The Latin Square Design -...
Transcript of The Latin Square Design -...
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The Latin Square Design
• Text reference, Section 4-2,
• These designs are used to simultaneously control (or eliminate) two sources of nuisance variability
• A significant assumption is that the three factors (treatments, nuisance factors) do not interact
• If this assumption is violated, the Latin square design will not produce valid results
• Latin squares are not used as much as the RCBD in industrial experimentation
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The Rocket Propellant Problem – Latin Square Design
• This is a
• Page 140 shows some other Latin squares• Table 4-13 (page 140) contains properties of Latin squares• Statistical analysis?
5 5 Latin square design
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Statistical Analysis of the Latin Square Design
• The statistical (effects) model is 1,2,...,
1, 2,...,
1, 2,...,ijk i j k ijk
i p
y j p
k p
• The statistical analysis (ANOVA) is much like the analysis for the RCBD.
• See the ANOVA table, page 137 (Table 4-9)• The analysis for the rocket propellant example is presented on
text pages 138 & 139
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Balance
• An experiment is balanced if all treatments have the same number of experimental units.
• An experiment is dye balanced if all treatments have an equal number of experimental units dyed with each dye.
4
• An incomplete block design is a balanced incomplete block design if all treatments have the same number of experimental units and each pair of treatments appears together in the same block an equal number of times.
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• If the experimental units are not uniform, blocking is necessary to separate experimental error, therefore, block is considered as a random factor
Randomized Complete Block Design (RCBD)
Block 1
Block 2
Block 3
Canal
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• Two factors (Trts & Block) - Two-way ANOVA • Most widely used • Block can be:
– Spatial: pond, row, districts/village, households, etc.– Time: week, month or year– Age: different age group of animals
Randomized Complete Block Design (RCBD)
– Age: different age group of animals– Height: tree trunk, shelf in the drier etc.– Soil heterogeneity, slope, insect migration etc.
Two null hypotheses (H0)• no effects of block• no effects of treatment
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Freq.A
Comparisons of five means
Freq.
Block 2Block 1 Block 3
A AA
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1. Randomized Complete Block Design (RCBD)all the experimental units within the block are considered
uniform or identicaltreatment allocation in each block is completely randomBlocks are considered as replications
Experimental designs:
Block 1Block 2Block 3
Canal
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Two hypothesis are tested by comparing the variation, therefore, called as Two-way Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)
• between treatments with the variation among treatments and blocks
• Effect of block is separated
• If variation between treatments (“T”reatment effect) is higher than • If variation between treatments (“T”reatment effect) is higher than the variation within treatment (i.e. “R”andom error), there is a significant difference
Model: Yi = + Ti + Bi + Ri
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Separation of variation
Yi = Ri
+ B
If Ti > Ri treatment effect is significant after separationOf block effects
175
200
225
No
. o
f e
gg
s/t
an
k
Random errors
+ Bi
+ Ti
+
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
Control Cooling
Treatments
No
. o
f e
gg
s/t
an
k
Treatment effect
Block effect
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Also called as “Two factor experiment/analysis”
Examples: 1. Fertilization trials in different types of soil
- Organic, in-organic and combination- 0, 40 and 60 kg N/ha/week etc.
2. Crop/vegetable/fruits varieties in different districts2. Crop/vegetable/fruits varieties in different districts3. Animal breeds in different villages/families4. Drug efficacy on different age groups5. Tilapia seed production by week or month6. Weekly DO and Temp differences7. Fish growth trial in cages in ponds
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Randomization and layout
1. Determine the total number of experimental units (cages) = t x b e.g. to test 6 feeds in 4ponds, you will need 24 cages (6/pond)
2. Assign cage number in each pond (1 to 6)2. Assign cage number in each pond (1 to 6)
3. Assign all the treatments in each block (pond) randomly by using lottery or random table
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Randomization: Block T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6
1
2
3
4
Pond 1 Pond 2 Pond 2 Pond 4
T3 T4
T2 T6
T5 T4
T6 T3
T5 T1
T2 T4
T2 T5
T4 T3
T6 T1
T2 T1
T6 T5
T3 T4
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Data analysis: 1. Group the data by treatments and calculate the treatment totals (T), block totals (B) and grand total (G), the grand mean and the coefficient of variation (c.v.) etc.
