 256

10.7 Anritsu ...................................................................................................................................................... 259


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List of Figures

Figure 1: Global Land Mobile Radio (LMR) Subscriptions by Technology: 2011 – 2020 (Millions) .......................................................................................................... 32

Figure 2: Global Mobile Broadband Subscriptions by Technology: 2011 – 2020 (Millions)..................................................................................................................... 35

Figure 3: Purpose of Using Mobile Broadband for Public Safety Applications (Survey Results - 2011 & 2013) ....................................................................................... 36

Figure 4: Global LTE Subscriptions: 2011 – 2020 (Millions) .................................................................................................................................................................... 40

Figure 5: Public Safety LTE Network Architecture .................................................................................................................................................................................. 41

Figure 6: Global Voice over LTE (VoLTE) Subscriptions: 2011 – 2020 (Millions) ...................................................................................................................................... 47

Figure 7: Public Safety LTE Industry Roadmap ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 62

Figure 8: Global Mobile Video Surveillance Market: 2011 – 2020 ($ Million) ......................................................................................................................................... 69

Figure 9: PTT over LTE Application ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 73

Figure 10: The Public Safety LTE/Broadband Applications Market: 2011 – 2020 ($ Million) .................................................................................................................. 74

Figure 11: Global First Responder Data Subscriptions over Public Cellular Networks by Technology (Millions) 2011 - 2020 ............................................................... 146

Figure 12: Global First Responder Data Subscriptions over LMR Networks by Technology (Thousands) 2011 - 2020 .......................................................................... 146

Figure 13: Global First Responder Data Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband Networks by Technology (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 ....................................... 147

Figure 14: Global First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 .......................................................................... 149

Figure 15: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks by Region (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 .................................................................... 150

Figure 16: Global First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 .......................................................... 151

Figure 17: Global First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ................................................ 151

Figure 18: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks by Region (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 ..................................................... 152

Figure 19: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ........................................... 152

Figure 20: Global Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 .................................................................................................. 153

Figure 21: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................................ 153

Figure 22: Global First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 ....................................................................................... 154

Figure 23: Global First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks by Region (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 ....................................................................... 155

Figure 24: Global First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 ........................................................................ 156

Figure 25: Global First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 .............................................................. 156

Figure 26: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks by Region (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 .................................................................. 157

Figure 27: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ........................................................ 157

Figure 28: Global Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 .......................................................................................... 158

Figure 29: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020..................................................................................... 158

Figure 30: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions Compared (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................................ 159

Figure 31: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments Compared (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 ..................................................................................... 160

Figure 32: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments Revenues Compared ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ........................................................................ 160

Figure 33: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Service Revenues Compared ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ......................................................................................... 161

Figure 34: Public Safety LTE Device Shipments by Category (Thousands): 2011 - 2020 ........................................................................................................................ 162

Figure 35: Global Private (Public Safety) and Commercial LTE eNodeB Shipments Compared: 2011 - 2020 ........................................................................................ 163

Figure 36: Global Private (Public Safety) and Commercial LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenues Compared ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ......................................................... 164

Figure 37: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments by Region: 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................................................................... 165

Figure 38: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue by Region ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ................................................................................................. 165

Figure 39: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base by Region: 2011 - 2020 .......................................................................................................................... 166

Figure 40: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Asia Pacific (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 .............................................................. 167

Figure 41: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Asia Pacific (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 .............................................. 167

Figure 42: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 .............................. 168

Figure 43: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ...................................................................................... 168

Figure 44: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Asia Pacific (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ........................................................................... 169

Figure 45: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Asia Pacific (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ............................................................ 169

Figure 46: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 .................................................. 170

Figure 47: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................... 170

Figure 48: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Asia Pacific: 2011 – 2020 ........................................................................................................................ 171

Figure 49: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Asia Pacific ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 .......................................................................................... 171

Figure 50: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Asia Pacific: 2011 - 2020 .................................................................................................................... 172


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Figure 51: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in North America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ........................................................ 173

Figure 52: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in North America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ......................................... 173

Figure 53: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in North America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ......................... 174

Figure 54: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in North America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ................................................................................ 174

