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    ThePatientProtectionandAffordableCareAct,Consolidation,andtheConsequentImpactonCompetitioninHealthcare

    SubcommitteeonRegulatoryReform,CommercialandAntitrustLaw

    CommitteeontheJudiciary

    UnitedStatesHouseofRepresentatives

    BarakD.Richman*BartlettProfessorofLawandBusinessAdministration

    DukeUniversity

    I. Introduction.......................................................................................................................................1

    II. ExplainingPastFailuresinAntitrustPolicy..................................................................... ...4

    A.DispellingtheMyththatNonprofitHospitalsDoNotExercisePricingPower....6

    B.DispellingtheMyththatNonprofitHospitalsUseProfitsforCharitablePurposes............................................... ............................................. ............................................ ...10

    III. TheParticularCostlinessofHealthcareProviderMonopolies:MarketPower+Insurance.........................................................................................................................................15

    A.SupraMonopolyPricing...........................................................................................................16

    B.MisallocativeConsequences........................................... .................................................. .......19

    IV. ANewAntitrustAgenda............................................................................................................22

    A.TheSpecialProblemofAccountableCareOrganizations..........................................24

    B.RequiringUnbundlingofMonopolizedServices......................................... ...................29

    C.ChallengingAnticompetitiveTermsinInsurerProviderContracts......................32

    V. Conclusion.......................................................................................................................................35

    *ManyoftheideasexpressedhereinarederivedfromscholarshipcoauthoredwithClarkC.Havighurst.

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    1

    I. IntroductionThankyouMr.Chairmanandmembersofthecommittee.Itisanhonortotestify

    beforeyouonatopicthatisextraordinarilyimportanttoournationslongterm

    fiscalhealth.

    LateststatisticsrevealthattheUnitedStatesspendsnearly18%ofitsGross

    DomesticProductonhealthcareservices.ThisisnearlytwicetheaverageforOECD

    nationsandfarmorethan#2,whichspendslessthan12%.Viewedanotherway,

    theUnitedStatesinpurchaseadjusteddollarsspendsmorethantwoandahalf

    timestheOECDaveragepercapitaonhealthcareandmorethanoneandahalf

    timesthesecondlargestspender.Yetinspiteofourleadershipinhealthcare

    spending,wearesafelyinthebottomhalfofOECDnationsonmostmeasuresof

    healthcareoutcomes.

    Wearespendingtoomuchandgettingtoolittleinreturn,andthenationsimply

    isonanunsustainabletrajectory.Alldiscussionsabouthealthcarepolicyshould

    beginwiththerecognitionthatcurbinghealthcarespendingneedstobeamongour

    highestnationalpriorities.Thecostofprivatehealthinsuranceisbankrupting

    companiesandfamiliesalike,andthecostofpublichealthcareprogramsareputting

    unmanageableburdensonthefederalandstatebudgets.

    Manystudiessuggestthatthecostofhealthcareisunsustainablenotbecausewe

    consumetoomuchhealthcare,butbecausewepaytoomuchforthehealthcarethat

    wedoconsume.Inotherwords,asonestudyputitfamously,ItsthePrices,

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    Stupid.1Andoneofthemostseverecontributorstotheriseofhealthcareprices

    hasbeenthealarmingriseinmarketpowerbyhealthcareproviders.

    Thepastseveraldecadeshavewitnessedextraordinaryconsolidationinlocal

    hospitalmarkets,withaparticularlyaggressivemergerwaveoccurringinthe

    1990s.By1995,mergerandacquisitionactivitywasninetimesitslevelatthestart

    ofthedecade,andby2003,almostninetypercentofAmericanslivinginthenations

    largerMSAsfacedhighlyconcentratedmarkets.2Thiswaveofhospital

    consolidationalonewasresponsibleforsharppriceincreases,includingprice

    increasesof40%whenmerginghospitalswerecloselylocated.3Evenafterthis

    mergerwaveinthe1990spromptedalarm,asecondmergerwavefrom2006to

    2009significantlyincreasedthehospitalconcentrationin30MSAs,andthevast

    majorityofAmericansarenowsubjecttomonopolypowerintheirlocalhospital

    markets.4

    1GerardF.Andersonetal.,ItsthePrices,Stupid:WhytheUnitedStatesIsSoDifferentfromOtherCountries,HEALTHAFFS.,MayJune2003,at89.2WilliamB.Vogt&RobertTown,HowHasHospitalConsolidationAffectedthePriceandQualityofHospitalCare?RobertWoodJohnson(2006);ClaudiaH.Williams,et.al.,HowHasHospitalConsolidationAffectedthePriceandQualityofHospitalCare?ROBERTWOODJOHNSONFOUND.,(2006),availableatwww.rwjf.org/files/research/no9policybrief.pdf3Id.Forsurveysofhowhospitalconsolidationshaveincreasedhospitalprices,seeGloriaJ.Bazzolietal.,HospitalReorganizationandRestructuringAchievedThroughMerger,27HEALTHCAREMGMT.REV.7(2002);MartinGaynor,Competitionand

    Qualityin

    Health

    Care

    Markets,2FOUNDATIONS&TRENDSINMICROECONOMICS441

    (2006);seealsoWilliamB.Vogt,HospitalMarketConsolidation:TrendsandConsequences(2006),NATLINST.FORHEALTHCAREMGMT.,availableathttp://nihcm.org/pdf/EVVogt_FINAL.pdf(documentingtheextentofprovidermarketconcentrationamonghospitals&otherproviders).4CoryCapps&DavidDranove,MarketConcentrationofHospitals(June2011),availableat:http://www.ahipcoverage.com/wpcontent/uploads/2011/10/ACOs

    CoryCappsHospitalMarketConsolidationFinal.pdf

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    Hospitalsandhospitalnetworksdidnotachievethismarketdominancethrough

    superiorskill,foresight,andindustry,5whichwouldbeunobjectionableunderthe

    antitrustlaws.Tothecontrary,thisconsolidationoccurredbecauseofmergersand

    acquisitions,andpermittinghospitalmarketstoachievesuchremarkablelevelsof

    consolidationrepresentsamajorfailureofourantitrustpolicy.Thereisplentyof

    blametosharebothDemocraticandRepublicanAdministrations;Congress,the

    Executive,andtheCourtsbutwearenowinapositionwherewemustcopewith

    hospitalmonopolists.Inotherwords,wenotonlymustresistanyadditional

    consolidationthatcreatesgreatermarketpower,butwemustdeveloppolicytools

    thatstemtheharmthatcurrenthospitalmonopolistsareinapositiontoinflict.

    Mytestimonyisdividedintothreeparts.Thefirstbrieflyreviewssomeofthe

    failuresofantitrustpolicythatpermittedhospitalconsolidations,withafocuson

    courtdecisionsinthe1990s.Thesecondpartexplainswhyhospitalandhealthcare

    providermonopolypowerisespeciallycostly,evenmorecostlytoAmerican

    consumersthanwhatonemightcallatypicalmonopolist.Thethirdpart,

    discussesavailablepolicyinstrumentstoprotecthealthcareconsumersagainst

    currentandgrowinghospitalmonopolists.Ofparticularinterestismonitoringthe

    unfurlingofAccountableCareOrganizations(ACOs),whichareencouragedbythe

    PatientProtectionandAffordableCareAct(ACA)and,thoughaimingtoaddress

    importantfailuresincoordinatingcare,poseaseriousdangertocreatingadditional

    providermarketpower.

    5UnitedStatesv.AluminumCo.ofAmerica,148F.2d416,430(2dCir.1945)(Hand,J.)(Thesuccessfulcompetitor,havingbeenurgedtocompete,mustnotbeturneduponwhenhewins.)

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    II. ExplainingPastFailuresinAntitrustPolicyEversincetheantitrustlawswerefirstappliedsystematicallyinthehealthcare

    sectorinthemid1970s,somejudgesandcommentatorshaveresistedgivingthe

    statutorypolicyoffosteringcompetitionitsdueeffectinhealthcaresettings.6

    Between1995and2000,forexample,antitrustenforcersencounteredjudicial

    resistancewhenchallengingmergersofnonprofithospitals,sufferingasixcase

    losingstreakinsuchcasesinthefederalcourts.7Althoughmostofthosepro

    mergerdecisionsostensiblyturnedonfindingsoffact(mostlyinidentifyinga

    geographicmarketinwhichtoestimatethemergersprobableeffectson

    6ForcasesinwhichtheSupremeCourtfounditnecessarytooverrulelowercourtsattemptstoinferspecialantitrustexemptionsorcraftsofterantitrustrulesforhealthcareproviders,seeNationalGerimedicalHospitalandGerontologyCenterv.BlueCrossofKansasCity,452U.S.378(1981)(rejectingimpliedexemptionformarketallocationagreementsbrokeredbyhealthplanningagenciescreatedunderfederalstatute);Patrickv.Burget,486U.S.94(1988)(rejectingstatelegislaturesencouragementofphysicianpeerreviewinhospitalsasabasisforexemptingabusesfromfederalantitrustremedies);SummitHealthv.Pinhas,500U.S.322

