The National Commercial Bank Investor Presentation...NCB Group Presence NCB's business model...
Transcript of The National Commercial Bank Investor Presentation...NCB Group Presence NCB's business model...
Investor Presentation
The National Commercial Bank
4Q & FY 2019 Results
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Investor Presentation Content
2
Page 4 NCB Investment Case
Page 18 Strategy Overview
Page 20 Financial Results Highlights
Page 28 Financial Results Details
Page 3 NCB at a glance Page 42 Segmental Review
Page 49 Additional Information
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
NCB at a glance NCB is the leading bank in Saudi Arabia
3
*Includes Alahli Esnad (1,679 employees) - fully owned subsidiary engaged in outsourcing and manpower services in KSA
Employees*
12,883Assets
SAR507 bn
Deposits
SAR353 bn
Market Cap
SAR145 bn
NCB Group Presence NCB's business model delivers diversified operating income
Customers & Digitization Strong & Stable Credit Ratings
Operating Income
SAR20.6bn
Net Income
SAR11.4 bn
C/I Ratio
30.7%
ROE
18.4 %
CoR
0.51%
10.1bn49%
RETAIL
4.4bn21%
CORPORATE
3.9bn19%
TREASURY
SAR 20.6bn89%
NCB
1.5bn7%
International
0.8bn4%
Capital Markets
Clients
8m
19%
71%
2018 2019
Digital Account Opening
28%51%
2018 2019
Digital Sales Penetration
Digital Financial Transactions
>97%
Robotics
+55 bots
NCB Long term Short Term Outlook
S&P BBB+ A-2 StableFitch A- F1 StableMoody’s* A1 P-1 StableCapital Intelligence A+ A1 Stable
Government of Saudi Arabia
S&P A- StableFitch A StableMoody’s A1 StableCapital Intelligence A+ Stable
International: Subsidiary in TurkeyTürkiye Finans Katılım Bankası (TFKB)310 branches, 635 ATMs3,461 employees
Offices in Seoul & Shanghai
Wholesale branches in Bahrain & Singapore
NCB GroupHeadquartered in Saudi Arabia
434 branches, 3,625 ATMs138 Remittance centers
7,499 Employees
NCB CapitalSaudi Arabia
22 Branches244 Employees
NCB INVESTMENT CASE
Supportive macro environment Attractive banking market Leading, diversified franchise Strong execution track record
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Supportive macro environment (1/4)
Non-Oil GDP pickup expected, supported by progress of ongoing Vision Realization Programs
5
-3.5%
-15.8%-12.9%
-9.2%-5.9% -4.7%
9.7%
-8.7%-3.7%
1.4%
9.2% 8.6%
-25.0%
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019P
Twin Balances (%)
Budget Balance / GDPCurrent Account Balance / GDP
11.9%
2.5%0.8% 0.2%
2.8%
7.1%
(0)
0
0
0
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Monetary Supply growth
(M3) Monetary Supply growth
2.2%
1.3%
2.0%
-0.9%
2.5%
-1.0%
2.0%
(0)
(0)
(0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019P 2020F
Inflation Rate (%)
Source: Thomson Reuters, Ministry of Finance, SAMA and Tadawul
0.9%2.3% 1.6%
-1.4%
1.3%
-2.8%
2.1%1.3%
0.0%
0.6%
0.8%2.9%
0.0%
-0.1%
-0.1%
0.0%
3.7% 4.1%
1.7%
-0.7%
2.4%
0.4%
-9.0%
-7.0%
-5.0%
-3.0%
-1.0%
1.0%
3.0%
5.0%
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019P
Real GDP
Oil Sector Non-oil Private
Import Duties Real GDP
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Supportive macro environment (2/4)
Fiscal policy to underpin economic growth
6
Source: Thomson Reuters, Ministry of Finance, SAMA and Tadawul
9.89.7 10.2 10.5 10.0 10.3 9.8
97.2
50.240.9
52.470.1 64.0 60.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F
Oil Production
Oil Production
Average Oil Price (USD)
-187-100
-389-311
-238-174 -131
-3.5%-15.8% -12.9% -9.2% -5.9% -4.7% -6.4%
-100.0%
-80.0%
-60.0%
-40.0%
-20.0%
0.0%
(600)
(500)
(400)
(300)
(200)
(100)
0
100
200
300
400
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019P 2020F
Fiscal Balance
Fiscal BalanceFiscal Balance as % of GDP
44 142 247 260 305 38270
184255
296
44142
317443
560678
754
1.6%5.8%
13.1%17.2%
19.0%
24.0%
-8.0%
-3.0%
2.0%
7.0%
12.0%
17.0%
22.0%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019P 2020F
Government Debt (SARbn)
DomesticInternationalDebt to GDP Ratio (%)
725 610 529
482 448 439
43 60
39 35 33 32
768 670
568 517 481 471
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019P
Foreign Reserves (USDbn)
SAMA
Banks
370 264 134 208 205 172 173
740714
696722
874 877 847
1,110 978
830 930
1,079 1,048 1,020
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019P 2020F
Government Expenditure (SARbn)
CapexCurrent Expenditure (Opex)
913
446 334 436
611 602
513
131
169 186
256
294 315 320
1,044
616 519
692
905 917 833
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019P 2020F
Government Revenue (SARbn)
Oil Revenues
Non-oil Revenues
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Supportive macro environment (3/4)
Vision 2030 continues to drive economic growth and progress. NCB is fully committed to the success of The National Agenda
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National Transformation Program Fiscal Balance Program PIF Program Financial Sector Development Program Privatization Program
Quality of Life Program Housing Program National Industrial Development and
Logistics Program Strategic Partnerships Program
National Companies Promotion Program Saudi Character Enrichment Program Enriching the Hajj and Umrah Experience
Program
Vision 2030 Key Milestones
Vision RealizationPrograms
Private sector contribution to GDP to reach 65% by 2030
Balancing the budget and eliminating the fiscal deficit by 2023
Public debt to GDP to remain below 30%
Raise Saudi home ownership to 70% by 2030
FDI to reach 1.46% of GDP by 2020 (~SAR45 billion) Women economic participation
rate to reach 30% by 2030
Increase share (in absolute number) of non-cash transactions to 28%
Increase share of capital markets assets to 45% by 2020
65%Private Sector Contribution
SME Contribution to GDP targeted to reach 35% by 2030
Lower the rate of unemployment to 7%
A Thriving Economy A Vibrant Society An Ambitious NationPillars
<30%Debt to GDP 70%
HomeOwnership
0% FiscalDeficit 35%
SME GDP Contribution
45%Capital Market Assets 45bn
Foreign Direct Investment 28%
Non-Cash Transactions30%
Female Workforce Participation
7%Unemployment Rate
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
NCB leverages competitiveness and scale to unlock opportunities in the national agenda and deliver value to stakeholders
37bn Home finance
Enabling financial institutions to support private sector growth
Developing an advanced capital market
Promoting and enabling financial planning
NCB Contributions to the Saudi Vision 2030 Financial Sector Development Program
Leading provider of financing to the full spectrum of KSA businesses; 15.1% Corporate market share (3Q 2019) and SAR 129bn portfolio
Primary Dealer in local government securities with a SAR 69bn KSA Government Bond investment portfolio
Provided home financing for 58,000 Saudi families with a portfolio of SAR 37bn
A leader in the SME segment, with SAR 23bn of credit extended to SMEs across KSA (2018)
Aramco IPO joint global coordinator, book runner and underwriterUSD 7.5bn KSA Sovereign bond USD 12bn Saudi Aramco bond
Largest Asset Manager and Corporate Savings Advisor, with more than 50,000 individual participants and full suite of Takaful protection and savings products
Expanding participation in the financial services sector with 6 million KSA based customers through a comprehensive physical and digital distribution network
129bn 69bn
23bn Corporate Savings Advisor6mn
Corporatelending
SMEcredit
KSAbonds
