The People's Liberation Army of China: Its Raison D'etre, Current State and Trajectory

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    A

    PEOPLESLIBERATIONARMYOF CHINA:

    Itsraison dtre,

    current statetrajectoryand

    THE

    9.4VOLUME

    PAPEROCCASIONAL

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    With the growing presence and inuence of the

    Peoples Republic of China (PRC) as an economic

    heavyweight and polit ical leader in the regional and

    global arenas, Filipino academics and policymakers

    are beginning to cultivate a keen interest in the

    Peoples Liberation Army (PLA) as Chinas hard

    instrument of national power. Since its inception in

    1927, the PLA has arguably become a stabilizing

    force for China after its so-called Century of

    Humiliation; the PLA has played the pivotal roles ofliberating the country from Western and Japanese

    imperialism and of perpetuating the one-party rule

    of the Communist Party of China (CPC). However,

    the growing tension over the territorial and maritime

    disputes in the South China Sea and East China

    Sea in recent years lead one to question whether or

    not the PLA, with its rapidly expanding regional and

    global footprint, is going to be a destabilizing force to

    the international liberal order. This strategic research

    paper sheds light on the PLAits raison dtre,

    current state and trajectoryto gain a balanced

    perspective on the said military organization and

    help Filipino academics and policymakers criticallyassess whether continuously tilting towards the

    US (and allies) and balancing against China is

    the best way forward for the Philippines.

    * The views and opinions expressed in this Paper are those of the author and do not necessarily

    PEOPLESLIBERATIONARMY OF CHINA:

    Itsraison dtre,current state

    trajectoryand

    THE

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    THE CHINESE PEOPLE'S LIBERATION ARMY

    The guard of honor of the Ch inese People's L iberation Army's Three Services

    participates in a rehearsal for the military parade in commemoration of the70th anniversary of end of World War II in Tiananmen Square, Beijing.

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    A Close Examination of thePeoples Liberation Army

    The PLA is the armed forces of China which is under the

    direct control of the ruling CPC.1 The PLA is tasked to

    help advance the so-called six (6) core national interests,

    namely: (a) state sovereignty; (b) national security; (c)

    territorial integrity; (d) national reunication; (e) Chinaspolitical system established by the Constitution and

    overall social stability; and (f) basic safeguards for

    ensuring sustainable economic and social development.2

    Given these core interests, one may conclude that China

    through the PLA hopes to achieve the following strategic

    objectives: (a) maintaining a stable political and security

    environment conducive to continued economic growth;

    (b) securing trade routes transiting the region; (c) gaining

    access to regional energy resources (i.e. oil and natural

    gas) and raw materials; and (d) gaining inuence

    to defeat perceived attempts at strategic

    encirclement or containment.

    Founded in Nanchang, Jiangxi Province on 1 August

    1927, the PLA is currently the largest military in the world,

    with a total troop membership of around 2.3 million as of

    June 2015.3 In contrast to the militaries of other countries

    in the world such as the US whose allegiance lies in the

    State and the Constitution, the PLA is beholden to the

    Party which, under the Marxist-Leninist-Maoist political

    ideological framework, is the sole representative of

    the people. Hence, the PLA within the Chinese

    party-state system is the military wing of the CPC

    and the guarantor of its one-party rule.4

    A. Armed Forces Division

    In Chinese military parlance, the so-called PLA force providers are the

    PLA Army (PLAA), the PLA Navy (PLAN), the PLA Air Force (PLAAF),

    and the PLA Second Artillery Force (PLA SAF). The Paramilitary and

    reserve forces are also included as force providers.5 Based on the2006 National Defense White Paper, PLA forces have undergone

    drastic downsizing since mid-1980s.6 The PLAAs share in the total

    force structure went down from 77% in 1985 to 69% in 2014. 7

    Conversely, PLAN grew from 8.6% in 1985 to 10% in 2014, the

    PLAAF from 12% to 17%, and the PLA SAF from 2% to 4%.8

    FIGURE 1. ACTIVE AND RESERVE PERSONNEL BY SERVICEIN THE PLA IN 2014

    Source: CHINESE S TRATEGY AND MILITARY POWER IN 2014, P.163

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    Distribution of the armed forces throughout t he Chinese mainland

