The Public Health Management of Chemical Incidents...risk assessment vital. •May be difficult to...
Transcript of The Public Health Management of Chemical Incidents...risk assessment vital. •May be difficult to...
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The Public Health Management of
Chemical Incidents
Hazard and Risk
Professor David Russell,
The WHO Collaborating Centre for Chemical Incidents,
Cardiff, Wales, UK
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CTDC7 2 |
Hazard and Risk
Hazard
“A property or situation that in particular circumstances could lead to harm.”
Risk
“ A combination of the probability, or frequency, of occurrence of a defined hazard and the magnitude of the consequences of the occurrence.”
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CTDC7 3 |
Labelling
Built on 16 physical, 10 health and 3 environmental hazard classes:
• Explosives
• Flammable
• Oxidants
• Gaseous
• Corrosive
• Toxic (dermal, respiratory, oral)
• Health hazard (carcinogen, mutagen, reprotoxic)
• Environment
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CTDC7 4 |
Meaning and Expression of Risk-the
probability of an adverse outcome
•A Risk analysis consists of
answers to the following
questions:
– What can happen?
– How likely is it that will
happen?
– If it does happen, what
are the consequences?
– How do we prevent these
consequences?
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CTDC7 5 |
Context of risk
• Chemicals produced, stored and transported in
vast quantities.
• Many are hazardous.
• Public health impact potentially
significant.Therefore a risk is involved.
• Need to emergency plan and prepare in a risk-
prioritised fashion.
• Requires prior risk assessment.
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CTDC7 6 |
Chemicals are not without risk…
“Hospitals 'unready' for chemical
alert”
“Tanker accident starts
chemical alert”
“Five in hospital after chemical spill”
“Fears over impact of chemical plant”
Toulouse blast 2001
BBC
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CTDC7 7 |
In general terms, risk depend on:
The amount of a chemical present in an environmental media (e.g., soil, water, air, food) or a product (e.g. commercial, industrial);
The amount of contact (exposure) a person has with the pollutant in the environmental media or product; and
The toxicity (hazardous properties) of the chemical.
Obtaining information to describe these three factors is the cornerstone or foundation of most human health risk assessments related to chemicals.
Human health risks from chemicals
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CTDC7 8 |
Capabilities: Considerations
24/7/365 access to expertise
Multi-disciplinary:
Environmental chemistry
Environmental toxicology
Risk assessment
Public health
Clinical medicine
Laboratory medicine
Risk/crisis communication
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CTDC7 9 |
TRANSPORT OF CHEMICALS
Each year > 4 billion tonnes hazardous
chemicals moved around world by
road, rail, pipeline, sea and air
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CTDC7 10 |
Risk and Impact
• Risk of exposure from chemicals
•Accidents at installations, during transportation, conduit
through pipelines.
•Deliberate release and chemical terrorism a possibility
•All environmental media may be contaminated
•Number of scenarios is almost infinite
•Health effects may be acute and chronic.
•Essential to risk assess, prioritise, mitigate and plan/prepare
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High Production Volume Chemicals
(HPVs)
•Manufactured or
imported in large
quantities.
•>1 million pounds per
annum by weight (USA).
•Produced or imported in
volumes greater than
1000 tonnes per year
(Europe)
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TOXIC INDUSTRIAL CHEMICALS
Manufactured, stored and utilised
throughout world
Gas, liquid or solid
Highly toxic
Large quantities
Chemical hazards
Physical hazards
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TICs: Examples
Ammonia Carbonyl
sulphide
Methyl
isocyanate
Cyanogen
chloride
Chlorine Arsenic
trichloride
Parathion Sulphuric acid
Hydrogen
chloride
Nitric acid Phosphine Ethylene
dibromide
Hydrogen
fluoride
Phosgene Hydrogen
sulphide
Phosphorous
trichloride
Hydrogen
cyanide
Sulphur
dioxide
acrolein Fluorine
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CTDC7 14 |
Scientific Analysis Control and
regulation
Dialogue with
all stakeholders
Risk Assessment Risk Management
Risk Communication
Risk Analysis Paradigm
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CTDC7 15 |
RISK MANAGEMENT
•The deliberate alteration of risk to increase or
decrease the probability of occurrence.
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CTDC7 16 |
Planning: Community Impact
assessment
•Local public health
responsibility
•Relies on model
projections of releases
•Qualitative/quantitative
• Scenario setting
• Exposure Pathways
• Evaluation
• Likely health and environmental impact
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CTDC7 17 |
Community Impact assessment
•Scenario
-scenario development for installations and transport
Exposure Pathways
-Likely transport media elucidated. Vulnerable zone elucidation.
Population vulnerability
-Numbers and sensitive sub-populations
Health Impact
-Based on above to estimate total number of casualties. Forms basis of
requirements
Evaluation
-Probability of occurrence
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CTDC7 18 |
Immediate Health Impact assessment
•Symptoms may occur with short latency, therefore dynamic
risk assessment vital.
•May be difficult to identify chemicals initially, exposure and
thus health impact.
•Exposure assessment based on knowledge of chemicals
released, environmental interactions, modelling, monitoring
and exposure guidelines.
•Base management on risk assessment-fire management,
evacuation or shelter etc.
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CTDC7 19 |
Risk and Health Outcome
assessment
•Production of exposure index, product of numbers
exposed and degree of exposure.
•May involve questionnaires, environmental and
biological measurements.
•Health impact should be assessed immediately
after a chemical incident.
•May lead to subsequent epidemiological studies
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CTDC7 20 |