The health benefits of achieving Greater Manchester’s vision for cycling

The health benefits of achieving Greater Manchester’s vision for cycling DRAFT

Health Value of cycling in Greater Manchester

• World Health Organization Health Economic Assessment Tool (HEAT) for cycling used to calculate the value of additional cycling

• This calculates the reduction in risk of mortality among people who are cycling, compared to those who are not cycling

• Calculates the reduced death rate among the new regular cyclists

• Places financial value on the lives saved, using statistical value of a life

• Approved approach used by DfT

More info at www.heatwalkingcycling.org

Data

• Taken from GM Travel Diary Survey (TRADS) • 38,230 cyclists made 103,223 trips by bike on the

day before the survey • Cycle trips 3km on average (from postcode)• 2.7 trips per cyclist per day • Assumed cyclists ride on average 124 days per

year (the default recommended by HEAT) • 335 trips per cyclist per year

Scenario

Results: lives saved

• This level of cycling (3km per day for 124 days per year) reduces mortality by 8%

• Applied to 152,920 cyclists making 412,893 trips, 124 days per year

• Normally expect 380 people to die per year (UK; aged 20-60)

• This increase in cycling results in 24 lives saved per year (comparing cycling population with normal death rate)

Results: economic value

• Value of life of £3.229m (OECD standard) • Value of annual benefit (discounted at 5%) £54m

• BUT this is ONLY mortality; full health benefits would be far higher

• Can be used in a benefit:cost ratio

Sport England tool

0.00 1.00 1.00

0.00 1.00 1.00

One year only…