    (1991)(easingstandardforestablishingpotentialeffectofhospitalmedicalstaffdecisionsoninterstatecommerce);Arizonav.MaricopaCountyMedicalSocy,457U.S.332(1982)(treatingphysicianscollectiveagreementsonmaximumpricesasunlawfulbecauseclaimofprocompetitiveeffectswasfaciallyunconvincing);FTCv.IndianaFederationofDentists,476U.S.447(1986)(upholdingadequacyofevidencetosupportFTCfindingthatdentistsagreementtodenyinsurersaccesstopatientsxrayswasanticompetitive,notprocompetitive).ButseeCaliforniaDentalAss'nv.FTC,526U.S.756(1999)(raisingFTCsburdenofproofinfindinganticompetitivecollectiveactionbyhealthprofessionals).ThelatterdecisioniscriticallyexaminedinClarkC.Havighurst,HealthCareasa(Big)Business:TheAntitrustResponse,26J.HEALTHPOL.POLY&L.939,94953(2001).Theantitrust

    movementinhealthcarewastriggeredinpartbytheSupremeCourtsrejectionin1975ofgeneralantitrustimmunityforthesocalledlearnedprofessions.Goldfarbv.VirginiaStateBar,421U.S.773(1975).SeegenerallyCARLF.AMERINGER,THEHEALTHCAREREVOLUTION:FROMMEDICALMONOPOLYTOMARKETCOMPETITION(2008).7U.S.FED.TRADECOMMNANDU.S.DEPT.OFJUSTICE,IMPROVINGHEALTHCARE:ADOSEOFCOMPETITIONch.4,at12n.7(2004),availableathttp://www.usdoj.gov/atr/public/health_care/204694.htm(accessed13May2009)[hereinafterDOSEOFCOMPETITION].

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    competition),thosefindingswereoftensoarbitraryastosignifyjudicialskepticism

    aboutthewisdomofapplyingantitrustlawrigorouslyinhospitalmarkets.8Evenas

    nonprofithospitalsbecametheprimaryproviderofthenationshospitalcare

    responsiblefor73%ofadmissions,76%ofoutpatientvisits,and75%ofhospital

    expenditurestheytendedtoenjoyselectivescrutinyundertheantitrustlaws.

    Implicitly,andoftenexplicitly,thejudgesseemedtoharborabeliefthatnonprofit

    hospitalseitherwouldnotexerciseorwouldputtogooduseanymarketpowerthey

    mightpossess.9

    Thecourtsinabilityovertimetoapplyantitrustlawrigorouslytothebig

    businessofhealthcareandtheFTCsfailureinconvincingthemtodoso,and

    8Fordiscussionsofthesecasesandofthegeneralambivalencetowardscompetitioninhealthcaremarkets,seeBarakD.Richman,AntitrustandNonprofitHospitalMergers:AReturntoBasics,156U.PA.L.REV.121(2007);MartinGaynor,WhyDontCourtsTreatHospitalsLikeTanksforLiquefiedGasses?SomeReflectionsonHealth

    CareAntitrustEnforcement,31J.HEALTHPOL.POLY&L.497(2006);ThomasL.Greaney,NightLandingsonanAircraftCarrier:HospitalMergersandAntitrustLaw,

    23AM.J.L.&MED.191(1997).9ThedistrictjudgeinFTCv.ButterworthHealthCorp.,946F.Supp.1285(W.D.Mich.1996),wasespeciallyunambiguousinchampioningnonprofithospitalsasbenignmonopolists:

    Permittingdefendanthospitalstoachievetheefficienciesofscalethatwould clearly result from the proposed merger would enable theboardofdirectors of the combinedentity tocontinue the quest forestablishment of worldclass health facilities in West Michigan, acoursetheCourtfindsclearlyandunequivocallywouldultimatelybeinthebestinterestsoftheconsumingpublicasawhole.

    Id.at1302.Likewise,thejudgerevealedahostilitytopricecompetitionbetween

    hospitals,remarkingthat[i]ntherealworld,hospitalsareinthebusinessofsavinglives,andmanagedcareorganizationsareinthebusinessofsavingdollars.Id.TheButterworthcourtwasnotaloneinitspredilections.AMissourijudge,reviewingahospitalmergerchallengedbytheFTC,remarkedtothefederalagency,Idontthinkyouvegotanybusinessbeinginhere....ItlookstomelikeWashington,D.C.onceagainthinkstheyknowbetterwhatsgoingoninsouthwestMissouri.IthinktheyoughttostayinD.C.FTCv.FreemanHosp.,69F.3d260,263(8thCir.1995)(quotingdistrictcourtoralhearing).

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    Congressfailureininstructingthemtodosoisoneimportantreasonwhymany

    healthcaremarketsarenowdominatedbyfirmswithalarmingpricing

    power.10Fortunately,thegovernmenthasmorerecentlywonbacksomeofthelegal

    grounditlost.

    A.DispellingtheMyththatNonprofitHospitalsDoNotExercisePricingPower

    In2007,theFederalTradeCommission(FTC),inacasechallengingamergerof

    nonprofithospitalsonChicagosNorthShore,foundconvincingproofthat,following

    themerger,thenewentityhadsubstantiallyraisedpricestomanagedcare

    organizations.11Thecasewasunusualbecause,ratherthaninterveningtostopthe

    acquisitionwhenitwasfirstproposed,theCommissioninitiateditschallengefour

    yearsafterthemergerwasconsummated.Bringingthecaseatthatstage

    accomplishedtwothings:First,itmadeitunnecessaryfortheCommissiontoseeka

    preliminaryinjunctionagainstthemergerinfederalcourtwhereantitrust

    enforcershadlostthesixpreviouscases.Second,challengingacompletedmerger

    gavetheCommissionsstaffanopportunitytodemonstrateinfact,andnotjustin

    theory,thatnonprofithospitalsgainingnewmarketpowerwilluseittoincrease

    10Forsurveysofhowhospitalconsolidationshaveincreasedhospitalprices,seeG.B.Bazzoli,etal.,HospitalReorganizationandRestructuringAchievedthroughMerger,27HEALTHCAREMANAGEMENTREV.7(2002);MartinGaynor,Competitionand

    Qualityin

    Health

    Care

    Markets,2FOUNDATIONSANDTRENDSINMICROECONOMICS441

    (2006);WilliamB.Vogt,HowHasHospitalConsolidationAffectedthePriceandQualityofHospitalCare?,THESYNTHESISPROJECT,at9(2006).SeealsoSeeWilliamB.Vogt,HospitalMarketConsolidation:TrendsandConsequences,EXPERTVOICES,NIHCMFoundation,availableat:http://nihcm.org/pdf/EVVogt_FINAL.pdf(documentingtheextentofprovidermarketconcentrationamonghospitals&otherproviders).11InreEvanstonNorthwesternHealthcareCorp.,2007WL2286195(F.T.C.2007).

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    prices.ThedirectproofobtainedintheEvanstonNorthwesterncasemakesit

    unlikelythatfuturefederalcourtswillallowtheconsummationofmergersof

    nonprofithospitalsundertheillusionthatsuchmergersdonothavetheusualanti

    competitiveeffects.

    TheFTCsfindingsinEvanstonNorthwesternalsodiscreditedexpert

    economictestimonythatonecourthadcitedprominentlyinapprovingahospital

    mergerinGrandRapids,Michigan.Thattestimonyrestedonempiricalresearch

    purportingtoshowthatinconcentratedmarketsnonprofithospitalsgenerallyhad

    lowerpricesthancorrespondingforprofits.12Althoughthatresearchhadbeen

    effectivelydiscreditedinlatereconomicstudies,13thefactsfoundinEvanston

    Northwesternshouldputfinallytorestthenotionthatnonprofithospitalsare

    immunefromthetemptationtoraisepriceswhentheyareinapositiontodoso.

    EvanstonNorthwesternsfindingsalsoundercutthecommonbeliefthat

    communityleadersonanonprofithospitalsgoverningboardarevigilantabout

    healthcarecosts.ThejudgeintheGrandRapidscasepermittedthemergerinpart

    becausethechairmenofthetwohospitalsboardseachrepresentedalargelocal

    12FTCv.ButterworthHealthCorp.,946F.Supp.1285,1297(W.D.Mich.1996)(citingexpertsfindingssuggestingthatasubstantialincreaseinmarketconcentrationamongnonprofithospitalsisnotlikelytoresultinpriceincreases).Theexpertcitedbythecourt,WilliamJ.Lynk,reachedthesameconclusioninscholarlyarticles.WilliamJ.Lynk,NonprofitHospitalMergersandtheExerciseofMarketPower,38J.L.&ECON.437(1995);WilliamJ.Lynk,PropertyRightsandthe

    Presumptionsof

    Merger

    Analysis,39ANTITRUSTBULL.363,377(1994).

    13SeeDOSEOFCOMPETITION,supranote7,ch.4,at33(concludingthebestavailableevidenceindicatesthatnonprofitsexploitmarketpowerwhengiventheopportunitytodoso);DavidDranove&RichardLudwick,CompetitionandPricingbyNonprofitHospitals:AReassessmentofLynksAnalysis,18J.HEALTHECON.87(1999);EmmettB.Keeler,GlennMelnick,&JackZwanziger,TheChangingEffectsofCompetitiononNonProfitandForProfitHospitalPricingBehavior,18J.HEALTHECON.69(1999).