Supportive Macro Environment (4/4)
NCB Is a key contributor to economic transformation and the FSDP
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Customersin KSA Capital Markets Advisor
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
0.86%
2.24%
0.26%
1.91%
(0)
(0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Interbank Rates (%)
3M SAR SAIBOR 3M USD LIBOR
803 903 912 888 899 902
402 420 440 452 480 4911,251 1,362 1,407 1,394 1,433 1,443
11.6%8.9%
3.3%-0.9%
2.8% 3.1%
-30.0%
-25.0%
-20.0%
-15 .0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 3Q19
Bank Lending (SARbn)
CorporateRetailGrowth Rate (YoY%)
Attractive Banking Market (1/3) Lending capacity enables KSA banks to capture opportunities emerging from the national transformation initiatives
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Source: Thomson Reuters, SAMA, Banks’ Annual Reports
75%
80%81%
80%
77% 77%
72%
73%
74%
75%
76%
77%
78%
79%
80%
81%
82%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Loan to Deposit Ratio (%)
Loan to Deposit Ratio (%)
1,576 1,605 1,617 1,619 1,661 1,796
12.4%
1.9% 0.8% 0.1%2.6%
8.1%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Bank Deposits (SARbn)
Deposits
Growth Rate (YoY%)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
1.12% 1.13% 1.24%
1.45%
1.85% 1.90%183%172% 178%
162%
158%145%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 3Q19
NPL & Coverage Ratios (%)
NPL Ratio NPL Coverage Ratio
Attractive Banking Market (2/3) Strong capitalization, high credit quality, adequate coverage and a prudent regulatory environment expected to sustain banking sector profitability
10
- -
75.8 80.0 83.1 86.6 91.3
9.1%
5.7%3.8% 4.3%
5.4%
-9.9%
-7.9%
-5.9%
-3.9%
-1.9%
0.1%
2.1%
4.1%
6.1%
8.1%
10.1%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Total Operating Income (SARbn)
Revenue (FY)
Growth Rate (YoY%)
- -
41.5 43.7 41.3 45.0 50.0
10.2%
5.4%
-5.4%
8.7%
11.1%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Profits (SARbn)
ProfitsGrowth Rate (YoY%)
Source: Thomson Reuters, SAMA, Banks’ Annual Reports, Worldbank
USA
CHN
UK
KUWUAERUS
BRA KSA
IND
0%20%40%60%80%
100%120%140%160%180%200%
K 10K 20K 30K 40K 50K 60K 70K
Dom
estic
cre
dit
to p
rivat
e se
ctor
(% o
f GD
P)
GDP per Capita (current USD)
KSA is an underbanked market
16.2% 16.2%
17.5%
18.3% 18.5%18.1%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Tier 1 Capital Adequacy Ratio (%)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
30.9 31.7 32.4 33.1 33.7 34.3 34.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
KSA Population* (mn)
KSA Total Population
6.88
6.08
5.71
1.07
0-24
25-39
40-59
60+
6.50
4.20
2.97
0.81
KSA Demographics 2019* (mn)
Male Age Group Female 6%
12%
23%
26%
34%
68%
74%
0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Japan
China
Germany
United Kingdom
United States
Mortgage Depth* (%)
Attractive Banking Market (3/3) The mortgage market has ample room to grow. NCB is well positioned to leverage this opportunity in 2020
11
Positive environment conducive to continued mortgage growth Saudi Vision 2030 Housing Program home ownership goals:
- 60% by 2020 - 70% by 2030 (Baseline: 50% home ownership in 2016, 62% at 2019)
Supportive regulatory environment (90-95% LTV, 50% Risk Weight on Residential Real Estate)
Real Estate Development Fund (REDF) subsidization for qualifying Saudi households; increasing awareness and demand
Ministry of Housing and related Government entities stimulating supply of affordable housing
Source: Gastat (*middle of the year estimates based on demographic survey 2016)
Source: Central Banks, IMF (*Latest available dates, ranging from 31 December 2018 to 2019)Source: United Nations (*Estimates)
130 149 158 157 154 154
104 113 122 133 152 190
234 262 280 290 306 344
8%
11% 12% 11% 11% 12%
-3%
-1%
1%
3%
5%
7%
9%
11%
13%
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 3Q19
Retail Mortgages (SARbn)
Banks and Others REDF Mortgages to GDP, %
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
KSA Total Market NCB Market Share in SARbn NCB Market Share in % Rank KSA
Overall banking (Assets)
SAR 2,356 bn 20.2% #1
Corporate banking (Performing Financing)
SAR 918 bn 15.1% #1
Retail banking(Performing Financing)
SAR 524 bn 21.7% #2
Treasury(Investments & Placements)
SAR 624bn 23.2% #1
Asset Management (AUMs)
SAR 482bn 30.5% #1
Brokerage(Value Traded)
SAR 1,760bn 10.4% #2
Leading, diversified franchise NCB Market Position as of 3Q 2019
12
471
139
113
145
147
183
1,885
779
411
479
335
1,577
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Net Income (SARmn)
Investment Income (SARmn)
Net Income (SARmn)
Strong Execution Track Record (1/5)
13
Delivery Against Strategic Priorities
Retail Corporate Treasury
NCB Capital Türkiye Finans Katılım Bankası (TFKB)
Net Income (SARmn)
Mortgage Financing Growth (SARbn)
Net Income
Return on Assets
2437
(5)
5
15
25
35
45
55
4Q 18 4Q 19
+57%
+32% +21%
+33ps
+2%
376 459
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2018 2019
+22%
+175%
4,3755,765
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2018 2019
1.84%
2.17%
2018 2019
3,418 3,497
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2018 2019
514
1,411
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2018 2019
2,399 2,905
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2018 2019
Cost of RiskNet Income (TRYmn)AUM
+8%
445 377
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2018 2019
-15% +76bpsSAR 156bn 2.21%
LDR
-31bps76%
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Strong Execution Track Record (2/5)
14
Delivery Against Strategic Enablers
Digitization
Digital Transactors (% of Total) Digital Sales (% of Total)
Branch Transactions Digital Account Opening
Lean Distribution
Branches Self-Service Kiosks
Average FTE / new Branch FTE / Branch
39% 50% 62%
2017 2018 2019
+12pptsYoY
51% +23ppts
2.2% -75bps19%
71%
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2018 2019
+52ppts
401 434
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
4Q 18 4Q 19
+33 315 +210
10.4 9.9 9.6
2017 2018 2019
-3%YoY
Productivity
Front to Back Office Ratio NOR per Employee (SARmn) Cost to Income Ratio, excl. International
72% to 28% +30bps
6
-237bps29.3%+11%YoY
2.1 2.2 2.5
2017 2018 2019
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
449 443 445 452 507
+3%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Total Assets (SARbn)
17.2%
19.2%20.0%
20.6%
18.7%
15.1%
16.9%17.7%
18.5%18.0%
13.5%
15.3% 15.7%16.6% 16.2%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
22.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Capital Ratios (%)
TC ratio T1 ratio CET1 ratio
152.3%172.5% 177.3% 176.0% 168.9%
10.0%
60.0%
110.0%
160.0%
210.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
LCR Ratio (%)
Strong Execution Track Record (3/5)
Maintaining Balance Sheet Strength
15
136.0%119.0%
128.0% 124.4%
78.1% 80.3% 80.7% 83.2% 79.9%
10.0%
30.0%
50.0%
70.0%
90.0%
110.0%
130.0%
150.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
LTD and NSFR Ratios (%)
NSFR (%) Financing to customers' deposit ratio
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Strong Execution Track Record (4/5)
Steady medium-term financial performance
16
* Net income attributable to equity holders and returns restated for 2018 only, to reflect the change in classification of zakat & income tax from comprehensive income to the income statement during 2019.
