The National Commercial Bank Investor Presentation · The National Commercial Bank (NCB) prepared...
Transcript of The National Commercial Bank Investor Presentation · The National Commercial Bank (NCB) prepared...
Investor Presentation
The National Commercial Bank
1Q 2020 Results
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Investor Presentation Content
2
Page 4 Operating Environment
Page 9 Strategy Overview
Page 10 Financial Results Highlights
Page 17 Financial Results Details
Page 3 NCB at a glance Page 31 Segmental Review
Page 38 Additional Information
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
NCB at a glance NCB is the leading bank in Saudi Arabia
3
*Includes Alahli Esnad (1,679 employees) - fully owned subsidiary engaged in outsourcing and manpower services in KSA
Employees*
13,238Assets
SAR535 bn
Deposits
SAR375 bn
Market Cap
SAR104 bn
NCB Group Presence NCB's business model delivers diversified operating income(FY 2019)
Customers & Digitization Strong Credit Ratings
Operating Income
SAR20.6bn
Net Income
SAR11.4 bn
C/I Ratio
30.7%
ROE
18.4 %
CoR
0.51%
10.1bn49%
RETAIL
4.4bn21%
CORPORATE
3.9bn19%
TREASURY
SAR 20.6bn89%
NCB
1.5bn7%
International
0.8bn4%
Capital Markets
Clients
8m
Digital Financial Transactions
>98%
Robotics
+55 bots
NCB Long term Short Term Outlook
S&P BBB+ A-2 StableFitch A- F1 StableMoody’s* A1 P-1 StableCapital Intelligence A+ A1 Stable
Government of Saudi Arabia
S&P A- StableFitch A StableMoody’s A1 NegativeCapital Intelligence A+ Stable
International: Subsidiary in TurkeyTürkiye Finans Katılım Bankası (TFKB)310 branches, 624 ATMs3,480 employees
Offices in Seoul & Shanghai
Wholesale branches in Bahrain & Singapore
NCB GroupHeadquartered in Saudi Arabia
458 branches, 3,611 ATMs138 Remittance centers
9,758 Employees
NCB CapitalSaudi Arabia
22 Branches245 Employees
19%
71%84%
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2018 2019 1Q 20
Digital Account Opening
28%
51% 59%
0
0
1
1
1
2018 2019 1Q 20
Digital Sales Penetration
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Operating Environment Banking sector impacted by Covid-19 measures, oil market, interest rates and contraction in GDP
5
Source: IMF, Ministry of Finance and SAMA (IMF projections based on April 2020 WEO)
3.4% 3.9% 3.6% 2.9%
-3.0%
1.7% 2.5% 2.2%
1.7%
-6.1%
1.7%
-0.7%
2.4%
0.3%-2.3%
-9.0%
-7.0%
-5.0%
-3.0%
-1.0%
1.0%
3.0%
5.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F
Real GDP Growth
World Advanced Economies KSA
9.810.5 10.0 10.3 9.8
40.952.4
70.1 64.0
36.00.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F
Oil Production
Oil Production (Mb/d) Average Oil Price (USD)
1.89%1.23%
1.78%
0.56%
(0)
(0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Interbank Rates (%)
3M SAR SAIBOR 3M USD LIBOR
Government Response Key Government Measures Key Government Support SAR 200+bn
Healthcare
Containment & Treatment
Government Debt to GDP Ceiling
Up to 50%
Expenditure Rationalization
Opex & Capex
VAT increases to
15%
Deferrals and Exemptions
SAR43 bn
Social Development Bank: SMEs & Families
SAR12 bn
Private Sector Support
SAR70 bn
Healthcare Sector Support
SAR47 bn
POS & e-commerce Fees
SAR0.8 bn
Loan Guarantee Program
SAR6 bn
Funding for Lending Program
SAR13.2 bn
Deferred Payment Program
SAR30 bn
Support Initiative Highlights SAMA (PSFP SAR 50bn)
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
17.2%
19.2%20.0%
20.6%
18.7%
15.1%
16.9%17.7%
18.5%18.0%
13.5%
15.3% 15.7%16.6% 16.2%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
22.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Capital Ratios (%)
TC ratio T1 ratio CET1 ratio
152.3%172.5% 177.3% 176.0% 168.9%
10.0%
60.0%
110.0%
160.0%
210.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
LCR Ratio (%)
NCB Strong Track Record Resilience against the challenging environment
6
136.0%119.0%
128.0% 124.4%
78.1% 80.3% 80.7% 83.2% 79.9%
10.0%
30.0%
50.0%
70.0%
90.0%
110.0%
130.0%
150.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
LTD and NSFR Ratios (%)
NSFR (%) Financing to customers' deposit ratio
Retail45%
Corporate22%
Treasury27%
Capital Markets4%
International2%
FY 19 Net Income Before Zakat & Income Tax (SARbn)
10.8 12.9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
FY 18 FY 19
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
KSA Total Market NCB Market Share in SARbn NCB Market Share in % Rank KSA
Overall banking (Assets)
SAR 2,445 bn 19.9% #1
Corporate banking (Performing Financing)
SAR 930 bn 14.0% #1
Retail banking(Performing Financing)
SAR 556 bn 22.2% #2
Treasury(Investments)
SAR 538bn 24.9% #1