    Source: US DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE

    The PLA is composed of 2,285,000 active troops and 510,000 reserve forces, which far surpasses US military

    troop numbers.9 According to the 2013 Defense White Paper, PLAN accounts for 235,000 troops and the

    PLAAF for 398,000 troops.10 The PLAAs mobile operational units comprise 850,000 troops of an estimated

    total of 1.6 million PLAA troops. The PLA SAF accounts for about 100,000 personnel.11 Interesting ly, Chinas

    paramilitary forces, such as the Peoples Armed Police (PAP), has a total strength of 660,000 sta as well as the

    militia.12 Since its activation in 1983, the PAP was primarily tasked to address internal security challenges, such

    as natural disasters and ethnic and social unrest,especially in the restive regions of Xinjiang and Tibet.13

    B. Organizational Structureand Command Chain

    Distributed into seven (7) military regions, the P

    as force employers, namely: Shenyang, Beiji

    Jinan, Nanjing, Guangzhou, and Chengdu.14

    overseen by four (4) general departments, nam

    General Sta Headquarters, the General Politic

    the General Logistics Department, and the Ge

    Department.15 The PLAN, PLAAF and PLA SA

    have separate headquarters.16

    FIGURE 2. THE PLAS STRUCTURE AND COM

    Source: UNDERSTANDING CHINAS POLITICLA SYSTEM, MARCH

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    Under the Chinese command chain, the CMC plays a crucial roleit

    exerts direct organizational control over the PLA. The CMC oversees

    military and defense aairs and is a high-prole party body, through

    which the CCP exerts control over the PLA since the 1930s.17 The

    Ministry of National Defence is subordinated to the State Council and

    is outside the PLAs direct command structure. It serves as a liaison

    oce with foreign militaries. Meanwhile, the PAP being an auxiliaryforce to the PLA and law enforcement body is subject to a dierent,

    dual command structure18it is both under the supervision of the

    CMC and the State Council through the Ministry of Public Security.

    On 26 November 2015, Chinese President Xi Xinping announced

    the comprehensive reorganization and overhaul of the current

    military administration structure and command system of the PLA.19

    According to Beijing-based military expert Song Zhongping, the new

    military structure will unburden the theater commands of personnel

    management and administrative responsibilities and allow them to

    focus mainly on war-ghting.20 Said overhaul comes as a

    response to growing geopolitical tensions vis--vis the

    globalization of its security and developmental interests.21

    Under the new structure, the CMC will now administer both the PLA

    and the PAP, while the battle zone commands will focus on combat

    operations.22 Said reform will institutionalize a three-tier CMC-battle

    zone commands-troops command system and an administration

    system that runs from CMC through dierent services down to the

    troops.23 Furthermore, the armed forces will be more professionally

    and eectively managed by int roducing modern management

    techniques, reducing its troops by 300,000, and downsizing its

    administrative and non-combatant personnel.24 Lastly, to ensure

    party loyalty and curb corruption, a new discipline inspection

    commission will be established within the CMC to conduct regular

    disciplinary inspections to CMC departments and zone commands.25

    PLAs Seven Old Military Regions

    Source: US DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE

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    The new theater commands are generally

    patterned after former area commands,

    with a more enhanced command and

    logistics support functions.26

    The ve(5) new theater commands will be the

    following: Eastern Theater Command (to

    be headed by commander Liu Yuejun

    and political commissar Zheng Weiping);