19.2%17.8% 17.4%
16.2%18.4%
18.1%
20.8%
2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.4%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Returns* (%)
ROE (%) ROE pre-zakat (%) ROA (%)
37.4% 37.7%35.0% 34.1%
30.7%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Cost to Income Ratio (%)
3.04%3.35% 3.48%
3.81% 3.77%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Net Special Commission Margin (%)
12.6 13.5 13.7 15.1 15.8
4.9 5.1 4.7 3.8 4.8 17.5 18.6 18.3 18.9 20.6
+4%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Total Operating Income (SARbn)
Net special commission incomeFee and other income
9.1 9.3 9.8 9.6 11.4
1.1 1.4 9.1 9.3 9.8 10.7
12.8
+9%
0
5
10
15
20
25
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Net Income Attributed to Equity Holders before Zakat & Income Tax (SARbn)
Zakat and income tax expense
Net income attributed to equity holders after Zakat & income tax
3.53%
3.65%3.63%
3.69%
3.61%
3.77%
3.52%
3.35%
3.40%
3.45%
3.50%
3.55%
3.60%
3.65%
3.70%
3.75%
3.80%
2018 2019*
NSCI Margin
Guidance range Actual2018 2019
Strong Execution Track Record (5/5)
Delivery against guidance
17
FY 2018 Guidance*
FY 2018 Reported
FY 2019 Guidance
FY 2019 Reported
Financing Growth +5-8% +6.5% +4-6% +6.5%
NSCI Margin 3.53% - 3.63% 3.61% 3.65% - 3.69%** 3,77%
Cost to Income Below 35% 34.1% Below 34% 30.7%
Cost of Risk 0.6% - 0.8% 0.52% 0.6% - 0.8% 0.51%
Tier 1 CAR 16% - 18% 18.5% 16% - 18% 18.0%
** FY 2019 outlook provided in 2Q and 3Q 2019 were at similar levels of ~3.5% Excluding the restatement impact of fee amortization, NSCI margin would have been 3.52%
* NCB started providing guidance in 2018
5.0%4.0%
8.0%
6.0%6.5% 6.5%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
2018 2019
Financing Growth
Guidance range Actual
Below 34.0%
Below 34.0%
34.1%30.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
2018 2019
Cost to Income
Guidance range Actual
0.60% 0.60%
0.80% 0.80%
0.52% 0.51%
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
2018 2019
Cost of Risk
Guidance range Actual
16.0% 16.0%
18.0% 18.0%18.5% 18.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
2018 2019
Tier 1 CAR
Guidance range Actual
STRATEGY OVERVIEW
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Stra
tegi
cEn
able
rs
Digital Productivity
Accelerate digital transformation Increase Operational Efficiency
Digital sales Advanced analytics
Lean distribution Robotics & AI
Funding
Current Accounts
Wholesale Funding
Grow Current Accounts
Expand Funding Options
Digital & physical distribution
Cash management Customer coverage
models
Programs across maturity and seniority spectrums
Mix and cost optimization
2020 Strategy Overview Strategic agenda for 2020 positions NCB for continued growth
19
Asset Deployment
Retail Corporate Treasury Subsidiaries
Grow Mortgages Improve Returns Sustain Investment Returns
Grow Value Contribution
Sales channels Digitization
Mega financing SME Transaction banking
Recurring revenues Portfolio liquidity &
quality
Key business lines Efficiency &
productivity
FINANCIAL RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS
4Q & FY 2019 Results
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Balance Sheet
Asset Quality, Capital & Liquidity
Financial Results Update 4Q 2019 Results highlights
21
9,594
683
996 115215 78
(327)
46 11,401
+19%
0.00
1,000.00
2,000.00
3,000.00
4,000.00
5,000.00
6,000.00
7,000.00
8,000.00
FY 18 NSCI Fee &Other
Income
Expenses Impair-ments*
OtherNon-
Operating
Zakat &Tax
Minorities FY 19
Net Income after Zakat and Income Tax attributed to Equity Holders (SARmn)
Financing (SARbn) Deposits (SARbn)
319 353
+11%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
4Q 18 4Q 19
265 282
+6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 18 4Q 19
* Impairments include impairment charges for financing, investments and goodwill
NPL & COR (%) CET1 and LTD (%)
1.9% 1.8%
0.5% 0.5%
-0.1%
0.1%
0.3%
0.5%
0.7%
0.9%
1.1%
1.3%
1.5%
0
0
0
0
0
0
4Q 18 4Q 19
NPL ratio CoR YTD
16.6% 16.2%
83% 80%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4Q 18 4Q 19
CET1 LTD
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Income Statement 2019 Net income after Zakat and income tax growth from improved NSCI and investment income, improved operating efficiency and stable cost of risk
Profitability Trends
SAR (mn) 4Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2018 YoY % change FY 2019 FY 2018 YoY % change
Net special commission income 4,152 3,929 4,036 +3% 15,807 15,123 +5%Fee and other income 1,260 1,136 719 +75% 4,801 3,804 +26%Total operating income 5,412 5,066 4,756 +14% 20,607 18,927 +9%Operating expenses (1,453) (1,590) (1,475) -1% (6,331) (6,446) -2%Total impairment charge (287) (663) (601) -52% (1,420) (1,635) -13%Income from operations, net 3,672 2,813 2,680 +37% 12,856 10,846 +19%Net income before Zakat and income tax 3,673 2,885 2,689 +37% 12,919 10,830 +19%Zakat and Income Tax (414) (288) 50 -935% (1,435) (1,108) +29%Net income for the period after Zakat and income tax attributable to equity holders 3,212 2,607 2,706 +19% 11,401 9,594 +19%
4,441 4,723 4,755 4,685 4,983
315 297 354 3814294,756 5,021 5,109 5,066 5,412
+14%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Total Operating Income (SARmn)
International
Domestic
22
2,794 2,790 2,692 2,655 3,028
(89)
49 52
(48)
1842,706 2,838 2,744 2,6073,212
+19%
(200)
800
1,800
2,800
3,800
4,800
5,800
6,800
7,800
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Net income for the period after Zakat and income tax attributable to equity holders (SARmn)
International
Domestic