Asset Management (AUMs)
SAR 500bn 32.0% #1
Brokerage(Value Traded)
SAR 882bn 10.4% #2
Leading, diversified franchise NCB Market Position as of 4Q 2019
7
481
130
124
134
160
183
1,964
800
432
404
340
699
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
NCB Response Maintained seamless operations in serving our customers
8
BCM Protocols
InitiatedActive situation management of
Covid-19
Enabling our employees and the entire bank to focus on
Serving our Customers
Business Continuity
Branches Operational
~95%Cash availability across ATMs, branches & remittance centers
100%Digital channel availability
99.9%
Meals & PPE
DistributionSaudi Health Endowment Fund
SAR33 mn
Social Welfare Fund
SAR20.5 mn
All customer-facing systems
> SLA levelsNon-Branch Staff working
RemotelyDeferrals of over 1,000 SMEs supported by SAMA deposit of
SAR 3.3 bn
Health, safety & hygiene standards
All premises
Health & Safety
Supporting our Community
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Stra
tegi
cEn
able
rs
Digital Productivity
Accelerate digital transformation Increase Operational Efficiency
Digital sales Advanced analytics
Lean distribution Robotics & AI
Impact on 2020 Strategy Strategy validated by recent events; looking ahead accelerated focus on Retail & Digital
9
Funding
Current Accounts
Wholesale Funding
Grow Current Accounts
Expand Funding Options
Digital & physical distribution
Cash management Customer coverage
models
Programs across maturity and seniority spectrums
Mix and cost optimization
Asset Deployment
Retail Corporate Treasury Subsidiaries
Grow Mortgages Improve Returns Sustain Investment Returns
Grow Value Contribution
Sales channels Digitization
Mega financing SME Transaction banking
Recurring revenues Portfolio liquidity &
quality
Key business lines Efficiency &
productivity
FINANCIAL RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS
1Q 2020 Results
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Balance Sheet
Asset Quality, Capital & Liquidity
Financial Results Update 1Q 2020 Results highlights
11
Financing (SARbn) Deposits (SARbn)
353 375
+6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
4Q 19 1Q 20
282 305
+8%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 19 1Q 20
* Impairments include impairment charges for financing and investments
NPL & COR (%) CET1 and LTD (%)
1.8% 1.7%
0.5% 0.6%
-0.1%
0.1%
0.3%
0.5%
0.7%
0.9%
1.1%
1.3%
1.5%
0
0
0
0
0
0
4Q 19 1Q 20
NPL ratio CoR YTD
16.2% 14.4%
80% 81%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4Q 19 1Q 20
CET1 LTD
2,776
25996
(75)
(251) (9)
54
(15)
2,834
+2%
0.00
500.00
1,000.00
1,500.00
2,000.00
2,500.00
3,000.00
3,500.00
4,000.00
1Q 19 NSCI Fee &Other
Income
Expenses Impair-ments*
OtherNon-
Operating
Zakat &Tax
Minorities 1Q 20
Net Income after Zakat and Income Tax attributed to Equity Holders (SARmn)
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Income Statement 1Q 2020 YoY Net income after zakat and income tax growth driven by improved NSCI and fee income; partly offset by increase in impairments
Profitability Trends
SAR (mn) 1Q 2020 4Q 2019 YTD % change 1Q 2019 YoY % change
Net special commission income 4,013 4,268 -6% 3,754 +7%Fee and other income 1,292 1,322 -2% 1,197 +8%Total operating income 5,305 5,590 -5% 4,951 +7%Operating expenses (1,692) (1,453) +16% (1,616) +5%Total impairment charge (396) (287) +38% (145) +173%Income from operations, net 3,218 3,850 -16% 3,189 +1%Net income before Zakat and income tax 3,211 3,851 -17% 3,192 +1%Zakat and Income Tax (340) (414) -18% (394) -14%Net income for the period after Zakat and income tax attributable to equity holders 2,834 3,390 -16% 2,776 +2%
12
4,654 4,825 4,507 5,161 4,830
297 354 381 429 4754,951 5,178 4,888 5,590 5,305
+7%
-5%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Total Operating Income (SARmn)
International
Domestic
2,703 2,778 2,478 3,206 2,69172 29
(48)
184 1442,776 2,807 2,429
3,390 2,834
+2%
-16%
(200)
1,800
3,800
5,800
7,800
9,800
11,800
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Net income for the period after Zakat and income tax attributable to equity holders (SARmn)
International
Domestic
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Balance Sheet 5% YTD increase in total assets on the back of growth in financing
Balance Sheet
SAR (mn) 1Q 2020 4Q 2019 YTD % change 1Q 2019 YoY % change
