THE POWER OF ATTRACTION:

QUEENSLAND IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

Phil Honeywood

CEO, IEAA

IET Summit 2017

28 March, Gold Coast

THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

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United States

26%

United

Kingdom

13%

Australia

8%

France

7%

Germany

7%

Other OECD

countries

29%

Non-OECD

countries

10%

Source: Education at a Glance 2016: OECD Indicators

There are approximately 5 million tertiary students

studying abroad – an increase of 67 per cent since 2005.

Chart 1:

Distribution of international

students in tertiary education by

country of destination (2014)

THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

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0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

United States United

Kingdom

Australia France Germany Other OECD

countries

Non-OECD

countries

2000

2014

Chart 2: International education market shares between 2000 and 2014

Source: Education at a Glance 2016: OECD Indicators

THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

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0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Chart 3: International student enrolments as a percentage of total enrolments (2014)

Source: Education at a Glance 2016: OECD Indicators

Australia has the third highest proportion of international

students (18%), behind Luxembourg (44%) and NZ (19%).

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BREXIT AND TRUMP: PUSH/PULL EFFECT?

US: post-Trump LATAM and Middle East students not feeling welcome

39% of US universities reporting decline in international apps (AACARO, IIE, NAFSA, NACAC, International ACAC)

UK: post-Brexit Will EU students look beyond the UK?

Recruitment of non-EU students “virtually stagnant” (Dominic Scott, UKCISA)

Europe: rise of right wing parties/governments not friendly to foreign students

Is Australia poised to see a subsequent increase? Increasingly seen as a safer, high-quality destination

Austrade considering a second LATAM education counsellor

post in Mexico (in addition to Brazil)

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OTHER SOBERING TRENDS

OECD mobility figures positive, but:

Newly competing education hubs e.g. China, Malaysia, Singapore

Non-English speaking destinations increasingly popular

International schools in Asia massive enrolment

increases

Expanding field of providers, products

and online provision

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AUSTRALIA: UNDERSTANDING THE QUANTUM

Currently 554,000 international students These numbers could almost double to nearly

990,000 by 2025 (Deloitte Access Economics)

National export income: $21 billion, 3rd largest export

130,000 Australians employed in the sector

Student enrolments increased 10.9% in 2016:

But how is Queensland’s market share faring?

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2016 ENROLMENTS PERCENTAGE GROWTH ON 2015

Higher education 306,691 43% 12.9%

VET 187,801 26% 11.6%

ELICOS 151,110 21% 4.3%

Schools 23,325 3% 13.6%

Non-award 43,957 6% 17.3%

TOTAL 712,884 100% 10.9%

QUEENSLAND’S MARKET SHARE 2013–2016

QLD has 16.4% market share in 2016 (-1.1% since 2013)

By contrast: Victoria is up 1.5%

QLD 8.7% cumulative growth over the past 4 years By contrast: Victoria +13%, NSW +11.5%, Tasmania: +16%

Source: Darragh Murray (QUT) / Department of Education and Training

Figure 2: International commencements (all sectors) by state/territory, 2013–2016.

LATEST ENROLMENTS: YTD DEC 2016

All sectors

NATIONALITY NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT NAT TOTAL

% diff.

on YTD

Dec

2015

China 74,477 68,179 22,154 14,047 7,297 2,035 188 7,936 2 196,315 +15.34%

India 18,900 34,347 12,103 3,563 7,930 587 292 702 0 78,424 +8.17%

South Korea 14,269 5,381 7,021 939 2,197 211 43 534 0 30,595 +6.51%

Thailand 19,138 7,071 2,641 272 978 89 69 193 0 30,451 +8.89%

Vietnam 9,847 13,038 2,445 1,565 2,251 137 90 393 0 29,766 +0.65%

Brazil 13,945 3,197 8,398 793 3,015 32 7 50 3 29,440 +19.33%

Malaysia 5,606 13,162 3,182 1,775 3,699 709 24 345 2 28,504 +18.16%

Nepal 14,366 3,906 2,097 774 987 209 382 91 0 22,812 +15.17%

Indonesia 11,219 5,432 974 354 1,299 23 149 281 0 19,731 +2.23%

Hong Kong 5,146 4,339 3,476 2,013 2,133 171 28 280 0 17,586 +10.33%

Other 81,600 62,698 47,010 8,108 23,488 1,672 1,047 3,634 3 229,260 +8.03%

TOTAL 268,513 220,750 111,501 34,203 55,274 5,875 2,319 14,439 10 712,884 +10.49%

Source: Department of Education and Training, December 2016

LATEST COMMENCEMENTS: YTD DEC 2016

All sectors

NATIONALITY NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT NAT TOTAL

% diff.

on YTD

Dec

2015

China 41,182 36,100 13,216 7,432 3,922 1,261 96 4,312 0 107,521 +14.92%

India 10,032 18,266 5,954 1,788 5,000 266 114 284 0 41,704 +1.58%

Brazil 10,102 2,262 6,285 459 2,134 26 3 26 0 21,297 +17.96%

Thailand 12,385 4,728 1,818 169 651 54 44 106 0 19,955 +6.45%

South Korea 8,822 3,371 4,316 510 1,455 134 21 281 0 18,910 +6.78%

Vietnam 5,774 7,279 1,267 887 1,359 89 40 194 0 16,889 +1.14%

Malaysia 3,343 7,605 1,441 732 1,956 319 11 140 0 15,547 +26.61%

Colombia 3,657 4,462 3,338 162 963 8 7 29 0 12,626 +21.16%

Nepal 7,851 2,019 1,041 546 570 82 195 30 0 12,334 +15.80%

Taiwan 2,723 2,802 3,117 327 1,769 68 93 83 0 10,982 +18.78%

Other 53,304 34,668 26,135 5,026 13,916 883 460 2,135 0 136,527 +6.48%

TOTAL 159,175 123,562 67,928 18,038 33,695 3,190 1,084 7,620 0 414,292 +9.61%

Source: Department of Education and Training, December 2016

KEY PRIORITIES FOR AUSTRALIA & QLD

Employability

International student accommodation

Student and academic mobility

Transnational education (TNE)

Research collaboration

Education agent quality assurance

Community impact research

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111,404 offshore students enrolled in Australian universities in 2014, numbers stable 68% undergraduate, 72% full-time

Diversification of modes of program delivery: Pathways (foundation, diplomas)

Mobility between locations

Joint masters and doctorates

Major focus on non-award transnational education: Web and app-based online learning,

(e.g. 3P Learning has over 4.8 million users globally)

Short courses

Workplace training

Licensing curriculum

TAFE Queensland has contracted with Indonesian

Ministry for offshore delivery initiatives

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TRANSNATIONAL EDUCATION

THE QUEENSLAND OFFER

Relaxed beach culture/clean, green environment

Inexpensive living costs compared to most states

Large and growing migrant diaspora from many

key student source countries

Unique regional and tropical climate related

course offerings

Great availability of part-time work opportunities

for international students

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THANK-YOU

Phil Honeywood

CEO, IEAA