    Southern Theater Command (commander

    Wang Jiaocheng and political commissar

    Wei Liang); Western Theater Command

    (Zhao Zongqi and political commissar

    Zhu Fuxi); Northern Theater Command

    (commander Song Puxuan and political

    commissar Chu Yimin); and Central

    Theater Command (commander Han

    Weiguo and political commissar YinFanglong).27Said theater commands

    will be run by the joint battle command

    system and be responsible for addressing

    the security threats within their respective

    strategic scopes, maintaining peace,

    containing or winning wars, and

    safeguarding the countrys overall national

    security and military strategies.28Source: The STRAITS TIMES

    PLAs Five New Theater Commands

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    C. Defense Budget

    The Chinese defense budget has been on a

    constant, upward trajectory.29 Between 1998 and

    2007, military expenditure went up by almost 16%

    on average, year on year.30 This is comparable to

    the surge in the annual state expenditure by about

    18%, and the PRCs average annual GDP growth of

    roughly 12%.31 In 2014, PLA defense budget was

    registered at US$132 billion, which was a 12.2%

    increase over the preceding year. On March 4,

    2015, China announced that it would further raise

    its defense budget by approximately 10%.32 While

    this raise is lower than the previous years 12.2%

    increase, the budget nonetheless reects the fth

    consecutive year with a double digit increase in

    ocial military spending.33 This would then

    translate to roughly $US145 billion.34

    The PLAs defense budget composition is as follows:

    personnel expenses, mainly including pay, food

    and clothing of military and non-military personnel;costs for maintenance of activities, mainly including

    military training, construction and maintenance

    of facilities and running expenses; and costs for

    equipment, including research and experimentation,

    procurement, maintenance, transportation and

    storage.35 These expenditures include militia and

    reserve requirements.36 A large amount of spending

    is devoted to fund activities associated with social

    welfare, mainly pensions for some of the retired

    ocers, schools and kindergartens for children of

    military personnel, training personnel competent

    for both military and civilian services, supporting

    national economic construction, and participation inemergency rescues and disaster relief eorts.37

    Summary of Military Budget of the Peoples Liberation Army 38

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    D. Doctrine and Strategy

    Chinas national objectives and strategic interests

    serve as the bases for its military doctrine and

    strategy. Dubbed as Active Defense/Active Oshore

    Defense,39 the objective of the PLA is to ght local

    wars under high-tech conditions.40 Said objective

    requires smaller, more specialized rapid-reactionforces, possession of a limited oensive and

    force projection capability, and the option

    of preemptive military action.41

    For the PLAN, in particular, the Active Defense/

    Active Oshore Defense strategy entails an

    evolutionary shift from its Static Coastal Defense

    role to Active Oshore Defense. Through this

    shift, Chinese naval assets are employed for both

    tactical and strategic purposes in asserting control

    of coastal economic regions and maritime interests,

    and for optimizing the Navys operations for national

    defense. Said Chinese maritime strategy is crediteddirectly or indirectly to General Liu Huaqing, PLAN

    head from 1982 to 1987 and CMC vice chairman

    from 1988 to 1997.42 He advocated for the

    expansion of PLAN navys operations from coastal

    defense to oshore active defense.43

    At the heart of the Active Oshore Defense

    doctrine is the so-called Two-Island Chain or

    Leap East strategy which denes the geostrategic

    theaters in East Asia that the PLA aspires to control:

    This rst island chain area encompasses the

    Yellow Sea, facing Korea and Japan; the western

    East China Sea; and the South China Sea,

    extending deep into Southeast Asia. It addresses

    many of Chinas maritime national i nterests: the

    concentration of economic investment along

    the coast, oshore territorial claims, oceanic

    resources, and coastal defense. It is ambitious

    in scope, extending from approximately 200 to

    700 nm from the mainland, to include Taiwan and

    the South China Sea land features claimed by

    Beijing as sovereign territory. The second island

    chain bounds Lius second strategic maritime

    area: a north-south line from the Kuriles through

    Japan, the Bonins, the Marianas, the Carolines,and Indonesia. This is a much more ambitious

    goal than that implied by the rst island chain,

    since it encompasses

    approximately 1,800

    including most of the

    Asian SLOCs. The thi

    maritime strategy pos

    force built around airc

    the middle of the 21st

    imply a PLAN many t

    capable than Chinas

    however, global naval

    in a eet of ballistic m

    capable of launchingmissiles (ICBMs) and

    cruise missiles.44

    Chinas Two-Island Chain or Leap East Strategy

    Source: BBC.CO.UK

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    E. Force Modernization Goals and Trends

