The Prevalence, Correlates, and Impact on Cardiac Mortality of … · 2017-09-21 · (RV)...
Transcript of The Prevalence, Correlates, and Impact on Cardiac Mortality of … · 2017-09-21 · (RV)...
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The Prevalence, Correlates, andImpact on Cardiac Mortality ofRight Ventricular Dysfunction inNonischemic Cardiomyopathy
Andreas Pueschner,a Pairoj Chattranukulchai, MD, MSC,a,b John F. Heitner, MD,c Dipan J. Shah, MD,dBrenda Hayes, BS,a Wolfgang Rehwald, PHD,a Michele A. Parker, MS,a Han W. Kim, MD,a,e Robert M. Judd, PHD,a,f
Raymond J. Kim, MD,a,e,f Igor Klem, MDa,e
ABSTRACT
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OBJECTIVES This study sought to determine the prevalence, correlates, and impact on cardiac mortality of right
ventricular (RV) dysfunction in nonischemic cardiomyopathy.
BACKGROUND Current heart failure guidelines place little emphasis on RV assessment due to limited available data on
determinants of RV function, mechanisms leading to its failure, and relation to outcomes.
METHODS We prospectively studied 423 patients with cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR). The pre-specified study
endpoint was cardiac mortality. In 100 patients, right heart catheterization was performed as clinically indicated.
RESULTS During a median follow-up time of 6.2 years (interquartile range: 2.9 to 7.6 years), 101 patients (24%) died of
cardiac causes. CMR right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) was a strong independent predictor of cardiac mortality
after adjustment for age, heart failure–functional class, blood pressure, heart rate, serum sodium, serum creatinine,
myocardial scar, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Patients with the lowest quintile of RVEF had a nearly 5-fold
higher cardiac mortality risk than did patients with the highest quintile (hazard ratio: 4.68; 95% confidence interval
[CI]: 2.43 to 9.02; p < 0.0001). RVEF was positively correlated with LVEF (r ¼ 0.60; p < 0.0001), and inversely
correlated with right atrial pressure (r ¼ �0.32; p ¼ 0.001), pulmonary artery pressure (r ¼ �0.34; p ¼ 0.0005),
transpulmonary gradient (r ¼ �0.28; p ¼ 0.006) but not with pulmonary wedge pressure (r ¼ �0.15; p ¼ 0.13). In
multivariable logistic regression analysis of CMR, clinical, and hemodynamic data the strongest predictors of right
ventricular dysfunction were LVEF (odds ratio [OR]: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.78 to 0.92; p < 0.0001), transpulmonary gradient
(OR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.32; p ¼ 0.0003), and systolic blood pressure (OR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.94 to 0.99; p ¼ 0.02).
CONCLUSIONS CMR assessment of RVEF provides important prognostic information independent of established risk
factors and LVEF in heart failure patients with nonischemic cardiomyopathy. Right ventricular dysfunction is strongly asso-
ciated with both indices of intrinsic myocardial contractility and increased afterload from pulmonary vascular dysfunction.
(J Am Coll Cardiol Img 2017;10:1225–36) © 2017 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation.
H eart failure (HF) is an important cause ofmorbidity and mortality in developedcountries, with an estimated 5.7 million
people affected in the United States and 5-year
m the aDuke Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Center, Duke University
Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, King Ch
epartment of Cardiology, New York Methodist Hospital, Brooklyn, N
Bakey Heart and Vascular Center, Houston, Texas; eDivision of Cardiolog
rolina; and the fDepartment of Radiology, Duke University Medical
ported in part by Medtronic Inc. (to Dr. Klem). Dr. Rehwald is an employee of
nt fromMedtronic. All other authors have reported that they have no relations
nuscript received April 5, 2017; revised manuscript received June 19, 201
mortality reaching 50% (1). The focus of HF manage-ment has been on left ventricular (LV) systolic func-tion, which is the principal criterion forclassification of HF into preserved and reduced
Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; bDivision
ulalongkorn Memorial Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand;
ew York; dDepartment of Cardiology, Methodist
y, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North
Center, Durham, North Carolina. This research is
Siemens Healthineers. Dr. Klem has received a research
hips relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose.
7, accepted June 26, 2017.
ABBR EV I A T I ON S
AND ACRONYMS
CI = confidence interval(s)
CMR = cardiac magnetic
resonance
DE-CMR = delayed-
enhancement cardiac magnetic
resonance
HF = heart failure
HR = hazard ratio(s)
IQR = interquartile range
LV = left ventricle/ventricular
LVEF = left ventricular ejection
fraction
NICM = nonischemic
cardiomyopathy
NYHA = New York Heart
Association
OR = odds ratio(s)
PAP = pulmonary artery
pressure
PH = pulmonary hypertension
PCWP = pulmonary capillary
wedge pressure
RAP = right atrial pressure
RHC = right heart
catheterization
RV = right ventricle/ventricular
RVD = right ventricular
dysfunction
RVEF = right ventricular
ejection fraction
TPG = transpulmonary gradient
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ejection fraction in recent guidelines (2).There are scant diagnostic or therapeuticrecommendations based on right ventricular(RV) assessment, mainly due to limited dataon determinants of RV function, mechanismsleading to its failure, and relation to outcomesas ascertained by a recent National Heart,Lung, and Blood Institute task force report(2,3). Prior studies have suggested that RVdysfunction (RVD) may be an important prog-nostic marker in patients with left-sided HF(4–11). Most of these studies though had arelatively small sample size and includedheterogeneous patient populations in termsof etiology of cardiomyopathy and left ven-tricular ejection fraction (LVEF), or invasivemethods for RV assessment were used,limiting the clinical applicability (4,5,12–15).
