The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract...

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The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update Dimensions of Strategy from John Ashcroft & Co experience worth sharing Now with 2016 Financials included

Transcript of The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract...

Page 1: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

The LEGO Case Study2017 Update

Dimensions of Strategy fromJohn Ashcroft & Co

experience worth sharing

Now with 2016

Financials included

Page 2: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2016

The LEGO Case Study - New for 2014

In 2003 and 2004 LEGO announced losses of over $400 million dollars on annual sales of just over $1 billion. The reorganisation plan announced in 2001 had begun to falter. The company was forced to take a hard look at every facet of the operation including costs, overheads, margins, sales, marketing and the product offer.

Non performing assets, including the company's LEGOLAND parks were sold off. A radical plan for recovery and growth was introduced.

Since then company revenues have increased from $1 billion to $4.5 billion [2013] and profits have soared to $1.5 billion before tax. The company's share of the world toy market has doubled from 2% in 2004 to over 5% in 2012. LEGO has overtaken HASBRO as the second largest toy manufacturer in the world.

How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? We apply our Corporate Strategy framework to help explain how and why. Comparisons with The Apple Case Study abound! It's revealing! Update by John Ashcroft, John Ashcroft and Company from the Dimensions of Strategy series.

About the Author

John Ashcroft is an economist and expert in Corporate Strategy. The LEGO case study was developed in 2014 following the success of the Apple Case study. An extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson, Whittington, Scholes - Exploring Strategy 2011, considered by many to be the "bible" of corporate strategy texts. The Apple Case Study was the second most highly rated case study in the Exploring Strategy text book.

Author of The Saturday Economist, John publishes weekly updates and insights into headline economics news. Other web sites include The Saturday Economist, Dimensions of Strategy, The Apple Case Study, Social Media Experts and the host site John Ashcroft and Company.

The textbook “Dimensions of Strategy” will be published in the Autumn of 2014. Check out the web site www.thelegocasestudy.com.

Page 3: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

90.187.4

83.781.780.6

78.3

83.379.6

77.278.3

72.0

63.560.8

59.0

Toy Market World Toy Market

$ Billions

Source NPD World Toy Association

Page 4: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Mattel Hasbro Lego

Revenues $ Billion World Toy Market

Revenues $ Billion

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Lego takes Top slot

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0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Mattel Hasbro LegoWorld Toy Market World shares of revenue

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

World Shares %

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0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Lego

LEGO - The Golden ArchRate of Change of Revenues

%

Actual Rate of ChangeThe Golden arch

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 7: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

9.59.8

7.77.67.56.8

Sales Revenues 1995 - 2000

Danish Krona Billions data from 2000 Financial Report

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 8: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

-1.0

-0.8

-0.5

-0.3

0.0

0.3

0.5

0.8

1.0

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

-1.0

0.5

-0.30.2

0.70.7

Profit before tax 1995 - 2000

Danish Krona Billions data from 2000 Financial Report

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 9: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

37.935.8

28.6

25.323.1

18.716.0

11.79.5

8.07.87.16.77.2

Sales Revenues 1993 - 2016

Danish Krona Billions data from Financial Reports

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 10: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

-2.0-1.00.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.0

10.011.012.013.014.015.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

12.412.1

9.5

8.27.5

5.54.9

2.91.81.41.5

0.5-1.2-1.5

Profit before tax 1993 - 2016

Danish Krona Billions data from Financial Reports

Losses include restructuring costs

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 11: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

-30.0

-20.0

-10.0

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

32.734.033.232.632.629.630.5

24.8

19.417.6

20.0

6.5

-18.5-20.8

Return on Sales %

Data derived from Financial Reports

Loss ratios include restructuring costs

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 12: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

2

4

6

8

10

12

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

9.1

10.6

7.9

6.76.2

3.83.7

2.7

1.9

1.01.20.60.70.0

Cash Flow

Danish Krona Billions data from Financial Reports

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 13: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

72.072.671.870.770.670.5

72.470.3

66.865.064.6

58.060.1

56.5

Gross Margin %

Data derived from Financial Reports

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

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10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

39.138.437.837.737.640.340.5

44.645.749.448.7

52.5

60.6

71.3

Overhead Ratio %

Data derived from Financial Reports

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 15: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

71.3

60.6

52.548.7 49.4

45.7 44.640.5 40.3

37.6 37.7 37.8 38.4 39.156.5

60.158.0

64.6 65.066.8

70.372.4

70.5 70.6 70.7 71.8 72.6 72.0

The Golden Cross

Gross Margin %

Overheads %

“When Gross Margin exceeds overhead ratios”

Data derived from Financial Reports

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

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433

867

1,300

1,733

2,167

2,600

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

2,253

2,560

2,2712,152

2,221

1,9981,914

1,600

1,7681,912

1,594

1,3301,197

Sales per employee

Danish Krona Millions data from Financial Reports

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 17: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

42.238.8

36.7

41.143.0

33.3 33.130.2 30.0

26.9 26.327.9 28.0 28.8

8.79.4

9.9

8.98.5

10.9 11.0

12.1 12.2

13.513.9

13.1 13.012.7

Working Capital Ratios : Stock

Stock turn

Stock “days”

Stock Turn : Sales / Stock

Stock days : Stock / Sales * 365

Data derived from Financial Reports

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 18: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

20.0

17.8

12.8

11.19.8

7.05.5

3.32.11.7

4.53.3

2.6

4.2

Shareholders FundsLEG total equity interest

Danish Krona Billions data from Financial Reports

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

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-25

0

25

50

75

100

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

61.868.4

74.074.476.579.8

89.788.190.084.7

34.8

13.9

-47.3-35.7

Return on Shareholders Funds

Pre tax profit / Total Equity Interest Return on Shareholders Funds %

Pre Tax basis

Data derived from Financial Reports

The LEGO case study from Dimensions of Strategy : John Ashcroft and Company 2017

Page 20: The LEGO Case Study 2017 Update · How did LEGO achieve this sensational turnaround? ... extract from the Apple case study was published in the ninth edition of Johnson ... The LEGO

The LEGO Case Study2017 Update

Dimensions of Strategy fromJohn Ashcroft & Co.

experience worth sharing