Figure 55: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in North America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ..................................................................... 175

Figure 56: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in North America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ...................................................... 175

Figure 57: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in North America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ............................................ 176

Figure 58: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in North America ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ......................................................................... 176

Figure 59: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in North America: 2011 – 2020 ................................................................................................................... 177

Figure 60: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in North America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020..................................................................................... 177

Figure 61: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in North America: 2011 - 2020 .............................................................................................................. 178

Figure 62: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Latin & Central America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 .......................................... 179

Figure 63: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Latin & Central America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 .......................... 179

Figure 64: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 .......... 180

Figure 65: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 .................................................................. 180

Figure 66: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Latin & Central America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ....................................................... 181

Figure 67: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Latin & Central America (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ........................................ 181

Figure 68: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 .............................. 182

Figure 69: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ........................................................... 182

Figure 70: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Latin & Central America: 2011 – 2020 .................................................................................................... 183

Figure 71: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Latin & Central America ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ...................................................................... 183

Figure 72: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Latin & Central America: 2011 - 2020 ................................................................................................ 184

Figure 73: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ............................................... 185

Figure 74: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ................................ 185

Figure 75: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ................ 186

Figure 76: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ....................................................................... 186

Figure 77: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ............................................................ 187

Figure 78: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ............................................. 187

Figure 79: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ................................... 188

Figure 80: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ................................................................ 188

Figure 81: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Middle East & Africa: 2011 – 2020 .......................................................................................................... 189

Figure 82: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Middle East & Africa ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ........................................................................... 189

Figure 83: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Middle East & Africa: 2011 - 2020 ..................................................................................................... 190

Figure 84: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Eastern Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ....................................................... 191

Figure 85: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Eastern Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ........................................ 191

Figure 86: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Eastern Europe ($ Mill ion): 2011 – 2020 ........................ 192

Figure 87: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Eastern Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ............................................................................... 192

Figure 88: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Eastern Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020..................................................................... 193

Figure 89: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Eastern Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ..................................................... 193

Figure 90: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Eastern Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ........................................... 194

Figure 91: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Eastern Europe ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ........................................................................ 194

Figure 92: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Eastern Europe: 2011 – 2020 .................................................................................................................. 195

Figure 93: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Eastern Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 .................................................................................... 195

Figure 94: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Eastern Europe: 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................................................. 196

Figure 95: First Responder Subscriptions over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Western Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020...................................................... 197

Figure 96: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Western Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ...................................... 197

Figure 97: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Public Safety LTE Networks in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ...................... 198

Figure 98: Service Revenue over Private Public Safety LTE Networks in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020.............................................................................. 198

Figure 99: First Responder Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks in Western Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 ................................................................... 199

Figure 100: First Responder Data Device Shipments over Commercial LTE Networks in Western Europe (Thousands): 2011 – 2020 .................................................. 199

Figure 101: First Responder Data Device Shipment Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ........................................ 200

Figure 102: Public Safety Service Revenue over Commercial LTE Networks in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 - 2020..................................................................... 200

Figure 103: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments in Western Europe: 2011 – 2020 .............................................................................................................. 201

Figure 104: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipment Revenue in Western Europe ($ Million): 2011 – 2020 ................................................................................ 201


..

Figure 105: Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base in Western Europe: 2011 - 2020 .......................................................................................................... 202

Figure 106: LTE Proximity Service (ProSe) Examples ............................................................................................................................................................................ 209

Figure 107: Global Private (Public Safety) and Commercial LTE EPC/Mobile Core Revenues Compared ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ........................................................ 212

Figure 108: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Backhaul Investments ($ Million): 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................................................. 213

Figure 109: TCO Comparison for Private LTE vs. Public-Private Partnership ......................................................................................................................................... 221

Figure 110: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Shipments by Cell Type: 2011 - 2020 .............................................................................................................. 224

Figure 111: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base by Cell Type: 2011 - 2020 ......................................................................................................... 225

Figure 112: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Macrocell eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................................................. 226

Figure 113: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Small Cell eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................................................. 227

Figure 114: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Macrocell Relay eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020 ................................................................................................... 228

Figure 115: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................................................................ 229

Figure 116: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Cell in a Box (CIAB) eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020 ............................................................................................... 230

Figure 117: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Airborne eNodeB Installed Base: 2011 - 2020 .............................................................................................................. 231


..