Cash & due from banks 53,850 61,948 -13% 45,726 +18%Investments, net 133,000 134,077 -1% 123,419 +8%Financing and advances, net 305,214 282,289 +8% 267,215 +14%Total assets 535,007 507,264 +5% 464,906 +15%Due to banks and other financial institutions 63,323 62,186 +2% 63,127 +0%Customers' deposits 375,241 353,389 +6% 309,676 +21%Debt securities issued 565 1,016 -44% 4,421 -87%Total liabilities 470,027 437,476 +7% 397,243 +18%Common equity 57,159 61,888 -8% 59,761 -4%Total equity 64,979 69,788 -7% 67,663 -4%
Domestic Deposits93%
International Deposits7%
Customers' Deposits Mix (SARbn)
353 375
0
100
200
300
400
500
4Q 19 1Q 20
13
236 240 255 251 29061 73 73 90 7213 14 12 13 13310 327 340 353 375
+6%
+21%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
CASA Time Others
128 135 137 127 138
107 110 112 124 13112 12 12 11 1721 20 19 20 20267 276 281 282 305
+8%
+14%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Financing & Advances, net (SARbn)
Corporate Consumer and credit card Others International
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Retail44%
Corporate21%
Treasury21%
Capital Markets5%
International9%
1Q 20 Total Operating Income (SARbn)
Retail37%
Corporate22%
Treasury31%
Capital Markets5%
International5%
1Q 20 Net Income Before Zakat & Income Tax (SARbn)
Segmental Information (1/2) 1Q 2020 Total operating income and Net income before zakat and income tax growth in all segments except Corporate
14
3,192 46
(208)
43 67 71 3,211
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1Q 19 Retail Corporate Treasury CapitalMarkets
International 1Q 20
1Q 20 Net Income Before Zakat & Income Tax Movement (SARmn)
4,95180
(45)
74 68178 5,305
(100)
100
300
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1Q 19 Retail Corporate Treasury CapitalMarkets
International 1Q 20
1Q 20 Total Operating Income Movement (SARmn)
3.2 3.2
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
1Q 19 1Q 20
5.0 5.3
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1Q 19 1Q 20
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Segmental Information (2/2) 1Q 2020 Asset growth mainly driven by growth across all segments
Management Commentary
YTD 2020 Total Assets increased by 5% due to higher financing (+8%).
Total Financing increased by 8%: Retail increased by 6%, Corporate by 8% and FI by 46%.
Customers’ deposits increased by 6% from Corporate and International segments offsetting the modest decline in Retail and others (Treasury) segments.
CASA balances at 77% of total deposits at 1Q 2020 compared with 71% at 4Q 2019.
139 155 163132 132 142159 185 1942 2 2
34 3334
465 507 535
+5%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Total Assets (SARbn)
RetailCorporateTreasuryCapital MarketsInternational
107 124 131
128 127 13821 20 2012 11 17267 282 305
+8%
0
100
200
300
400
500
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Financing and Advances, net (SARbn)
Consumer and credit cardCorporateInternationalOther
15
234 231 226
46 84 1138 13 922
26 27310353 375
+6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
RetailCorporateOthersInternational
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
2020 Guidance Evolving circumstances necessitate revision of guidance and diminishes outcome certainty
16
Source: IMF, April 2020
Macro-Economic Outlook
2020 Original Outlook 2020 Expected Outlook
Oil Price USD 60 / bbl USD 36 / bbl
US Fed Rates Stable 150bps cut (Mar 2020)
Stable rest of 2020
GDP Growth Real GDP 2.3% Real GDP -2..3%
Fiscal Balance Deficit 6.4% of GDP Deficit 12.6% of GDP
Inflation 2.0% 0.9%
NCB Financial Guidance
FY 2019 Reported
1Q 2020 Reported 2020 Guidance 2020 New
Guidance
Financing Growth +6.5% +8% +10% - 12% +8% - 10%
NSCI Margin 3.77% 3.60% 3.60% - 3.80% 3.40% - 3.60%
Cost to Income 30.7% 31.9% Below 32% Below 33%
Cost of Risk 0.51% 0.6% 0.6% - 0.8% 0.8% - 1.0%
Tier 1 CAR 18.0% 16.0% 16% - 18% Within guidance
FINANCIAL RESULTS DETAILS
1Q 2020 Results
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
4.95 0.16 0.02 0.18 5.31
4.83
0.47
4.65
0.30
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
1Q 19 NSCI Fee and otherincome
InternationalNOR
1Q 20
1Q 20 Total Operating Income Movement (SARbn)
3.75 4.27 4.011.20 1.32 1.29
4.95 5.59 5.31
+7%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Total Operating Income (SARbn)
Fee and other income
Net special commission income
Operating Income Highlights Higher 1Q 2020 total operating income driven by higher NSCI and fee & other income
Management Commentary
Total operating income increased 7% YoY from a 7% improvement in net special commission income, 9% higher investment-related income and an increase in FX revenue by 31%.
International operating income increased by 60% boosted by core banking activity.
18
Domestic
Intl.
Domestic
Intl.