    The modernization of the PLA was kick-started in

    the late 1970s and had three major goals: First,

    under the political leadership of Deng Xiaoping, the

    military sought to clarify its relationship with the civilian

    branch of government.45 The PLA gradually returned

    to its pre-Cultural Revolution relationship with the

    CPC and became disengaged from civilian politics.46

    Deng reasserted civilian control over the military by

    undertaking the following measures: (a) appointment

    of his supporters to key military leadership positions;

    (b) reduction of the scope of the PLAs domestic

    nonmilitary role; and (c) revitalization of the

    party political structure and ideological

    control system within the PLA.47

    Second, modernization required the reform of military

    organization, doctrine, education and training, and

    personnel policies to improve combat eectiveness in

    combined-arms warfare.48

    To achieve organizationalreforms, the Chinese government created the CMC,

    reduced and streamlined the PLA forces, civilianized

    many of the PLA unit s, reorganized military regions,

    formed group armies, and enacted the new Military

    Service Law in 1984.49 Doctrine, strategy, and tactics

    were revised under the rubric of peoples war based

    on the contemporary security environment, which

    envisaged a forward defense at selected locations

    near Chinas borders, to prevent attack on Chinese

    cities and industrial sites, and emphasized operations

    using combined-arms tactics.50 Furthermore, reforms

    in education and training gave strong emphasis on

    improving the military skills and raising the educationlevels of ocers and troops and conducting combined

    arms operations.51 New personnel policies fostered the

    upgrading in the quality of PLA recruits and

    ocer candidates, thereby improving their conditions

    of service, changing promotion practices to

    stress professional competence, and

    providing new uniforms and insignia.52

    The third goal of military modernization was the radical

    transformation of the whole defense establishment

    into a system capable of i ndependently maintaining

    a modern military force.53 As military expenditures

    remained relatively constant, reforms focused on

    the reorganization of the defense research-and-

    development and industrial base to better integrate

    civilian and military science and industry more closely.54

    Foreign technology was used selectively in the

    upgrading of weapons.55 Defense industry reforms also

    transformed the Chinese defense economy from being

    import-driven to export-driven, thereby allowing its full

    entry into the international arms market and paving

    the way for the increased production of civilian goods

    by local defense industries.56

    The scope of PLA localeconomic engagements was reduced, but the military

    continued to participate in infrastructure development

    projects and initiated a reintegration program to provide

    demobilized soldiers with technical skills deemed

    benecial in the civilian economy.57

    The latest Chinas Military Strategy dated May

    2015 is a pertinent document that sheds light on the

    PLAs modernization trends based on the countrys

    framing of the national security situation. From

    the Chinese perspective, the US rebalancing and

    Japans normalization, both fostered by the shift in

    the economic and strategic center of gravity towardsthe Asia-Pacic, are some of the latest security

    developments to pose a direct threat to Beijings

    Comparison of PLAs old and new force struct

    Source: South China Morning Post

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    Image Credit: xinhua

    sovereignty and territorial integrity.58 These developments transpire against the

    backdrop of Chinas growing economic and strategic interests abroad

    in accordance with its New Silk Road Strategy.59 As a response to

    the changing security situation, the PLA seeks to implement the

    military strategic guideline of active defense.60

    The South China Morning Post recently published an infographic thatencapsulates the present as well as possible future force structure and troop

    strength of the PLA based on the latest military strategy. The PLA will then

    undergo professionalization through internal rebalancing of it s major service

    branches, with the navy and air force assuming equal status as that of the

    army.61 Meanwhile, a national guard will replace the Peoples Armed Police.62

    President Xi arms the envisioned force restructuring: During the 02 September

    2015 PLA military parade in commemoration of 70 years of end of World War II,

    he announced that he would reduce the countrys military personnel by 300,000

    until 2017, thereby shrinking the military forces to roughly 2,000,000 personnel.63

