January 31 - February 1, 2020

The Future of Lee Highway

Community Workshop #2Summary of Trends Shaping the Future of Lee Highway

The Future of Lee Highway

Trends in Mobility

View of Near Southeast from Frederick Douglass Memorial Bridge 42

Regional Mobility Then…

43View of Near Southeast from Frederick Douglass Memorial Bridge

Regional Mobility Then…

44

Emerging Trends and Technologies:

Connected Vehicles

Automated Vehicles

Electric Vehicles

On-demand mobility

Sharing economy

Mobility as a Service

Virtual Presence, 3D-printing, and e-commerce

Demographic shifts

Transportation is Changing…

Connected Vehicles

Each vehicle has the ability to send and receive critical safety + mobility information to other vehicles

V2V

Connected Vehicles

Vehicles are able to send and receive information to surrounding infrastructure

V2I

Connected Vehicles

Vehicles can communicate with other vehicles, infrastructure, and other users with connected devices

V2X

Driver Control

Vehicle provides warningDriver- informed control

Vehicle Integrates Detection Response provides warningDriver ready to take control

Level 1

Level 0

Level 2Level 3

Level 4Vehicle Fully AutonomousDriver Takes Control in Emergency

Level 4: Vehicle Fully Autonomous Driver Doesn’t Need Ability to Drive

Levels of Automation

Level 5Level 5: Vehicle Fully Automated, Under All ConditionsDriver Doesn’t Need Ability to Drive

Connected and Automated Vehicles

Connected Vehicles

Vehicles can communicate with: Other vehicles Infrastructure Other roadway users

Automated Vehicles

At least some aspect of control occurs without driver input

Vehicles can be connected, automated, or both.

Connected and Automated Vehicles

Light Duty Shuttles Bus

Freight Parcel Delivery

are everywhere….

Safety & CV/AVs

11,000 involved drinking and

driving

10,000 involved speeding

3,500 involved distracted

drivers

Of the 33,000+ US traffic deaths in 2017

Costs & CV/AVs

Cheaper to deliver packages

Cheaper to run bus service

Less money wasted on time and fuel while

stuck in traffic

Potential Cost Savings are a major reason why new technologies may result in major changes

Uncertainty in Technology• Timing• Costs of ownership and operation• Transportation business models• Technology availability• Regulatory regime: Federal and Local• Vehicle and roadway performance

Change is Coming

Uncertainty in Behavior• Customer acceptance• Evolving preferences (i.e. housing

location choice)• Changes in travel patterns due to

changes in:

Cost Travel Time

Comfort Convenience

What Specific Changes is Uncertain.

54

Where will people want to live?

Vehicle-sharing spurs interest in dense, mixed use developments with transportation options

Ease of ‘driving’ spurs interest in development in car-dependent suburban/exurban areas

OR

More Vehicle Travel?

Vehicle access for elderly, disabled, children leads to

more car trips

Empty vehicles driving to parking,

picking up passengers, making

deliveries

Productive/enjoyable time in the car leads to more

and longer car trips

More Vehicle Travel?

Estimates of the increase in vehicle miles traveled vary

Increases may be in off-peak directions/time periods

Important Considerations

• How will people view their time spent in a CV/AV?

• Where will parking be located?

• What portion of the vehicle fleet will be shared?

• Who will be allowed to ‘drive’ a fully automated CV/AV?

4-70%

Traffic Operations

Increased speeds in congested

conditions

Reduce delays caused by

incidents (accounts for 25% of current

congestion)

Increased vehicle capacity on existing roads and intersections

What is the Future of Transit?

Competitors or Complements?

• Shared automated vehicles can help transit agencies solve first/last mile station access issues

• Shared vehicle fleets may attract transit riders with fast, convenient, affordable service

• High capacity transit continues to be the most efficient way to move large numbers of people

How quickly will vehicles electrify?

Electric vehicles more practical in a

shared fleet

Percent decrease in fuel usage during

eco-driving

20A 5-truck platoon uses

17% less energy than five single trucks

What does the future look like?

80%fewer cars

AND/OR

61

What does the future look like?

How will we use our roadways? How will we use our curb space? How can we plan for our priorities?

– Policy? – Design?– Zoning?

Ease of ‘driving’ spurs interest in development in car-dependent suburban/exurban areas

OR

Yes!