Several factors may affect RV systolicfunction. RV is very sensitive to afterload,with RV stroke volume decreasing rapidlywhen pulmonary artery pressure is increasedin experimental studies (16). In pulmonaryhypertension (PH) due to left heart disease,RV afterload may be elevated either due toelevated pulmonary capillary wedge pressure(isolated post-capillary PH), or progression toincreased transpulmonary gradient indi-cating a pulmonary vascular process (com-bined post-capillary and pre-capillary PH)(17,18). Within physiologic limits, increase inventricular pre-load can improve RV systolicfunction based on the Frank-Starling mech-
anism (19). Conversely, intrinsic myocardial contrac-tility may be impaired from various cardiomyopathicprocesses and affect RV systolic function indepen-dent of the loading conditions.
SEE PAGE 1237
This study had 3 specific aims. First, we wanted toexplore the determinants of RVD, specifically whetherright ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) is morereflective of abnormal loading conditions or indices ofintrinsic myocardial contractility (e.g., LVEF). RV andLV systolic function were assessed using cardiacmagnetic resonance (CMR), which allows accurate andreproducible measurements of both ventricles (20).Second, we wanted to investigate the prevalence of RVDin HF patients with reduced LVEF and, third, to assessthe impact of RVD on long-term cardiac mortality.
METHODS
POPULATION. We prospectively enrolled 423consecutive patients evaluated by the HF service
from January 1, 2003 to June 30, 2008 who haddilated cardiomyopathy based on American HeartAssociation definitions (2) and LVEF <50%. Weexcluded patients with ischemic heart disease, whichwas defined as stenosis $50% of left main or $70% ofmajor coronary artery, or insignificant coronary arterydisease with definite evidence of myocardial infarc-tion: for example, ruptured plaque or acute thrombuson coronary angiography, if no angiography wasperformed, the absence of definite, enzymaticallyproven type 1 myocardial infarction (21,22); primaryvalvular or congenital heart disease; constrictivepericarditis; known hypertrophic or arrhythmogenicRV cardiomyopathy; acute inflammatory or infiltra-tive heart disease; and those without a reasonableexpectation of survival for at least 1 year or who werescheduled for major cardiothoracic surgery. Thestudy protocol was approved by the Duke Institu-tional Review Board. All patients gave writteninformed consent.
PROTOCOL. A comprehensive medical historyincluding comorbidities, New York Heart Association(NYHA) functional class, and medications at the timeof enrolment was obtained. Additionally, 12-leadelectrocardiography was performed a median of 1.0days (interquartile range [IQR]: 0 to 4 days) from CMRand was interpreted blinded to clinical and CMR datafor QRS and QTc intervals and bundle branch blockwith Minnesota code (23).
Cardiac magnetic resonance. All patients underwentCMR imaging on a 1.5-T or 3.0-T CMR scanner(Siemens, Erlangen, Germany) as part of clinical HFmanagement for assessment of LVEF and myocardialscar as previously described (24). Briefly, steady-state-free precession cine images were acquired inmultiple short-axis and 3 long-axis views. Delayed-enhancement CMR (DE-CMR) was performed usinga segmented inversion-recovery gradient-echotechnique in the identical views as cine-CMR 10 minafter contrast administration (gadoversetamide,0.15 mmol/kg).
Cine and DE-CMR images were evaluated separately,masked to all patient information. The analysis of RVvolumes was performed by determining end-diastolicand end-systolic frames on short-axis cine views, andsemiautomated thresholding was used to delineateendocardial borders. The systolic descent of thetricuspid valve plane was tracked on long-axis views tocorrectly identify the ventricular volume in the basalshort-axis slice. Papillary muscles and trabeculationswere excluded from the RV volumes. Reproducibility ofRV measurements was tested in 20 randomly selectedpatients. To test the intraobserver variability, the same
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observer measured the same group of patients with3-month time separation. For assessment of interob-server variability, a second reader, blinded to the resultsof the first reader, performed RV measurements in thesame patients. LV volumes, LV mass, and LVEF werequantitatively measured from the stack of short-axiscine images using standard techniques (24). LV and RVvolumes were indexed to body surface area. Thepresence of hyperenhanced tissue on DE-CMR,which was interpreted as representing myocardialreplacement fibrosis (24), was determined by visualinspection using the American Heart Association17-segment model (25). The extent of scar as percentageof LV mass was estimated based on a 5-point scale aspreviously described (26).
Right heart catheterization. In 100 patients (24%) rightheart catheterization (RHC) was performed as part ofclinical HF management (for assessment of volumestatus in 62 patients, in 17 refractory to HF therapy, in8 due to hypotension, and in 13 for heart transplantevaluation) within a median of 0 days (IQR: �2 to þ1days) of CMR according to standard protocols. Pa-tients were in chronic stable condition at the time ofCMR and RHC, without intervening events betweenthe 2 tests. During the procedure mean right atrialpressure (RAP), pulmonary artery pressure (PAP),mean pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP),and systemic arterial blood pressure were measured(27). Cardiac index, total pulmonary resistance, sys-temic vascular resistance, and pulmonary vascularresistance were calculated. A mean-PAP >25 mm Hgwas used to define PH. The transpulmonary gradient(TPG), which is calculated as mean PAP � meanPCWP, was used to differentiate increased RV after-load due to pulmonary vascular disease (TPG >12mm Hg) from increased downstream left heart pres-sures (TPG #12 mm Hg) (17).
