THE FUTURE OF HEALTH CARE IN CANADA September 19, 2000 © Merck Frosst Canada & Co., 2000.

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THE FUTURE OF HEALTH CARE IN CANADA September 19, 2000 © Merck Frosst Canada & Co., 2000

Transcript of THE FUTURE OF HEALTH CARE IN CANADA September 19, 2000 © Merck Frosst Canada & Co., 2000.

Page 1: THE FUTURE OF HEALTH CARE IN CANADA September 19, 2000 © Merck Frosst Canada & Co., 2000.

THE FUTURE OF HEALTH CARE IN CANADASeptember 19, 2000

© Merck Frosst Canada & Co., 2000

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OECD Health Data FIle

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1960 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1992Year

% G

DP

US JapanGermany FranceItaly UKCanada

International Health spending (1960-92)

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“There is an urgent need to get the costs of Medicare under control”BCMA Forum on Medicare Emergent Theme

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93 96 99

Medicare(all provinces)

Recession

Recession

Slow economicrecovery

Year

% GDP

Canadian Institute for Health Information.

Average annualrate of growth in H/C

1975 - 1991

1991 - 1996

1998 - 1999

11.2%

2.6%

5.1%

CANADA

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1990 1999 chg. C.A.G.R.

Hospital Services 39.3 31.6 -7.7 +0.7%

Physician Services 15.1 13.9 -1.2 +2.8%

Drugs 11.3 15.2 +3.9 +11.1%

Other Health Spending 1 10.9 14.1 +3.2 +6.0%

Other Professional 2 10.5 12.8 +2.3 +5.3%

Other Institution 9.3 9.8 +0.5 +4.2%

Capital 3.6 2.7 -0.9 +0.2%

1 Includes administration, public health, health research2 Includes alternative care givers of health services

CANADA

Canadian Institute for Health Information.

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5%

38%

55%

3%

26%

70%

6%

32%

62%

9%

44% 47%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Consumers Doctors Nurses Pharmacists

Rising Same Falling

Merck Frosst/NVO Health Care in Canada Survey 1999.

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3%

13%

40%

42%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Major repairs

Minor tuning up

A completerebuilding

Fine the way it is

Merck Frosst/NVO Health Care in Canada Survey 1999.

Public Perception

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Service Integration

Financial Incentives

Health Information

Health Insurance

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Change Delivery System

Disease Management

Control Health Care Use

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GP Fund Holding

Primary Care Physicians Managing Total Care or a Group of Patients

Budget Holding

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Health Information System

Report Cards

Telemedicine/Telehealth

On-line Info

On-line Adjudication

Universal Classifications

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Source: Pricewaterhouse Coopers. HealthCast 2010.

199040.5% Gov ’t

199746.4% Gov ’t

199040.5% Gov ’t

199746.4% Gov ’t

US Insurance

Gov ’t % spending growing

Growth in Medicare Increased

regulation

EmergingInsurance System

ResultingTrends

EmergingInsurance System

ResultingTrends

Increased private insurance choice outside US

Increased Public insurance in the US

Today10% PrivateTomorrow

5-7% Growth/Year

Today10% PrivateTomorrow

5-7% Growth/Year

European/Canadian Insurance

Private % spending growing

Public dissatisfaction

Increased employer-sponsored insurance

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Public BureaucratsAdministrators

ProvidersPatients Tax

Payers

Provincial Government

Federal Government

PharmaceuticalIndustry

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BASELINE

MEASURE

STANDARDIZEDPRACTICES

EVIDENCE

Operation ResultsHealth Costs

Disease Management

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Reform

Performance

Opportunity