The Mood Of America 2003 Peter D. Hart A Time of Uncertainty.

The Mood Of America

2003

The Mood Of America

2003

Peter D. Hart

A Time of UncertaintyA Time of Uncertainty

Mood of America 2003/Peter D. Hart

The Changing Mood Of America

62%

36%

43%44%

42%

62%

70%

43%47%45%

52%

40%

22%

47%

42%42%

43%42%

31%

20%

15%

36%39% 39%

Jan '01 Apr'01

June'01

Dec'01

Jan '02 June'02

July'02

Sept'02

Oct'02

Dec'02

Jan '03 Apr'03

U.S. headed in right direction U.S. off on wrong track


Concern About Our Institutions

9%

10%

12%

15%

22%

24%

25%

27%

60%

82%

I have a great deal/quite a bit of confidence in this institution:

The militarySmall business

(The Penthouse)

News mediaReligious leadersPharmaceuticals

Accountants

(The Basement)

Financial industryLarge corporations

Auto dealersStock brokers

(The Gutter)


Bush Approval Ratings: Overall, Foreign Policy, and Economy

54%

62%

67%

82%

57%

71%

70%

51%

57%53%

81%

62%

52% 49%44%

63%

49%47%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

Mar '01 Jan '02 Jul '02 Dec '02 Jan '03 Apr '03

Overall Foreign policy Economy


2004 — An Eon AwayIf President Bush runs for reelection in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for for President Bush or a Democratic candidate?

BushGephardt

BushLieberman

51%32%

50%35%

41%

25%

34%

Vote forBush

Other/NS

Vote forDemocraticcandidate


2004 — An Eon Away

41%

25%

34%

If President Bush runs for reelection in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for for President Bush or a Democratic candidate?

Vote forBush


Other/NS

24%

52%

24%

Vote forBush


Other/NS

Today


38%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

13%

14%

19%

2004 — The Democrats

If the 2004 Democratic Primary for president were held today, for which of the following candidates would you vote?

Joe Lieberman

Richard Gephardt

John Kerry

John Edwards

Carol Moseley Braun

Bob Graham

Howard Dean

Al Sharpton

Undecided


The Bush Profile

On ProbationGeorge W. Bush

Compassionate

Foreign policy challenges

Right domestic policies

Economic policies

49/31

41/32

36/31

33/37

Now Then

56/22

-

-

39/25

Honor Roll

Honesty

Personal popularity

Dealing w/terrorism

Strong leadership

George W. Bush

60/23

56/32

64/28

56/23

Now Then

50/24

62/23

76/19

73/10


President Bush: Like Father, Like Son?

Approval Rating

Dow Jones Avg.

Unemployment

Economy

Foreign Policy

Strong Leader

Compassionate

81% positive

2943.30, +11.5%

6.5%

44% approval

83% approval

67%

27%

1981

71% positive

8402.36, -2%

5.8%

49% approval

70% approval

56% (Jan ’03)

49% (Jan ’03)

2003


Divided On The IssuesPrefer President/GOPs to set U.S. policy on this issuePrefer Democrats in Congress to set U.S. policy on this issue

39%

38%

41%

46%

52%

71%

51%

46%

45%

42%

38%

19%

Education, health, environment

Rx drugs for seniors

Social Security

Economy

Tax policy

War on terrorism


How would you rate the condition of the national economythese days?

The Economy

2%

10%

4%

48%36% Fairly Good

Fairly Bad

Not sure Very GoodVery Bad


Support For Bush Tax Cuts

49%

43%DO NOT

pass tax cut: federal

budget in deficit, costs of war are unknown

Pass tax cut: needed to stimulate economic

growth


50% 49%

6%

Patriotic Proud

Joyful

Group One

29%

23%

10%

Worried

Anxious

Dis-appointed

Group Two

Two Views Of The War

28%

17%

Hopeful

45%

Group 1

Group 2


Positive View Of The War

76% support taking military action to remove Hussein.

Majorities say U.S. successful in minimizing civilian casualties, removing Hussein, making U.S. secure.

73% believe U.S. didn’t underestimate Iraqi military.


Worried View Of The War

71% see most challenges in Iraq ahead of us.

34% say U.S. standing in world has declined; 32% say it has increased.

Majorities do not support U.S. military action against North Korea, Syria, Iran.


The Environment: Too Much/Too Little

44%40%

30%

68%

58%

51%

Jan/M

arch 1

992

Apr-0

0

Mar-

03

U.S. Government is doing too much/about the right amount in protecting the environmentU.S. Government is doing too little in protecting the environment

14% of Americans say theyare active participants inthe environmental movement


Bush on the Environment

Job on protectingthe environment

Environmental protection is being...

9%

35%

Strengthened Weakened

44% 43%

Good job Poor Job


Environmental Concerns

A great deal of concern A fair amount of concern

Pollution of rivers, lakes

Pollution of drinking water

Toxic waste soil contamination

Water supply maintenance

air pollution

Damage to ozone layer

Loss of tropical rainforests

Plant/animal extinction

Global warming

Acid rain

85%

82%

82%

78%

78%

67%

65%

65%

58%

48%


Enviro Rules For The Future

1. Appreciate the times

2. All environmental problems not equally

supported

3. Put the issues in human terms

4. Tap into values

5. Develop more win/win strategies

The Mood Of America

2003

The Mood Of America

2003

Peter D. Hart

A Time of UncertaintyA Time of Uncertainty

The Mood Of America 2003 Peter D. Hart A Time of Uncertainty.

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