The Impact of Treatment on 3 Years
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The impact of treatment on 3 years outcome for
heroin dependence: findings from the Australian
Treatment Outcome Study (ATOS)
Maree Teesson1, Katherine Mills1,2, Joanne Ross1, Shane Darke1, Anna Williamson3 &Alys Havard1
National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales,Australia,1 Centre for Mental Health Studies, University of Newcastle, Australia2 and
Sax Institute, University of Sydney, Australia3
ABSTRACT
Aim To examine the impact of treatment for heroin dependence on drug use, injection-related risk-taking, health
problems, criminality and general physical and mental health over 3 years among heroin-dependent Australians.
Design Longitudinal prospective cohort study. Participants A total of 615 heroin users enrolled in the AustralianTreatment Outcome Study; 94.5% of the sample completed at least one follow-up interview over 36-month follow-up.
Findings The proportion who reported using heroin in the preceding month continued to decrease significantly from
baseline to 24-month follow-up (99% versus 35%), with this rate remaining stable to 36-month follow-up. The
reduction in heroin use was accompanied by reductions in other drug use. There were also substantial reductions in
risk-taking, crime, injection-related health problems and improvements in general physical and mental health. Positive
outcomes were associated with more time in maintenance therapies and residential rehabilitation and fewer treatment
episodes. Time spent in detoxification was not associated with positive outcomes. Major depression was also associated
consistently with poorer outcome. Conclusions At 3 years, there were impressive reductions in drug use, criminality,
psychopathology and injection-related health problems following treatment exposure.
Keywords Criminality, health problems, heroin dependence, injection risk, prospective cohort study, treatment
outcome.
Correspondence to: Maree Teesson, National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, NSW 2052, Australia.
E-mail: [email protected]
Submitted 19 February 2007; initial review completed 14 June 2007; final version accepted 11 September 2007
INTRODUCTION
Over the past decade heroin use and dependence has
emerged as an issue of increasing public health
concern. Indeed, irrespective of the increasing use ofother drugs, opiates continue to be the main problem
drug world-wide [1]. Heroin is overwhelmingly the pre-
dominant opioid used by illicit drug users in Australia
and world-wide [1]. At the beginning of this century it
was estimated that 0.2% of the worlds population aged
15 and above used heroin, translating to over 10 million
people [1]. Of these approximately 25% will be depen-
dent on the drug [2].
Heroin dependence is a remarkably persistent, and in
many cases, a life-long condition [3]. In order to improve
the prognosis for those with this condition it is necessary
to determine the factors which impact on treatment out-
comes for this group. Although a number of studies have
examined the impact of treatment on outcomes for
heroin dependence, these have been restricted largely to
randomized controlled trials or prepost observationalstudies [4]. Large-scale, naturalistic prospective longitu-
dinal, multi-site treatment outcome studies of heroin
dependence are rare. These studies allow for the exami-
nation of the impact of treatment over time, as it is deliv-
ered in the real world.
The few large-scale prospective studies conducted in
the United States and Europe have demonstrated that
individuals in the major treatment modalities can
substantially reduce their use of illicit drugs and criminal
activity [59]. The UK-based National Treatment
Outcome Research Study (NTORS [10]) found a
RESEARC H REPO RT doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2007.02029.x
2007 The Authors. Journal compilation 2007 Society for the Study of Addiction Addiction, 103, 8088
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substantial reduction in heroin use at 45 years post-
treatment entrance [11].Consistently, the US Drug Abuse
Treatment Outcome Study (DATOS) found weekly or
more frequent heroin use had reduced from 89% to 28%
by 5 years post-treatment entrance [8]. NTORS also dem-
onstrated significant improvements in physical and
mental health across treatment modalities [11].
Positive outcomes have been associated consistently
with spending more time in treatment maintenance
therapies or residential rehabilitation [7,8,1116] but
enrolling in fewer treatment episodes [13]. To our knowl-
edge, no study has examined the association between
time in detoxification and outcome. Additionally, none of
the studies conducted to date have included a non-
treatment group.
Longitudinal studies of treatment outcome conducted
to date have also been limited in that the analyses have
been restricted to complete case analyses. That is, cases
were included in the analysis only if they were inter-viewed at all time-points. Hence, the results may be
biased towards those who are more likely to be inter-
viewed and are well functioning. Additionally, despite
being longitudinal studies, most utilize data from only
two time-points and fail to take into account longitudinal
changes. Psychiatric measures have also been lacking
from previous research. Thus the impact of conditions
such as major depression and post-traumatic stress disor-
der, which co-occur commonly in people with heroin
dependence [1719], is unclear.