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    ArecentreportbytheMassachusettsAttorneyGeneraldocumentshow

    nonprofithospitalsinthatstatehaveaggressivelyexploitedtheirmarketpower,

    evenwhenhealthcarecostswerestranglingpublicandprivatebudgets.18

    FollowingMassachusettsspassageofthenationsfirstlegislativeefforttoachieve

    universalhealthcoverage,thestatelegislaturedirectedtheAttorneyGeneralto

    analyzethecausesofrisinghealthcarecosts.Theresultingreportconcludedthat

    pricesforhealthservicesareuncorrelatedwitheitherqualityorcostsofcarebut

    insteadarepositivelycorrelatedwithprovidermarketpower.19Thereportfurther

    observedthatprominentnonprofitacademicmedicalcentersspecifically,the

    MassachusettsGeneralHospitalandBrighamandWomensHospital,whichhad

    mergedin1993tocreatePartnersHealthCareweremostresponsiblefor

    leveragingtheirmarketandreputationalpowertoextracthighpricesfrom

    insurers.20ReportingbytheBostonGlobehadpreviouslyshownthesurprising

    extenttowhichPartnerswasabletoextractextraordinarypricesinagreements

    withpresumablycostconsciousinsurers.21Forexample,whensomeinsurers,such

    astheTuftsHealthPlan,resistedPartnersdemandsforpriceincreasesandtriedto

    assemblenetworkswithBostonsotherhospitals,Partnerslaunchedanaggressive

    18MassachusettsAttorneyGeneral,ExaminationofHealthCareCostTrendsandCostDriversPursuanttoG.L.c.118G,6(b)(March16,2010),availableat:http://www.mass.gov/Cago/docs/healthcare/final_report_w_cover_appendices_glossa

    ry.pdf[hereinafterHealthCareCostTrends]19Id.

    at1633.

    20Id.;seeespecially2930.21SpecialReport:UnhealthySystem,availableat:http://www.boston.com/news/specials/healthcare_spotlight/(detailingspecialreportingonPartnersHealthCare,culminatinginathreepartseries);AHealthcareSystemBadlyOutofBalance,BostonGlobe,Nov.16,2008;FueledbyProfits,aHealthcareGiantTakesAimatSuburbs,BostonGlobe,Dec.21,2008;AHandshakeThatMadeHealthcareHistory,BostonGlobe,Dec.28,2008.

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    marketingcampaignthattriggeredthreatsbymanyofTuftscorporatecustomersto

    switchinsurers.22

    Theforegoingobservationsshouldfinallydispelanyimpressionthat

    nonprofithospitals,ascommunityinstitutions,cansafelybeallowedtopossess

    marketpoweronthetheorythat,asnonprofits,theycanbetrustednottoexercise

    it.

    B.DispellingtheMyththatNonprofitHospitalsUseProfitsforCharitablePurposes

    Federaljudgesmayhavetoleratedmergersconferringnewmarketpoweron

    nonprofithospitalslessbecausetheythoughtthehospitalswouldnotexercisethat

    powerthanbecausesuchhospitalsseemedtodifferfromconventionalmonopolists

    inwaysthatshouldlessensocialconcernabouttheirenrichment.Specifically,

    nonprofit,taxexempthospitalsarerequiredbytheirchartersandthefederaltax

    codetoretaintheirprofitsandusethemonlyforcharitablepurposes.Thus,ifone

    couldassumethattheredistributionsofwealthresultingfromtheexerciseof

    marketpowerbynonprofithospitalsrungenerallyfromrichertopoorerrather

    thanintheoppositedirection,therewouldbeatleastanargumentforviewing

    nonprofithospitalmonopoliesasbenignforantitrustpurposes.Althoughsuchan

    argumentwouldbebasedonaquestionablereadingoftheantitruststatutes,one

    22AHandshakeThatMadeHealthcareHistory,id.,(describingthehumiliationexperiencedbytheTuftsHealthPlansCEOashecavedtoPartnerspricedemandsandbecameanobjectlessonforotherinsurers,alessontheywouldnotsoonforget[asthe]thebalanceofpowerhadshiftedtoPartners).InOrlando,insurerUnitedHealthcareexperiencedsimilarthreatsasitresistedarequestfora63percentpriceincreasebytheregionsleadingnonprofithospitalchain.LindaShrieves,400,000FearTheyllHavetoSwitchDoctors,ORLANDOSENTINEL,Aug.7,2010.

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    widelynotedcaseallowedprestigiousuniversitiestoactanticompetitivelyinorder

    todirecttheirlimitedscholarshipfundstowardlowerincomestudents.23One

    easilysensesinhospitalmergercasesasimilarjudicialdispensationinfavorof

    nonprofitenterprisesthatcombineforseeminglyprogressivepurposes.24

    Buthoweverantitrustdoctrineviews(orshouldview)monopoliesdedicated

    toprogressivepursuits,itisfarfromclearthatnonprofithospitalsreliablyusetheir

    dominantmarketpositionstoredistributewealthonlyinprogressivedirections.

    TheInternalRevenueCodescharitablepurposesrequirementhasbeeninterpreted

    verybroadly,allowingsuchhospitalstospendtheiruntaxedsurplusesonanything

    thatarguablypromoteshealth.25Thisincludesmuchmorethanjustcaringforthe

    indigent.Indeed,manyexempthospitalsarelocatedinareasthatneedrelatively

    littleinthewayoftrulycharitablecare,eitherbecausethecommunityisrelatively

    affluentanditspopulationwellinsuredorbecauseapublichospitalassumesmost

    ofthecharityburden.Moreover,althoughallhospitalsinevitablysubsidizethe

    treatmentofsomeuninsuredpatients,manyoftodaysuninsuredaremembersof

    themiddleclassandnotobviouscandidatesforsubsidiesfromtheinsured

    23UnitedStatesv.BrownUniv.,5F.3d658(3dCir.1993).Readingthisrulingasanendorsementoftheuniversitiesredirectionofscholarshipfundstoneedierstudentswouldatleastlimitsubstantially(andprudently)thekindofworthypurposeacartelofnonprofitentitiesmayofferasanantitrustdefense.24See,

    e.g.,supranote9.

    25Rev.Rul.69545,19692C.B.117(1969).Ironically,thiscontroversialruling,relaxinganearlierrequirementthatanexempthospitalmustbeoperatedtotheextentofitsfinancialabilityforthosenotabletopayfortheservicesrendered,Rev.Rul.56185,19561C.B.202,cameatatimewhentheMedicareandMedicaidprogramswererelativelynewandprivatehealthinsurancewasexpanding,allseeminglyreducingtheneedfornonprofithospitalstobecharitableintheoriginalsense.

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    population.26Finally,federal,state,andlocalgovernmentsseparatelyand

    substantiallysubsidizenonprofithospitalsmostclearlycharitableactivities,both

    throughspecialtaxexemptionsandreliefandbydirectsubventions;suchactivities

    thereforeshouldnotcountsignificantlyinestimatingthenetdirectionof

    redistributionseffectedbyhospitalsthroughtheexerciseofnewlyacquiredmarket

    power.

    Thus,truecharityhasinrecentyearsaccountedforonlyarelativelysmall

    fractionofwhatnonprofithospitalsdoinreturnfortheirfederaltaxexemptions.

    Indeed,suchhospitalscanusuallyqualifyforexemptionmerelybyspendingtheir

    surplusesonmedicalresearch,ontrainingvarioustypesofhealthcarepersonnel,

    and,mostimportantly,onacquiringstateoftheartfacilitiesandequipment,which

    (ironically)canalsosecureandenhancetheirmarketdominance.27Manyofthese

    26Supplementalcensusdatafrom2007showedthatnearly38%ofAmericas

    uninsuredcomefromhouseholdswithover$50,000inannualincomeandnearly20%fromhouseholdswithover$75,000.SeeU.S.CENSUSBUREAU,INCOME,POVERTY,ANDHEALTHINSURANCECOVERAGEINTHEUNITEDSTATES21table6(August2007),http://www.census.gov/prod/2007pubs/p60233.pdf.ImplementationofthePPACAwillgreatlyreducehospitalscharityburdens,leavingillegalaliensastheprincipalcategoryoftheuninsured.27OnPartnersHealthCaresuseofitssurplusestobuildnewandbetterfacilitiesandexpandintonewmarkets,therebysecuringadditionalmarketpower,seeFueledbyProfits,aHealthcareGiantTakesAimatSuburbs,BOS.GLOBE,Dec.21,2008.

    Notonlydoestaxexemptioncreateopportunitiesfordominantfirmstoincreasetheirdominance,butanonprofitfirmlackingsuchdominancemaybe

    ineligibleforexemptionandthusataseverecompetitivedisadvantagepreciselybecauseitfacescompetitionandthereforelacksthediscretionaryfundsnecessarytodemonstratehowitbenefitsthecommunity.Taxpolicythusrewards,fosters,andprotectsprovidermonopoly,onlyensuringthatmonopolyprofits,howeverlarge,arenotputtoobjectionable,nonhealthrelateduses.Cf.GeisingerHealthPlanv.Commissioner,985F.2d1210(3dCir.1993)(denyingtaxexemptiontononprofithealthplaninpartbecauseitwasnotaprovider,butonlyarrangedfortheprovision,ofhealthservicesandalsobecause,althoughitplannedtosubsidize

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    activitiesconfersignificantbenefitsoninterestsandindividualsrelativelyhighon

    theincomescale.28Tobesure,mostoftheactivitiesandprojectsfinancedfrom

    hospitalsurplusesarehardtocriticizeintheabstract.Butmanyofthemarenotso

    obviouslyprogressiveintheirredistributiveeffects(orotherwisesoobviously

    worthyofpublicsupport)thatantitrustprohibitionsshouldberelaxedsothat

    hospitalscanfinancemoreofthem.