1 Chapter 1: Introduction

1.1 Executive Summary

For more than 60 years first responders have relied on narrowband Land Mobile

Radio (LMR) systems for mission critical voice communications. While many of

these dedicated LMR systems generally support basic data applications such as

short data messaging, first responders are often compelled to rely on commercial

(cellular) mobile broadband networks to support data intensive applications such

as bulk multimedia transfers in emergency situations.

However, commercial networks do not meet the availability and resilience

requirements for public safety operations, where a single glitch in

communications can result in a loss of human lives. Thus public safety agencies

worldwide are echoing demands for the deployment of cost effective mobile

broadband networks dedicated for public safety usage.

While a number of public safety agencies deployed a combination of private

WiMAX and proprietary technology based mobile broadband networks between

2009 and 2011 to support data intensive applications such as video surveillance, it

soon became apparent that a solution that is interoperable nationwide and across

borders will be necessary enable cooperation among different public safety

entities, and to achieve economies of scale.

Considering its thriving ecosystem, spectrum flexibility and performance metrics,

public safety organizations worldwide recognize LTE as the de-facto standard for

mobile broadband.


..

With spectrum already allocated, public safety agencies in the Middle East, Asia

Pacific and the U.S have already begun to operate private LTE networks. Driven by

public safety demands, LTE products can now also operate in spectrum bands

previously unthinkable, such as the 400 MHz band, which is widely available to

public safety agencies worldwide. Moreover, demands for tactical and rapidly

deployable broadband solutions have also led vendors to develop private LTE base

station products in a variety of innovative form factors such as Cell in a Box (CIAB)

or airborne cells.

SNS Research estimates the global spending on private LTE infrastructure

including base stations (eNodeBs), mobile core (EPC) and backhaul will account for

$2 Billion annually by the end of 2020. By the same time, the installed base of

private public safety LTE base stations (eNode Bs) will reach nearly 155,000

globally, following a CAGR of nearly 60% between 2014 and 2020, and will serve

nearly 4 Million private public safety LTE subscribers worldwide.

However it is important to note that the transition to LTE is one of the will be one

of the most complex technical changes the public safety communications industry

will ever witness and will present challenges in its own right, particularly in the

context of global standardization. Furthermore spectrum, regulatory and

budgetary issues in certain regions such as Europe will delay large scale private

deployments.

Nonetheless, service prioritization partnerships with commercial LTE network

carriers will create an ecosystem for operating public safety devices over

commercial LTE networks during this transition period. We estimate that public

safety LTE device shipments over commercial networks will account for nearly $7

Billion in annual revenue by the end of 2020.


..

This report presents an in-depth assessment of the global public safety LTE

market, besides considering the wider LMR and mobile broadband industries. In

addition to covering the business case, challenges, spectrum allocation strategies,

industry roadmap, deployment case studies, vendor products, strategies,

standardization activities and application ecosystem for public safety LTE, the

report also presents comprehensive forecasts for mobile broadband, LMR and

public safety LTE subscriptions from 2011 till 2020. Also covered are public safety

LTE service revenues as well as device and infrastructure (eNodeB base stations,

EPC mobile core, backhaul) shipment and associated revenue forecasts.

The report comes with an associated XLS datasheet covering quantitative data

from all figures presented within the report, as well as a list and associated details

of 46 global private public safety LTE network deployments (as of Q1’2014).


..

1.2 Key Findings

The report has the following key findings:

Global spending on private LTE infrastructure including base stations

(eNodeBs), mobile core (EPC) and backhaul will account for $2 Billion

annually by the end of 2020

By the same time, the installed base of private public safety LTE base

stations (eNode Bs) will reach nearly 155,000, following a CAGR of nearly

60% between 2014 and 2020, and will serve nearly 4 Million private public

safety LTE subscribers worldwide

As much as 15% of all public safety LTE investments will be on military

centric tactical deployments by 2020

Commercial carriers and public safety MVNOs will pocket nearly $7 Billion

in public safety LTE service revenues by the end of 2020, following growth

at a CAGR of 40% between 2014 and 2020

A large nationwide deployment such as FirstNet in the U.S. can save up to

40% in TCO (Total Cost of Ownership) over 10-years by opting for a public-

private partnership rather than a private only investment

Almost all major LMR industry players are leveraging partnerships with

established LTE infrastructure vendors such as Ericsson, Alcatel-Lucent

and NSN, to offer end-to-end LTE solutions


..