    This is an integral part of the accelerated modernization of the PLA which

    would shift spending from the traditional land forces to more advanced

    sea and air forces.64 Said shift would require fewer but higher-skilledmilitary personnel and pave way for the development of more

    technologically sophisticated oensive/defensive capabilities.65

    Similarly, Yang Yujun, spokesperson for Chinas Ministry of National Defense,

    explained that through the cut of troops number, Chinas military will further

    adjust and optimize its scale and structure, make its troops more capable and

    its structure more scientic, and construct a modern military force system with

    Chinese characteristics.66 He further remarked that cutting the number of

    troops is conducive to pooling resources, speeding up the pace

    and improving the quality of informatization construction.67

    As of writing, the latest development within the PLA is President Xis assumption

    of the new title, Commander in Chief of the joint battle command center of the

    PLA.68 According to You Ji, overseer of the Department of Government and Public Ad

    University of Macau, the new title symbolizes that Xi will exert a more direct role in the

    control of the joint battle command systems with the aim of strengthening inter-servic

    coordination and raising the prospects of mili tary victory.69

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    Dressed in combat fatigues, Ch

    military officers in the Central Military Cthe newest and highest

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    2015 PLA Capabilities and Trajectories

    Source: US Department of Defense 2015 Annual Report to Congress70

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    Critical Analysis

    Overall, the PLA under Xi is undergoing radical

    force restructuring, transforming from an army-

    centric to a navy/air force-centric military with

    a greater qualitative edge at an unprecedented

    pace. This restructuring can be explained byrecent developments in Chinas domestic, regional

    and global strategic and economic landscapes.

    Domestically, the relatively stable internal security

    situation, the civilianization of law enforcement

    agencies and the looming cost of maintaining huge

    personnel disincentivize the PLAs sustainment of

    massive ground forces. Regionally, the perception of

    containment by the US and its network of security

    allies in the Asia-Pacic regionthe Philippines

    includednecessitates the PLA to strengthen its

    naval and aerial capabilities for better deterrence

    and force projection. Globally, the internationalization

    of its developmental interests as shown in One Belt-

    One Road Initiative (OBOR) creates the imperative

    for the PLA to develop more advanced capabilities

    to protect Chinas sea lanes of communications

    (SLOCs) and transcontinental roads and railways.

    It is highly unlikely, however, that the PLA will be

    able to proceed smoothly with it s radical force

    restructuring in the coming years. Internally, the

    ongoing anti-corruption campaign of Xi in the military

    is opening up a Pandoras box that could create

    more instability within Chinas defense and security

    establishment. The arrest last year of Xu Caihou,former general of the PLA and vice-chairman of

    the CMC, amid allegations of accepting bribes for

    promotion as well as the punishment of more than

    200 ocers of lieutenant-colonel rank and above

    since 201371 has not only sent a strong message

    against other military personnel who are embroiled

    in various corruption activities. Over and above, the

    arrest has raised the question on what constitutesthe threshold for labeling certain activities as corrupt

    and how loyalty to Xi could factor in into

    the determination of that threshold. Nevertheless,

    once Xi overplays his scare tactics, the PLA may

    soon nd itself deeply polarized as the beneciaries

    of the old military command structure may

    opt to band together to protect their

    vested interests and reputations.

    Externally, the convergence of territorial and

    maritime disputes between China and its

    neighboring ASEAN countries, on the one hand,

    and the growing concern of extra-regional powers,

    namely the US, Japan, South Korea, and Australia

    to preserve freedom of navigation, on the other

    hand, is further raising the risk calculus for the

    PLAalong with China maritime coast guardto

    achieve uncontested supremacy over Chinas near

    seas. In the foreseeable future, the PLA will

    then have to contend with three (3) major

    challenges in line with Chinas bid for regional

    supremacyand global presence:

    (a) On the legal front, the much-anticipated United

    Nations (UN) arbitral tribunal ruling expectedfor May 201672 is highly likely to undermine the

    principle of 9-dashed li

    of ownership over the e

    well as raise Chinas re

    compliance.

    (b) On the political fron

    Abe (Japan),73 reappoTrong (Vietnam),74 and

    (Taiwan)75 raises the

    convergence of the

    policies which, in turn, w

    security pacts with the

    (c) On the military fro

    its allies, Japan and

    likely to up the ante on

    operations (FONOPS)76

    commons.