    Inanycase,financinghospitalactivitiesandprojectsofanykindfrom

    hospitalsmonopolyprofitscausestheircoststofallultimatelyandmoreorless

    equallyonindividualsbearingthecostofhealthinsurancepremiums.The

    incidenceofthisfinancialburdenthuscloselyresemblesthatofaheadtaxthat

    is,oneleviedequallyonindividualsregardlessoftheirincomeorabilitytopay.Few

    methodsofpublicfinancearemoreunfair(regressive)thanthis.Thosewhotakea

    benignviewoftheseeminglygoodworksofhealthcareprovidersshouldfocus

    moreattentiononwho(ultimately)paysforandwhobenefitsfromthosenominally

    charitableactivities.29

    premiumsforsomelowincomesubscribers,ithadbeenunabletosupporttheprogramwithoperatingfundsbecauseitoperatedatalossfromitsinception).28Manyphysicians,forexample,benefithandsomelyfirstfromthevaluabletraininghospitalsprovideandlaterfromusingexpensivehospitalfacilitiesandequipmentatnodirectcosttothemselves.Thetaxauthoritiesregardsuchprivatebenefitsas

    merelyincidentaltothehospitalslargerpurposeofpromotingthehealthofthecommunity.SeeI.R.S.Gen.Couns.Mem.39,862(Dec.2,1991):Inourview,someprivatebenefitispresentinalltypicalhospitalphysicianrelationships....Thoughtheprivatebenefitiscompoundedinthecaseofcertainspecialists,suchashearttransplantsurgeons,whodependheavilyonhighlyspecializedhospitalfacilities,thatfactalonewillnotmaketheprivatebenefitmorethanincidental.29SeegenerallySymposium,WhoPays?WhoBenefits?DistributionalIssuesinHealthCare,LAW&CONTEMP.PROBS.,Autumn2006.

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    Theregressiveredistributiveeffectsofnonprofithospitalsmonopolies

    appearnevertohavebeengivendueweightinantitrustappraisalsofhospital

    mergers.30Tobesure,pureeconomictheorywithholdsjudgmentontherightness

    orwrongnessofredistributingincomebecauseeconomistshavenoobjectivebasis

    forpreferringonedistributionofwealthoveranother.Buttheantitrustlawsenjoy

    generalpoliticalsupportprincipallybecausetheconsumingpublicresentstheidea

    ofillegitimatemonopolistsenrichingthemselvesattheirexpense.31Thisiswhy

    mergersofallkindsaresuspectintheeyesofantitrustenforcers:theymaybean

    easyandunjustifiedshortcuttogainingmarketpower.Althoughproponentsof

    consolidationsincreasingconcentrationinprovidermarketsusuallytout

    efficienciestheyexpecttoachievebycombiningandrationalizingoperations,the

    opportunitytoincreasetheirbargainingpowervisvisprivatepayersisthe

    likelierexplanationforallsuchmergersinconcentratedmarkets.32

    30Underreasonableassumptions,ahospitalmergercreatingnewmarketpowerwouldraiseinsurancepremiumsbyroughly3percent,increasingtheheadtaxonthemedianinsuredfamilybyroughly$400peryear,hardlyatrivialamount.Inaddition,accordingtooneestimate,hospitalmergersinthe1990scausednearly700,000Americanstolosetheirprivatehealthinsurance.RobertTownetal.,TheWelfareConsequencesofHospitalMergers(NatlBureauofEcon.Research,WorkingPaperNo.12244,2006).31HERBERTHOVENKAMP,FEDERALANTITRUSTPOLICY:THELAWOFCOMPETITIONANDITSPRACTICE50(3ded.2005)([T]heprimaryintentoftheShermanActframers[was]thedistributivegoalofpreventingmonopolistsfromtransferringwealthawayfromconsumers.)32See

    DAVIDDRANOVE,THEECONOMICEVOLUTIONOFAMERICANHEALTHCARE:FROMMARCUS

    WELBYTOMANAGEDCARE122(2000):Ihaveaskedmanyproviderswhytheywantedtomerge.Althoughpubliclytheyallinvokedthesynergiesmantra,virtuallyeveryonestatedprivatelythatthemainreasonformergingwastoavoidcompetitionand/orobtainmarketpower.SeealsoRobertA.Berensonetal.,UncheckedProviderCloutinCaliforniaForeshadowsChallengestoHealthReform,29HEALTHAFF.699,699(2010).,at6(quotingalocalphysicianassaying,Whyarethosehospitalsandphysicians[integrating]?Itwasntforincreasedcoordinationof

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    A.SupraMonopolyPricing

    Inthetextbookmodel,monopolyredistributeswealthfromconsumersto

    powerfulfirms.Themonopolistshigherpriceenablesittocaptureforitselfmuchof

    thewelfaregain,orsurplus,thatconsumerswouldhaveenjoyediftheyhadbeen

    abletopurchasethevaluedgoodorserviceatalow,competitiveprice.Inhealth

    care,insuranceputsthemonopolistinanevenstrongerpositionbygreatly

    weakeningtheconstraintonitspricingfreedomordinarilyimposedbythelimitsof

    consumerswillingnessorabilitytopay.Thiseffectappearsintheoryasa

    steepeningofthedemandcurveforthemonopolizedgoodorservice.Whereas

    mostmonopolistsencounterareductionindemandwitheachpriceincrease,health

    insurancemutesthemarginalconsequencesofrisingprices.

    Ifhealthinsurersweredutifulagentsoftheirsubscribersandperfectly

    reflectedsubscriberspreferences,theywouldreflectconsumersdemandcurveand

    payonlyforservicesthatwerevaluedbyindividualinsuredsatlevelshigherthan

    themonopolyprice.Deficienciesinthedesignandadministrationofrealworld

    healthinsurance,however,preventinsurersfromreproducingtheirinsureds

    preferencesandheavilymagnifymonopolypower.Forlegal,regulatory,andother

    reasons,healthinsurersintheUnitedStatesareinnoposition(asconsumers

    themselveswouldbe)torefusetopayaprovidershighpricewheneveritappears

    toexceedtheserviceslikelyvaluetothepatient.Instead,insurersareboundby

    bothdeeprootedconventionandtheircontractswithsubscriberstopayforany

    servicethatisdeemedadvantageous(andtermedmedicallynecessaryunder

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    rathergenerouslegalstandards)forthepatientshealth,whateverthatservicemay

    cost.33

    Consequently,closesubstitutesforaprovidersservicesdonotcheckits

    marketpowerastheyordinarilywouldforothergoodsandservices.Indeed,

    puttingasidethemodesteffectsofcostsharingonpatientschoices,theonly

    substitutetreatmentsorservicesthatinsuredpatientsarelikelytoacceptarethose

    theyregardasthebestonesavailable.Unlikethesituationwhenanordinary

    monopolistsellsdirectlytocostconsciousconsumers,therewardstoamonopolist

    sellinggoodsorservicespurchasedthroughhealthinsurancemayeasilyand

    substantiallyexceedtheaggregateconsumersurplusthatpatientswouldderiveat

    competitiveprices.

    Thus,healthinsuranceenablesamonopolistofacoveredservicetocharge

    substantiallymorethanthetextbookmonopolyprice,therebyearningevenmore

    thantheusualmonopolyprofit.Themagnitudeofthemonopolyplusinsurance

    distortionhassometimesevensurpriseditsbeneficiaries.34Ofcourse,sincethird

    partypayors(andnotpatients)arecoveringtheinterimbill,theseextraordinary

    profitsmadepossiblebyhealthinsuranceareearnedattheexpenseofthose

    33SeegenerallyTimothyP.Blanchard,MedicalNecessityDeterminationsAContinuingHealthcarePolicyProblem,JournalofHealthLaw37,no.4(2003):599627;WilliamSage,ManagedCaresCrimea:MedicalNecessity,TherapeuticBenefit,andtheGoalsofAdministrativeProcessinHealthInsurance,DukeLawJournal53

    (2003):597;EinerElhauge,TheLimitedRegulatoryPotentialofMedicalTechnologyAssessment,VirginiaLawReview82(1996):15251617.34FortrulystunningexamplesofthepriceincreasingandprofitgeneratingeffectsofcombiningUSstylehealthinsuranceandmonopoly,seeGeetaAnand,TheMostExpensiveDrugs,Parts14,WallStreetJournal,November1516,December1,28,2005;inthisseries,seeespeciallyHowDrugsforRareDiseasesBecameLifelineforCompanies,November15,2005,A1(inwhichonedrugcompanyexecutiveisquotedassaying,Ineverdreamedwecouldchargethatmuch.)

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    bearingthecostofinsurance.Insureds,evenwhentheiremployersarethedirect

    purchasersofhealthinsurance,areultimatelytheonesseeingtheirtakehome

    shrinkfromhikesininsurancepremiumscausedbyprovidermonopolies.