1.3 Topics Covered

The report covers the following topics:

Business case for public safety LTE and mobile broadband services

Key benefits of public safety LTE and mobile broadband

Challenges to public safety LTE adoption

Public safety agency, network operator and vendor commitments to

public safety LTE

List of private public safety LTE deployments worldwide

Public safety LTE deployment case studies

The industry roadmap for the public safety mobile broadband in general

and the LTE market in particular

Public safety LTE deployment and funding models

Spectrum allocation for public safety LTE

Public safety LTE applications ecosystem

Public safety LTE vendor assessment and strategies

Profiles of over 100 players in the public safety LTE ecosystem

Public safety LTE standardization

Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) analysis of private and commercial public

safety LTE deployments

Military and tactical LTE deployments

Public safety LTE base station form factor analysis

Exclusive interview transcripts from 7 industry players including Airbus,

Motorola Solutions and General Dynamics

Strategic recommendations for vendors, system integrators, public safety

agencies and wireless carriers

Market analysis and forecasts from 2011 till 2020


..

1.4 Forecast Segmentation

Market forecasts and historical figures are provided for each of the following

submarkets:

Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNodeB) Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base Network Categories

- Private LTE - Commercial LTE

Factor Categories

- Macrocell - Small Cell - Relay Node - Tactical Cell on Wheel (COW) - Tactical Cell in a Box (CIAB) - Airborne Cell

Public Safety LTE Device Shipments & Revenue Network Categories

- Private LTE - Commercial LTE

Form Factor Categories

- Handportable LMR Terminal - Mobile (In-Vehicle) LMR Terminal - Notebook PC - USB Dongle - Smartphone - PDA

Public Safety LTE Subscriptions & Service Revenue Private LTE Commercial LTE

Public Safety User Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband Private LTE Private WiMAX


..

Additional Forecasts for Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Public Safety LTE Mobile Core (EPC) Investments Public Safety LTE Backhaul Investments

Public Safety User Subscriptions over Commercial Mobile Broadband LTE WiMAX W-CDMA HSPA CDMA2000 EV-DO

LMR Subscriptions P25 TETRA Tetrapol dPMR NXND PDT Analog Radio

LMR Data Subscriptions TETRA TETRA TEDS P25 Phase 1 P25 Phase 2 Tetropol

Regional Segmentation The following regional markets are also covered: Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Latin & Central America Middle East & Africa North America Western Europe


..

1.5 Key Questions Answered

The report provides answers to the following key questions:

Which countries will be the first to deploy and adopt LTE for public safety

applications?

How many private public safety LTE base stations (eNodeBs) will ship in

2020, and how will these compare to the wider commercial LTE market?

How much will be invested on mobile core (EPC) and backhaul

infrastructure to support private public safety LTE deployments?

How will the VoLTE ecosystem evolve and how will this impact PTT and

voice services for public safety LTE?

When will standardized mission-critical voice communications and

proximity services see large scale proliferation in the public safety LTE

market?

How much revenue will the public safety LTE application ecosystem

generate in 2020?

How will public safety LTE device shipments vary by form factor (handheld

LMR terminals, mobile in-vehicle LMR modems, notebook PCs, USB

dongles, smartphones, PDAs) overtime?

Is the 400 MHZ spectrum realistically feasible to support public safety LTE

applications?

What are the prospects of tactical, rapidly deployable and airborne LTE

solutions?

Does Huawei stand a chance in the public safety LTE market outside of

Asia?


..

Which vendors and system integrators are the most successful in the

public safety LTE market?

How many first responders rely on private and commercial mobile

broadband networks for their daily tasks?

How will private and commercial public safety LTE subscriptions compare

in 2020?

How will public safety LTE subscriptions compare to other mobile

broadband technologies such as WiMAX and HSPA in 2020?