Follow-up. Information concerning mortality statuswas obtained at regular intervals via: 1) telephoneinterview with the patient, or if deceased, with familymembers; 2) contact with the patient’s physician(s);and 3) hospital records. Mortality status was verifiedindependently through the Social Security DeathIndex and death certificates. Cause of death wasdetermined based on a review of death certificates,post-mortem exam reports when available, medicalrecords for patients who died while hospitalized, andcontact of patient’s physician(s), and it was classifiedas cardiac or noncardiac death (28). All event infor-mation was obtained and classified without knowl-edge of clinical, hemodynamic, or CMR findings.
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS. Continuous data areexpressed as mean � SD or median (IQR) as
appropriate. Comparisons between groups were madeusing 2-sample Student t or Wilcoxon rank sum testsfor continuous data, and chi-square tests for discretedata.
Pearson correlation analysis was used to examinerelationships between hemodynamic parameters andRVEF. Logistic regression analysis was used to iden-tify determinants of RVD, and clinically relevantvariables were selected a priori for model entry (9,29).To assess the importance of nonhemodynamic vari-ables separated from the loading condition, a secondanalysis adjusted for mean PAP was performed. Threemultivariable models were developed: first, todifferentiate myocardial contractility from hemody-namic loading, LVEF, mean PAP, and mean RAP wereconsidered simultaneously; second, mean PAP wassubstituted by TPG and mean PCWP in the samemodel; and finally, the best model was identifiedamong all univariable predictors by a stepwise se-lection process.
The pre-specified endpoint was cardiac death.Patients who underwent heart transplantation duringfollow-up were censored on the date of surgery. Cu-mulative event rates were calculated according to theKaplan-Meier method. Differences in event rates be-tween groups were assessed with the log-rank test,with Bonferroni adjustment for multiple pairwisecomparisons. Using Cox proportional hazards regres-sion analysis, 2 multivariable models were developed.First, RVEF and established predictors of mortality inHF patients, reported in at least 2 studies cited in the2013 Heart Failure Guideline Data Supplements, DataSupplement 3, were included (2). Myocardial fibrosis,which was shown to be an important predictor ofmortality in nonischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM) af-ter the guideline document publication date was alsoincluded (11). Second, the 10 most significant pre-dictors by univariable analysis were included ascandidate variables in a stepwise selection process. Toavoid the potential for overfitting, no more than 10variables were included in any multivariable model.Relative risks were expressed as hazard ratios (HRs)with associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs).Reclassification of patient risk was determined usingnet reclassification improvement analyses. Statisticalanalysis was performed using SAS version 9.3 (SASInstitute, Cary, North Carolina).
RESULTS
BASELINE CHARACTERISTICS. The baseline charac-teristics of all 423 patients are listed in Table 1. Themedian age was 54 years, about one-half were maleand of non-white ethnicity. HF symptoms with NYHA
TABLE 1 Baseline Patient Characteristics
All Patients(N ¼ 423)
Cardiac Death(n ¼ 101)
No Cardiac Death(n ¼ 322) p Value
Age, yrs 54.4 (45.8–65.8) 58.0 (47.6–72.9) 53.9 (45.5–64.4) 0.02
Male 222 (52) 63 (62) 159 (49) 0.02
Non-white race 225 (53) 59 (58) 166 (52) 0.23
Clinical history
Diabetes mellitus 106 (25) 34 (34) 72 (22) 0.02
Hypertension 239 (57) 63 (62) 176 (55) 0.17
Cigarette smoker 93 (22) 29 (29) 64 (20) 0.06
Hyperlipidemia 190 (45) 44 (44) 146 (45) 0.75
Family history of CAD 96 (23) 25 (25) 71 (22) 0.57
NYHA functional class* 0.01
I 120 (28) 20 (20) 100 (31)
II 109 (26) 29 (29) 80 (25)
III 162 (38) 45 (45) 117 (36)
IV 13 (3) 6 (6) 7 (2)
Mean NYHA functional class 2.1 � 1.0 2.3 � 0.9 2.0 � 1.0 0.001
Duration of NICM, months 24 � 40 35 � 58 20 � 41 0.02
Atrial fibrillation or flutter 73 (17) 25 (25) 48 (15) 0.02
Nonsustained ventricular tachycardia 57 (13) 13 (13) 44 (14) 0.84
Syncope 33 (8) 6 (6) 27 (8) 0.42
Body mass index 28.7 � 6.8 28.3 � 6.8 28.8 � 6.7 0.51
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg 126.0 � 23.4 121.2 � 23.1 127.5 � 23.4 0.02
Diastolic blood pressure, mm Hg 75.8 � 15.7 75.0 � 15.4 76.1 � 15.8 0.55
Heart rate, beats/min 78 (68–90) 80 (66–93) 78 (69–90) 0.69
Laboratory results
Serum sodium, mmol/l† 139 (137–141) 139 (136–141) 139 (137–141) 0.22
Serum creatinine, mg/dl† 1.1 (0.9–1.5) 1.4 (1.1–1.9) 1.1 (0.9–1.4) <0.0001
Serum proBNP, pg/ml‡ 2,154 (699–5,772) 4,748 (1,859–9,703) 1,374 (525–5,112) <0.0001
Medications
ACE inhibitor 293 (69) 68 (67) 225 (70) 0.63
ARB 41 (10) 11 (11) 30 (9) 0.64
Antiarrhythmic drug 41 (10) 15 (15) 26 (8) 0.04
Aspirin 263 (62) 66 (65) 197 (61) 0.45
Beta-blocker 332 (78) 79 (78) 253 (79) 0.94
Calcium-channel blocker 54 (13) 15 (15) 39 (12) 0.47
Digitalis 76 (18) 29 (29) 47 (15) 0.001
Diuretics§ 290 (69) 80 (79) 210 (65) 0.008
Insulin 56 (13) 20 (20) 36 (11) 0.03
Oral antidiabetic 50 (12) 12 (12) 38 (12) 0.98
Nitrates 52 (12) 16 (16) 36 (11) 0.21
Statin 144 (34) 36 (36) 108 (34) 0.70
Warfarin 100 (24) 35 (35) 65 (20) 0.003
Continued on the next page
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functional class II or higher were present in 284patients (67%). Over 75% of patients were treatedwith beta-blockers and ACE-angiotensin-convertingenzyme inhibitors/angiotensin-receptor blockers,among those with LVEF #40%, 98% were on bothmedications. LVEF was significantly reduced with33 � 12%, the mean RVEF was 47 � 13%. The meandifference (and 95% limits of agreement) for theintraobserver and interobserver reproducibilityanalysis was 0.2% (�3.8 to 3.4), and 0.3% (�7.6 to8.1), respectively.
