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The goal of this lesson is to provide the learner with an understanding of the process of performing a hotel feasibility study, as well as the importance of such a task.
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Define what is a Hotel Feasibility Study
Describe the two phases of a Hotel Feasibility Study
Describe the three major components of a Hotel Feasibility Study
Demonstrate knowledge of important financial determinants
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Investigates the need for the proposed hotel must be investigated, estimated, documented and supported, so that the client can be assured that the proposal is justified.
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Hotel feasibility entails three major components
(1) Preparation of a market feasibility study for the project
(2) Estimation of costs for all elements of the project and
(3) Determination of sources of financing.
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Market FeasibilityEconomic Feasibility
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Proximity Business and Trade Centers, Highways,
Traffic Levels, Key Attractions, Shopping Centers, Population Backup
Site Specific Size, Zoning Laws, height restrictions
and parking requirements, Visibility, Accessibility
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Statistics on visitor arrivalsSnapshot of local economy
Expected changes Average length of stay of visitors in
location
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Is there adequate labor supply? especially at the middle-management or
supervisory levelQuality of laborLabor costs projections – wages,
benefits, Wage trends, etc. Unions? reasonable, flexible, and
prepared to bargain in good faith
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LandConstruction Interest during constructionFurniture, fixtures, and equipmentOperating equipment InventoriesPre-opening expensesWorking capital
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Depends on whether land is actually purchased or owned
Cost of land typically weighed based on the number of rooms in hotel. Can range from $500 per room to as high as $30,000 or $40,000
Taxes during construction and costs of clearing the land factored into overall cost.
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Largest cost element in any hotel project If franchised, have to adhere to franchisor specs $60,000 per-room cost of construction is
considered satisfactory (Prevailing market scenario without interest).
Fixed-price contract Cost more controlled, difficult to get because of the
inflation prevalent both in labor and in construction materials, this is not often feasible.
Cost-plus contract Contractor’s profits are a percentage of the costs.
Maximum ceiling on cost can be written into contract.
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Either developer buys from one-stop shop supplier or spreads out across several suppliers.
Front of house and back-of-the-house equipment.
air-conditioning or heating, is considered to be part of the construction cost.
$12,000 per room for furniture, fixtures, and equipment is considered acceptable (Of course depends on brand)
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Linen, silver, china, glass ware, and, in some instances, uniforms.
Back-up inventories must be acquired
$8,000 per room is acceptable.
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Inventories can be broken down into the following categories:1. Food2. Beverages3. Cleaning supplies4. Paper supplies5. Guest supplies6. Stationery7. Engineering supplies
Excessive inventories can tie up capital and create additional interest costs.
$6,000 per room of for operating inventories should be considered satisfactory.
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Prior to the opening of a hotel, expenses incurred for
Pre-opening payroll, training costs, advertising, and sales expenses and travel.
To be factored into overall budgetDepends on the pre-opening
philosophies of the operator. $3,000 per room is considered
optimum
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Funds required to meet early payrolls and operating expenses (unpredictable time period)
Determines cash flow health of the firm
Should amount to at least $2,000 per room.
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If the project is a franchise, total cost and fee structure to be clear
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Marginal support (reducing a lot) from banks, mortgage lenders, and insurance companies.
Private groups of investors (Largest source of funding presently )
World Bank or the Export—Import Bank for hotel and tourism development in various areas
Governmental or tourism bodies in an effort to promote tourism in a specific country.
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Net Operating IncomeOperating income is the profit
realized from a business' own operations
NOI = Operating Income * (1-tax rate)
NOI = EBIT * (1-tax rate)EBIT is Earnings before Interest
and Taxes (EBIT)
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Interest Carry Ratio = Net Operating Income / Loan Amount ($100,000 / 750,000 = .13)
This ratio gives you an idea of the maximum interest rate that a loan's cash flow could carry. This example shows a 13% interest rate. The cash flow is great for this example.
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Debt Service Coverage Ratio = Net Operating Income / Debt Service ($100,000 / 65,601.47 = 1.52)
The higher the debt service coverage, the less risky the loan. Typical debt service coverage requirements range from 1.1 to 1.25. A 1.52 ratio reflects a good investment.
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Total Building Cost $ 4,739,118.00
Total Non-building Costs $ 1,618,859.50
Total Soft Costs $ 861,151.50
Land Cost $ 164,550.82
Estimated Total Project Cost $ 7,383,679.82
Total Cost Per Room (Total Project Cost/100 Rooms)
$ 73,836.80
ADR to Determine Feasibility(Rule of Thumb=Total Cost Per Key/1000) $ 73.84