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Balance Sheet 12% Increase in total assets on the back of growth in financing and investments
Balance Sheet
SAR (mn) 4Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2018 YoY % change
Cash & due from banks 61,948 52,521 48,479 +28%Investments, net 134,077 132,467 118,090 +14%Financing and advances, net 282,289 280,535 265,062 +6%Total assets 507,264 498,045 452,177 +12%Due to banks and other financial institutions 62,186 66,927 45,963 +35%Customers' deposits 353,389 340,382 318,701 +11%Debt securities issued 1,016 1,664 9,431 -89%Total liabilities 437,476 430,169 386,508 +13%Common equity 61,888 59,979 57,737 +7%Total equity 69,788 67,876 65,669 +6%
131 130 135 137 129
104 106 110 112 12310 12 12 12 1121 21 20 19 20265 269 276 281 282
+6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Financing & Advances, net (SARbn)
CorporateConsumer and credit cardOthersInternational
255 236 240 255 251
50 61 73 73 9014 13 14 12 13319 310 327 340 353
+11%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
CASATimeOthers
Domestic Deposits93%
International Deposits7%
Customers' Deposits Mix (SARbn)
319 353
0
100
200
300
400
500
4Q 18 4Q 19
23
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Segmental Information (1/3) FY 2019 Net income before Zakat and income tax growth in all segments
10,830
1,390506 79 84 30 12,919
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
FY 18 Retail Corporate Treasury CapitalMarkets
International FY 19
FY 19 Net Income Before Zakat & Income Tax Movement (SARmn)
2,689
554 50 54 54272 3,673
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
4Q 18 Retail Corporate Treasury CapitalMarkets
International 4Q 19
4Q 19 Net Income Before Zakat & Income Tax Movement (SARmn)
Retail45%
Corporate22%
Treasury27%
Capital Markets4%
International2%
FY 19 Net Income Before Zakat & Income Tax (SARbn)
24
2.73.7
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
4Q 18 4Q 19
10.8 12.9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
FY 18 FY 19
Retail47%
Corporate21%
Treasury23%
Capital Markets4%
International5%
4Q 19 Net Income Before Zakat & Income Tax (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Segmental Information (2/3) FY 2019 Total operating income growth mainly from Retail and Corporate
18,927
1,380 324
(24)
67
(66)
20,607
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
FY 18 Retail Corporate Treasury CapitalMarkets
International FY 19
FY 19 Total Operating Income Movement (SARmn)
4,756
415 80
(17)
64115 5,412
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
4Q 18 Retail Corporate Treasury CapitalMarkets
International 4Q 19
4Q 19 Total Operating Income Movement (SARmn)
Retail49%
Corporate21%
Treasury19%
Capital Markets4%
International7%
FY 19 Total Operating Income (SARbn)
Retail49%
Corporate22%
Treasury17%
Capital Markets4%
International8%
4Q 19 Total Operating Income (SARbn)
4.8 5.4
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
4Q 18 4Q 19
25
18.9 20.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
FY 18 FY 19
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Segmental Information (3/3) FY 2019 Asset growth mainly driven by Retail and Treasury segments
Management Commentary
2019 Total Assets increased by 12% due to higher financing (+6%) and investments (+14%).
Total Financing increased by 6%: Retail increased by 18% while Corporate declined by 1%.
Customers’ deposits increased by 11% from Corporate, International and Others (Treasury) segments offsetting the fall in Retail segment.
CASA balances at 71% of total deposits at 4Q 2019 compared with 80% at 4Q 2018.
134 144 154134 141 133150 178 1852 2 2
33 3333
452 498 507
+12%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Total Assets (SARbn)
RetailCorporateTreasuryCapital MarketsInternational
104 112 123
131 137 12921 19 20
10 12 11265 281 282
+6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Financing and Advances, net (SARbn)
Consumer and credit cardCorporateInternationalOther
26
243 234 229
48 70 879 11 1319 25 26319 340 353
+11%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
RetailCorporateOthersInternational
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
2020 Guidance
27
Economic outlook provides opportunities
Macro-Economic Outlook
2020 Outlook
Oil Price USD 60 / bbl
US Fed Rates Stable
GDP Growth Real GDP 2.3%
Budget Revenue SAR 833 bn Expenditure SAR 1.0 tr Deficit 6.4% of GDP
Inflation 2.0%
NCB Financial Guidance
2019 Reported 2020 Guidance
Financing Growth 6% 10% - 12%
NSCI Margin 3.77% 3.60% - 3.80%
Cost to Income 30.7% Below 32%
Cost of Risk 0.51% 0.6% - 0.8%
Tier 1 CAR 18.0% 16% - 18%
FINANCIAL RESULTS DETAILS
4Q & FY 2019 Results
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
4.04 3.93 4.15
0.72 1.14 1.264.76 5.07 5.41
+14%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Total Operating Income (SARbn)
Fee and other income
Net special commission income
15.12 15.81
3.80 4.8018.93 20.61
+9%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
FY 18 FY 19
Operating Income Highlights Higher FY 2019 total operating income driven by higher NSCI and fee & other income
Management Commentary
FY 2019 total operating income increased 9% YoY from a 5% improvement in net special commission income and 175% higher investment-related income, partly offset by a decrease in FX revenue by 9%
FY 2019 international operating income decreased by 4% mainly due to 17% depreciation of the average Turkish lira rate as compared with 2018, and higher risk cost by 31%.
4Q 2019 total operating income increased by 14% from 3% growth in NSCI and 75% growth in fee and other income, driven by investment income.