The 100 patients who underwent RHC were me-dian age 51.1 years (IQR: 40.5 to 59.5 years), 54 (54%)were male, had a mean NYHA functional class of2.2 � 1.0, and mean LVEF of 29 � 12%. The meanRVEF was 41 � 14% compared with 49 � 12% in thegroup not referred to RHC (p < 0.0001). The hemo-dynamic results are shown in Table 2. The medianPCWP was 20 mm Hg (IQR: 12 to 27 mm Hg), andmedian RAP 10 mm Hg (IQR: 5 to 14 mm Hg). Themedian PAP was 33 mm Hg (IQR: 25 to 40 mm Hg).PH was present in 72 patients, 36 (50%) had isolated
TABLE 1 Continued
All Patients(N ¼ 423)
Cardiac Death(n ¼ 101)
No Cardiac Death(n ¼ 322) p Value
ElectrocardiogramkHeart rate, beats/min 79 (68–89) 84 (68–97) 79 (68–89) 0.29
QRS, ms 107.8 � 29.1 111.7 � 30.5 106.6 � 28.6 0.13
QTc, ms 460.5 � 45.1 468.4 � 46.0 458.0 � 44.6 0.04
Left bundle branch block¶ 76 (18) 23 (23) 53 (17) 0.16
Right bundle branch block# 21 (5) 4 (4) 17 (5) 0.58
CMR
RVEF, % 47.2 � 12.9 42.4 � 13.9 48.7 � 12.2 <0.0001
RVEDV index, ml/m2 77.3 � 29.7 87.6 � 34.9 74.1 � 27.2 0.0005
RVESV index, ml/m2 43.1 � 25.2 53.7 � 31.4 39.7 � 22.0 <0.0001
LVEF, % 32.9 � 11.6 29.0 � 12.1 34.2 � 11.2 <0.0001
LVEDV index, ml/m2 114.8 � 45.0 127.3 � 49.8 110.9 � 42.7 0.003
LVESV index, ml/m2 80.4 � 43.1 94.5 � 48.4 76.0 � 40.3 0.0007
LV mass, g 204.4 � 71.2 223.4 � 73.6 198.4 � 69.5 0.002
Any scar on DE-CMR 215 (51) 68 (67) 147 (46) 0.0001
Scar extent, %LV mass 3.7 � 6.5 5.4 � 8.4 3.2 � 5.7 0.02
Values are median (interquartile range), n (%), or mean � SD. Bold values are statistically significant. *NYHA functional class was documented at the time of study enrollment.In 19 patients (5%) no heart failure symptoms were present. The p value pertains to the comparison between the groups with and without events in the distribution of patientsaccording to NYHA functional class. †Available in 416 patients. ‡Available in 273 patients. §Including aldosterone blockers. kAvailable in 412 patients. ¶Minnesota codes 7-1-1and 7-1-2. #Minnesota codes 7-2-1 and 7-2-2.
ACE ¼ angiotensin-converting enzyme; ARB ¼ angiotensin-receptor blocker; CAD ¼ coronary artery disease; CMR ¼ cardiac magnetic resonance; DE-CMR ¼ delayed-enhancement cardiac magnetic resonance; EDV ¼ end-diastolic volume; EF ¼ ejection fraction; ESV ¼ end-systolic volume; LV ¼ left ventricular; NICM ¼ nonischemiccardiomyopathy; NYHA ¼ New York Heart Association; proBNP ¼ pro–B-type natriuretic peptide; RV ¼ right ventricular.
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post-capillary and 36 (50%) had combined post-capillary/pre-capillary PH.FOLLOW-UP RESULTS. During a median follow-uptime of 6.2 years (IQR: 2.9 to 7.6 years) 170 patients(40%) died; of those deaths, 101 (24%) were cardiacdeaths. Fifteen patients (4%) underwent hearttransplantation after study enrollment. No patientwas lost to follow-up. In the subgroup that underwent
TABLE 2 Hemodynamic Results
All Patients*(N ¼ 100)
C
Heart rate, beats/min 88 (76–100)
Cardiac index, l/min/m2 2.3 (1.8–2.7) 2
RAP mean, mm Hg 10 (5–14)
PAP systolic, mm Hg 47 (34–55)
PAP diastolic, mm Hg 23 (15–28)
PAP mean, mm Hg 33 (25–40)
PCWP mean, mm Hg 20 (12–27)
TPG, mm Hg 11 (7–16)
TPR, Wood units 7.6 (4.8–10.4) 7
PVR, Wood units 2.2 (1.5–4.0) 2
SVR, Wood units 19.1 (15.5–23.8) 16
BP systolic, mm Hg 120 (105–140) 1
BP diastolic, mm Hg 76 (66–85)
Values are median (IQR). Bold values are statistically significant. *RHC performed in 100
BP ¼ blood pressure; CMR ¼ cardiac magnetic resonance; IQR interquartile range; PApulmonary vascular resistance; RAP ¼ right atrial pressure; RHC ¼ right heart catheterizapulmonary resistance.
