The Incumbency Advantage What is an incumbent? Stephanow, 2006.
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Transcript of The Incumbency Advantage What is an incumbent? Stephanow, 2006.
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The Incumbency Advantage
What is an incumbent?
Stephanow, 2006
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94%
of House incumbents won re-election in 2006!
(It was 98% in 2004.)
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79%
of Senate incumbents won re-election in 2006!
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An incumbent doesn’t lose,
they get fired!
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Why do so many get easily re-elected?
incumbent Advantages
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Challenge the incumbent? Good luck!
Relatively few seats are seriously contested.
Some are not contested at all!
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Money $$$!
People are more likely to donate to people they “know”.– Especially from PACs.
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Type of Candidate Total Raised Numberof Cands
Avg Raised
Incumbent $325,769,228
37 $8,804,574
Challenger $120,160,926 104 $1,155,394
Open Seat $63,626,782 28 $2,855,486
Grand Total $509,556,936 169 $3,015,130
SENATE, 2008
http://www.opensecrets.org/overview/incumbs.php
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Type of Candidate Total Raised Numberof Cands
Avg Raised
Incumbent
Challenger 650
Open Seat 289
Grand Total
HOUSE, 2008
$589,947,049
$218,575,834
$169,325,461
$977,848,344
435 $1,356,200
1,373
$336,271
$585,901
$711,680
http://www.opensecrets.org/overview/incumbs.php
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Franking Privilege
Free postage– Can do mass mailing up to 3 months
before the election, letting their constituents know all the “wonderful” things they’ve done and how they’ve “brought home the bacon.”
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Staffers
Incumbents already have staff in place.– Illegal to work on re-election campaign
during regular office hours, but many volunteer their free time.
– Because no re-election for boss means no job!
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Patronage
Incumbents are able to appoint people to lower level offices/give people jobs.
Friends of friends, etc.= votes.
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Name Recognition
People tend to vote for people they have heard of.– The Distinguished Gentleman
Eddie Murphy’s character, Thomas Jefferson Johnson, got into Congress by using the name “Jeff” Johnson because that was the name of the Congressman before (who had died and left the seat open.)
He never showed his face, just ran on the name. His slogan was, “Jeff Johnson—The Name You Know.”
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Media Access
Can get free media time by appearing on talk shows, radio talk shows and news coverage.
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Casework
Again, delivering the goods.Staff help constituents with all kinds
of problems and concerns.
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Gerrymandering
How district lines are drawn in a state can draw an advantage for one particular party.
– Tom DeLay’s encouragement for TX state legislature to redrawn the Texas district lines had a big impact on Texas in 2004.
– We’ll learn more about this in a few days!
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So, with all those incumbent advantages, should Congressmen
be term limited?
What do you think?
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Many states tried…
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…but the Supreme Court ruled…
May 22, 1995 TERM LIMITS ARE UNCONSTUTIONAL. 5-4, States can’t place limits on the length of time
members of Congress can serve. Strikes down an Arkansas term-limit law & similar
measures that were passed by 21 other states. It would have to be done by a constitutional amendment. An amendment failed in the House earlier in 1995, but
Sen. Fred Thompson pledged to bring a Senate version to the floor “at the earliest date possible.”