The AustralianTreatment Outcome Study(ATOS) was
the first Australian prospective longitudinal study oftreatment outcomes for heroin dependence conducted in
Australia. A total of 535 heroin users were recruited
upon entry to maintenance therapies (MT: methadone
and buprenorphine), residential rehabilitation (RR) and
detoxification (DTX), in addition to a sample of 80 heroin
users who were not currently in treatment (NT). The
present paper details the 3 years findings of this study.
Specifically, the present paper aimed to examine the
impact of treatment for heroinuse on drug use, injection-
related risk taking, health problems, criminality and
general physical and mental health over 3 years. The
impact of psychiatric comorbidity on these outcomes isalso examined.
METHOD
Procedure
Data were collected as part of the New South Wales com-
ponent of ATOS, the first naturalistic prospective longitu-
dinal study of treatment outcome for heroin dependence
to be conducted in Australia [17]. Baseline data were col-
lected between February 2001 and August 2002, with
follow-up interviews conducted at 3, 12, 24 and
36 months post-baseline.
Participants were recruited from 19 agencies treating
heroin dependence in the greater Sydney region. Agen-
cies were selected randomly from within treatment
modality and stratified by regional health area.The agen-
cies represent the major treatment modalities available
for heroin dependence in Australia and comprised 10
methadone/buprenorphine maintenance agencies, four
drug-free residential rehabilitation agencies and nine
detoxification facilities. Four agencies provided both
maintenance and detoxification services. A comparison
group of people with heroin dependence who were not
currently in treatment were recruited from needle and
syringe programmes. Eligibility criteria were: (i) no treat-
ment for heroin dependence in the preceding month; (ii)
no imprisonment in the preceding month; (iii) aged
18 years or over; and(iv) agreedto givecontact details for
follow-up interviews.The cohort consisted of 615 people with heroin
dependence: 201 entering maintenance therapy, 201
entering detoxification, 133 entering residential reha-
bilitation and 80 non-treatment participants. A total of
549, 495, 469 and 429 individuals were re-interviewed
at 3-, 12-, 24- and 36-month follow-ups, respectively,
representing 89.3%, 80.5%, 76.3% and 69.8% of those
enrolled at baseline. Only 5.5% of the sample was not
interviewed at all following baseline interview. Back-
ward stepwise logistic regressions were conducted in
order to determine factors associated with retention in
the cohort at 3-, 12-, 24- and 36-month follow-ups.Baseline variables entered into the models included
index treatment modality, age, sex, previous treatment
history, number heroin use days in the preceding
month, number of drug classes used in the preceding
month, major depression, current post-traumatic stress
disorder (PTSD) symptomatology, antisocial personality
disorder (ASPD) and borderline personality disorder
(BPD). The samples re-interviewed at each follow-up
were broadly representative of the initial sample of 615
enrolled in ATOS, the only notable difference being that
females were more likely than males to be retained at
3 months [94.7% versus 86.5%; odds ratio (OR) 2.8895% confidence interval (CI): 1.425.85] and
24 months follow-up (81.3% versus 73.7%; OR 1.66
95% CI: 1.062.59).
All participants were paid A$20 for completing each
interview. All interviews were conducted by trained
Research Officers employed by the National Drug and
Alcohol Research Centre and independent of the treat-
ment agencies. Ethical approval was granted by the
Human Ethics Review Committees of all participating
area health services and the University of New South
Wales.
3-year treatment outcomes for heroin dependence 81
2007 The Authors. Journal compilation 2007 Society for the Study of Addiction Addiction, 103, 8088
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Structured interview
Participants were administered a structured interview at
baseline and each follow-up. The components of the
follow-up interviews are detailed in Ross et al. [17].
The baseline and follow-up interviews addressed
demographic characteristics, treatment history, drug use
history, general physical and mental health and psy-chopathology. Demographic characteristics measured
included participants age, sex and their main source of
income in the preceding month. Heroin and other drug
use (including other opiates, alcohol, marijuana, benzo-
diazepines, amphetamines, cocaine, hallucinogens and
inhalants) in the precedingmonth was assessed using the
Opiate Treatment Index [20].
At each follow-up interview, participants were asked
the number of times they had commenced the various
treatment options for heroin dependence since their last
interview, the length of stay for each episode and how
recently they had attended each type of treatment. The
number of days in each of the main treatment modalities
was calculated and divided by the number of days to
follow-up to give the proportion of time spent in each
treatment modality over the follow-up periods.