2. Using number of treatments (t) and the number of blocks (b) determine the degree of freedom (d.f.) for each source of (b) determine the degree of freedom (d.f.) for each source of variation
3. Construct an outline/table (next slide) of the analysis of variance
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ANOVA table of a RCBD experiment
Source of variation
Sum of squares
d.f. Mean square
F p
Trts SST t-1 SST= MST
t-1
MST
MSE
p<0.05 *
P<0.01 **t-1 MSEP>0.05 ns
Block SSB b-1 SSB= MSB
b-1
MSB
MSE
p<0.05 *
P<0.01 **
P>0.05 nsResidual error
SSE Total –others
SSE = MSE
df (E)
Total TSS txb-1
t = number of treatments; b = number of blocks/replicates per treatment
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4. Using Xi to represent the measurement of the ith plot, Ti as the total of the ith treatment, and n as the total number of experimental plots [ i.e. n = (r) (t) ], calculate the correction factor (CF) and the various sums of square (SS)
5. Calculate the mean square (MS) for each source of variation by dividing SS by their corresponding d.f.
6. Calculate the F- values (R.A. Fisher) for testing significance of the treatment difference (F = MST/MSE and MSB/MSE)
7. Enter all the values computed in the ANOVA table
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Example: Four different feeds were tested on 20pigs. Following were the mean final weights (kg) of 19 pigs (1 pig died).
Here, H0 = 1 = 2 = 3 = 4 and there is no effect of block
Family Feed 1 Feed 2 Feed 3 Feed 4 TotalFamily Feed 1 Feed 2 Feed 3 Feed 4 Total1 60.8 68.7 102.6 87.9 320
2 57.0 67.7 102.1 84.2 311
3 65.0 74.0 100.2 83.1 322
4 58.6 66.3 96.5 85.7 307
5 61.7 69.8 - 90.3 222
Total 303.1 346.5 401.4 431.2 1482.2
n 5 5 4 5 19
Mean 60.6 69.3 100.4 86.2
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Step 1: Calculate Missing value
Missing value estimation
= (t * treatment total + b*block total) – Grand total
(t-1)(b-1)
= [(4*401.4+5*222) – 1482.2]/(3*4) = 102.7= [(4*401.4+5*222) – 1482.2]/(3*4) = 102.7
Notes:
- Missing values should not be more than 10% and it should be used only lost data due to unavoidable circumstances
- In case of more than 1 missing data, guess others and estimate first one. Then use it to estimate others/guessed ones – iterate it until all the values become stable
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Example: Four different feeds were tested on 20pigs. Following were the mean final weights (kg) of 19 pigs (1 pig died).
