The Future Potential of Cable (2009!08!13)

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    2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialPresentation_ID 1

    The FuturePotential ofCable

    John T. Chapman

    Cisco Fellow

    CMTS Chief Architect

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    2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 2Presentation_ID

    Typical Cable Spectrum

    ! 116 158 downstream carriers. Equivalent to 4.5 6 Gbps! Legacy services under-utilize the available bandwidth.

    In this example, a 750 MHz plant is running at 10% efficiency. Thus, a 10ximprovement can be made through migration of services.

    Service

    Broadcast

    Analog

    Video

    Broadcast

    Digital

    Video

    Switched

    Digital

    Video

    Converged

    IP/DOCSIS

    Transport

    Technology NTSC MPEG2 MPEG2 D3.0, MPEG4

    Relative

    Bandwidth

    Efficiency

    2% 20% 40% 100%

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    2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 3Presentation_ID

    Three Step Plan for Cable

    The National Broadband Plan can help by implementing policies thatencourage:

    1. Migration from analog video to digital video2. Migration from broadcast video to switched digital video (SDV)3. Migration from separate service transports to a single converged

    IP transport for all data, voice, and video.

    BroadcastAnalogVideo

    BroadcastDigitalVideo

    SwitchedDigitalVideo

    ConvergedD/V/V IP

    Transport

    1 2 3

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    DOCSIS

    ! DOCSIS is a technology for building a broadband pipe over theCable HFC (Hybrid Fiber-Coax) network.

    Standardized in 1996, DOCSIS works by putting IP packets onto thesame radio frequency (RF) carriers that TV channels use.

    Initial service tiers were 1-2 Mbps down and 384 kbps up.

    Current service tiers are typically 12-24 Mbps down and 1-2 Mbps up.

    ! The latest version, DOCSIS 3.0, bonds multiple channels (4 to 8)channels together to create a larger pipe.

    Service rates can be 20 to 200 Mbps in the downstream and 5 to 50 Mbps in the

    upstream.

    ! DOCSIS can eventually be scaled to 1 to 5 Gbps in thedownstream and up to 1 Gbps in the upstream per node.

    This is shared bandwidth per node. Today, the typical node group is 500homes, but this can be reduced to 125 or lower as needed.

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    2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 5Presentation_ID

    Growth in Consumer Bandwidth

    1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

    1 kbps

    1 Mbps

    1 Gbps

    10 kbps

    100 kbps

    10 Mbps

    100 Mbps

    100 bps

    If you are old enough to remember 300 baud modems, you will

    be young enough to see 1,000,000,000 bps (Gbps) modems

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    2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 6Presentation_ID

    Two Most Important Concepts

    ! The Hybrid Fiber-Coax (HFC) plant the cable operatorsdeploy has plenty of bandwidth potential.

    Upgrades can provide fiber-like performance at a fraction of thecost of deploying a new fiber network.

    IP and MPEG4 migration are critical parts of moving to moremodern transports for increased network efficiency.

    Encourage Service Providers to continue to invest intheir infrastructure.

    Incremental upgrades will continually expand broadbandcapacity.

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    2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 7Presentation_ID