    Discussionsofantitrustissuesinthehealthcaresectorrarely,ifever,

    explicitlyobservehowhealthinsuranceingeneralorU.S.styleinsurancein

    particularenhancestheabilityofdominantsellerstoexploitconsumers.Although

    scholarshavepreviouslyobservedthatpricesforhealthservicesaremuchhigherin

    theUnitedStatescomparedtootherOECDnations(withoutobservabledifferences

    inquality),35andalthoughmanyhaveobservedthatprovidermarketpowerhas

    beenasignificantfactorininflatingthoseprices,36fewhaveobservedthe

    synergisticeffectsofmonopolyandhealthinsurance.

    Perhapsmorenotably,despitethehugeimplicationsforconsumersandthe

    generalwelfare,thespecialredistributiveeffectsofmonopolyinhealthcare

    marketsarenotmentionedintheantitrustagenciesdefinitivestatementsof

    enforcementpolicyinthehealthcaresector.37Antitrustanalysisofhospital

    mergersaswellasofotheractionsandpracticesthatenhanceprovideror

    suppliermarketpowermustthereforeexplicitlyrecognizetheimpactofinsurance

    onhealthcaremarkets.Thenationwillfinditfarharder,perhapsliterally

    impossible,toaffordPPACAsimpendingextensionofgeneroushealthcoverageto

    additionalmillionsofconsumersifmonopolistsofhealthcareservicesandproducts

    cancontinuetochargenotwhatthemarketbutwhatinsurerswillbear.

    35See,e.g.,DianaFarrelletal.,AccountingfortheCostofU.S.HealthCare:ANewLookatWhyAmericansSpendMore,(McKinseyGlobalInstitute,2008).36Seesupra,notes23.37Seesupra,note7.

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    B.MisallocativeConsequences

    Allowingproviderstogainmarketpowerbymergernotonlycauses

    extraordinaryredistributionsofwealthbutalsocontributestoinefficiencyinthe

    allocationofresources.Inironiccontrasttotheoutputrestrictionsassociatedwith

    monopolyineconomictheory,themisallocativeeffectscitedheremostlyinvolvethe

    productionandconsumptionoftoomuchratherthantoolittleofagenerally

    goodthing.Thesemisallocationsareboththeoreticallyandpracticallyimportant.

    Theyprovidestillanothernewreasonforspecialantitrustandothervigilance

    againstprovidersmonopolisticpractices,particularlyscrutinizinganticompetitive

    mergersandpowerfuljointventures.

    Evenintheabsenceofmonopoly,conventionalhealthinsuranceenables

    consumersandproviderstooverspendonoverlycostlyhealthcare.Thisis,of

    course,thefamiliareffectofmoralhazardeconomiststermforthetendencyof

    patientsandproviderstospendinsurersmoneymorefreelythantheywouldspend

    thepatientsown.Tobesure,somemoralhazardcostsarejustifiedasan

    unavoidablepricetoprotectindividualsagainstunpredictable,highcostevents.

    ButAmericanhealthinsurersaresignificantlyconstrainedinintroducing

    contractual,administrative,andothermeasurestocontainsuchcosts.U.S.style

    healthinsuranceisthereforemoredestructiveofallocativeefficiencythanhealth

    insurancehastobe.Althoughuncontrolledmoralhazardisaproblemthroughout

    thehealthsector,combininginefficientlydesignedinsurancewithprovider

    monopoliescompoundstheeconomicharm.

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    Theextraordinaryprofitabilityofhealthsectormonopoliesalsointroducesa

    dynamicsourceofresourcemisallocationbygreatlystrengtheningtheusual

    inducementforfirmstoseekmarketdominance.Theintroductionsofnew

    technologieshavebeenamajorsourceperhapsprimary,responsibleforasmuch

    as4050percentofhealthcarecostincreasesoverthepastseveraldecades.38And

    eventhoughmanyinnovationsofferonlymarginalvalue,theirmonopolypower

    underintellectualpropertylawssecurelucrativepaymentsfrominsurerswhose

    handsaretied.Althoughmanyhaverecognizedthatnewtechnologiesarea

    principalsourceofunsustainableincreasesinhealthcarecosts,andseveralothers

    haverecognizedhowthemoralhazardofinsurancehasbothfueledtechnology

    drivencostincreasesanddistortedinnovationincentives(towardcostincreasing

    innovationsattheexpenseofcostreducinginnovations),39fewhaveappreciated

    thecontributingroleofinsuranceinexacerbatingthemonopolieseffects.

    38DanielCallahan,HealthCareCostsandMedicalTechnology,inFromBirthtoDeathandBenchtoClinic:TheHastingsCenterBioethicsBriefingBookforJournalists,Policymakers,andCampaigns,ed.MaryCrowley(Garrison,NY:TheHastingsCenter,2008),7982.SeealsoPaulGinsburg,ControllingHealthCareCosts,NewEnglandJournalofMedicine351(2004):159193;HenryAaron,Serious&UnstableCondition(Washington,DC:BrookingsInstitutionPress,1991).39SeeAlanM.Garber,CharlesI.Jones,andPaulM.Romer,InsuranceandIncentivesforMedicalInnovation(workingpaper12080,NationalBureauofEconomicResearch,2006);BurtonWeisbrod,TheHealthCareQuadrilemma:AnEssayonTechnologicalChange,Insurance,QualityofCare,andCostContainment,Journalof

    EconomicLiterature29,no.2(June1991):52352;SheilahSmith,JosephP.Newhouse,&MarkFreeland,Income,Insurance,andTechnology:WhyDoesHealthSpendingOutpaceEconomicGrowth?HealthAffairs28,no.5(2009):127684.SeealsoDanaGoldmanandDariusLakdawalla,UnderstandingHealthDisparitiesacrossEducationGroups(workingpaper8328,NationalBureauofEconomicResearch,2001)(suggestingthatpopulationwideincreasesineducationhaveencouragedpursuitofpatientintensiveinnovationsthatincreasecosts,ratherthansimplertechnologiesthatreducethem).

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    Providermonopoliesalsoinflicteconomicharmbyspendingheavilyto

    sustaincurrentmonopolybarriers.Indeed,RichardPosnerhastheorizedthat

    monopolysmostseriousmisallocativeeffectisnottheoutputreductionrecognized

    intheoreticalmodelsbutinsteadisthemonopolist'sstrenuouseffortstoobtain,

    defend,andextendmarketpower.40Amonopolistiswillingtoinvestuptothe

    privatevalueofitsmonopolyinmaintainingit(andkeepingoutcompetitors),and

    themorelucrativethemonopoly,themoreafirmwillbeinducedtoinvestheavily

    insustainingmonopolybarriers.Sincesomanymonopoliesaremaintainedwith

    legalandregulatorybarrierscertificateofneedlaws,accreditation,andcontracts

    restrictingprovidernetworks,forexamplemuchofthiseffortisspentonlegaland

    politicalresourcesthatfritterawaytheprivatevalueofthemonopoly,ratherthan

    reinvestinginactivitiesthatcreateadditionalsocialvalue.Evenmanagersof

    nonprofitfirms,thoughtheyhavenointerestinprofitsassuch,haveincentivesto

    maintainmonopoliestofundtheconstructionandexpansionofempiresthat

    enhancetheirselfesteemandprofessionalinfluence.Suchempirebuildingismost

    easilyaccomplishedbyobtainingmarketpowerandusingittogeneratesurpluses

    withwhichtofurtherentrenchandextendthefirmsdominance.

    Inlightofthedisproportionatelylargeshareofnationalresourcesalready

    beingspentonhealthcareintheUnitedStatescomparedtoeveryothernationin

    theworld,andespeciallyonceonerecognizestheextraordinarypricingfreedom

    thatU.S.stylehealthinsuranceconfersonmonopolistprovidersandsuppliers,the

    enormousburdenofdistortivehealthsectormonopoliesprovidecompelling,even

    40RichardA.Posner,AntitrustLaw:AnEconomicPerspective,2nded.(UniversityofChicagoPress,2001),1318.

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    alarming,reasonstoapplytheantitrustlawswithparticularforce.Antitrust

    policymakers,Ibelieve,areuptothetaskofrestoringcompetitioninhealthcare

    marketswhereitislacking,butitwillrequiretargetingprovidersandsuppliersof

    healthservicesseekingtoachieve,entrench,andenhancemarketpower.

    IV. ANewAntitrustAgenda

    Cangovernment,throughantitrustenforcementorotherwise,doanythingabout

    theproblemofproviderandsuppliermarketpowerinhealthcaremarkets?

    Althoughtheenforcementagenciesandcourtsshouldcertainlyscrutinizenew

    hospitalmergersandsimilarconsolidationswithgreaterskepticism,preventing

    newmergerscannotcorrectpastfailurestomaintaincompetitioninhospitaland

    othermarkets.Enforcersmaychallengethelegalityofpreviouslyconsummated

    mergers,astheFTCdidintheEvanstonNorthwesterncase,buttherearepractical

    andjudicialdifficultiesinfashioningaremedythatmightrestorethecompetition

    thattheoriginalmergerdestroyed.TheFTCwasunwilling,forexample,todemand

    thedissolutionofEvanstonNorthwesternHealthcareCorp.andinsteadmerely

    ordereditsjointlyoperatedhospitalstonegotiateseparatecontractswithhealth

    plansaremedy,incidentally,thatgavethenegotiatingteamofneitherhospitalany

    reasontoattractbusinessfromtheother.41AlthoughtheFTCmightseekmore

    substantialreliefinothersuchcases,thegeneralruleseemstobethatold,unlawful

    41Despitelosingthoroughlyonthemerits,therespondentdeclareditselfthrilledwiththeFTCsremedy.SeeNorthShoreUniversityHealthSystemsFTCRulingKeepsEvanstonNorthwesternHealthcareIntact,pressrelease,August6,2007,www.northshore.org/aboutus/press/pressreleases/ftcrulingkeepsevanstonnorthwesternhealthcareintact/(accessedMay3,2012).