5.59
(0.28) (0.05)
0.05 5.31
4.83
0.47
5.16
0.43
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4Q 19 NSCI Fee and otherincome
InternationalNOR
1Q 20
1Q 20 Total Operating Income Movement (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Net special commission income 1Q 2020 net special commission income grew by 7% YoY
19
3,754 135
(33)
89 86
(6)
4,013
+7%
3.75% -21 bps -14 bps +14 bps +1 bps -0 bps +5 bps 3.60%
(12)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
1Q 19 Financing mix &yield
Investments Deposit mix &cost
Wholesalefunding
Other International 1Q 20
Movement in Net Special Commision Income (SARmn) & NSCI Margin (%)
3.79% 3.79% 3.73% 3.74%3.52%
3.75% 3.79% 3.75% 3.77%
3.60%
3.44%3.99% 4.15% 4.22%
4.72%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19 1Q 20
Net Special Commission Margin (%)
Domestic Group International
Management Commentary
• NSCI improved by 7% driven by increase in
average commission earing assets.
• Net special commission margin decreased by
15bps YoY to 3.60% from lower financing and
investments yields, partly offset by improved
deposit cost of funding.
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
471251,197 10
(10)
91
(19)(41)
7540
(50)
1,292
1,1671,150
+8%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1Q 19 Finance&
lending
Tradefinance
Inv. mgt.&
brokerage
Creditcards
Others ExchangeIncome
Investment-relatedincome
Otheroperatingexpenses
1Q 20
1Q 20 Fee and other Income Movement (SARmn)
Fee and other income 1Q 2020 fee and other income grew by 8% YoY due to higher investment income, exchange income, fee from banking services income
20
593 727 624240 253 314
450 360 490
(86) (18) (136)
1,197 1,322 1,292
+8%
(400)
100
600
1,100
1,600
2,100
2,600
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Fee and Other Income (SARmn)
Other operating income (expenses), netInvestment-related incomeExchange Income, netFee income from banking services, net
Management Commentary
Fee and other income increased by 8% YoY due to 9% growth in investment-related income, 31% growth in exchange income, 5% growth in fee income from banking services, partly offset by an increase in other operating expenses.
Fees from Banking Services+SAR 31mn (+5%)
Domestic
International
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Management Commentary
Expenses increased by 5% YoY,
Cost to income ratio was 31.9%, lower by 76bps compared to 1Q 2019.
The cost base increase was driven by higher other G&A expenses due to additional digitization expenses related to SMS expenses and software subscriptions and licenses.
Expense Highlights Operating expenses increased from additional digitization expenses in 1Q 2020
21
907 887 90890 88 83
213 225 226406 253 4751,616 1,453
1,692
+5%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Operating Expenses (SARmn)
Employee-relatedRent & premisesDepreciation & amortizationOther G&A
32.6% 32.5%32.1%
30.7%
31.9%
30.6% 30.8% 30.6%
29.3%
30.9%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19 1Q 20
Cost to Income Ratio (YTD %)
Group (%) Excluding International (%)
Domestic
Intl.1,616 1
(8)
13 69 1,692
1,491
201
1,422
194
+5%
(300)
200
700
1,200
1,700
2,200
1Q 19 Employee-related
Rent &premises
Depreciation &amortization
Other G&A 1Q 20
1Q 20 Operating Expenses Movement (SARmn)
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Management Commentary
Total assets increased 5% due to increase in financing and other assets, partly offset by decline in cash, bank and SAMA balances.
Decrease in balances due to redeployment of reverse repo balances held with SAMA for liquidity management in 4Q 2019.
8% Financing increase primarily driven by increase in domestic and international financing, despite International financing being impacted by Turkish Lira depreciation.
Other assets increase includes increase in positive fair values of derivatives of SAR 3.7bn.
Asset Highlights and Composition
5% growth in balance sheet as a result of increase in financing and other assets
22
267 282 305
123 134 1334662 542929 43465 507 535
+5%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Total Assets (SARbn)
Financing and Advances, netInvestments, netCash, bank and SAMA balancesOther assets, net
507 535
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 19 1Q 20
507.3 22.9
(1.1) (8.1)
3.7 10.3 535.0
+5%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
4Q 19 Financing Invest-ments
Cash,Bank &SAMA
PositiveFV of
Derivatives
Other 1Q 20
Movement in Assets (SARbn)
Retail30%
Corporate27%
Treasury36%
Capital Markets1%
International6%
Total Assets by Segment (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Consumer financing & credit cards
44%
Commerce13%
Services10%
Manufacturing10%
Utilities & health7%
Building & construction4%
Others, across 6 sectors12%
Financing and Advances, net by Economic Sector (SARbn)
282.37.6 0.1
9.45.2 0.6
305.2
+8%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
4Q 19 Mortgages Other Corporate FI Inter-national
1Q 20
Movement in Financing (SARbn)
107 123 131
128 128 13821 20 2012 11 17267 282 305
+8%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Financing and Advances, net (SARbn)
Consumer and credit cardCorporateInternationalOther
Management Commentary
Domestically, financing grew for Retail (+6%) on the back of mortgages (+21%), Corporate (+7%), International (+3%) and FI (+46%) portfolios from 4Q 2019.
