The Millennial Agenda for the Next President

Presented by: John Della Volpe Director of Polling

A Summary of Key Findings and Insights from the Harvard Public Opinion Project

July 2016

2000

2004

2008

201272%

70%

71%

70%

68%

69%

70%

68%

60%

62%

62%

59%

45%

51%

49%

40%

18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Voter Turnout Among Citizens November 2000, 2004, 2008, and 2012

Post-9/11 and through 2008, we saw increase in youth participation, especially in presidential contests. In 2012, youth stepped back.

+9

+2

-6

2

Donald Trump does not need to win the youth vote outright, he only needs make it more competitive, like George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004.

18-29: +2Popular Vote: +.5

18-29: +9Popular Vote: -2.4

18-29: +34Popular Vote: +7.2

18-29: +22Popular Vote: +3.9

http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/president/national-exit-polls.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/11/04/us/politics/2014-exit-polls.html#us/2012

Winner of the Youth Vote, 2000 - 2012

3

Currently, Hillary Clinton holds a significant (+26) but diminishing lead over Donald Trump in a 2-way match-up.

Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Don't know

18%

28%

54%

14%

25%

61%

April 2016July 2016

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?

(Among “Likely Voters Only”)

In a 3-way race, Gary Johnson takes more from from Clinton, than Trump: Clinton 45%, Trump 23%, Johnson 13%, 19% Undecided.

4

Nearly every data point from our Harvard IOP polling indicates that the relationship between our government and Millennials is fractured.

Hillary Clinton’s unfavorable rating is nearly 2x her favorable (60%-31%), Donald Trump’s is 4x, 74% unfavorable and 18% favorable.

Less than 1-in-4 trust the federal government (23%), Congress (18%), Wall Street (11%) or the media (9%) to do the right thing.

5

About half of Millennials believe American Dream is dead, do not support capitalism, believe justice system is unfair and our politics is unable to meet our nation’s challenges.

Majority do not support capitalism, 48% believe the American Dream is dead and 47% believe our justice system is unfair.

6

More than 4-in-5 say significant reform in Washington is needed; 33% believe we should find a “reset button and start again.”

About half of Millennials believe American Dream is dead, do not support capitalism, believe justice system is unfair and our politics is unable to meet our nation’s challenges.To engage Millennials now and in the future, trust in the system and in those who seek to lead it, must be re-built. Our polling indicates that five topics must be addressed to win the White House and win back the hearts and minds of America’s largest generation.

1. Grow the economy.2. Reduce terrorism at home and abroad.3. Unite Americans to address inequality on every front.4. Inspire the post-9/11 unified America many recall.5. Reduce the role of big money in politics.

Millennial Agenda for the Next President

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