    Tightening Grip within tAlliance: Is this the Bes

    The massive withdrawal o

    forces from Subic Bay nav

    in 1992 brought the Philip

    position within the US-led

    been sheltered by the US

    and dragged into low-leve

    operations from within thr

    the Armed Forces of the P

    lagged behind vis--vis its

    region in fully developing i

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    Im

    defense capabilities. This has rendered Manila highly

    vulnerable against gradual Chinese assertion of

    sovereignty over West Philippine Sea which began

    with the occupation of Mischief Reef in 1995

    and intensied with the seizure of Scarborough

    Shoal in 2012 as well as island construction

    in Spratlys from 2014 up to present.

    With the growing militarization of the West

    Philippine Sea, the AFP is currently fast-tracking

    its modernization program to achieve minimum

    credible defense posture vis--vis the PLA which is

    tantamount to an eective force present inside the

    Philippines and its exclusive economic zone with

    exhibited competence to defend the country and

    protect its national interests if the need arises.77

    As a US treaty ally, however, such modernization

    program may be viewed as a bid to better augment

    the Allied Forces in preserving the current US-

    dominated regional security architecture.

    Amidst the brewing great power rivalry, what then

    are the advantages and disadvantages for the

    Philippines next administration in adopting Benigno

    Aquino III administrations balance-of-power

    logic by tilting towards the US (and allies)

    and balancing against China?

    In continuing the Aquino administrations policy, the

    Philippines will become better integrated with the

    US as well as Japan, South Korea and Australia

    within the American security umbrella. In this regard,

    the Philippines will be able to increase its overall

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    deterrence capability as it simultaneously pursues

    internal and external balancing: Internally, as the

    AFP is undertaking force restructuring and strategic

    reorientation from internal security towards territorial

    defense, closer military ties with the US (and

    allies) will allow Manila greater preferential access

    to Western armaments, capital, technology andinteroperability training to accelerate its capability

    upgrade programs and possibly pump prime its

    defense manufacturing industry. Externally, the

    enhancement of formal alliance with Washington

    and informal military alliances with Tokyo, Canberra

    and Seoul will signicantly raise the risk calculus

    for the PLA to assert full sovereignty over the West

    Philippine Sea and disrupt freedom of navigation

    and overight which is the shared interest

    among all members of the alliance.

    Over time, the Philippine national interest to

    defend its territories in the disputed waters and USnational interest to defend freedom of navigation

    and overight would see greater convergence. The

    ongoing militarization of Chinas articial islands in

    the Kalayaan Island Groupconstruction of network

    of airstrips, deep-water ports and other military-

    capable infrastructureis necessitating the US

    Seventh Fleet to raise the quantity of its naval and

    aerial assets as well as increase the frequency of

    its patrol activities of in West Philippine Sea. This is

    providing a stronger impetus for Japan and Australia

    to take a more proactive stance in jointly supporting

    the US in protecting the sea lanes of communication

    (SLOCS). In the short- and medium-term, the

    formation of a triangulated defense of SLOCS

    (de facto US-Japan-Australia alliance) will provide

    a rm layer of external deterrence for the

    Philippines while the latter is boosting itscoast guard and naval capabilities.

    On the other hand, putting all eggs in Washingtons

    basket risks diminishing Manilas foreign policy

    exibility in exploring alternative avenues for long-

    term political resolution of the territorial and maritime

    disputes in West Philippine Sea. By invoking greater

    US as well as Japanese and Australian milit ary

    presence in the contested seas, the Philippines

    could contribute to China hardening its antagonistic

    stance toward the Philippines at a time when

    Chinas foreign policy thrust is otherwise that of

    improving relations with its neighbors. By furtherdrawing the US (and allies) into the equation, Manila

    may narrow the space for China to be able to

    exercise pragmatismwhich it showed when it

    agreed to pull out the Haiyang Shiyou-981

    oil rig last year after erce stando

    and mass protests in Vietnam.