Here, H0 = 1 = 2 = 3 = 4 and there is no effect of block
Family Feed 1 Feed 2 Feed 3 Feed 4 TotalFamily Feed 1 Feed 2 Feed 3 Feed 4 Total1 60.8 68.7 102.6 87.9 320
2 57.0 67.7 102.1 84.2 311
3 65.0 74.0 100.2 83.1 322
4 58.6 66.3 96.5 85.7 307
5 61.7 69.8 102.7 90.3 325
Total 303.1 346.5 504.1 431.2 1584.9
n 5 5 5 5 20
Mean 60.6 69.3 100.8 86.2
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Step 1: Calculate sum of squares
Correction factor/Intercept ( C )
= (Grand total)2 /n = (1584.9)2 /20 = 125,595
Total SS = (60.8) 2 + (57.0)2 +--+ (90.3)2 - C = 4,934
Treatment SS = (Treatment total)2/t – CTreatment SS = (Treatment total) /t – C
= (303.1)2 /5+ (346.5)2 /5 + (504.1)2 /5 + (431.2)2 /5 – 125,595 = 4,801
Block SS = (Block total)2/n – C
= (320)2/4+(311)2/4+3222/4+(307)2/4+(325)2/4
-125,595 = 57
Error SS=Total SS–SST-SSB = 4,934–4,801– 57=76
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Sources of variation
Sum of squares (SS)
df Mean SS = SS/df
F = MST/MSE
P Significance
Total 4934 19
Treatment 4801 3 1600 253 <0.01 **
Step 2: Prepare an ANOVA table
Block 57 4 14 2.25 >0.05 ns
Error or residual
76 12 6
Note: Numerator df = 3, Denominator d.f. = 12 for treatment F, and 4and 12 respectively for the block F.Reject H0 for Treatment but accept H0 for block orFamily had no effects on pig growth but type of feed has effects
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Tests of Between-Subjects Effects
Dependent Variable: WT
125595.401 1 125595.401 8838.989 .000
56.837 4 14.209a
4801.022 3 1600.341 252.915 .000
SourceHypothesis
Error
Intercept
HypothesisFEED
Type II Sumof Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
Results from SPSS Analysis
4801.022 3 1600.341 252.915 .000
75.931 12 6.328b
56.837 4 14.209 2.246 .125
75.931 12 6.328b
Hypothesis
Error
FEED
Hypothesis
Error
BLOCK
MS(BLOCK)a.
MS(Error)b.
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Two-way (Multi-factor) ANOVA to analyze
Check the block effect first,
1. If there is an effect of block - treatment effects need to be compared within each block separately
2. If there is no significant block effect data can be 2. If there is no significant block effect data can be analyzed using one-way ANOVA and go for t-test and Multiple range tests to compare treatments (Tukey’s test is widely accepted and most common)
# Note: If ANOVA shows no significant difference then multiple range tests are not necessary
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Pairwise Comparisons
Dependent Variable: WT
-8.680* 1.591 .000 -12.146 -5.214
-40.200* 1.591 .000 -43.666 -36.734
-25.620* 1.591 .000 -29.086 -22.154
8.680* 1.591 .000 5.214 12.146
-31.520* 1.591 .000 -34.986 -28.054
-16.940* 1.591 .000 -20.406 -13.474
(J) FEED 2.00
3.00
4.00
1.00
3.00
4.00
(I) FEED 1.00
2.00
MeanDifference
(I-J) Std. Error Sig.a
Lower Bound Upper Bound
95% Confidence Interval forDifference
a
-16.940* 1.591 .000 -20.406 -13.474
40.200* 1.591 .000 36.734 43.666
31.520* 1.591 .000 28.054 34.986
14.580* 1.591 .000 11.114 18.046
25.620* 1.591 .000 22.154 29.086
16.940* 1.591 .000 13.474 20.406
-14.580* 1.591 .000 -18.046 -11.114
4.00
1.00
2.00
4.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
3.00
4.00
Based on estimated marginal means
The mean difference is significant at the .05 level.*.
Adjustment for multiple comparisons: Least Significant Difference (equivalent to noadjustments).
a.
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WT
5 60.6200
5 69.3000
5 86.2400
5 100.8200
1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
5 60.6200
5 69.3000
FEED 1.00
2.00
4.00
3.00
Sig.
1.00
2.00
Tukey HSDa,b
Duncana,b
N 1 2 3 4
Subset
5 86.2400
5 100.8200
1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
5 60.6200
5 69.3000
5 86.2400
5 100.8200
1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
4.00
3.00
Sig.
1.00
2.00
4.00
3.00
Sig.
Scheffea,b
Means for groups in homogeneous subsets are displayed.Based on Type II Sum of SquaresThe error term is Mean Square(Error) = 6.328.
Uses Harmonic Mean Sample Size = 5.000.a.
Alpha = .05.b.