General physical and mental health were measured at
each interview using the Short Form-12 (SF-12), in
which lower scores indicate poorer health [21]. DSM-IV
diagnoses of major depression (past month) were
obtained at each interview using the Composite Interna-
tional Diagnostic Interview (CIDI) version 2.1 [22]. At
baseline, DSM-IV diagnoses of ASPD were obtained using
a version of the Diagnostic Interview Schedule modified
to give DSM-IV diagnoses, and participants were screened
for ICD-10 BPD using the International Personality Dis-
orders Examination Questionnaire [23] used in the
National Survey of Mental Health and Wellbeing. Life-
time DSM-IV diagnoses of PTSD were obtained at base-
line using the CIDI version 2.1 [22]. Individuals with
current PTSD were classified as those who received a
life-timediagnosis and who hadexperienced symptoms of
PTSD in the preceding 12 months.
Statistical analyses
Categorical and continuous measures of outcomes were
examined using generalized estimating equation analysis
(GEE: [24]). GEE analyses are able to take into account
longitudinal design and correlation among repeated
observations. GEE allows the relationships between the
variables of the model at differenttime-points to be analy-
sed simultaneously, so that the estimated regression coef-
ficient reflects the relationship between the longitudinal
development of the outcome variable and the longitudi-
nal development of corresponding predictor variables
[25]. These analyses also provide an estimate of the time-
averaged difference between groups.
Fixed and time-varying covariates were included in
the models. Fixed covariates included age, sex, the pres-
ence or absence ASPD and BPD and current PTSD at
baseline; variables which may impact on treatment
outcome. Time-varying covariates included the propor-
tion of time spent in maintenance therapies, detoxifica-
tion and residential rehabilitation between interviews,
the number of treatment episodes commenced between
interviews and the presence or absence of major depres-
sion. Significant results are reported as the estimate of
the difference in least-squares means for continuous
outcome measures, and as OR with 95% CI for dichoto-
mous outcome variables. Results are presented sequen-
tially as is consistent with reports from the large-scale
prospective studies conducted in this area [5,710]. All
GEE analyses utilized an unstructured correlation matrix
and were conducted using SAS (version 8.02).
RESULTS
Baseline cohort characteristics
Themean age was 29.3 years(SD 7.8, range 1856), and
66% were male. Participants completed a mean of
10.0 years of school education (SD 1.7, range 212),
29% had completed a trade/technical course and 6% a
university degree. The main sources of income reported
were: government allowances (46%), criminal activity
(24%) and wage/salary (18%). Over half had committed
a crime in the preceding month, and 41% had a prison
history. The mean length of heroin using career was
9.6 years (SD 7.4, range
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sample had commenced a median of three treatment epi-
sodes (range 018) and had undertaken a median of
428.5 days in treatment (range 01308). The median
proportion of time spent in treatment over the follow-up
period was 0.39 (range 01). Only three people had not
commenced any treatment over the 36 months.
Treatment outcomes
Heroin use
The proportion who reported using heroin in the preced-
ing month decreased significantly from baseline to
3-month follow-up (OR 0.02, 95% CI: 0.010.04), from3-month to 12-month follow-up (OR 0.53, 95% CI:
0.410.66) and from 12-month to 24-month follow-up
(OR 0.79, 95% CI: 0.630.98). This rate remained stable
to 36-month follow-up (Table 2).
One-month abstinence from heroin was associated
with having spent more time in maintenance therapies
(OR 1.72, 95% CI: 1.332.22) and residential rehabilita-
tion (OR 16.67, 95% CI: 9.0933.33) and fewer treat-
ment episodes (OR 0.87, 95% CI: 0.830.91). It was
unrelated to time spent in detoxification. Major depres-
sion was the only other variable associated significantly
with 1-month abstinence and was associated with anincreased likelihood of use (OR 1.79, 95%CI: 1.312.45)
(Fig. 1).
Heroin dependence
The proportion who were heroin-dependent in the pre-
ceding month decreased significantly from baseline to
3-month follow-up (OR 0.02, 95% CI: 0.010.03), and
again from 3-month to 12-month follow-up (OR 0.60,
95% CI: 0.460.79), with this rate remaining stable to
36-month follow-up (Table 2).