    In the long-term, however, the prevalence of such

    defense posturing by the US, Japanese and

    Australian armed forces vis--vis the PLA could

    render the resolution or s

    maritime disputes betwee

    China much more dicult

    China rejects external inte

    what it perceives as bilate

    disputes, the Philippines

    re-explore critical areas osocio-cultural cooperatio

    mutual trust and conden

    Gloria Arroyo and Hu Jint

    could also narrow the win

    greater military-to-military

    the AFP and PLA, especi

    assistance and disaster re

    (HADRO), peacekeeping

    and internal security oper

    Continued deterioration o

    bilateral relations could w

    institutions and frameworChina and the ASEAN Re

    The Philippine governme

    this further contribute to a

    prospect for the formation

    arrangement that include

    new regional security arch

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    Conclusion

    The Peoples Liberation Army has gone a long way from being a

    small ragtag guerrilla force in Nanchang into the Communist Party

    of Chinas colossal modern armed forces, promoting the security

    and developmental interests of the worlds nascent economic

    and political power, the Peoples Republic of China. The PLAsgrowing regional and global footprint is, in eect, altering threat

    perceptions, the regional balance of military power, and risk

    calculi in the greater geopolitical game. For this reason, it is

    imperative for the Philippines to transcend the amorphous China

    threat metanarrative that has dominated the political-security

    discourse in the Philippines and objectively re-examine

    what the PLA is, why it exists and where it is headed.

    By comprehensively reviewing the multifaceted aspects of the PLA

    as a military organization (i.e. organization, chain of command,

    budget, doctrine and strategy, and modernization goals and

    trends), one may conclude that the PLA is the new indispensable

    factor in the Philippines security equation. The PLA deservesserious attention in national security policy formulation and

    military strategy-making. Finally, an unadulterated picture of the

    PLA as Chinas hard power instrument in pursuing its objectives

    should lead key stakeholders in the Philippine government and

    academia to the naked realization that adherence to the Aquino

    administrations balancing strategy will have positive and negative

    consequences well within and beyond the military realm.

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    Endnotes:

    1 Embassy of the Peoples Republic of China in the Re-public of India, White Paper: Chinas Peaceful Development,2011, Chinese Government.

    2 Ibid.3 Grieger, Gisela, The Role of the Army in Chinas Poli-tics, European Parliamentary Research Service, 29 June2015, accessed 26 October 2015, http://www.europarl.

    europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2015/564375/EPRS_BRI(2015)564375_EN.pdf.4 Ibid.5 Ibid.6 Ibid.7 Ibid.8 Chinese Strategy and Military Power in 2014, op. cit.,p. 162.9 The Military Balance, International Institute of Stra-tegic Studies, 2013, p. 287, cited in Chinese Strategy andMilitary Power in 2014, op. cit, p. 159.10 Gisela Grieger, The Role of the Army in Chinas Poli-tics, European Parliamentary Research Service.11 D.J. Blasko, The 2013 Defense White Paper in Per-

    spective, China Brief, Vol. XIII, issue 9, 25 April 2013, pp.6-10.12 Gisela Grieger, The Role of the Army in Chinas Poli-tics, European Parliamentary Research Service.13 Ibid.14 Ibid.15 Ibid.16 Ibid.17 J.C Mulvenon and N.D. Yang, The Peoples Liber-alization Army as Organization, RAND National SecurityResearch Division, 2002, pp. 45-121.18 Gisela Grieger, The Role of the Army in Chinas Poli-tics, European Parliamentary Research Service.19 Xi urges breakthroughs in military structural re-form, Xinhuanet, 26 November 2015, accessed 09 Feb-ruary 2016, http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2015-11/26/c_134859089.htm.20 Teo Cheng Wee, Military rezoning shows Chinas

    focus is on winning wars, The Straits Times, 03 February2016, accessed 09 February 2016, http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/military-rezoning-shows-chinas-focus-is-on-winning-wars.21 Ibid.22 Xi urges breakthroughs in military structural reform,

    Xinhuanet.

    23 Ibid.24 Ibid.25 Ibid.26 Chinas military regrouped into ve PLA theatercommands, Xinhuanet, 01 February 2016, accessed 09February 2016, http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2016-02/01/c_135065429.htm.27 Ibid.28 Ibid.29 Gisela Grieger, The Role of the Army in Chinas Poli-tics, European Parliamentary Research Service.30 Ibid.31 Ibid.