Corporate segment increased 7% from underwriting a few large high-quality transactions that were in pipeline from previous quarter.
Financing to financial institutions increased by 46% mainly in GCC & MENAT, USD and SAR exposures.
International financing increased 3% from 14% growth in local currency, partly offset by the weakened Turkish Lira -9%.
Financing and Advances 8% Financing growth driven by strong Retail mortgages, Corporate and FI
23
Retail
+SAR 7.7bn (+6%)
282 305
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
4Q 19 1Q 20
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
5.33 0.09 0.20
(0.22)
5.39
+1%
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4Q 19 Retail Corporate International 1Q 20
Movement in NPLs (SARbn)
Financing and Advances Credit Quality (1/2)
YTD NPLs rose moderately by 1% while NPL coverage remained stable; YoY -4% decline in NPL coverage driven by International segment.
24
Domestic
+SAR 29mn (+5%)
0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5%
2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3%
5.2% 5.5%
9.2%8.2%
6.9%
1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7%
(0)
0
0
0
0
0
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
NPL Ratios (%)
Retail Corporate International Group NPL Ratio
280%257% 258%
277%
242%
140% 142%
151% 152% 146%
83% 81%56% 62%
71%
145% 145%
133% 138% 140%
0
1
1
2
2
3
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
NPL Coverage Ratios (%)
Retail Corporate International Group NPL coverage ratio
5.330.07
0.075.39
0.04
(0.09) (0.04)
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
4Q 19 Commerce Consumer Building &construction
Manu-facturing
Others 1Q 20
Movement NPLs by Economic Sector (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
21
(6)
6 6
11
4 13
55
+34 bps
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1Q 19 Impairments Recoveries& Other
Impairments Recoveries& Other
Other International 1Q 20
Movement in Cost of Risk (bps)
144
(17)
27 54
89
31 88
415
188%
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1Q 19 Impairments Recoveries& Other
Impairments Recoveries& Other
Other International 1Q 20
Movement in Impairments for Financing and Advances losses (SARmn)
Financing and Advances Credit Quality (2/2)
Increase in impairments and cost of risk from international and reduced domestic corporate recoveries
25
Corporate
+19 bps
Retail
0 bps
Corporate
+SAR 142mnRetail
+SAR 10mn0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.3%
0.0% 0.1%
0.9%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.6%
(0)
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
CoR Ratios (%)
Retail Corporate Group CoR ratio
0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
0.9%
1.4%
2.5%2.2%
2.7%
0.2%
0.3%0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
(0)
(0)
0
0
0
0
1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19 1Q 20
CoR Ratios (%)
Domestic International Group CoR ratio
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Investments Investments declined 1% due to mark-to-market impact; quality remains strong, ~86% of the investment portfolio is investment grade including Saudi Government securities
26
64 85 83
5139 418
9 9123 134 133
-1%
0
50
100
150
200
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Investments (SARbn)
Equity instruments, Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds and OthersFloating rate securitiesFixed rate securities
Saudi Government securities51%
Other investment grade35%
Non-investment grade7%
Equity & others7%
Investments by Credit Grade (SARbn)
134 133
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
4Q 19 1Q 20
Saudi Arabia67%
GCC and Middle East11%
Europe1%
Turkey3%
Other countries18%
Investments by Geography (SARbn)
134 133
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
4Q 19 1Q 20
134.1
(1.0) (0.7)
0.7
(0.1)
133.0
-1%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
4Q 19 SaudiGovernmentsecurities
Otherinvestment
grade
Non-investment
grade
Equity & others 1Q 20
Movement in Investments (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Due to banks and other financial institutions
12%
Customers' deposits70%
Debt securities issued0%
Other liabilities6%
Total equity12%
Funding Mix (SARbn)
Management Commentary
5% increase in funding mainly from growth in CASA deposits and increase other liabilities.
Customers’ deposits increased by 6%.
Other liabilities increase is due to increase in negative fair value of derivatives and 2H 2019 proposed dividend moved from equity to liabilities in 1Q 2020
Funding Balance sheet growth funded by growth in CASA deposits and other liabilities
27
310 353 375
63 62 634 1 120 21 31
68 70 65465 507 535
+5%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Funding (SARbn)
Total equity Other liabilities
Debt securities issued Due to banks and other financial institutions
Customers' deposits
507 535
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 19 1Q 20
507.3 21.9 1.1
(0.5)
10.0
(4.8)
535.0
+5%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
4Q 19 Customers'deposits
Interbank Debt Otherliabilities
Total equity 1Q 20
Movement in Funding (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
CASA77%
Time19%
Others4%
Customers' Deposits Mix (SARbn)
Management Commentary
Customers’ deposits increased by 6%, mainly from 16% increase in CASA deposits.
CASA balances account for 77% of customers’ deposits compared to 71% at 4Q 2019.