Heroin dependence was associated with having spent
less time in maintenance therapies (OR 0.46, 95% CI:
0.340.62) and residential rehabilitation (OR 0.04, 95%
CI: 0.020.09), more time in detoxification (OR 15.58,
95% CI: 1.13215.16) and more treatment episodes (OR
1.12, 95% CI: 1.031.22). Those with major depression
in the last month (OR 1.88, 95% CI: 1.322.61) and
those who screened positive for BPD (OR 1.49. 95% CI:
1.141.94) were also more likely to be heroin-dependent.
Other substance use
The proportion who used other drugs in the preceding
month decreased significantly from baseline to 3-monthfollow-up (OR 0.47, 95% CI: 0.310.71), again from
3-month to 12-month follow-up (OR 0.68, 95% CI:
0.510.91) and from 12-month to 24-month follow-up
(OR 0.77, 95% CI: 0.591.00). This rate then remained
stable to 36-month follow-up (Table 2).
Other drug use was associated with having spent less
time in residential rehabilitation(OR 0.02, 95%CI: 0.01
0.04) and more time in maintenance therapies (OR 1.68,
95% CI: 1.210.71) and detoxification (OR 51.94, 95%
CI: 2.271176.15). Number of treatment episodes was
not associated with other drug use. Other drug use was
also associated with being younger (OR 0.98, 95% CI:0.961.00), male (OR 1.65, 95% CI: 1.192.29) and the
presence of major depression (OR 1.62, 95% CI: 1.14
2.30).
Needle sharing
The proportion who had shared needles in the preceding
month decreased significantly from baseline to 3-month
follow-up (OR 0.35, 95% CI: 0.230.53) and again from
3-month to 12-month follow-up (OR 0.67, 95% CI:
0.460.98). This rate then remained stable to 36-month
follow-up (Table 2).
Table 1 Treatment exposure over 36 months.
Index group
All (n =429)MT (n =148) DTX (n =147) RR (n =92 ) NT ( n =42)
Three-year treatment exposure (%)
MT 100 66.0 44.6 76.2 74.1
DTX 10.8 100 35.9 50.0 50.6RR 5.4 37.4 100 21.4 38.1
Other 19.6 38.8 39.1 14.3 29.8
Any treatment (%) 100 100 100 92.9 99.3
Post-index treatment (%) 70.3 94.6 87.0 92.9 84.4
Median treatment episodes since baseline interview 2 4 3 3 3
Median cumulative treatment days since baseline
interview
887.5 305 270 288 428.5
MT = maintenance therapies; DTX = dextoxification; RR = residential rehabilitation; NT = not currently in treatment
3-year treatment outcomes for heroin dependence 83
2007 The Authors. Journal compilation 2007 Society for the Study of Addiction Addiction, 103, 8088
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Needle sharing was associated with having spent less
time in maintenance therapies (OR 0.46, 95% CI: 0.07
0.29) and residential rehabilitation (OR 0.10, 95% CI:
0.020.47). Time spent in detoxification and number
of treatment episodes was not associated with needle
sharing. Those with major depression in the last month
(OR 1.55, 95% CI: 1.142.12) and those who screened
positive for BPD (OR 1.93, 95% CI: 1.422.61) were also
more likely to have shared needles (Fig. 2).
Injection-related health problems
The proportion who had injection-related health prob-
lems in the preceding month decreased significantly frombaseline to 3-month follow-up (OR 0.22, 95% CI: 0.16
0.30) and again from 3-month to 12-month follow-up
(OR 0.58, 95% CI: 0.450.75). This rate then remained
stable to 36-month follow-up (Table 2).
Injection-related health problems were associated
with having spent less time in maintenance therapies (OR
0.62, 95% CI: 0.460.84) and residential rehabilitation
(OR 0.07, 95% CI: 0.030.14) and more treatment epi-
sodes (OR 1.16, 95% CI: 1.071.26). Time spent in
detoxification was not associated with injection-related
health problems. Injection-related health problems were
Table 2 Generalized estimating equation results: the impact of
time, proportion of time in treatment and number of treatment
episodes on treatment outcomes.*
Outcome b SE P
% Heroin use
Time
3 months -3.85 0.37 < 0.000112 months -4.49 0.37 < 0.0001
24 months -4.74 0.37 < 0.0001
36 months -4.74 0.37 < 0.0001
Proportion of time in treatment
MT -0.55 0.13 < 0.0001
DTX 0.80 0.99 0.4216
RR -2.82 0.29 < 0.0001
No. of treatment episodes 0.14 0.04 0.0001
% Heroin-dependent
Time
3 months -3.98 0.29 < 0.0001
12 months -4.49 0.29 < 0.0001
24 months -4.74 0.29