The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the...

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The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 Dr. Richard Clements Chattanooga State Technical Community College

Transcript of The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the...

Page 1: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying CapacityThe Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity

G. Tyler Miller’sLiving in the Environment

12th Edition

Chapter 11

G. Tyler Miller’sLiving in the Environment

12th Edition

Chapter 11

Dr. Richard ClementsChattanooga State Technical Community CollegeDr. Richard ClementsChattanooga State Technical Community College

Page 2: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Key ConceptsKey Concepts

Factors affecting human population size Factors affecting human population size

Managing population growth Managing population growth

Human population problems Human population problems

Page 3: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Factors Affecting Human Population SizeFactors Affecting Human Population Size

Population change equationPopulation change equation

Zero population growth (ZPG)Zero population growth (ZPG)

Crude birth rate (BR)Crude birth rate (BR)

Crude death rate (DR)Crude death rate (DR)

Refer to Fig. 11-2 p. 239Refer to Fig. 11-2 p. 239

PopulationChange

PopulationChange == (Births + Immigration) – (Deaths + Emigration)(Births + Immigration) – (Deaths + Emigration)

Page 4: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Natural Rate of IncreaseNatural Rate of Increase

<1%

1-1.9%

2-2.9%

3+%Data notavailable

Annual worldpopulation growth

Fig. 11.3, p. 240

Page 5: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Births per woman

< 2

2-2.9

3-3.9

4-4.9

5+

NoData

Fertility RatesFertility Rates Replacement-level fertility Replacement-level fertility Total fertility rate (TFR) Total fertility rate (TFR)

Fig. 11.8, p. 242

Page 6: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Factors Affecting BR and TFRFactors Affecting BR and TFR

See bulleted list in text p. 243 See bulleted list in text p. 243

US BR’s and TFR’s US BR’s and TFR’s3232

3030

2828

2626

2424

2222

2020

1818

1616

1414

00

19101910 19201920 19301930 19401940 19501950 19601960 19701970 19801980 19901990 20002000 20102010

Bir

ths

per

th

ou

san

d p

op

ula

tio

nB

irth

s p

er t

ho

usa

nd

po

pu

lati

on

Demographictransition Depression

Baby boom Baby bust Echo baby boom

World War II

YearYearFig. 11.11, p. 243

see Fig. 11-10 p. 243

Page 7: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Infant deathsper 1,000 live births

<10<10-35<36-70<71-100<100+Data notavailable

Factors Affecting DRFactors Affecting DR

Life expectancy Life expectancy Infant mortality rate (IMR) Infant mortality rate (IMR)

Fig. 11.14, p. 246

Page 8: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Factors Affecting Natural Rate of IncreaseFactors Affecting Natural Rate of Increase

Developed Countries5050

4040

3030

2020

1010

0017751775

18001800 1850

185019001900

19501950

20002000 2050

2050

Rat

e p

er 1

,000

peo

ple

Rat

e p

er 1

,000

peo

ple

Year

Rate ofnatural increase

Crudebirth rate

Crudedeath rate

Rate of natural increase = crude birth rate = crude death rate Rate of natural increase = crude birth rate = crude death rate

Developed Countries5050

4040

3030

2020

1010

0017751775

18001800 1850

185019001900

19501950

20002000 2050

2050

Rat

e p

er 1

,000

peo

ple

Rat

e p

er 1

,000

peo

ple Crude

birth rate

Rate ofnaturalincrease Crude

death rate

Year

Fig. 11.13, p. 245

Page 9: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Ages 0-14Ages 0-14 Ages 15-44Ages 15-44 Ages 45-85+Ages 45-85+

Rapid GrowthGuatemala

NigeriaSaudi Arabia

Rapid GrowthGuatemala

NigeriaSaudi Arabia

Slow GrowthUnited States

AustraliaCanada

Slow GrowthUnited States

AustraliaCanada

MaleMale FemaleFemale

Zero GrowthSpainAustriaGreece

Zero GrowthSpainAustriaGreece

Negative GrowthGermanyBulgariaSweden

Negative GrowthGermanyBulgariaSweden

Population Age StructurePopulation Age Structure

Fig. 11.16a, p. 247

Page 10: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Solutions: Influencing Population SizeSolutions: Influencing Population Size

MigrationMigration

Environmental refugeesEnvironmental refugees

Reducing birthsReducing births

Family planningFamily planning

Empowerment of womenEmpowerment of women

Economic rewards and penaltiesEconomic rewards and penalties

Page 11: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

The Demographic TransitionThe Demographic Transition

LowLow

HighHigh

Rel

ativ

e p

op

ula

tio

n s

ize

Rel

ativ

e p

op

ula

tio

n s

ize

Bir

th r

ate

and

dea

th r

ate

(nu

mb

er p

er 1

,000

per

yea

r)B

irth

rat

e an

d d

eath

rat

e(n

um

ber

per

1,0

00 p

er y

ear) 8080

7070

6060

5050

4040

3030

2020

1010

00

Stage 1Preindustrial

Stage 1Preindustrial

Stage 2Transindustrial

Stage 2Transindustrial

Stage 3IndustrialStage 3

IndustrialStage 4

PostindustrialStage 4

Postindustrial

Lowgrowth rate

Lowgrowth rate

Increasing Growthgrowth rate

Increasing Growthgrowth rate

Very highgrowth rateVery high

growth rateDecreasinggrowth rateDecreasinggrowth rate

Lowgrowth rate

Lowgrowth rate

Zerogrowth rate

Zerogrowth rate

Negativegrowth rate

Negativegrowth rate

Birth rate

Total population

Death rate

TimeTimeTimeTimeFig. 11.26, p. 255

Page 12: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Case Study: Slowing Population Growth in IndiaCase Study: Slowing Population Growth in India

Poor planningPoor planningBureaucratic inefficiencyBureaucratic inefficiencyLow status of womenLow status of womenExtreme povertyExtreme povertyLack of supportLack of support

Generally disappointing results:Generally disappointing results:

Page 13: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Case Study: Slowing Population Growth in ChinaCase Study: Slowing Population Growth in China

Economic incentivesEconomic incentivesFree medical careFree medical carePreferential treatmentPreferential treatmentIntrusive and coerciveIntrusive and coerciveLocally administeredLocally administered

Generally positive results:Generally positive results:

Page 14: The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12 th Edition Chapter 11 G. Tyler Miller’s.

Cutting Global Population GrowthCutting Global Population Growth

Family planningFamily planning

Reduce povertyReduce poverty

Elevate the status of womenElevate the status of women