    32 Chinas Defense Budget, GlobalSecurity,org, ac-cessed 27 October 2015, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/china/budget.htm.33 Ibid.34 Ibid.35 Ibid.36 Ibid.37 Ibid.38 Ibid.39 Bernard Cole, The PLA Navy and Active Defense,Global Security.org, accessed 06 May 2015, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/library/report/2003/pla-china_transition_11_ch07.htm.40 Ibid.41 Ibid.42 Ibid.

    43 Ibid.

    44 Ibid.45 China Military Organization, The Library of CongressCountry Studies and CIA World Factbook in Photius.com,accessed 27 October 2015, http://www.photius.com/countries/china/economy/china_economy_military_organi-zatio~7400.html.

    46 Ibid.47 Ibid.48 Ibid.49 Ibid.50 Ibid.51 Ibid.52 Ibid.53 Ibid.54 Ibid.55 Ibid.56 Ibid.

    57 Ibid.58 Chinas Military Strategy, Ministry of National De-fense: The Peoples Republic of China, May 2015, accessed27 October 2015, http://eng.mod.gov.cn/Database/White-Papers/.59 Ibid.60 Ibid.61 How China will rebuild its Peoples Liberation Army,South China Morning Post, 02 September 2015, accessed27 October 2015, http://www.scmp.com/infographics/article/1854629/infographic-how-china-will-rebuild-its-peo-ples-liberation-army?comment-sort=recommended.62 Ibid.63 Edward Wong, Jane Perlez and Chris Buckley, Chi-na Announces Cuts of 300,000 Troops at Military ParadeShowing Its Might, The New York Times, 02 September2015, accessed 27 October 2015, http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/03/world/asia/beijing-turns-into-ghost-town-as-it-gears-up-for-military-parade.html?_r=0.

    64 Ibid.65 Ibid.66 Shannon Tiez300, 000 Troops, Tcessed 27 October the-real-reason-chin67

    Ibid.68 Austin Ramzya New Title: Comm21 April 2016, accescom/2016/04/22/wmander.html?_r=0,69 Ibid.70 US Departmegress: Military and Peoples Republic o71 Charles Clovecorruption purge, F28 October 2015, h2eb8-11e5-91ac-a572 Patricia Lourdpines vs China decisDecember 2015, acphilstar.com/headlin

    issue-philippines-vs73 Shinzo Abe reNews, 24 Decembehttp://www.bbc.com74 Mike Ives, VGuard Leader a New27 January 2016, acnytimes.com/2016/party-nguyen-phu-t75 Tsai Ing-wen BBC News, 17 Januhttp://www.bbc.com76 Dan de Lucewarship to challengeicy, 26 October 201foreignpolicy.com/2challenge-chinas-fa77 Bong Lozadature, Inquirer.net, 2http://newsinfo.inqdefense-posture.

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    is an independent international and strategic researchorganization with the principal goal of addressing theissues affecting the Philippines and East Asia

    Stratbases Albert Del Rosario Institute

    9F 6780 Ayala Avenue, Makati CityPhilippines 1200

    V 8921751F 8921754

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    ABOUT

    Mark Davis M. Pablois a Research Analyst at the ADR Institute. He graduated CumLaude from the Ateneo de Manila University in 2012 with abachelors degree in Political Science and Philosophy. Prior tojoining the ADR Institute, Mr. Pablo specialized in Stra tegic Studies.He began his career as a Defence Researcher/Analyst in theOfce for Strategic Studies and Strategy Management (OSSSM),the think tank of the General Headquarters, Armed Forces of the

    Philippines (AFP) from 2013 to 2015. During his two-and-a-halfyear stint, he engaged in strategic research, analysis andassessment, policy formulation, event organizing, academiclecturing, and public relations for the armed forces. His elds ofinterest include: Chinas defence and foreign policy; South ChinaSea conict; maritime security; ASEAN multilateral securityand defence cooperation; and terrorism and politicalviolence in Southeast Asia and the Middle East.

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