18.930.72
1.03
(0.07)
20.61
19.15
1.46
17.40
1.53
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
FY 18 NSCI Fee and otherincome
InternationalNOR
FY 19
FY 19 Total Operating Income Movement (SARbn)
4.76 0.07
0.47 0.11 5.41
4.98
0.43
4.44
0.31
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4Q 18 NSCI Fee and otherincome
InternationalNOR
4Q 19
4Q 19 Total Operating Income Movement (SARbn)
29
Domestic
Intl.
Domestic
Intl.
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
15,123
1,356216
(394)
(34)(7)
15,807
+5%
3.81% +16 bps +0 bps -8 bps -10 bps -0 bps -2 bps 3.77%
(454)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
FY 18 Financingmix &yield
Investments Depositmix &cost
Wholesalefunding
Other International FY 19
Movement in Net Special Commision Income (SARmn) & NSCI Margin (%)
Net special commission income FY 2019 net special commission income grew by 5% YoY
30
Management Commentary
• FY 2019 NSCI improved by 5% on higher asset
mix yield partly offset by increase in cost of
funds.
• FY 2019 Net special commission margin
decreased by 4bps YoY to 3.77%.
• NSCI margin improvement by 16bps due to
increase in financing portfolio, supported by
high-yield mortgages and improved corporate
yields; offset by 18 bps decline due to change
in deposit mix and increase in cost of funds.
* Excluding the restatement impact of fee amortization
3.79% 3.83% 3.79% 3.73%3.74%
3.81% 3.80% 3.79% 3.75% 3.77%
4.15%
3.48%3.99% 4.15% 4.22%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
FY 18 1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19
Net Special Commission Margin (%)
Domestic Group International
Domestic+SAR 717mn (+5%}
Outlook @3Q
3.51%
Guidance
3.65%-3.69%
3.52%*
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Fee and other income FY 2019 fee and other income grew by 26% YoY due to higher investment income and lower other operating expenses
31
Management Commentary
FY 2019 Fee and other income increased by 26% YoY due to 175% growth in investment-related income and 51% lower other operating expenses.
4Q 2019 Fees and other income increased by 75% YoY mainly due to higher investment income, trade and investment management fees.
523 590 665246 280 25348 268 360
(97) (2) (18)
7191,136 1,260
+75%
(400)
100
600
1,100
1,600
2,100
2,600
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Fee and Other Income (SARmn)
Other operating income (expenses), netInvestment-related incomeExchange Income, netFee income from banking services, net
Fees from Banking Services
-SAR 2mn (-0%)
Domestic
International.
269
237
3,80482
(59)
15
(18) (22)(104)
897
205 4,801
4,564
3,535
+26%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
FY 18 Finance&
lending
Tradefinance
Inv. mgt.&
brokerage
Creditcards
Others ExchangeIncome
Investment-relatedincome
Otheroperatingexpenses
FY 19
FY 19 Fee and other Income Movement (SARmn)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
3,491 3,550
726 355
607 8661,622 1,560
6,446 6,331
-2%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
FY 18 FY 19
Management Commentary
FY 2019 Expenses declined by 2% YoY,
FY 2019 Cost to income ratio was 30.7%, lower by 334bps compared to FY 2018.
The cost base improvement was driven by lower rent and premises expenses and other G&A expenses, partly offset by higher depreciation and amortization.
4Q 2019 Expenses declined by 1% YoY.
Expense Highlights Digitization, productivity enhancement and optimization delivered further expense savings in 2019
32
829 864 887154 91 88
144 213 225348 421 2531,475 1,590 1,453
-1%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Operating Expenses (SARmn)
Employee-relatedRent & premisesDepreciation & amortizationOther G&A
6,446 59
(371)
259
(62)
6,331
5,604
727
5,506
940
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
FY 18 Employee-related
Rent &premises
Depreciation &amortization
Other G&A FY 19
FY 19 Operating Expenses Movement (SARmn)
34.1%
32.2% 32.5% 32.1%
30.7%
31.6%
30.1%30.8% 30.6%
29.3%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
FY 18 1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19
Cost to Income Ratio (YTD %)
Group (%) Excluding International (%)
Domestic
Intl.Guidance
< 34%
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Management Commentary
Total assets increased 12% due to increase in financing and investments as well as reverse repo with SAMA for liquidity management.
6% Financing increase driven by 8% increase in domestic financing, despite 8% decline in International financing impacted by Turkish Lira depreciation.
Investments increased by 14% due to continued participation in Saudi Government debt issuance.
Asset Highlights and Composition
12% growth in balance sheet as a result of increase in financing and investments
33
265 281 282
118 132 1344853 62
2133 29452 498 507
+12%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Total Assets (SARbn)
Financing and Advances, netInvestments, netCash, bank and SAMA balancesOther assets, net
Retail30%
Corporate26%
Treasury37%
International7%
Total Assets by Segment (SARbn)
452.217.2 16.0 13.5 8.4 507.3
+12%
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
4Q 18 Financing andAdvances
Invest-ments
Cash,Bank &SAMA
Other assets 4Q 19
Movement in Total Assets (SARbn)
452 507
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 18 4Q 19
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Consumer financing & credit cards
43%
Commerce13%
Services12%
Manufacturing11%
Utilities & health6%
Building & construction4%
Others, across 6 sectors11%
Financing and Advances, net by Economic Sector (SARbn)
265.1
13.55.5
(1.9)
1.8
(1.7)
282.3
+6%
0
20
40
60
80
100
4Q 18 Mortgages Other Corporate FI Inter-national
4Q 19
Movement in Financing (SARbn)
Management Commentary
Domestically, financing grew for Retail (+18%) on the back of mortgages and FI (+19%) portfolios from 4Q 2018.
Corporate segment declined by 1% from 4Q 2018 due to elevated corporate repayments during 4Q 2019.
International financing declined 8% due principally to the weakened Turkish Lira -11%.
Financing and Advances 6% Financing growth driven by Retail
34
104 112 123
131 137 12921 19 2010 12 11265 281 282
+6%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Financing and Advances, net (SARbn)
Consumer and credit cardCorporateInternationalOther
Retail
+SAR 19.0bn (+18%)
Guidance
+4%-6%
265 282
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
4Q 18 4Q 19
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
5.25
(0.05) (0.32)
0.45 5.33
+2%
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4Q 18 Retail Corporate International 4Q 19
Movement in NPLs (SARbn)
Financing and Advances Credit Quality (1/2)
2019 NPLs rose moderately by 2%, though 2% decline in NPL coverage driven by International segment.
35
3.40 2.91 3.09
0.62 0.65 0.561.23 1.84 1.68
5.25 5.40 5.33
+2%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
NPL (SARbn)
CorporateConsumer and credit cardInternationalOthers
5.25
0.23
(0.16)(0.01)(0.05)
0.01 0.020.05 5.33
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
4Q 18 Commerce Manu-facturing
Consumer Agriculture& fishing
Building &constr.