Deposits Customers’ deposits increased 6%, mainly from CASA deposits
28
353 375
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
4Q 19 1Q 20
Domestic Deposits
+SAR 20.2bn (+6%)
International Deposits
+SAR 1.7bn (+7%)
227 241 2788 9 1247 74 5813 16 1413 13 13310 353 375
+6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
CASA - DomesticCASA - InternationalTime - DomesticTime - InternationalOthers
353.4 36.7
(16.5) (0.0)
2.9
(1.4)
0.2
+6%
375.2
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 19 CASA Time Others CASA Time Others 1Q 20
Movement in Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Liquidity NCB maintained a strong and stable liquidity profile
29
Management Commentary
As at 1Q 2020, the financing to customers’ deposit ratio was 81.3% and the regulatory LDR ratio was comfortably below SAMA limit.
NSFR was 117.1% at 1Q 2020 relative to 124.4% at 4Q 2019.
The average quarterly LCR increased to 176.1% in 1Q 2020 from 168.9% in 4Q 2019.
Basel III leverage ratio was 11.4% as at 1Q 2020 relative to 12.8% at 4Q 2019.
* Headline ratio, which does not equate to SAMA regulatory LDR ratio
98 92 92 99 113
53 50 53 59 64
183.9% 185.5%173.2% 168.9% 176.1%
(5)
15
35
55
75
95
115
135
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
LCR Ratio (%)
HQLA (SARbn)Net cash outflows (SARbn)LCR
319 330 334 343 362
256 263 271 275 309
124.0% 125.5% 123.2% 124.4%117.1%
(20)
80
180
280
380
480
580
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
NSFR Ratio (%)
Available stable funding (SARbn)Required stable funding (SARbn)NSFR
13.4% 13.2% 12.6% 12.8% 11.4%
86.3% 84.4% 82.4% 79.9% 81.3%
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
LDR* and Basel III leverage Ratios (%)
Basel III leverage ratio Financing to customers' deposit ratio
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
16.3% 16.0%15.4%
16.2%14.4%
18.2% 17.8% 17.2%18.0%
16.0%
19.0% 18.7%18.0%
18.7%
16.9%
0
0
0
0
0
0
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Capital Ratios (%)
CET1 ratio T1 ratio TC ratio
Management Commentary
Capitalization remained comfortably above the regulatory minima
with CET1 at 14.4% and T1 at 16.0%.
Total capital declined 4% due to combined impact of 2H 2019
dividend of SAR 3.6bn and mark-to-market loss on investment
portfolio of SAR 3.5bn.
RWA 6% growth is attributable to the growth in financing.
Total capital adequacy ratio at 16.9%.
Capital Capital position comfortably above regulatory minima
30
61 63 60
7 7 7
3 3 471 73 70
-4%
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Capitalisation (SARbn)
Tier 2 capital (T2)Additional tier 1 capital (AT1)Common equity tier 1 capital (CET1)
323 337 365
35 3636
16 1715374 390 416
+6%
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Pillar I Risk Weighted Assets (SARbn)
Credit riskOperational riskMarket risk
73.2 2.8
(0.1) (3.6)
1.5
(3.5)
70.3
-4%
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
4Q 19 Net Income Tier 1 Sukukcost
Dividends MTM onInvestment
Other 1Q 20
Movement in Total Capital (SARbn)
SEGMENTAL REVIEW
1Q 2020 Results
NCB Bank (standalone) Modest decline in 1Q 2020 net income after zakat YoY resulting from higher impairments
32
Management Commentary
Net income after zakat declined 2% YoY as 2% operating income growth was more than offset by a higher impairment charge.
NSCI improved by 5% YoY due to an increase in average earning assets.
The impairment charge increased by SAR 162mn YoY due to lower recoveries and normalization in the corporate cost of risk.
Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 1Q 2020 4Q 2019 QoQ % change 1Q 2019 YoY %
change
Total assets 506,689 480,079 +6% 437,258 +16%
Total operating income 4,582 4,936 -7% 4,473 +2%
Net special commission income 3,658 3,937 -7% 3,500 +5%
Fee income from banking services, net 332 472 -30% 379 -13%
Operating expenses (1,412) (1,181) +20% (1,344) +5%
Total impairment charge (256) (214) +20% (94) +172%
Other non-operating income (expenses), net (16) (7) +129% (18) -10%
Net income for the period before Zakat 2,898 3,534 -18% 3,016 -4%
Zakat (299) (365) -18% (370) -19%
Net income for the period after Zakat 2,598 3,170 -18% 2,646 -2%
% of total assets 94.7% 94.6% +0% 94.1% +1%
Cost to income (%) 30.8% 23.9% +29% 30.1% +3%
NCL (%) 0.4% 0.3% +16% 0.1% +165%
ROA (%) 2.1% 2.9% -25% 2.5% -14%
246 262 285
+8%
0
100
200
300
400
500
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Financing and Advances, net (SARbn)
288328 348
+6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
Retail Banking Higher 1Q 2020 net income before zakat YoY from higher operating income
33
Management Commentary
NSCI improved by 6% YoY on strong financing growth.
Net income before zakat increased by 4% YoY driven principally by 4% higher operating income.