RHC, the cardiac mortality rate was higher than forthe patients who did not undergo RHC (28% vs. 23%),but this difference was not statistically significant(p ¼ 0.27). A total of 135 patients (32%) underwentimplantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation,and 52 (12%) underwent implantable cardioverterdefibrillator plus cardiac resynchronization therapydevice implantation during follow-up.
ardiac Death(n ¼ 28)
No Cardiac Death(n ¼ 72) p Value
87 (73–100) 88 (78–100) 0.65
.3 (1.7–2.7) 2.2 (1.9–2.7) 0.97
13 (7–19) 8 (5–14) 0.02
57 (35–63) 44 (33–51) 0.02
28 (16–32) 21 (15–27) 0.04
38 (25–45) 32 (25–38) 0.04
21 (13–29) 20 (12–26) 0.43
12 (7–19) 11 (7–15) 0.34
.7 (4.9–13.3) 7.6 (4.8–9.6) 0.31
.5 (1.4–6.1) 2.2 (1.4–3.6) 0.50
.9 (13.0–21.5) 19.6 (16.3–24.5) 0.02
11 (103–122) 124 (105–150) 0.06
73 (65–80) 76 (68–85) 0.10
patients within a median of 0 days (IQR: �2 to þ1 days) from CMR.
P ¼ pulmonary artery pressure; PCWP ¼ pulmonary capillary wedge pressure; PVR ¼tion; SVR ¼ systemic vascular resistance; TPG ¼ transpulmonary gradient; TPR ¼ total
FIGURE 1 Cardiac Mortality Risk According to RVEF
0≤25 25 - ≤35 35 - ≤45 45 - ≤55
*
*
>55
1
2
5
4
3
Haza
rd R
atio
RVEF
The hazard ratios for cardiac mortality are shown according to different levels of right
ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF). The yellow dashed line displays the hazard ratio of
1.00 of the reference group with RVEF >55%. Patients with RVEF #35% had a signifi-
cantly higher event risk than did the reference group. Patients with RVEF >35
and #45%, as well as those >45% and #55% had similar risk to the group with RVEF
>55%. *p < 0.001.
FIGURE 2 Kaplan-
A
33984
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
030
Prob
abili
ty o
f Sur
viva
l (%
)
Numberat Risk
(A) The difference in
(B) The survival estim
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ASSOCIATION OF RVD AND CARDIAC MORTALITY.
We sought to determine the optimal threshold fordefining RVD based on cardiac mortality risk. Figure 1details the relationship between RVEF categories andHR for cardiac death. Patients with an RVEF #25%(n ¼ 27) had the highest cardiac death risk compared
Meier Estimates of Survival According to RVEF
RVEF ≤35%
RVEF >35%
108
292 253 206 83 1555 43 31 7 1
642Year
B100
80
60
40
20
0
Prob
abili
ty o
f Sur
viva
l (%
)
cardiac survival between patients with right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF
ates in subgroups by deciles in RVEF are shown (see text for details).
with that of the reference group with RVEF >55%(HR: 4.68; 95% CI: 2.43 to 9.02; p < 0.0001). Patientswith RVEF >25% and #35% (n ¼ 57) had also highercardiac mortality than did those with RVEF >55%(HR: 2.84; 95% CI: 1.56 to 5.19; p ¼ 0.0007). An RVEF>35% and #45% (n ¼ 84) was associated with a small,but statistically insignificant risk increase (HR: 1.45;95% CI: 0.78 to 2.70; p ¼ 0.24), whereas patients withan RVEF >45% and #55% (n ¼ 126) had nearly iden-tical cardiac mortality risk (HR: 1.13; 95% CI: 0.64 to2.00; p ¼ 0.68) compared with the reference group(n ¼ 129). Similar relationships between the RVEFcategories and cardiac mortality risk were observedwhen adjusted for LVEF in all patients, and afterload(mean PAP) in the subgroup with RHC. Consequently,RVEF #35% was used to define RVD.
Figure 2A shows the survival curves for the entirestudy population stratified based on RVEF #35%versus >35%. Among the 84 patients with RVD, 36(43%) died of cardiac causes during follow-up,whereas among the 339 patients without RVD, 65(19%) reached the study endpoint (HR: 3.00; 95% CI:1.99 to 4.51; p < 0.0001). The Kaplan-Meier estimatesof cardiac death-free survival stratified by RVEF areshown in Figure 2B. Both subgroups with aRVEF #25% and RVEF >25% and #35% had signifi-cantly lower probability of survival than did thosewith RVEF >45% (p < 0.001 for both), whereas thosewith RVEF >35% and #45% had a similar probabilityof survival than did those with RVEF >45% (p ¼ 0.09).
RVEF ≤25%
RVEF >35 - ≤45%
RVEF >25 - ≤35%
RVEF >45%
1086420Year
)#35% and>35% was significant (p< 0.0001, by the log rank test).