Services Others 4Q 19
Movement NPLs by Economic Sector (SARbn)
264%279%
257% 258%
290%
136% 141% 142%
151% 151%
90% 83% 81%56% 62%
142% 145% 145%
133% 138%
0
1
1
2
2
3
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
NPL Coverage Ratios (%)
Retail Corporate International Group NPL coverage ratio
Domestic
-SAR 370mn (-9%)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Corporate
-8 bps
51
(3)
9
(3)3
(1)(5)
51
+0 bps
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
FY 18 Impairments Recoveries& Other
Impairments Recoveries& Other
Other International FY 19
Movement in Cost of Risk (bps)
Financing and Advances Credit Quality (2/2)
Overall cost of risk remained stable at 51bps
36
Management Commentary
Cost of risk remained stable due to lower domestic NPL flow, offset by 3bps international cost of risk increase.
In International, cost of risk increase includes impact of Turkish bank regulator’s directives to classify certain exposures to NPL in previous quarter.
Retail
+6 bps
Guidance
60 - 80 bps
0.4%0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
1.5%0.9%
1.4%
2.5%2.2%
0.5%0.2% 0.3%
0.5% 0.5%
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
FY 18 1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19
CoR Ratios (YTD %)
Domestic International Group CoR ratio
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Investments Investments increased 14% and quality remains strong, ~87% of the investment portfolio is investment grade including Saudi Government securities
37
63 83 85
4940 396
9 9118
132 134
+14%
0
50
100
150
200
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Investments (SARbn)
Equity instruments, Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds and OthersFloating rate securitiesFixed rate securities
Saudi Government securities52%
Other investment grade35%
Non-investment grade5%
Equity & others8%
Investments by Credit Grade (SARbn)
118 134
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
4Q 18 4Q 19
Saudi Arabia66%
GCC and Middle East13%
Europe1%
Turkey3%
Other countries17%
Investments by Geography (SARbn)
118 134
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
4Q 18 4Q 19
118.113.9
(5.1)
3.0 4.2 134.1
+14%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
4Q 18 SaudiGovernmentsecurities
Otherinvestment
grade
Non-investment
grade
Equity & others 4Q 19
Movement in Investments (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Due to banks and other financial institutions
12%
Customers' deposits70%
Debt securities issued0%
Other liabilities4%
Total equity14%
Funding Mix (SARbn)
Management Commentary
12% increase in funding mainly from growth in time deposits and inter-bank balances.
Customers’ deposits increased by 11%.
T2 Sukuk of SAR 5bn was called in during 1Q 2019.
Funding Balance sheet growth funded by growth in time deposits and utilization of inter-bank markets
38
319 340 353
46 67 629 2 112 21 21
66 68 70452 498 507
+12%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Funding (SARbn)
Total equity Other liabilities
Debt securities issued Due to banks and other financial institutions
Customers' deposits
452 507
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 18 4Q 19
452.234.7 16.2
(8.4)
8.5 4.1 507.3
+12%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 18 Customers'deposits
Interbank Debt Otherliabilities
Total equity 4Q 19
Movement in Funding (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
318.7
(6.6)
36.7
(1.7)
2.6 3.6 0.2
+11%
353.4
0
100
200
300
400
500
4Q 18 CASA Time Others CASA Time Others 4Q 19
Movement in Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
Management Commentary
Customers’ deposits increased by 11% during 2019, mainly from 81% increase in time deposits.
CASA balances account for 71% of customers’ deposits compared to 80% at 4Q 2018.
Deposits 9% increase in domestic customers’ deposits, 33% increase internationally
39
248 245 241
7 9 938 58 7412 15 1614 12 13319 340 353
+11%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
CASA - DomesticCASA - InternationalTime - DomesticTime - InternationalOthers
319 353
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
4Q 18 4Q 19
Domestic Deposits
+SAR 28.4bn (+9%)
International Deposits
+SAR 6.3bn (+33%)
CASA71%
Time25%
Others4%
Customers' Deposits Mix (SARbn)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
13.5% 13.6% 13.2% 12.6% 12.8%
83.2% 86.8% 84.4% 82.4% 79.9%
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
LDR* and Basel III leverage Ratios (%)
Basel III leverage ratio Financing to customers' deposit ratio
Liquidity NCB maintained a strong liquidity profile
40
Management Commentary
As at 4Q 2019, the financing to customers’ deposit ratio was 79.9% and comfortably below the regulatory guidelines.
NSFR was 124.4% at 4Q 2019 relative to 128.0% at 4Q 2018.
The average quarterly LCR marginally declined to 168.9% in 4Q 2019 from 176.0% in 4Q 2018.
Basel III leverage ratio was 12.8% as at 4Q 2019 relative to 13.5% at 4Q 2018.
* Headline ratio, which does not equate to SAMA regulatory LDR ratio
97 98 92 92 99
55 53 50 53 59
176.0% 183.9% 185.5%173.2% 168.9%
(5)
15
35
55
75
95
115
135
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
LCR Ratio (%)
HQLA (SARbn)Net cash outflows (SARbn)LCR
320 319 330 334 343
250 256 263 271 275
128.0% 124.0% 125.5% 123.2% 124.4%
(20)
80
180
280
380
480
580
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
NSFR Ratio (%)
Available stable funding (SARbn)Required stable funding (SARbn)NSFR
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
T1 Guidance16% - 18%
Management Commentary
Capitalization remained strong and comfortably above the regulatory
minima with CET1 at 16.2% and T1 at 18.0%.
Common equity tier 1 capital (CET1) is impacted by one-time IFRS
adjustments of SAR 1.5 billion.
During 1Q 2019, T2 sukuk of SAR 5bn was redeemed, leading to a drop in
the total capital ratio.
2019 RWA growth is attributable to the growth in financing as well as right
of use assets resulting from adoption of IFRS16.
Capital Capital position comfortably above regulatory minima
41
60 61 63
7 7 78 3 3
74 72 73
-2%
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Capitalisation (SARbn)
Tier 2 capital (T2)Additional tier 1 capital (AT1)Common equity tier 1 capital (CET1)
312 346 337
35 36 3613 16 17360 397 390
+8%
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Pillar I Risk Weighted Assets (SARbn)
Credit riskOperational riskMarket risk
16.6% 16.5%16.0%
15.4%16.2%
18.5% 18.4%17.8%
17.2%18.0%
20.6%
19.3%18.7%
18.0%18.7%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Capital Ratios (%)
CET1 ratio T1 ratio TC ratio
74.3 11.4
(0.4)(6.6) (0.5)(5.0)
73.2
-2%
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
FY 18 Net Income Tier 1 Sukukcost
Dividends T2 Sukuk Other FY 19
Movement in Total Capital (SARbn)
SEGMENTAL REVIEW
4Q & FY 2019 Results
NCB Bank (standalone) Strong 17% FY 2019 net income after Zakat growth resulting from operating income growth
43
Management Commentary
FY 2019 Net income after zakat rose 17% YoY driven principally by 10% operating income growth.