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    mergersareamenabletolaterbreakuponlyintheunusualcasewherethe

    componentpartshavenotbeensignificantlyintegrated.42Inanycase,giventheir

    pastskepticismaboutantitrustenforcementinhealthcaremarkets,andespecially

    theirhandinblessingmanymergersthatoughtnowbeunwound,courtswouldbe

    hardtoenlistinanantitrustcampaigntorollbackearlierconsolidations.43

    Thus,apolicyagendacapableofredressingtheprovidermonopolyproblemin

    healthcarewillneedtoemployotherlegalandregulatoryinstruments.Afirstorder

    ofbusinesswouldbetofastidiouslypreventtheformationofnewprovider

    monopolies.Becausehealthcareproviderscontinuetoseekopportunitiesto

    consolidateeitherthroughtherecentwaveofformingAccountableCare

    Organizations(ACOs)orthoughalternativemeansthereremainseveralfronts

    availableforpolicymakerstowageantitrustbattle.Inaddition,anarrayofother

    enforcementpoliciescantargetmonopolistsbehavingbadlythosetryingeitherto

    expandtheirmonopolypowerintocurrentlycompetitivemarketsortoforeclose

    theirmarkettopossibleentrants.Thus,severalfrontsremainavailablefor

    policymakersseekingtorestorecompetitiontohealthcaremarkets.Anewantitrust

    agendabeginswithrecognizingtheextraordinarycoststohealthcareprovider

    monopoliesandcontinueswithaggressiveandcreativeantimonopolyinterventions.

    42See,forexample,UnitedStatesv.E.I.duPontdeNemours&Co.,353U.S.586(1957);seealsoPhillipAreedaandHerbertHovenkamp,AntitrustLaw2nded.(NewYork:AspenPublishers,2003):1205b.43Forachroniclingofgovernmentchallengestomergersthatlostinfederalcourt,seeDoseofCompetition,supranote7.Foranexplorationofjudicialresistancetoenforcingtheantitrustlawsagainsthospitals,seeRichman,supranote8.

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    A.TheSpecialProblemofAccountableCareOrganizations

    AprimarytargetforarevivedantitrustagendaistheemergingAccountable

    CareOrganizations,whosedevelopmenttheAffordableCareActisdesignedto

    stimulate.TheACAencouragesproviderstointegratethemselvesinACOsforthe

    purposeofimplementingbestpracticesandtherebyprovidingcoordinatedcareof

    goodqualityatlowcost.Asaninducementforproviderstoformandpractice

    withinthesepresumptivelymoreefficiententities,theACAinstructstheMedicare

    programtosharewithanACOanycostsavingsitcandemonstrate,permitting

    proposedACOseithertokeepanysavingsbeyondaminimumsavingsrate(MSR)

    ofupto3.9%whilebeinginsuredagainstlossesifsavingsarenotobtainedorto

    keepsavingsbeyondanMSRof2%whilebeingexposedtotheriskoflosses.44

    ACOsarebeinghailedasameaningfulopportunitytoreformourdeeplyinefficient

    deliverysystem,buttheunintendedconsequencesofpromisinghealthpolicy

    initiativesofteninvestprematurelyinprojectsthatultimatelydisappoint.The

    formationofACOsrunthespecificriskofcreatingevenmoreaggregationofpricing

    powerinthehandsofproviders.

    ACOs,intheory,couldofferanattractivesolutiontoproblemsstemming

    fromthecomplexityandfragmentationofthehealthcaredeliverysystem.45

    Togetherwithgoodinformationsystemsandcompensationarrangements,vertical

    integrationofcomplementaryhealthcareentitiescanachieveimportantefficiencies

    44SeeDepartmentofHealthandHumanServices,MedicareProgram;MedicareSharedSavingsProgram:AccountableCareOrganizations,42CFRPart425,FederalRegister76,no.212(November2,2011):67802,6798588.45EinerElhauge,ed.,TheFragmentationofUSHealthCare(Oxford,UK:OxfordUniversityPress,2010).

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    forgingcollaborationsamongentiremarketsofphysiciansandhospitals,entities

    thatwouldotherwisecompetewitheachother.TheNewYorkTimeshasreported

    agrowingfrenzyofmergersinvolvinghospitals,clinicsanddoctorgroupseagerto

    sharecostsandsavings,andcashinonthe[ACOprograms]incentives.49Infact,

    providersmainpurposeinformingACOsmaynotbetoachievecostsavingstobe

    sharedwithMedicarebuttostrengthentheirmarketpoweroverpurchasersinthe

    privatesector.ACOsmaybethelatestchapterinthesteadyaccumulationof

    marketpowerbyhospitals,healthcaresystems,andphysiciangroups,asequelto

    thewavesofmergersinthe1990swhenhealthcareentitiessoughttocounter

    marketpressurefrommanagedcareorganizations.50

    Antitrustpolicymakersthereforeshouldcarefullyscrutinizetheformationof

    ACOs.Conventionalantitrustreasoningappropriatelypermitspurportedefficiency

    claimstotrumpconcernsaboutconcentrationonthesellersideofthemarket,and

    anyreviewofaproposedACOwouldcertainlyconsiderthepotentialbenefitsof

    verticalintegration.Butanyantitrustanalysisshouldalsorecognizethathealth

    insurancegreatlyexacerbatesthepriceandmisallocativeeffectsofmonopoly.

    NotwithstandingthespecialefficiencyclaimsthatcanbemadeonbehalfofACOs,

    potentialnotonlytoproducehigherqualityatlowercostbutalsotoexacerbatethetrendtowardgreaterprovidermarketpower);andJeffGoldsmith,AnalyzingShiftsinEconomicRiskstoProvidersinProposedPaymentandDeliverySystemReforms,HealthAffairs29,no.7(2010):1299,1304.(Whetherthesavingsfrombettercare

    coordinationforMedicarepatientswillbeoffsetbymuchhighercoststoprivateinsurersofaseeminglyinevitable...waveofproviderconsolidationremainstobeseen.).49RobertPear,ConsumerRisksFearedasHealthLawSpursMergers,NewYorkTimes,November20,2010.50BarakRichmanandKevinSchulman,ACautiousPathForwardonAccountableCareOrganizations,JournaloftheAmericanMedicalAssociation305,no.6(February9,2011):60203.

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    thepotencyofhealthcaremonopoliesprovidesastrongwarrantforanespecially

    stringentanticoncentration,antimergerpolicyinthehealthcaresector.These

    heighteneddangersshouldbeweighedheavilyinappraisinganACOslikelymarket

    impact.

    Antitrustpolicymakersthereforeshouldcarefullyscrutinizetheformationof

    ACOs.Conventionalantitrustreasoningappropriatelypermitsefficiencyclaimsto

    overcomeconcernsaboutconcentrationonthesellersideofthemarket,andany

    reviewofaproposedACOwouldcertainlyconsiderthepotentialbenefitsofvertical

    integration.Butanyantitrustanalysisshouldalsorecognizethathealthinsurance

    greatlyexacerbatesthepriceandmisallocativeeffectsofmonopoly.

    NotwithstandingthespecialefficiencyclaimsthatcanbemadeonbehalfofACOs,

    thepotencyofhealthcaremonopoliesstronglywarrantsespeciallystringentanti

    concentration,antimergerpolicyinthehealthcaresector.Theseheightened

    dangersshouldbeweighedheavilyinappraisinganACOslikelymarketimpact.

    ItremainsunclearwhatroletheFTCandDOJhaveinapplyingthisnecessary

    levelofscrutinytonewACOproposals.Buttheantitrustagenciessurelyenjoya

    gooddealofdiscretioninensuringthatACOcomplieswiththeprinciplesof

    competition.Theagenciescoulddemandaheightenedshowingthataproposed

    consolidationwillgenerateidentifiableefficiencies,andtheysimilarlymight

    demandthatanACO'sproponentsassumetheburdenofshowinganabsenceof

    significanthorizontaleffectsinlocalsubmarket.Theagenciessimilarlycould

    imposedemandingcurestoillegalconcentrations,perhapsencouragingthevertical

    integrationenvisionedbyPPACA'sproponentswhilereducingthehorizontal

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    collaborationthatproviderssoroutinelypursue.Finally,theagenciescouldalso

    imposeconduct(i.e.nonstructural)remediestopotentiallyharmfulACOs,suchas

    requiringnonexclusivecontractualarrangementswithpayorsandwithregional

    hospitals,orpledgingtoundocertainintegrationsifpricesproceedtoriseabovea

    certainthreshold.HowtheFTCandDOJmonitortheformationofACOscould

    determinewhethertheACAmeaningfullyadvancesa(desperatelyneeded)

    reorganizationofhealthcaredeliveryormerelyoffersaloopholetopermitgreater

    consolidation.