Operating expenses increased 3% YoY but the cost to income ratio improved from 44.7% in 1Q 2019 to 44.2% in 1Q 2020, supported by digitization, and productivity enhancements.
Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 1Q 2020 4Q 2019 QoQ % change 1Q 2019 YoY %
change
Total assets 162,520 154,386 +5% 138,673 +17%
Total operating income 2,321 2,518 -8% 2,241 +4%
Net special commission income 2,075 2,145 -3% 1,966 +6%
Fee income from banking services, net 229 267 -14% 254 -10%
Operating expenses (1,027) (879) +17% (1,001) +3%
Impairment charge (106) (72) +46% (96) +10%
Other income (expenses) (5) 14 -139% (7) -23%
Net income for the period before Zakat 1,183 1,581 -25% 1,137 +4%
% of total assets 30.4% 30.6% -1% 29.8% +2%
Cost to income (%) 44.2% 34.9% +27% 44.7% -1%
CoR 0.3% 0.2% +36% 0.4% -9%
ROA (% before zakat) 3.0% 4.2% -29% 3.3% -10%234 231 226
-2%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
107123 131
+6%
0
50
100
150
200
250
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Financing & Advances, net (SARbn)
Corporate Banking 1Q 2020 net income before zakat reduced on lower operating income and normalization of risk cost
34
Management Commentary
Operating income declined by 4% YoY; NSCI declined by 3% primarily due to lower market rates.
Fee income declined by 15% on slower trade finance environment.
Impairments increased by SAR 142mn YoY as cost of risk normalized and from lower recoveries in view of current market conditions.
128 128 138
+7%
0
50
100
150
200
250
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Financing & Advances, net (SARbn) Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 1Q 2020 4Q 2019 QoQ % change 1Q 2019 YoY %
change
Total assets 142,029 132,775 +7% 131,501 +8%
Total operating income 1,113 1,527 -27% 1,157 -4%
Net special commission income 1,029 1,337 -23% 1,058 -3%
Fee income from banking services, net 85 190 -55% 100 -15%
Operating expenses (251) (202) +24% (229) +10%
Impairment charge (145) (208) -30% (3) +4499%
Other income (expenses) (5) (18) -75% (5) -11%
Net income for the period before Zakat 712 1,099 -35% 920 -23%
% of total assets 26.5% 26.0% +2% 28.3% -6%
Cost to income (%) 22.5% 13.2% +70% 19.8% +14%
CoR 0.4% 0.6% -30% 0.0% +4387%
ROA (% before zakat) 2.1% 3.2% -36% 2.8% -25%
46
84113
+34%
0
50
100
150
200
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
Treasury 1Q 2020 growth in net income before zakat from operating income growth
35
Management Commentary
Net income before zakat improved by 4% YoY driven by 7% higher operating income.
NSCI improved by 16% YoY due to lower cost of funds resulting from 3 rate cuts during the 2nd
half od 2019.
Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 1Q 2020 4Q 2019 QoQ % change 1Q 2019 YoY %
change
Total assets 194,327 185,235 +5% 159,032 +22%
Total operating income 1,148 890 +29% 1,074 +7%
Net special commission income 555 456 +22% 477 +16%
Fee income from banking services, net 18 15 +17% 26 -31%
Other operating income 575 419 +37% 572 +1%
Operating expenses (135) (100) +35% (115) +17%
Impairment charge (5) 80 -107% 5 -205%
Other income (expenses) (6) (17) -63% (6) +8%
Net income for the period before Zakat 1,001 854 +17% 959 +4%
% of total assets 36.3% 36.5% -1% 34.2% +6%
Cost to income (%) 11.8% 11.2% +5% 10.7% +10%
ROA (% before zakat) 2.1% 1.9% +12% 2.5% -15%
123 134 133
-1%
0
50
100
150
200
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Investments, net (SARbn)
477 555
597 593
1,074 1,148
+7%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1Q 19 1Q 20
Total Operating Income (SARmn)
Net special commission income Fee and other income
Capital Markets Higher 1Q 2020 net income growth YoY driven by higher operating income
36
Management Commentary
Net income before zakat increased by 65% YoY due to increased operating income (+38%).
Operating income increased by 38% YoY due to higher brokerage-related fee income (+65%) and AUM-related fee income (+19%).