FY 2019 NSCI improved by 5% YoY due to an increase in average earning assets.
4Q 2019 Net income after zakat rose 12% YoY driven principally by 14% operating income growth, partly offset by higher zakat.
244 261 262
+8%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Financing and Advances, net (SARbn)
299 315 328
+9%
0
100
200
300
400
500
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 4Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2018 YoY % change FY 2019 FY 2018 YoY %
change
Total assets 480,079 470,486 425,652 +13% 480,079 425,652 +13%
Total operating income 4,936 4,456 4,315 +14% 18,338 16,693 +10%
Net special commission income 3,937 3,541 3,753 +5% 14,564 13,855 +5%
Fee income from banking services, net 472 407 355 +33% 1,636 1,622 +1%
Operating expenses (1,181) (1,328) (1,230) -4% (5,277) (5,367) -2%
Total impairment charge (214) (412) (351) -39% (945) (1,067) -11%
Other non-operating income (expenses), net (7) 71 (0) +2497% 29 (54) -153%
Net income for the period before Zakat 3,534 2,787 2,734 +29% 12,145 10,204 +19%
Zakat (365) (287) 87 -519% (1,329) (958) +39%
Net income for the period after Zakat 3,170 2,500 2,821 +12% 10,816 9,245 +17%
% of total assets 94.6% 94.5% 94.1% +1% 94.6% 94.1% +1%
Cost to income (%) 23.9% 29.8% 28.5% -16% 28.8% 32.2% -11%
NCL (%) -0.5% 0.6% -0.6% -16% 0.4% 0.4% -9%
ROA (%) 2.9% 2.2% 2.7% +8% 2.4% 2.2% +8%
Retail Banking Higher FY 2019 net income before Zakat from higher operating income
44
Management Commentary
FY 2019 NSCI improved by 16% YoY due to an increase in retail financing and margin improvement
FY 2019 Net income before zakat increased by 32% YoY driven principally by 16% higher operating income.
FY 2019 Operating expenses improved 2% YoY and the cost to income ratio came down to at 38.9% from 46.2% a year earlier supported by digitization, and productivity enhancements.
4Q 2019 Net income before zakat increased by 47% YoY driven principally by 18% higher operating income and lower impairments.
Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 4Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2018 YoY % change FY 2019 FY 2018 YoY %
change
Total assets 153,735 143,798 134,021 +15% 153,735 134,021 +15%
Total operating income 2,675 2,640 2,260 +18% 10,052 8,672 +16%
Net special commission income 2,297 2,221 2,234 +3% 8,711 7,500 +16%
Fee income from banking services, net 273 281 30 +801% 1,036 1,073 -4%
Operating expenses (879) (980) (919) -4% (3,909) (4,005) -2%
Impairment charge (72) (114) (175) -59% (446) (274) +63%
Other income (expenses) (3) 84 (0) +1892% 69 (18) -473%
Net income for the period before Zakat 1,720 1,631 1,166 +47% 5,765 4,375 +32%
% of total assets 30.3% 28.9% 29.6% +2% 30.3% 29.6% +2%
Cost to income (%) 32.9% 37.1% 40.7% -19% 38.9% 46.2% -16%
CoR 1.5% 0.4% 0.7% +125% 0.4% 0.3% +42%
ROA (% before zakat) 4.6% 4.6% 3.5% +33% 4.0% 3.5% +15%243 234 229
-6%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
104 112 123
+18%
0
50
100
150
200
250
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Financing & Advances, net (SARbn)
Corporate Banking FY 2019 growth in net income before Zakat from higher operating income and lower impairments
45
Management Commentary
FY 2019 Operating income grew 8% YoY; NSCI grew by 5% on improved margining and fee income rose 17% on higher lending fees.
FY 2019 Net income before zakat increased 21% YoY due to 8% higher operating income and 23% lower impairments.
FY 2019 impairments declined by 23% YoY from lower NPL inflow and higher recoveries.
4Q 2019 Net income before zakat increased 7% YoY due to 7% operating income growth.
131 137 129
-1%
0
50
100
150
200
250
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Financing & Advances, net (SARbn) Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 4Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2018 YoY % change FY 2019 FY 2018 YoY %
change
Total assets 133,425 140,700 134,128 -1% 133,425 134,128 -1%
Total operating income 1,191 1,055 1,111 +7% 4,385 4,061 +8%
Net special commission income 1,019 942 1,295 -21% 3,817 3,623 +5%
Fee income from banking services, net 122 112 (184) -166% 514 440 +17%
Operating expenses (202) (232) (219) -8% (909) (922) -1%
Impairment charge (208) (304) (160) +30% (555) (724) -23%
Other income (expenses) (1) (5) (0) +107% (17) (17) -1%
Net income for the period before Zakat 781 513 731 +7% 2,905 2,399 +21%
% of total assets 26.3% 28.3% 29.7% -11% 26.3% 29.7% -11%
Cost to income (%) 16.9% 22.0% 19.7% -14% 20.7% 22.7% -9%
CoR 1.6% 0.9% 0.5% +245% 0.4% 0.6% -26%
ROA (% before zakat) 2.3% 1.5% 2.2% +5% 2.2% 1.8% +18%
48
7087
+80%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Customers' Deposits (SARbn)
Treasury FY 2019 growth in net income before Zakat from lower impairment charge
46
Management Commentary
FY 2019 Net income before Zakat improved by 2% YoY driven by lower impairment charges, partly offset by 4% higher operating expenses and marginally lower operating income.
FY 2019 Operating income declined by 1% as higher investment income and client revenues were offset by lower NSCI and fee income.
4Q 2019 Net income before zakat increased by 7% YoY driven by lower impairment charges.
Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 4Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2018 YoY % change FY 2019 FY 2018 YoY %
change
Total assets 185,235 178,300 149,511 +24% 185,235 149,511 +24%
Total operating income 891 826 908 -2% 3,922 3,947 -1%
Net special commission income 456 432 681 -33% 1,981 2,732 -27%
Fee income from banking services, net 15 16 15 -2% 86 109 -21%
Other operating income 420 378 212 +99% 1,855 1,105 +68%
Operating expenses (100) (117) (92) +9% (458) (440) +4%
Impairment charge 80 7 (16) -603% 56 (70) -181%
Other income (expenses) (17) (8) 0 -6485% (23) (19) +22%
Net income for the period before Zakat 855 709 801 +7% 3,497 3,418 +2%
% of total assets 36.5% 35.8% 33.1% +10% 36.5% 33.1% +10%
Cost to income (%) 11.2% 14.1% 10.1% +11% 11.7% 11.2% +5%
ROA (% before zakat) 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% -10% 2.1% 2.2% -5%
118132 134
+14%
0
50
100
150
200
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Investments, net (SARbn)
2,732 1,981
1,214 1,941
3,947 3,922
-1%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
FY 18 FY 19
Total Operating Income (SARmn)
Net special commission income
Fee and other income
Capital Markets Higher FY 2019 net income growth, driven by higher operating income
47
Management Commentary
FY 2019 Net income before Zakat increased by 22% YoY due to increased operating income (+9%) and lower operating expenses (-5%).