    TheCMSmightalsoserveameaningfulroleinpreventingACOsfrom

    furtheringanticompetitiveharminhealthcaremarketplaces.Thefinalrulespermit

    CMStosharesavingswithACOsonlyafterashowingofqualitybenchmarks,which

    CMSadministratorsoughttotakeseriously.Therulesalsorequirecostandquality

    reporting,andCMSmightrequireademonstrationofmeaningfulquality

    improvementsandcostsavingsinordertoreceiveacontinuedshareofMedicare

    savings.CMSmightevenconditionanACO'spermissiontomarkettoprivatepayers

    onademonstrationthatitspricestoprivatepayersdidnotincreasesignificantly

    followingitsformation.

    Onemightwonder,ofcourse,whetheragovernmentalsinglepayerlike

    Medicarehasthemission,theimpulse,ortherequisitecreativitytobehelpfulin

    makingprivatemarketsforhealthserviceseffectivelycompetitive.PerhapsCMS's

    newCenterforMedicareandMedicaidInnovationcouldshapetheinstitution's

    capacitytoaffectreform.Itmightbeequallylikely,unfortunately,thatMedicare

    willaimtopreserveitsownsolvencybyencouragingtheshiftingofcoststothe

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    privatesectorandmayevenrewardACOscostshiftingascostsavings.Thisis

    thedangerwithusingalargeandunavoidablyinflexiblebureaucracytoengineeran

    efforttoinduceinnovation.Nonetheless,yougotowarwiththebureaucracyyou

    have,andCMSoughttoconcentrateondevelopingcompetitionorientedregulations

    andcautiouslymonitorthemarketimpactofemergingACOs.

    B.RequiringUnbundlingofMonopolizedServices

    Anyefforttorestorepricecompetitioninhealthcaremarketsmustincludea

    strategythattargetsalreadyconcentratedmarkets.Antitrustenforcerstherefore

    needtodeveloppolicyinstrumentsthattargetcurrentmonopolists,bothtolimitthe

    economicharmtheyinflictandtothwarttheireffortstoexpandtheirmonopoly

    power.

    Onepromisinginitiativecouldbetorequirehospitalsandotherprovider

    entitiestounbundle,atapurchasersrequest,certainservicesforthepurposesof

    negotiatingprices.Providersroutinelybundleservicesforunifiedpayments,and

    manysuchbundlesserveefficiencypurposes.Someservicesaresointertwinedthat

    separatingthemprovescostly,andsimilarly,manyclinicallyrelatedservicesoffer

    efficiencieswhensoldtogether.However,whenprovidersbundleservicesin

    marketstheyhavemonopolizedwithservicesinwhichthereiscompetition,amenu

    ofanticompetitiveconsequencescanresult:themonopolistcansqueezeoutrivals

    inthecompetitivemarket,creatingforitselfanothermonopoly;andbysquelching

    rivalsinthecompetitivemarket,themonopolistlimitstheabilityofentrantsto

    challengeitsholdonthemonopolizedmarket.Themagnifiedconsequencesof

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    healthcaremonopoliesshouldheightenconcernoverpracticesthatcanexpandor

    enshrineprovidermonopolists.

    Thegeneralantitrustruleontyingisthatafirmwithmarketpowermaynot

    useittoforcecustomerstopurchaseunwantedgoodsorservices.51Ifthisprinciple

    isinvokedtofrustratehospitalspracticeofnegotiatingcomprehensivepricesfor

    largebundlesofservices,purchaserscouldthenbargaindownthepricesofservices

    withgoodsubstitutes.52Ifahospitalstillwishedtofullyexploititsvarious

    monopolies,itwouldhavetodosoindiscretenegotiations,makingitshighest

    pricesvisible.Healthplanscouldthenhopetorealizesignificantsavingsby

    challengingsuchmonopolies,eitherbyinducingenrolleestoseekcareinalternative

    venues(effectivelyexpandingthegeographicmarket)orbyencouragingnewentry.

    Oftenthemerethreatofnewentryissufficienttomodifyamonopolistsdemands,

    butentryismorecredibleifthemonopolizedserviceisdiscreteandassociatedwith

    adistinctpricethatentrantscantarget.

    Todate,therehavebeenonlylimitedenforcementeffortstoprevent

    hospitalsfromtyingtheirservicestogetherinbargainingwithprivatepayers.53

    Althoughhospitalswouldpredictablyarguethatbundlinggenerallymakesfor

    51SeeJeffersonParishHosp.Dist.No.2.v.Hyde,466U.S.2(1984).52Theabilitytoleveragemarketpowerinonesubmarketintopriceincreasesinacompetitivemarkethelpsexplainwidepricevariationforlikeservicesincommon

    geographicmarkets.SeePaulB.Ginsburg,WideVariationinHospitalandPhysicianPaymentRatesEvidenceofProviderMarketPower,HSCResearchBriefno.16(November2010),www.hschange.com/CONTENT/1162/(accessedMay25,2012).53Inaprivatesuit,adominanthospitalchainwassuedbyitslonerivalfor,amongotherthings,bundlingprimaryandsecondaryserviceswithtertiarycareinsellingtotheareasinsurers.SeeCascadeHealthSolutionsv.PeaceHealth,515F.3d883,89091(9thCir.2008).Thedistrictcourtpermittedcertainclaimstoproceedtotrial,includingaclaimofillegalbundleddiscounts,butdismissedthetyingclaim.

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    efficientnegotiatingandstreamlineddeliveryofcare,theaddedcostsofbargaining

    servicebyservicecouldbeeasilyoffsetbythelowerpricesresultingfromgreater

    competition.Recentscholarshipontyingandbundlingconfirmsthatpermittinga

    hospitalmonopolisttotieunrelatedservicesexpandsthemonopolysreach,

    profitability,andlongevityandharmsconsumerwelfare.54Theextremeharmfrom

    healthcaremonopoliesmakeshospitalstyingpracticesparticularlyvulnerableto

    antitrustattack.

    Aworkablerulewouldpermitantitrustlawtoempowerapurchaserto

    demandseparatepricesfordivisibleservicesthatarenormallybundled.55

    Althoughonehopesthatantitrustcourtsandacrediblethreatoftrebledamages

    woulddiscourageaprovidermonopolistfromretaliatingagainstanypurchaserthat

    aggressivelychallengesitsanticompetitivepractices,thecostsanddelayfromsuch

    complexantitrustactionssuggestthatpublicenforcementshouldsupplement

    privatesuits.Properlyauthorizedregulatorscouldeitherenableindividualpayers

    todemandunbundlingtofacilitatetheireffortstogetbetterprices,orregulators

    coulddemanditthemselves.Effectiveunbundlingrequestscouldtriggermore

    competitionandgreaterefficiencybothinthetiedsubmarketswheremonopolyis

    notaproblemandalsointhetyingmarketswhereitis.

    54SeeEinerElhauge,Tying,BundledDiscounts,andtheDeathoftheSingleMonopolyProfitTheory,HarvardLawReview123,no.2(2009):397481.55ThisproposalisinlinewithrecommendationsfromtheAntitrustModernizationCommission,ReportandRecommendations(April2007):96,http://permanent.access.gpo.gov/lps81352/amc_final_report.pdf(accessedMay9,2012).Whatisdivisibleinhealthcareisofcoursesubjecttodebate,justasmostservicesaccusedofbeingbundledareoftendefendedasasingleproduct.See,forexample,JeffersonParishHosp.,466U.S.,1922.

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    C.ChallengingAnticompetitiveTermsinInsurerProviderContracts

    Restrictivetermsincontractsbetweenprovidersandinsurersareanother

    potentiallyfruitfulareaforantitrustandregulatoryattentionindealingwiththe

    providermonopolyproblem.Acommonpractice,forexample,isforaprovider

    sellertopromisetogiveaninsurerbuyerthesamediscountfromitshighpricesas

    anyitmightgivetoacompetinghealthplan.Suchpriceprotection,paymentparity,

    ormostfavorednation(MFN)clausesarecommonincommercialcontractsand

    servetoobviatefrequentandcostlyrenegotiationofprices.Theirefficiency

    benefitsmaysometimesbeoutweighedbyanticompetitiveeffects,however.Thus,a

    providermonopolistmayfindthatalargeandimportantpayeriswillingtopayits

    veryhighpricesonlyiftheproviderpromisestochargenolowerpricestoits

    competitors.SuchasituationapparentlyaroseinMassachusetts,wherethe

    Commonwealthslargestinsurer,aBlueCrossplan,reportedlyaccededtoPartners

    HealthCaresdemandforaverysubstantialpriceincreaseonlyafterPartnersagreed

    toprotectBlueCrossfrom[its]biggestfear:thatPartnerswouldallowother

    insurerstopayless.56

    Antitrustlawcanofferreliefagainstaprovidermonopolistagreeingtoan

    MFNclausetoinduceapowerfulinsurertopayitshighprices.Becausesuchclauses

    protectinsurersagainsttheircompetitorsgettingbetterdeals,manyarelikelyto

    56AHandshakeThatMadeHealthcareHistory,BostonGlobe,Dec.28,2008.TheMassachusettsattorneygeneralhasnotedthatsuchpaymentparityagreementshavebecomepervasiveinproviderinsurercontractsinthecommonwealthandhasexpressedconcernthatsuchagreementsmaylockinpaymentlevelsandpreventinnovationandcompetitionbasedonpricing.OfficeofAttorneyGeneralMarthaCoakley,ExaminationofHealthCareCostTrendsandCostDrivers(March16,2010),4041.