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PREDICTORS OF CARDIAC MORTALITY. HR associ-ated with all clinical, laboratory, electrocardio-graphic, and CMR parameters are shown in Table 3.RVEF was a strong, independent predictor for cardiacmortality (HR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.94 to 0.98; p ¼ 0.0003)after adjustment for established risk markers ofmortality in HF patients including age, NYHA func-tional class, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, serumsodium, renal dysfunction, LVEF, and myocardialscar (model 1). On stepwise multivariable analysesincluding the 10 strongest univariable predictors(excluding RVEF), age (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.04;p ¼ 0.0006), serum creatinine (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.04to 1.25; p ¼ 0.004), myocardial scar (HR: 1.94; 95% CI:1.28 to 2.96; p ¼ 0.002), and LVEF (HR: 0.96; 95% CI:0.95 to 0.98; p < 0.0001) were independent predictorsof cardiac mortality. When RVEF was added as cova-riable (model 2 in Table 3, including RVEF), it wasamong the strongest risk markers of cardiac death(HR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.94 to 0.98; p ¼ 0.0001), andLVEF was no longer a significant predictor. In addi-tion, the global chi-square of the latter modelincluding RVEF was significantly improved over themodel excluding RVEF (58.00 vs. 43.08; p ¼ 0.0001),substantiating the incremental prognostic value ofRVEF. In addition, the predicted cardiac mortalityrisk was determined on the basis of the best clinicalmodel, and the relative improvement in patientreclassification associated with RVEF was assessedusing thresholds of 0% to 15%, 16% to 30%, and>30%. The addition of RVEF resulted in 50 correct(down) reclassification and 36 incorrect (up) reclas-sifications in the 316 survivors. Additionally, 12 cor-rect (up) classifications and 11 incorrect (down)reclassifications occurred in subjects who died ofcardiac causes. Overall, 3.6% of patients werecorrectly reclassified by the addition of RVEF toestablished clinical parameters (net reclassificationimprovement: 3.6%; p < 0.0001).
In patients with LVEF #35% (n ¼ 222), RVD waspresent in 76 (34%). This subgroup with biventriculardysfunction (e.g., LVEF #35% and RVEF #35%) had amore than 2-fold higher cardiac mortality risk thandid those with LV dysfunction alone (e.g., LVEF #35%and RVEF >35%) (HR: 2.30; 95% CI: 1.42 to 3.73;p ¼ 0.0008). In patients with LVEF >35% (n ¼ 201),only 8 patients (4%) had RVD, which was also asso-ciated with higher cardiac mortality compared withthose with preserved RVEF (HR: 5.50; 95% CI: 1.93 to15.66; p ¼ 0.001). On multivariable Cox regressionanalyses, performed separately in both subgroups,RVEF was an independent predictor of cardiac deathafter adjustment for age, serum creatinine, and scar.
DETERMINANTS OF RVD. RVD was present in 20% ofthe entire study population, and in 43% among thosewho underwent RHC. The relationships among RVEFand afterload (mean PAP), pre-load (mean RAP), andLVEF are shown in Figure 3. There was a moderate,positive correlation between RVEF and LVEF(r ¼ 0.60; p < 0.0001). We observed only a modest,negative correlation with RAP (r ¼ �0.32; p ¼ 0.001),indicating that pre-load may have a narrow physio-logic window of improving RV systolic functionbefore volume overload effects impair RVEF. Therewas also a modest, inverse relation between RVEFand mean PAP (r ¼ �0.34; p ¼ 0.0005). Interestingly,when considering the components of afterload—TPGand PCWP—we found RVEF was weakly correlatedwith the former (r ¼ �0.28; p ¼ 0.006) but not withthe latter (r ¼ �0.15; p ¼ 0.13).
The strongest predictors of RVD were reducedLVEF, lower systemic systolic blood pressure, malesex, lower cardiac index, higher heart rate, andincreased mean PAP (Table 4). Both pre-load (RAP)and the pulmonary vascular component of afterload(TPG and pulmonary vascular resistance), but notPCWP were predictive of RVD. When adjusting forafterload (mean PAP), RAP was no longer a significantpredictor of RVD, but age, male sex, LVEF, cardiacindex, heart rate, and systolic blood pressureremained associated with RVD. A history of atrialfibrillation was not related to RVD.
In multivariable analysis, lower LVEF (odds ratio[OR]: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.81 to 0.92; p < 0.0001) andelevated mean PAP (OR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.15;p ¼ 0.04) both were independently associated withRVD, but not mean RAP (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 0.92 to 1.13;p ¼ 0.73). When mean PAP was substituted by itscomponents, TPG (OR: 1.15; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.26;p ¼ 0.003) in addition to LVEF were independentpredictors of RVD, whereas mean RAP and meanPCWP were not predictive of RVD. Stepwise selectionof candidate variables revealed that LVEF (OR: 0.85;95% CI: 0.78 to 0.92; p < 0.0001), TPG (OR: 1.20; 95%CI: 1.09 to 1.32; p ¼ 0.0003), and systolic blood pres-sure (OR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.94 to 0.99; p ¼ 0.02) werethe strongest independent predictors of RVD.
DISCUSSION
In this study of patients with NICM, we found thatRVEF determined by CMR strongly predicted cardiacmortality independent of established risk factors inHF patients. Furthermore, the grade of RVD associ-ated with a significant cardiac mortality risk(RVEF #35%) was present in 20% of patients.