4Q 2019 Net income before Zakat increased by 68% YoY due to higher operating income (+39%).
144 143 156
+8%
0
50
100
150
200
250
4Q 18 3Q 19 4Q 19
Assets Under Management (SARbn) Summary Financial Performance
SAR (mn) 4Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2018 YoY % change FY 2019 FY 2018 YoY %
change
Client assets under management 156,027 143,400 144,096 +8% 156,027 144,096 +8%
Brokerages Volume 54,244 36,716 57,580 -6% 183,375 182,949 +0%
Total operating income 225 164 162 +39% 787 720 +9%
Net special commission income 5 5 3 +55% 18 10 +82%
Fee income from banking services, net 210 144 158 +33% 715 695 +3%
AUM Related Fee Income 127 115 115 +11% 500 512 -2%
Brokerage Related Fee Income 36 23 37 -3% 124 135 -9%
Other operating income (expenses) 10 15 0 +3120% 53 15 +249%
Operating expenses (92) (82) (81) +13% (328) (344) -5%
Net income before Zakat 134 81 79 +68% 459 376 +22%
Cost to income (%) 40.8% 50.3% 50.4% -19% 41.6% 47.7% -13%183 183
+0%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
FY 18 FY 19
Brokerages Volume (SARbn)
International (in TRY) FY 2019 net income decreased 15% YoY on higher impairment charges and operating expenses
48
Management Commentary
Operating income for FY 2019 increased by 19% YoY
boosted by core banking activity, improving financing
yields and reduced funding costs.
BRSA (Turkish Banking Authority) required Banking sector
to classify certain exposures to NPL in 3Q 2019, which led
to elevated levels of impairments and decrease in FY 2019
net income.
FY 2019 operating expenses rose 20% YoY from
inflationary pressures.
Net income after tax declined 15% due to higher risk cost
and operating expenses.
4Q 2019 Net income after tax increased by 69% due to
decrease in funding cost, normalization in impairment
charges and collections from NPLs.
Summary Financial Performance
TRY (mn) 4Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2018 YoY % change FY 2019 FY 2018 YoY %
change
Total assets 52,051 50,203 46,486 +12% 52,051 46,486 +12%
Total operating income 659 590 464 +42% 2,246 1,894 +19%
Net special commission income 501 498 408 +23% 1,854 1,573 +18%
Fee income from banking services, net 70 55 67 +4% 267 266 +0%
Operating expenses (278) (272) (238) +17% (1,101) (920) +20%
Impairment charge (116) (378) (75) +54% (720) (454) +59%
Other income (expenses) 101 38 3 +3267% 176 105 +68%
Net income for the period before tax 279 (59) 165 +69% 477 570 -16%
Tax (61) 14 (36) +69% (99) (125) -21%
Net income after tax 217 (45) 129 +69% 377 445 -15%
Cost to income (%) 48.7% 49.2% 50.1% -3% 51.9% 50.0% +4%
CAR (%) 17.5% 17.7% 16.8% +4% 17.5% 16.8% +4%
Tier 1 CAR % 12.9% 13.4% 12.0% +8% 12.9% 12.0% +8%
LTD ratio (%) 76.2% 76.0% 110.0% -31% 76.2% 110.0% -31%
30.0
(0.4)
29.61.5 31.0
-1%
+3%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
4Q 18Reported
Growth atconstant FX
4Q 19Underlying
TFKB FXtranslation
impact
4Q 19Reported
Financing & Advances, net (TRYbn)
27.2
10.8 38.0 2.7 40.7
+40%+49%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
4Q 18Reported
Growth atconstant FX
4Q 19Underlying
TFKB FXtranslation
impact
4Q 19Reported
Customers' Deposits (TRYbn)
39% 45%% of balance in foreign currency
59% 62%% of balance in foreign currency
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
4Q & FY 2019 Results
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Disclaimer
50
The National Commercial Bank (NCB) prepared this presentation on a proprietary basis as general background information about the activities of NCB. The information contained herein is given in summary form and for discussion purposes only. Some of the information that is relied upon by NCB is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but NCB (nor any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates or subsidiaries) does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information, and disclaims all liability or responsibility for any loss or damage caused by any act taken as a result of the information. This presentation including the information covered therein is not intended either to be relied upon or construed as an advertisement for, or an offer, solicitation or invitation to sell or issue, or to subscribe, underwrite or otherwise acquire any securities in any jurisdiction. It should and must not be treated as giving tax, legal, investment or other specialist advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. Neither shall any part of this information nor the fact of its distribution form part of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision or commitment relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the subject of this presentation.
All statements included in this presentation other than statements of historical facts, including, without limitation, those regarding financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives) are forward-looking statements and may thus include words like "anticipate", "believe", "intend", "estimate", "expect", "will", "may", "project", "plan" and such other words of similar meaning. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding present and future business strategies and the relevant future business environment. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation and NCB expressly disclaims to the fullest extent permitted by law any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Nothing in the foregoing is intended to or shall exclude any liability for, or remedy in respect of, fraudulent misrepresentation. Due to rounding, numbers and percentages presented throughout this presentation may not add up precisely to the totals provided.
NCB is not under any obligation to update, complete, amend, revise or keep current the information contained herein, and any opinions expressed herein are subject to change materially without notice. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made by NCB, their respective advisors or any such persons’ directors, officers or employees, or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation, and any reliance you place on them will be at your sole risk. Investors must rely solely on their own examinations of the Offering and relevant documentation in making a determination as to whether to invest in the securities described. An investor should seek independent professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate. Securities that may be discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Investors are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of NCB and its subsidiaries, the nature of the securities and the merits or suitability of the securities or any transaction to any investor’s particular situation and objectives, including the possible risks and benefits of purchasing any securities. Any such determination should involve an assessment of the legal, tax, accounting, regulatory, financial, credit or other related aspects of the offering or the securities. Without prejudice to the foregoing, NCB, their advisors and any such persons’ directors, officers or employees expressly disclaim any liability whatsoever, in negligence or otherwise, for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from use of, or reliance on, this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Investor Presentation
Contact UsThe National Commercial Bank
P.O. Box 3555
21481 Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Mr. Abdulbadie Alyafi
Head Of Investor Relations
+966 12 646 3988
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51