What opportunities exist for commercial wireless carriers and MVNOs in

the public safety LTE market?


..

1.6 Methodology

The contents of this report have been accumulated by combining information

attained from a range of primary and secondary research sources. In addition to

analyzing official corporate announcements, policy documents, media reports,

and industry statements, SNS Research sought opinions from leading industry

players within the public safety LTE and mobile broadband market to derive an

unbiased, accurate and objective mix of market trends, forecasts and the future

prospects of the public safety LTE and mobile broadband industry between 2011

and 2020.


..

1.7 Target Audience

The report targets the following audience.

Government/military/public safety agencies

Public safety communications vendors and integrators

Mobile network/wireless carriers and MVNOs

Mobile network Infrastructure, handset and sub-component vendors

Application developers

Investment firms


..

1.8 Companies Mentioned

The following companies have been reviewed, discussed or mentioned in the

report:

3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)

ETELM Moscow Police Selex ES

7 layers AG Etherstack Motorola Mobility (Part of Lenovo)

Sepura

Abu Dhabi Police ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)

Motorola Solutions SETAR

ACMA (Australian Communications and Media Authority)

Eventide Mutualink Shanghai Police

Aculab EXACOM National Rail (UK) Siemens

Adax Exalt Communications NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization)

Signalion

ADCOM911 (Adams County Communication Center)

Exelis NEC Simoco

Aeroflex Facebook Net4Mobility SiRRAN

Airbus Defence and Space (Formerly Cassidian)

FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency)

NetMotion Wireless SK Telecom

Airbus Group FCC (Federal Communications Commission)

Nevada Department of Transportation

SmithMicro

Airspan Networks FirstNet (First Responder Network Authority)

New York Police Department

Sonic Communications

Airwave French Armed Forces New Zealand Police Sony

Alcatel-Lucent FREQUENTIS AG NextNav Space Data

Amdocs General Dynamics NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology)

Star Solutions

Anritsu General Dynamics C4 Systems

Nokia State of Louisiana

APCO (Association of Public-Safety Communications Officials-International)

German Armed Forces Nokia Solutions & Networks (NSN)

State of Mississippi

Apple Germany Army Northrop Grumman State of New Jersey

ARASKOM Google NPSTC (National Public Safety Telecommunications Council)

State of New Mexico

Aricent Group Harris nTerop State of Oklahoma


..

Artevea Harris County NTIA (National Telecommunications and Information Administration)

Stop Noise

ASTRID HigherGround NVA (Networked Vehicle Association)

SyTech Corporation

ASTRO Solutions Hitachi NYCWiN (New York City Wireless Network)

Tait

AT&T Mobility Honeywell Oceus Networks TCCA (TETRA and Critical Communications Association)

ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions)

Hong Kong Police Force

OMA (Open Mobile Alliance)

TCS (TeleCommunication Systems)

Atlas Telecom HQT Radio Oman Royal Office TD Industry

Alliance（TDIA) Aviat Networks HTC Ontario Ministry of

Transportation Techosonic Industries

Avtec Huawei ONTHEGODEVICES LLC

Tecore Networks

Axell Wireless Hughes OpenSignal Telenet

Axis Communications Hytera Panasonic Televate, LLC

BAE Systems iCOM Panorama Antennas TELEX

BASE (Belgium) ICOM America Phonak Teltronic

BayWEB (Bay Area Wireless Enhanced Broadband system)

Imtradex Piciorgros (Funk-Electronic Piciorgros GmbH)

Telum

BFDX Intel Pikewerks Corporation

TETRAtab

BlackBerry InterDigital Polaris Texas Instruments

Bosch Security Systems

InterSec Police Federation of Australia

Thales

Brazilian Army Intrado Portalify The Genesis Group

Bridgewater IPWireless POTEVIO International TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)

Broadcom ITT Corporation PowerTrunk TITAN Communication Systems

C4i ITU (International Telecommunications Union)

Proximus T-Mobile

CalAmp Japan Radio Company PSCR (Public Safety Communications Research)

Toshiba

Canadian Advanced Technology Alliance

JDI (JING DENG INDUSTRIAL)

Putian Trident Microsystems

Catalyst Communications

Jordanian Armed Forces

Puxing Radio Turkish National Police Force


..

