The Future of Regulation:-2030 a changed world

www.shapingtomorrow.com

12030: a changed worldimplications for public interest

and regulation

Presented by:

Michael JacksonChairman

Shaping Tomorrow

http://www.shapingtomorrow.com/



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Population imbalances

New metrics, new meaning

Public Interest and Regulation

3D printing – fashion to organs

Shocks and mortgaged futures

Pollution : public health

Aspirations and expectations

Generation effects

Low cost business models

Profiling the personal

Multi-polar world powers

Definition of reality

Smart, digital and trackable

Peakonomics

Power of mobile rising

Climate change/ extreme nature

What changes will shape 2030?




102030 – a very different world -

summaryWhat’s driving change

Climate change, population imbalances & resource pressures force a rethink

A multi polar world creates new complexity, aspirations and new solutions

New technologies reveal new connections, levels of detail and understanding




11112030 – a very different worldWhat’s driving change

Embedded intelligence and digital technologies revolutionise where, when and how we do everything

Personalised and on demand solutions abound

Generational differences and debt mountains create new pressures

New metrics bring new priorities and new players




12Some challenges for

regulatorsFewer and simpler regulations

Simplification + verification rules OK!

Ethical debates need time, trust and transparency





regulatorsThink ahead, or play catch up forever

More interdisciplinary, cross departmental solutions

Who’s responsible when it’s personal?





regulators

New approaches blur boundaries

Bottom up collaboration, not top down control for engagement

Greater variety of care models demands flexibility





regulators

Global solutions and provision need coordinated global controls

Remote everything makes for systems vulnerability




2626World ecological footprint




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Profiling the personal




36Anticipated capabilities – an

overviewRation or revolution?From ‘cure me’ to contracts and incentives?From no frills airlines to no frills care?Quality, cost and complex supply chainsEmbedded intelligence and new levels of analysisPrivacy- what’s that?Cybercrime, terrorism and other systems vulnerabilityTolerance and intolerance rising?No more animal testing?Personalised medicine on demand?Skills shortages and robo-lleagues? (Robot+Colleagues)Ultimate consumer choice and control




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Avoiding a health cost tsunami

Ration or revolution?




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No more free lunch?

From cure me to contracts and incentives?




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You get what you pay for

No frills airlines to no frills care?




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Managing the system

Quality, cost and complex supply chains




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Interactive, personalised health apps

Embedded intelligence and new levels of analysis




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Transparency brings local, personal, instant, quality service

Privacy – what’s that?




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Disasters waiting to happen

Systems vulnerability




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Need to be agile and resilient

Tolerance and intolerance rising?




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Animals get the same rights as humans

No more animal testing?




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http://www.economist.com/node/15543683

Treatment how, when and where I need it

Personalised medicine on demand?




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Talent wars and robot ethics

Skills shortages and robo-leagues




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Whose life is it anyway?

Ultimate consumer choice and control?




492030 forecastsGlobal collaboration on public interest and regulation will be widespreadIntelligent thinking, using technology and embedded intelligence to best effect, will radically change regulationIntelligent social media will analyse, alert and manage responses between stakeholdersStakeholders will examine actions in the light of public interest implicationsSystems thinking will be the norm within government and between different stakeholdersTransparency and trust have replaced privacy and secrecyPreventative models and personalised care are the national and international normGlobal competition for patients via tourism and telemed/care servicesNo new large hospitals commissionedServices designed, delivered and controlled locally and personally, not nationally




50Next steps

Develop early warning systemsCreate a regulations roadmap covering the next 15 years‘What If’ scenarios to examine actions, reactions and optionsBack-cast what needs to be done now to stay ahead of the gameMap and characterise the complexity of the interdependent change agentsGenerate a series of parallel case studiesConduct stakeholder surveys on regulations affecting consumer behaviour, demographic shifts, and economic long-term cycles



The Future of Regulation:-2030 a changed world

Education

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