The New Consumer Binary

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THE NEW CONSUMER BINARY MARC BRUSH EDITOR IN CHIEF, NBJ @allmybrush TODD RUNESTAD EDITOR IN CHIEF, FUNCTIONAL INGREDIENTS @toddrunestad

description

Presentation for Next Innovation Summit. Anaheim, Calif. March 2014.

Transcript of The New Consumer Binary

Page 1: The New Consumer Binary

THE NEW CONSUMER BINARY

MARC BRUSH EDITOR IN CHIEF, NBJ

@allmybrush

TODD RUNESTAD EDITOR IN CHIEF, FUNCTIONAL INGREDIENTS

@toddrunestad

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RON

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JESSICA

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JOSHUA

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LARRY

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4 FACES, 1 VOICE

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ONCE YOU START TO SEE THE EVENTS OF THE DAY AS PARTS OF TRENDS & THOSE TRENDS AS SYMPTOMS OF UNDERLYING SYSTEM STRUCTURE, YOU WILL BE ABLE TO CONSIDER NEW WAYS TO MANAGE & NEW WAYS TO LIVE IN A WORLD OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS.

— DIANA WRIGHT, THINKING IN SYSTEMS

“ 07

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The advance of natural products is one manifestation of the system in flux.

PICK A SOCIAL FABRIC Politics? WIKILEAKS Wall Street? CROWDFUNDING Healthcare? PERSONALIZATION Education? CHARTER SCHOOLS

Climate? IT’S REALLY HOT Middle Class? OCCUPY Food? GMO

UNRAVELING

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LAWNS IN VEGAS BUSINESS TRAVEL STRAWBERRIES IN JANUARY CHEAP GAS BIG SODA GMOS

AIR CONDITIONING PROCESSED FOOD HONEYBEES THE MALDIVES WINTER CARS

TOLERABLE REVERSIONS INTOLERABLE REVERSIONS

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WHAT WILL YOU GIVE UP?

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We are actually in the latter stages of what you could call the production-driven world & in the early stages of a consumption-driven world. Now the consumer is in focus, not the product.

— PETER WENNSTRÖM, HMT

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CULTURAL ANTHROPOLOGY, PART 1

WE’RE GETTING BETTER AT THIS THING, RIGHT?

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CULTURAL ANTHROPOLOGY, PART 2

WE’RE GETTING BETTER AT THIS THING, RIGHT?

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THE ALLOPATHIC MIND

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NATURAL VS RX MEDICINE

www.youtube.com/watch?v=ysa5OBhXz-Q

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RESTORE THE BALANCE

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HITS OR MISSES?

Cholesterol & chasing drug targets

Multivitamins & nutrient-dense

Sports nutrition & meal replacements

Reductionism or holistic hedonism? Inflammation!

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THE OLD TRIPTYCH

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THE NEW BINARY

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Innovation can & will look just as much like UN-DOING as NEW-DOING.

(BE CLEAN)

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(BE SIMPLE) (BE SIMPLE)

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(BE SIMPLE) (BE HUMAN)

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15.3%

19.4%18.7%16.9%

11.8%11.6%

8.3%

5.4%

9.1%

4.6%

1.3%

5.1%

2.3% 3.0%

-1.0%

3.0%4.0%

10.8%

6.5%4.9% 4.7%

3.7%5.7%

2.9%4.5%

5.4% 6.1% 6.4% 6.0%4.4%

7.7%6.5% 6.3%5.9%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Rx Growth Supplement Growth

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THE DATA, PART 1

Source: IMS Health & NBJ

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Functional 28%

Natural & Organic

40%

Natural Living 10%

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THE DATA, PART 2

Functional 33%

Natural & Organic

34%

Natural Living

9%

Functional 36% Natural &

Organic 24%

Natural Living

7%

CY 2001 : $56 B CY 2011 : $126 B CY 2021 : $261 B

Supplements 33%

Supplements 24%

Supplements 22%

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THE MEH LIST

SPF-4

5 mg CoQ10

200 mcg vitamin K2 (or MQ-4)

100% RDA vitamin C

RDAs

Flax

“Excellent source” of DHA (32mg=20%/160mg)

Selenomethionine

Cholesterol

dl-alpha-tocopherol

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DR OZ WINNERS

Garcinia cambogia (up 676% nat)

Green coffee bean (up 418%, 273% nat)

African mango

Raspberry ketones ($0>$46M 2011-2013)

7-keto

Moringa (up 937% nat)

Astaxanthin (up 300% supply, DSM)

Acai (so 2009)

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10 INGREDIENTS TO CHANGE THE WORLD

Algae

Krill

Vitamin D

Curcumin

Caffeine

Probiotics

DHA

Plant protein

Adaptogens

Marijuana

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