CCTI (Catalyst Communications Technologies Inc)

JVC Kenwood Pyramid Communications

Twisted Pair Solutions

China Mobile Kapsch CarrierCom Qatar Armed Forces U.K. Home Office

Cimarron Technologies

Kelrad Software Qatar MOI (Ministry of Interior)

U.S. Army

Cisco Kenwood Qualcomm U.S. Cellular

CITIG (Canadian Interoperability Technology Interest Group)

Kirisun RACOM U.S. Coast Guard

City of Charlotte Kodiak Networks Radio IP U.S. Department of Commerce

City of Fort Worth KPN Radisys U.S. Department of Defense

City of Irving L-3 Communications RAVEN Electronics Corporation

U.S. Department of Homeland Security

City of New Orleans LA-RICS (Los Angeles Regional Interoperable Communications System)

Raytheon U.S. Navy

City of Pembroke Pine Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department

Reality Mobile U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM)

Cobham Lemko RELM Wireless UIC (International Union of Railways)

CommScope Lenovo Réseau Ferré de France (RFF)

UNIMO Technology

Covia Labs LG Electronics Rivada Networks University of Ottawa

DAMM Cellular Systems A/S

LG Uplus Rohde & Schwarz USPTO (U.S. Patent and Trademark Office)

Daniels Electronics Ltd LiveViewGPS Rohill Utility

DAPage Notifications Lockheed Martin Royal Canadian Mounted Police

Verizon Wireless

DataNet Software Mentura Group SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation)

Vidyo

Dubai Police MetroPCS Samsung Vodafone

Dutch Police Miami Dade Police Department

SANG (Saudi Arabian National Guard)

Voice Print International

EADS Miami-Dade County Sao Paulo Military Police

West Australian Police

Eastcom Ministry of Communications, Libya

Sapura Secured Technologies

Zetron

EENA (European Emergency Number Association)

Ministry of Public Security (MPS), China

SaskTel Zhengzhou Metro


..

EF Johnson Mobistar Saudi MOI (Ministry of Interior)

ZTE

Ericsson MODUCOM Savox Communications


..

Copyright SNS Research Ltd, 2014. All rights reserved.

This material is subject to the laws of copyright and is restricted to registered

license-holders who have entered into a Corporate, a Multi-User or a Single-User

license agreement with SNS Research Ltd. It is an offence for the license-holder to

make the material available to any unauthorized person, either via e-mail

messaging or by placing it on a network.

All SNS Research reports & databases are intended to provide general

information and strategic insights only, and they do not constitute, nor are they

intended to constitute, investment advice. SNS Research and its employees

disclaim all and any guarantees, undertakings and warranties, whether express

or implied, and shall not be liable for any loss or damage whatsoever, and

whether foreseeable or not, arising out of, or in connection with, any use of or

reliance on any information, statements, opinions, estimates or forecasts

contained in the reports.


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Page 62

3 Chapter 3: Public Safety LTE and Mobile

Broadband Industry Roadmap

In this chapter we review the industry roadmap and recent developments for the

public safety LTE and mobile broadband market, including an assessment of

current infrastructure investments and future commitments to public safety LTE.

3.1 Industry Roadmap

We expect the public safety LTE and the wider mobile broadband ecosystem to

evolve considerably between 2014 and 2020.

Figure 7: Public Safety LTE Industry Roadmap

Source: SNS Research

Deployment

Timelines

Private LTE

Trials

Early Private

LTE Deployments

Major Private LTE Network Launches

2011 - 2013 2014 - 2016 2017 - 2020

LMR for voice and non-broadband data applications Commercial cellular networks (and LTE) for broadband Non-mission critical PTT over LTE (Vendor proprietary) LMR/LTE voice interoperability trials

Feature

Implementation

Timelines

Disparate

Networks

Development work on proximity services and resilience for public safety LTE Mission critical PTT over LTE standardization and early trials Roaming and asset leveraging between private and commercial LTE Emergence of tactical and military LTE solutions

Commercialization of proximity services and mission-critical PTT over LTE (on-network and off-network) Mission-critical voice and data interoperability Nationwide/cross-border roaming and interoperability trials

Mission Critical

Voice and Data Over

Private LTE

Mission Critical Data

Over Private LTE


..