TABLE 3 Predictors of Cardiac Mortality
Univariable Analysis Multivariable Analysis
HR (95% CI) p Value
Model 1 Model 2
HR (95% CI) p Value HR (95% CI) p Value
Age, yrs 1.02 (1.01–1.03) 0.005 1.03 (1.02–1.05) <0.0001 1.03 (1.02–1.05) <0.0001
Male 1.63 (1.09–2.44) 0.02
Non-white race 1.37 (0.92–2.04) 0.12
Diabetes mellitus 1.72 (1.14–2.60) 0.01
Hypertension 1.33 (0.89–1.99) 0.17
Cigarette smoker 1.60 (1.04–2.46) 0.03
Hyperlipidemia 0.97 (0.65–1.44) 0.88
Family history of CAD 1.03 (0.65–1.61) 0.91
NYHA functional class 1.48 (1.20–1.84) 0.0003 1.16 (0.91–1.49) 0.22
Atrial fibrillation or flutter 1.68 (1.07–2.65) 0.02
NSVT 0.89 (0.50–1.59) 0.68
Syncope 0.68 (0.30–1.54) 0.35
Body mass index 0.99 (0.96–1.02) 0.33
Systolic blood pressure, per 1 mm Hg 0.99 (0.98–0.99) 0.02 0.99 (0.98–0.99) 0.04
Diastolic blood pressure, per 1 mm Hg 0.99 (0.98–1.00) 0.46
Heart rate, beats/min 0.99 (0.99–1.01) 0.75 0.99 (0.98–1.01) 0.25
Serum sodium, per mmol/l 0.97 (0.91–1.02) 0.22 1.02 (0.96–1.09) 0.47
Serum creatinine, per mg/dl 1.10 (1.01–1.19) 0.02 1.18 (1.06–1.30) 0.002 1.15 (1.05–1.26) 0.003
Serum proBNP, per 1,000 pg/ml 1.01 (1.00–1.02) 0.045
ACE inhibitor 0.88 (0.58–1.33) 0.54
ARB 1.09 (0.58–2.03) 0.79
Antiarrhythmic drug 1.71 (0.99–2.95) 0.06
Aspirin 1.21 (0.80–1.82) 0.36
Beta-blocker 0.97 (0.60–1.55) 0.89
Calcium-channel blocker 1.24 (0.71–2.14) 0.45
Digitalis 1.87 (1.21–2.87) 0.005
Diuretics 1.98 (1.22–3.20) 0.005
Insulin 1.87 (1.15–3.06) 0.01
Oral antidiabetic 1.11 (0.61–2.03) 0.74
Nitrates 1.42 (0.83–2.43) 0.20
Statin 1.15 (0.76–1.73) 0.51
Warfarin 1.90 (1.26–2.86) 0.002
Heart rate on ECG, beats/min 1.01 (0.99–1.02) 0.18
QRS on ECG, ms 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 0.18
QTc on ECG, ms 1.00 (1.00–1.01) 0.03
Left bundle branch block on ECG 1.35 (0.85–2.16) 0.20
Right bundle branch block on ECG 0.87 (0.32–2.35) 0.78
RVEF, % 0.96 (0.95–0.98) <0.0001 0.96 (0.94–0.98) 0.0003 0.96 (0.94–0.98) 0.0001
RVEDV index, ml/m2 1.01 (1.00–1.02) <0.0001
RVESV index, ml/m2 1.02 (1.01–1.02) <0.0001
LVEF, % 0.96 (0.95–0.98) <0.0001 0.99 (0.97–1.02) 0.66 0.99 (0.97–1.01) 0.25
LVEDV index, ml/m2 1.00 (1.00–1.01) 0.001
LVESV index, ml/m2 1.00 (1.00–1.01) <0.0001
LV mass, g 1.00 (1.00–1.00) 0.0009
Any scar on DE-CMR 2.12 (1.40–3.22) 0.0004 1.86 (1.21–2.87) 0.005 1.90 (1.25–2.89) 0.003
Scar extent, %LV mass 1.04 (1.02–1.06) 0.001
ICD 0.72 (0.47–1.12) 0.14
ICDþCRT 1.05 (0.60–1.85) 0.87
Bold values are statistically significant.
CI ¼ confidence interval; CRT ¼ cardiac resynchronization therapy; ECG ¼ electrocardiogram; HR ¼ hazard ratio; ICD ¼ implantable cardioverter-defibrillator; NSVT ¼nonsustained ventricular tachycardia; other abbreviations as in Table 1.
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FIGURE 3 Correlation Between RVEF and RV Pre-Load, Afterload, and LVEF
CA
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The graphs show correlations with regression lines between right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) and afterload (A), pre-load (B), and left ventricular ejection
fraction (LVEF) (C), and correlations with the components of RV afterload, that is, transpulmonary gradient (TPG) (D) and mean pulmonary capillary wedge pressure
(PCWP) (E). PA ¼ pulmonary arterial; RA ¼ right atrial.
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We sought to study determinants of RVD andobserved strong, independent associations both withreduced LVEF and increased RV afterload.
RV function may be compromised in the setting ofreduced LVEF due to several factors. First, the sameprocess resulting in LV cardiomyopathy may impairRV myocardial contractility. Second, LV dysfunctionwith impaired contraction of septal myocardium andmutually encircling epicardial muscle-fiber layers maybe responsible for up to 40% reduction in RV systolicpressure and volume outflow due to systolic ventric-ular interdependence (30). Third, an increase in LVvolume or LV pressure overload may shift upward theRV diastolic pressure–volume relationship due to thepericardial constraints and result in RV impairmentthrough diastolic ventricular interdependence (31).Fourth, LV failure may result in increased RV afterloadby a rise in LV end-diastolic, pulmonary venous, and
ultimately pulmonary arterial pressures (group 2World Health Organization PH) (32,33).