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    giveintooquicklytoevenextortionatemonopolistpricedemands.Butthe

    availabilityofanantitrustremedy(whichwouldprobablybeonlyaprospective

    ceaseanddesistorderratherthananawardoftrebledamagesforidentifiable

    harms)mightnotbesufficienttodeterapowerfulproviderfromgrantingMFN

    statustoadominantinsurer.Alternatively,regulatoryauthoritiescouldpresumably

    prohibitdominantprovidersfromconferringsuchstatus.Regulatorspresumably

    wouldbeinasgoodapositionasanypartytodistinguishbetweenrestrictive

    agreementsthatachievetransactionalefficienciesfromagreementsthatrestrict

    insurersfreedomtocutpricedealswithcompetitorsandreducepressureon,and

    opportunitiesfor,allinsurerstoseeknewandinnovativeservicearrangements.

    AmorepotentantitrustattackonanticompetitiveMFNclauseswouldaimat

    thedominantinsurerdemandingthem,ratherthanatthecooperatingprovider.

    TheDepartmentofJustice(DOJ)suedBlueCrossBlueShieldofMichigan,a

    dominantinsurer,toenjoinitfromusingMFNclausesinitscontractswithMichigan

    hospitals.TheDOJallegedthatsuchrestrictionsonproviderpricecompetition

    reducedcompetitionintheinsurancemarketbypreventingotherinsurersfrom

    negotiatingfavorablehospitalcontracts.57Inthewakeofthegovernments

    initiativeinMichigan,whichresultedinasettlement,Michigan(andsubsequently

    severalotherstates)haveprohibitedtheuseofMFNagreementsbetweenhealth

    insurersandproviders.EvenwithoutstateregulationsprohibitingMFNclauses,the

    DOJtheorymetsufficientsupportthatinMassachusetts,forexample,theBlueCross

    57SeeComplaintat12,UnitedStatesv.BlueCrossBlueShieldofMich.(E.D.Mich.2010)(No.2:10CV14155);seealsoDavidS.Hilzenrath,U.S.FilesAntitrustSuitAgainstMichiganBlueCrossBlueShield,WashingtonPost,October18,2010.

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    planshouldnowthinklongandhardbeforerenewing(orenforcing)theMFNclause

    initscontractwithPartnersHealthCare.

    Othercontractprovisionsthatthreatenpricecompetitionarealsoinusein

    providerinsurercontractsinMassachusetts,accordingtotheCommonwealths

    AttorneyGeneral.Inparticular,socalledantisteeringprovisionsprohibitan

    insurerfromcreatinginsuranceproductsinwhichpatientsareinducedtopatronize

    lowerpricedproviders.Undersuchacontractualconstraint,ahealthplancouldnot

    offermoregenerouscoveragesuchasreducedcostsharingforcareobtained

    fromanewmarketentrantorfromamoredistant,perhapsevenanoutofstateor

    outofcountry,provider.OthercontractualtermsinuseinMassachusetts(and

    presumablyinotherjurisdictionsaswell)guaranteeadominantproviderthatitwill

    notbeexcludedfromanyprovidernetworkthatthehealthplanmightofferits

    subscribers.

    Thecontractualtermsnotedhereallhavethepotentialtoenshrinethe

    cooperativesupremacyofdominantprovidersanddominantinsurers.The

    resultingcompetitivehardextendsbeyondthesustenanceofhighprices.These

    partnershipsalsoforecloseopportunitiesforconsumerstobenefit,bothdirectlyas

    patientsandindirectlyaspremiumpayers,frominnovativeinsuranceproductsthat

    competinghealthplansmightotherwiseintroduce.Antitrustlawcanprohibitthe

    useofsuchanticompetitivecontracttermsthatprotectprovidermonopoliesand

    curbinsurerinnovation,andinsuranceregulatorsmightbarsuchprovisions

    wherevertheythreatentoprecludeeffectivepricecompetition.Theseactions

    remainavailableeveninthecontinuedpresenceofaprovidermonopoly.

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    V. ConclusionThereisanurgentneedtorecognizetheunusuallyseriousconsequences,for

    bothconsumersandthegeneralwelfare,ofleavinginsuredhealthcareconsumers

    exposedtomonopolizedhealthcaremarkets.Becausehealthinsurance,especiallyas

    itisdesignedandadministeredintheUnitedStates,hugelyexpandsamonopolists

    pricingfreedom,providerswithmarketpowerinflictwealthredistributingand

    misallocativeeffectssubstantiallymoreseriousthanconventionalmonopolypower.

    Vigorousnottentativeorcircumspectenforcementoftheantitrustlawscan

    mitigatetheharmsfromprovidermarketpower.Retrospectivescrutinyonearlier

    horizontalmergersofhospitalsorotherproviderscouldhelpcorrectdecadesof

    ineffectualenforcement,butiflookingbackwardsremainsunlikely,renewedrigor

    movingforwardisallthemoreessential.Partiesproposingnewmergersand

    alliances,whethertraditionalassociationsornewACOs,mustconvincinglyshow

    thattheirreorganizationeitherleadstoonlyaminimalincreaseinmarketpoweror

    createsspecificefficiencies.Traditionalmarketdefinitionsshouldalsobeexpanded,

    recognizingthatinterregionalcollaborationscanalsoreducecompetitionin

    growinghealthcaremarketsandcangenerateadditionalpricingpower.Other

    measuresshouldtargetcurrentmonopolists,soastopreventtheenshrinementor

    expansionoftheirmarketdominance.Anantitrustorregulatoryinitiativetocurb

    hospitalstyingpracticesandtoprohibitanticompetitivecontractsbetweenpayers

    andprovidersperhapsasremediesforearliermergersfoundunlawfulafterthe

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    factmightalsoreduceandcontaintheharmfromproviderpricingfreedom.Such

    policiesmightcurtailmonopolisthospitalsabilitytoenshrinetheirmarketposition

    andforecloseentry,tospreadtheirpricingpowerintoadjacentmarkets,orto

    extractgreaterrentsfrombuyerswithfewalternatives.

    Enthusiastsformarketorientedsolutionswouldalsoseektorestrainprovider

    marketpowerbyencouragingcreativityamongthirdpartypurchasers.Health

    plansthatbypass,orfosternewcompetitorsfor,localmonopolistspromoteprice

    andqualitycompetitionwhereitiscurrentlylackingandcouldunderminethe

    potencyofinsuranceplusmonopolies.Aprocompetitionregulatoryagendamight

    seekwaystofacilitateinterregionalcompetitionandempowerthirdpartypayors

    toseekflexibleandcreativestrategiestostimulateprovidercompetition.

    Additionalhopeliesinthepossibilitythathealthinsurersandthirdparty

    purchaserswillpurchase(andthatACAregulationswillletthempurchase)proven

    nonmedicalinterventionsthatimprovehealthandreducehealthcarecosts.The

    exorbitantpricesformonopolizedmedicalservicesshouldencouragehealth

    insurerstodevelopcreativealternatives,bothseekingeffective(andlesscostly)

    substitutesandreorganizingwhathasbecomeafragmented,errorprone,and

    inefficientdeliveryofcare.

    Unfortunately,fewhealthinsurershaveshownaneagernesseithertocontest

    providermarketpowerortopursuemeaningfulinnovationstoprovidingcarefor

    theirsubscribers.AsinvestigationsinMichiganandMassachusettsreveal,insurers

    alltoooftenbecomecoconspiratorswithprovidermonopolists,agreeingto

    exclusiveagreementsthatprotectboththemselvesandmonopolistsbut

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    perhapsviastickershockinducethemtodemandlowercostalternatives.

    Moreover,theinsuranceexchangesmightofferaplatformfornewentryinthe

    insurancemarket,thusinjectingsomedynamismintoanindustrydesperatelyin

    needofcreativeideas.Andregardlessofhowthenewinsurancemarketstake

    shape,antitrustpolicymakersandotherregulatorsstillhavethecapacitytofoster

    valueenhancinginnovationbothbypreventingtacticsthatmightenshrinethe

    currentmonopolistregimeandalsobypromotingthedevelopmentofnew

    insuranceproducts.Althoughcurrenttaxpoliciesandregulationshavedulledmany

    insurersintobeingagentsforprovidersratherthanfortheirsubscribers,there

    remainsapotentopportunityforthirdpartypayorstoinjectthehealthcaresector

    withvaluecreatinginnovationsthatredesignboththeofferingsandthedeliveryof

    care.

    WhateverthePPACAmayachieve,itslegacyandcosttothenationwilldepend

    largelyonwhethermarketactors,regulators,andantitrustenforcerscaneffectively

    addresstheprovidermonopolyproblemandtoinstilldesperatelyneeded

    competitionamongproviders.Aggressiveantitrustenforcementcanprevent

    furthereconomicharmandperhapscanundocostlydamagefromprovidersthatin

    errorwerepermittedtobecomemonopolists.Butultimately,creativemarketand

    regulatoryinitiativeswillbeneededtounleashthecompetitiveforcesthat

    consumersneed.Wherethereisdanger,thereisopportunity,andcompetition

    orientedpoliciescanandshouldyieldsubstantialbenefitsbothtopremiumpayers

    andtoaneconomythatbadlyneedstofindthemostefficientusesforresourcesthat

    appear to become increasingly limited