Page 65

3.5 Public Safety LTE Deployment & Trial Case Studies

Detailed below are case studies for some of the major public safety LTE

deployments throughout the globe.

3.5.1 Zhengzhou Metro

Zhengzhou Metro is a rapid transit metro rail network which serves urban and

suburban districts of Zhengzhou municipality in China, covering a population of

over 8 Million citizens.

In Q4’2013, Huawei announced that it is supplying Zhengzhou Metro with a TD-

LTE based solution which will deliver real-time video feeds from train-mounted

video surveillance systems to control rooms, for public safety purposes. In

addition, the solution will also enable connectivity for the Metro’s Passenger

Information Services (PIS), and support the Communications-Based Train Control

(CBTC) railway signaling system onboard trains.

Based on Huawei’s Enterprise LTE (eLTE) platform, the train-to-ground network is

one of the first TDD deployments targeting the public safety market segment. The

network operates in the 1.8 GHz frequency band.

Besides public safety video surveillance, CBTC and PIS, future plans are also

underway to operationally run PTT voice services over the network. Huawei claims

its eLTE PTT voice solution provides a group call setup time of less than 300 ms

and a pre-emptive call setup time of less than 150 ms, to guarantee timely

response for mission-critical scenarios.


..

Page 69

4 Chapter 4: Public Safety LTE and Mobile

Broadband Applications Ecosystem

In this chapter we review the public safety LTE applications ecosystem, firstly by

discussing the applications of public safety LTE and then by reviewing the future

prospects of the market.

4.1 Mobile Video

LTE makes it possible for first responders to practically use mobile video

surveillance applications, with minimum investment on infrastructure and

devices, thanks to economies of scale.

Besides improving situational awareness in incident locations via live video

streams through both body worn and vehicle mounted cameras, LTE has also

opened a new market for High Definition (HD) CCTV, given its high bandwidth.

Figure 8: Global Mobile Video Surveillance Market: 2011 – 2020 ($ Million)


The market for mobile video surveillance is already expected to account for $1.4

Billion in global revenues and further expected to grow at a CAGR of nearly 20%

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Moible Video Survellience


..

Page 106

5.57 Motorola Solutions

Headquartered in Schaumburg, Illinois, Motorola Solutions is a provider of

communications infrastructure, devices, system software and associated services

for enterprise and government customers, worldwide. The company succeeded

Motorola Inc., following the spinoff of the mobile phones division into Motorola

Mobility in 2011.

Motorola Solutions’ LMR infrastructure and terminal products marketed under its

Government business segment support a range of air interface standards

including P25, TETRA and DMR. The company also offers a range of LTE user

devices in multiple form factors (dongles, vehicular modems and handsets).

As a leading9 LMR vendor, Motorola Solutions is often seen as one of most

dominant players in the public safety LTE market. Eyeing on Motorola Solutions’

dominant position, Ericsson partnered10 with Motorola Solutions to resell its RAN

infrastructure solution in Q3’2010.

In Q4’2011, Motorola Solutions announced that it has formed an alliance with U.S.

carrier Verizon Wireless to develop interoperability solutions that will enable first

responders to connect to their services on both Motorola deployed private LTE

networks and Verizon Wireless’ commercial nationwide LTE network.

Motorola Solutions made headlines when it was awarded an LTE network

deployment contract by Harris County11, the first public safety LTE network

deployment to go live in the U.S. market. Originally a 6 six site system valued at $7

9 Motorola Solutions maintains an LMR industry market share of 45% internationally and 81% in North America, as of Q4’2013. In 2013, the

global LMR industry accounted for $12.5 Billion in revenue. 10

Under the partnership, Ericsson will provide LTE RAN infrastructure and combine that with Motorola Solutions' public safety optimized LTE

core. Motorola also will provide devices, video security and command and control solutions for first responders. However, Ericsson also supplies certain EPC core elements for the offering including the MME, the Converged Packet Gateway (CPG) which combines the SGW and PGW, and the HSS. 11

To fund its network rollout Harris County utilized port security funds from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).