151 156 146
-6%
0
50
100
150
200
250
1Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20
Client Assets Under Management (SARbn)
Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 1Q 2020 4Q 2019 QoQ % change 1Q 2019 YoY %
change
Client assets under management 146,180 156,027 -6% 151,248 -3%
Brokerages Volume 69,613 54,244 +28% 45,559 +53%
Total operating income 249 225 +11% 181 +38%
Net special commission income 5 5 -8% 3 +38%
Fee income from banking services, net 250 210 +19% 163 +53%
AUM Related Fee Income 143 127 +12% 120 +19%
Brokerage Related Fee Income 54 36 +49% 32 +65%
Other operating income (expenses) (6) 10 -154% 14 -140%
Operating expenses (79) (92) -15% (78) +1%
Net income before Zakat 171 134 +28% 103 +65%
Cost to income (%) 31.5% 40.8% -23% 42.9% -26%
46
70
+53%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1Q 19 1Q 20
Brokerages Volume (SARbn)
40.64.6 45.2 2.4 47.6
+10%
+17%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
4Q 19Reported
Growth atconstant FX
1Q 20Underlying
TFKB FXtranslation
impact
1Q 20Reported
Customers' Deposits (TRYbn)
31.1
3.1 34.21.3 35.5
+9%
+14%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
4Q 19Reported
Growth atconstant FX
1Q 20Underlying
TFKB FXtranslation
impact
1Q 20Reported
Financing & Advances, net (TRYbn)
International (in TRY) 1Q 2020 net income growth YoY on higher operating income
37
Management Commentary
Net income after tax grew 119% primarily due strong
growth in operating income
Operating income increased by 81% YoY boosted by core
banking activity and reduced funding costs.
NSCI improved by 59% YoY due to increase in financing
and improved margins.
Operating expenses rose 17% YoY from inflationary
pressures and additional expenses for Covid-19.
Impairments increased 208% as TFKB intends to increase
NPL coverage and additional provisions were required due
to Covid-19.
Summary Financial Performance
TRY (mn) 1Q 2020 4Q 2019 QoQ % change 1Q 2019 YoY %
change
Total assets 59,311 52,051 +14% 50,434 +18%
Total operating income 771 659 +17% 427 +81%
Net special commission income 570 501 +14% 359 +59%
Fee income from banking services, net 70 70 -1% 73 -5%
Operating expenses (327) (278) +18% (279) +17%
Impairment charge (228) (116) +97% (74) +208%
Other income (expenses) 148 101 +47% 25 +492%
Net income for the period before tax 232 279 -17% 104 +123%
Tax (50) (61) -18% (21) +138%
Net income after tax 182 217 -16% 83 +119%
Cost to income (%) 51.2% 48.7% +5% 64.6% -21%
CAR (%) 16.1% 17.5% -8% 15.2% +6%
Tier 1 CAR % 11.6% 12.9% -10% 10.9% +6%
LTD ratio (%) 73.6% 76.2% -3% 95.0% -23%
45% 44%% of balance in foreign currency
62% 59%% of balance in foreign currency
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
1Q 2020 Results
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Disclaimer
39
The National Commercial Bank (NCB) prepared this presentation on a proprietary basis as general background information about the activities of NCB. The information contained herein is given in summary form and for discussion purposes only. Some of the information that is relied upon by NCB is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but NCB (nor any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates or subsidiaries) does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information, and disclaims all liability or responsibility for any loss or damage caused by any act taken as a result of the information. This presentation including the information covered therein is not intended either to be relied upon or construed as an advertisement for, or an offer, solicitation or invitation to sell or issue, or to subscribe, underwrite or otherwise acquire any securities in any jurisdiction. It should and must not be treated as giving tax, legal, investment or other specialist advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. Neither shall any part of this information nor the fact of its distribution form part of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision or commitment relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the subject of this presentation.
All statements included in this presentation other than statements of historical facts, including, without limitation, those regarding financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives) are forward-looking statements and may thus include words like "anticipate", "believe", "intend", "estimate", "expect", "will", "may", "project", "plan" and such other words of similar meaning. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding present and future business strategies and the relevant future business environment. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation and NCB expressly disclaims to the fullest extent permitted by law any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Nothing in the foregoing is intended to or shall exclude any liability for, or remedy in respect of, fraudulent misrepresentation. Due to rounding, numbers and percentages presented throughout this presentation may not add up precisely to the totals provided.
NCB is not under any obligation to update, complete, amend, revise or keep current the information contained herein, and any opinions expressed herein are subject to change materially without notice. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made by NCB, their respective advisors or any such persons’ directors, officers or employees, or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation, and any reliance you place on them will be at your sole risk. Investors must rely solely on their own examinations of the Offering and relevant documentation in making a determination as to whether to invest in the securities described. An investor should seek independent professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate. Securities that may be discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Investors are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of NCB and its subsidiaries, the nature of the securities and the merits or suitability of the securities or any transaction to any investor’s particular situation and objectives, including the possible risks and benefits of purchasing any securities. Any such determination should involve an assessment of the legal, tax, accounting, regulatory, financial, credit or other related aspects of the offering or the securities. Without prejudice to the foregoing, NCB, their advisors and any such persons’ directors, officers or employees expressly disclaim any liability whatsoever, in negligence or otherwise, for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from use of, or reliance on, this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
NCB Investor Relations | 1Q 2020 Investor Presentation
Contact UsThe National Commercial Bank
P.O. Box 3555
21481 Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Mr. Abdulbadie Alyafi
Head Of Investor Relations
More InformationVisit: http://www.alahli.com/en-us/Investor_Relation
to access NCB’s current and previous Investor Publications including:
Financial statements
Earnings releases
Investor presentations
Financial data packs (in Excel)
NCB Contacts NCB welcomes your feedback and inquiries
40