The prognosis for long-term youth unemployment Tony Wilson, Policy Director Centre for Economic &...
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Transcript of The prognosis for long-term youth unemployment Tony Wilson, Policy Director Centre for Economic &...
The prognosis for long-term youth unemployment
Tony Wilson, Policy DirectorCentre for Economic & Social Inclusion
@tonywilsoncesiwww.cesi.org.uk
Areas: those with highest unemployment have seen largest rises
Local Authority level youth unemployment, 2008 and now
Local Authority level youth unemployment, 2008 and now
Blaenau GwentHartlepool
South TynesideMerthyr Tydfil
WolverhamptonRedcar and Cleveland
SandwellDerry
Limavady
KnowsleyMiddlesbroughNorth AyrshireStrabaneWalsallCaerphillyKingston upon Hull
Areas: those with highest unemployment have seen largest rises
The Government’s five priorities...
Building Engagement, Building Futures, Dec 2011
1. Raising educational attainment2. Full participation in education or work for 16-17
year olds• Raising the Participation Age
3. Employer engagement • Expansion of apprenticeships, work experience
4. Supporting those out of work to get into work• Through Jobcentre Plus and Work Programme
5. Delivering the Youth Contract• Wage subsidies, support for low qualified
The Government’s five priorities...
Building Engagement, Building Futures, Dec 2011
1. Raising educational attainment2. Full participation in education or work for 16-17
year olds• Raising the Participation Age
3. Employer engagement • Expansion of apprenticeships, work experience
4. Supporting those out of work to get into work• Through Jobcentre Plus and Work Programme
5. Delivering the Youth Contract• Wage subsidies, support for low qualified
But is this enough?
• Work Programme• Underperformed... (but not as much as some claim)• DWP handed back to Treasury £250 million in
underspends this year
• Youth Contract• Likely low take-up – below 10,000 a year?• Probably 70%+ will be “deadweight”...• ... So net impact of 2-3,000?
• We’re spending less per person on support for long-term unemployed than any time since 1990s
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Community Programme
Community Action
Young Person’s
Guarantee/ FJF
New Deal for Young
People
Adult Employment Subsidy
Young Workers Scheme
Workstart pilot
NationalInsurance
Contributions holiday
Six Month Offer Youth
Contract
New Deal employer options
Training and job creation/ work
experience
Wage subsidies
+ a wealth of international evidence
A potted history...
First, tackle complexity – local leadership and shared objectives are critical
Work Programme
City Deals
SFA Support for Unemployed
Mandatory Work Activity
Community Action Programme
JCP Flexible Support Fund
Work Choice
EFA Youth Contract
DWP Youth Contract
Local Authority provision
DWP work experienceTalent Match
Apprenticeships
Traineeships
Second, more support for longest unemployed
• Pool/ align funding to enable local partnerships to create quality work experience/ real jobs
• Youth Contract wage subsidy; a bit of skills money; bit of Work Programme; Growth Fund; ESF; VCS/ LA/ employer cash
• Deliver through Work Programme – reaching longest-term unemployed
• Learn from what worked before• And deliver for all
Third, relentless focus on youth unemploymentTo stop people reaching twelve months
• The right (and more) support to find and apply for jobs
• Improving confidence, self-esteem, motivation• Some targeted support to improve skills for those
with low/ no quals – small scale, relevant to jobs market, holistic
• Tackle negative signals to employers – keep going with work experience schemes