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Page 110

5.62 NSN (Nokia Solutions & Networks)

NSN (Nokia Solutions & Networks), formerly Nokia Siemens Networks, is a

wireless infrastructure and data networking vendor headquartered in Espoo,

Finland and a wholly owned subsidiary of the Nokia Corporation. It was previously

a joint venture between Nokia of Finland and Siemens of Germany known as

Nokia Siemens Networks. NSN has operations in around 150 countries. In

Q3’2013, Nokia acquired 100% of the company, with a buy-out of Siemens AG.

An established player in the commercial LTE infrastructure market12, NSN is a

major proponent of public safety LTE networks and the first vendor to make

available a 3GPP band class 1413 eNodeB LTE.

NSN gained an early lead in the public safety LTE market when it was awarded a

nationwide LTE network contract by the Qatar Ministry of Interior (MOI) in

Q3’2011. The first phase of the network went live in Q2’2012 with 24 sites in

Doha. Operating in the 800 MHz spectrum, the network is primarily being utilized

for multimedia and video transmissions from incident locations to the Ministry’s

command center.

NSN has seen partnerships with two prominent public safety system integrators.

In Q3’2010 Harris announced that it is using NSN’s RAN infrastructure to develop

its LTE solution. In Q2’2012, Thales announced a collaborative agreement with

12

NSN maintains a market share of 16% in the LTE infrastructure market. 13

Part of the 700 MHz LTE spectrum band allocated for FirstNet, the planned U.S. nationwide public safety LTE network.


..

Page 219

9.6 Proposals for Wholly Commercial Public Safety LTE

Networks

A number of public safety agencies leverage commercial networks including LTE to

fulfill their mobile broadband data requirements. It is widely anticipated that a

vast majority of future public safety LTE deployments will also utilize commercial

networks for mission-critical communications, driven by the associated cost

savings.

In fact, some proposals wholly encourage the use of commercial LTE networks

with added enhancements to serve the needs of the public safety community.

9.6.1 Case Study: UK Home Office

For example, in the U.K., public safety agencies pay up to $542 Million per annum

to utilize the private Airwave TETRA network which has a coverage footprint

throughout the U.K22. In addition, these agencies also spend an additional $150

Million for non-TETRA services over commercial networks.

With a desire to push costs down in the long term, the U.K. Home Office is

engaging with local commercial carriers to address the possibility of enhancing

their commercial LTE networks to meet mission-critical standards of coverage,

security and availability. By 2020 when all Airwave service contracts would have

expired, the Home Office is targeting to transition public safety users to an LTE

network hosted on a commercial infrastructure (subject to requirements being

met for mission-critical data and voice over LTE). SNS Research estimates that the

move could save the U.K.’s public safety agencies as much as 45% in service costs

annually.

22

Excluding Northern Ireland which operates its own TETRA network


..

Page 230

9.13.5 Tactical Cells in a Box (CIABs)

The requirement for tactical CIABs is primarily military driven. The CIAB form

factor encompasses the antenna unit and eNodeB base station transceiver26

within a single box that can be rapidly deployed to provide a temporary LTE

network in a military or first responder environment. A number of military trials27

have already tested the LTE CIAB form factor as a potential solution for providing

voice and multimedia communications in combat zones.

Figure 116: Global Private (Public Safety) LTE Cell in a Box (CIAB) eNodeB

Installed Base: 2011 - 2020


SNS Research estimates that global shipments of tactical public safety LTE CIABs

will represent a market worth $110 Million by the end of 2020, with the installed

base of CIABs reaching nearly 9,000 by the same time.

26

In some cases a CIAB may also host the EPC mobile core. In this case the CIAB is referred to as “System in a Box” or SIAB. 27

The U.S. Army trialed the technology in Q2’2012. Germany and French armed forces have also tested LTE CIAB solutions in Q3’2013.

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Tactical Cell in a Box (CIAB)

The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2014 2020 · The Public Safety LTE & Mobile...

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