We found a strong relation between RVD andafterload (mean PAP), interestingly though this wasspecifically related to the pulmonary vascularcomponent (TPG), whereas elevated PCWP was notassociated with RVD. This suggests that as PH due toleft heart disease progresses from passive backwardtransmission of an elevated PCWP in isolated post-capillary PH to impaired vascular reactivity andendothelial dysfunction and perturbed pulmonarycapillary and arteriolar structure with elevated TPG incombined post-capillary/pre-capillary PH (18), RVDmay ensue at some point along this process. Thissupports the notion that drug therapies targeting thepulmonary vasculature to lower the PAP in left-sidedHF may effectively improve RVEF. Going a stepfurther, because RVD is strongly associated with
TABLE 4 Predictors of RV Systolic Dysfunction
OR (95% CI)* p Value
RV Afterload-Adjusted†
OR (95% CI) p Value
Age, yrs 0.97 (0.94–1.00) 0.03 0.96 (0.93–0.99) 0.02
Male 4.63 (1.94–11.03) 0.0005 4.08 (1.67–9.99) 0.002
Duration of NICM, months 0.98 (0.95–0.99) 0.04 0.97 (0.95–0.99) 0.03
History of atrial fibrillation 0.99 (0.21–4.69) 0.99 1.07 (0.21–5.45) 0.94
LV ejection fraction 0.88 (0.83–0.92) <0.0001 0.86 (0.81–0.92) <0.0001
PAP mean 1.06 (1.02–1.10) 0.005 — —
PCWP mean 1.03 (0.98–1.08) 0.23 —‡ —
RAP mean 1.08 (1.01–1.15) 0.02 1.03 (0.95–1.11) 0.54
Cardiac index 0.27 (0.12–0.59) 0.001 0.32 (0.14–0.71) 0.005
Systolic blood pressure 0.96 (0.94–0.98) <0.0001 0.95 (0.93–0.97) <0.0001
Heart rate 1.05 (1.02–1.07) 0.002 1.04 (1.01–1.07) 0.02
PVR 1.33 (1.09–1.63) 0.006 —‡ —
TPG 1.07 (1.01–1.12) 0.02 —‡ —
Bold values are statistically significant. *OR for continuous data are expressed for 1 unit change. †RV afterload: PAP mean. ‡These parameters were not adjusted for because ofcollinearity with PAP mean.
OR ¼ odds ratio; other abbreviations as in Tables 1 to 3.
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cardiac mortality, such intervention might alsoimprove outcomes of HF patients with secondary PH.In this context, we note that the selective inhibitor oftype 5-phosphodiesterase sildenafil was shown in asmall, randomized clinical trial in 34 HF patients withelevated PA pressures to improve exercise capacityand quality of life (27). Interestingly, a higherimprovement in the primary endpoint (peakoxygen consumption) was observed in patients withbelow-median RVEF. Although currently pulmonaryarterial hypertension drug therapies are not recom-mended in PH due to left-heart disease (17), the use oftype 5-phosphodiesterase inhibition (NCT01616381,NCT01910389) or other vasoactive compounds(NCT02070991) are studied in ongoing clinical trials.Due to its robust relation with cardiac mortality,CMR-RVEF could be a surrogate endpoint in efficacystudies on drug treatment of PH due to left-heartdisease.
Data on the prevalence of PH due to left-heartdisease and subtypes are scarce and subject to vari-ability in definitions (34). In this study, PH was foundin 72% of patients, and one-half of those had com-bined post-capillary/pre-capillary PH. Our findingsare similar to data from a large PH center, whichshowed that 45% of PH due to left-heart disease wascombined PH (35). The high prevalence corroboratesthe importance of exploring novel drug therapies forPH due to left-heart disease.
We have measured RVEF using CMR, which allowsan accurate and reproducible assessment of the
complex anatomical structure of the RV (19).Furthermore, we stratified patients into RVEF sub-groups on the basis of the associated cardiac mortalityrisk to substantiate grades of severity of RVD assuggested by the American Society of Echocardiog-raphy (36). To date, limited data is available ondefining RVD based on CMR-RVEF and how to gradeseverity of RVD based on associated cardiac mortalityrisk. The current practice is to assign grades of mild,moderate, and severe RVD based on a set number ofSDs below the reference limit of a normal population(37,38).
STUDY LIMITATIONS. A limitation of this study isthat only 24% of all patients were referred for RHC,and thus selection bias is present for the evaluation ofdeterminants of RVD.
CONCLUSIONS
We have demonstrated that CMR-RVEF is a strongindependent and incremental risk factor for cardiacmortality in patients with NICM. RVD was related toboth LVEF and increased afterload, and treatmentstargeting the pulmonary vascular remodeling processmay improve RV systolic function and cardiacoutcomes.
ADDRESS FOR CORRESPONDENCE: Dr. Igor Klem,Duke Cardiovascular MRI Center, Cardiology,DUMC-3934, Durham, North Carolina 27710. E-mail:[email protected].
PERSPECTIVES
COMPETENCY INPATIENTCAREANDPROCEDURAL
SKILLS: This study suggests that it may be important to
assess RVEF in addition to LV parameters during a CMR
exam in HF patients with NICM. More importantly, our
results substantiate grades of severity for the interpreta-
tion of RVD based on the associated cardiac mortality risk,
which was not well established to date for CMR-RVEF.
TRANSLATIONAL OUTLOOK: Future research
should be directed on how medical or device
interventions may improve RV function and—given the
strong relationship with cardiac mortality—potentially
also prognosis.
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KEY WORDS heart failure, nonischemiccardiomyopathy, right ventriculardysfunction