The Future Myanmar

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Managing Editor : Soe Yu Wai Consultant (Chinese) : Stephen Lee Executive Editor : Ko Htike Senior Editor : Aung Pho (Mg Phone-Law) Editor : Thein Yu Wai Research & Development Editor : Tin Maung Aye English Editor : Tun Tun Oo Chinese Editor : Sai Win Chinese Translation : Thein Aung R & D Group : Tin Zarni Maung Naw Phu Ngone Ko Ko Marketing Group : Su Myat Mon Distribution Group : Aung Thu, Soe Moe Thu Finance Group : Nan Thuzar (Manager) Reception : Moe Sandar Publisher : U Tin Maung Aye Graphic Design : Pwint Phyu Color Separation : Fujiyama Printer : Fujiyama Cover Permission No. : Circulation : 1000 Price : 1500 'dkYwm0efta&;oHk;yg; jynfaxmifpkrNydKuGJa&; - 'dkYta&; wdkif;&if;om;pnf;vHk;nDñGwfrIrNydKuGJa&; - 'dkYta&; tcsKyftjcmtmPmwnfwHhcdkifNrJa&; - 'dkYta&; jynfolYoabmxm; l jynfytm;udk; ykqdef½dk; tqdk;jrif0g'Drsm;tm; qefYusifMu/ l EkdifiHawmfwnfNidrfat;csrf;a&;ESifh EdkifiHawmfwdk;wufa&;udk aESmifh,Suf zsufqD;olrsm;tm; qefYusifMu/ l EdkifiHawmf\ jynfwGif;a&;udk 0ifa&mufpGufzuf aESmifh,Sufaom jynfyEdkifiHrsm;tm; qefYusifMu/ l jynfwGif;jynfy tzsuform;rsm;tm; bHk&efoltjzpf owfrSwfacsrIef;Mu/ EdkifiHa&;OD;wnfcsuf(4)&yf l EdkifiHawmfwnfNidrfa&;? &yf&Gmat;csrf;om,ma&;ESifh w&m;Oya'pdk;rdk;a&; l trsKd;om;pnf;vHk;nDñGwfrIcdkifrma&; l pnf;urf;jynfh0aom 'Drdkua&pDpepf &Sifoefcdkifrmatmif wnfaqmufa&; l zGJUpnf;yHktajccHOya'ESifhtnD acwfrDzGHUNzdK;wdk;wufaom EdkifiHawmfopf wnfaqmufa&; pD;yGm;a&;OD;wnfcsuf(4)&yf l pdkufysKd;a&;udk ydkrdkzGHUNzdK;wdk;wufatmif aqmif&GufNyD; acwfrD pufrIEdkifiH xlaxmifa&;ESifh tjcm;pD;yGm;a&;u@rsm;udkvnf; bufpHkzGHUNzdK;wdk;wuf atmif wnfaqmufa&; l aps;uGufpD;yGm;a&;pepf yDjyifpGmjzpfay:vma&; l jynfwGif;jynfyrS twwfynmESifht&if;tESD;rsm; zdwfac:í pD;yGm;a&;zGHUNzdK; wdk;wufatmif wnfaqmufa&; l EdkifiHawmf\ pD;yGm;a&;wpf&yfvHk;udk zefwD;EdkifrIpGrf;tm;onf EdkifiHawmfESifh wdkif;&if;om;jynfolwdkY\ vuf0,fwGif&Sda&; vlrIa&;OD;wnfcsuf(4)&yf l wpfrsKd;om;vHk;\ pdwf"mwfESifh tusifhpm&dwå jrifhrm;a&; l trsKd;*kPf Zmwd*kPf jrifhrm;a&;ESifh ,Ofaus;rItarGtESpfrsm;? trsKd;om;a&; vu©Pmrsm; raysmufysufatmif xdef;odrf;apmifha&Smufa&; l ppfrSefaom rsKd;cspfpdwf"mwfjzpfonfh jynfaxmifpkpdwf"mwf &Sifoef xufjrufa&; l wpfrsKd;om;vHk; usef;rmBuHhckdifa&;ESifh ynm&nfjrifhrm;a&; 1 Build A-3-1, Room (1203) Myanma Gonyi Housing, Upper Pansodan St, Mingalar Taung Nyunt Township Post Code 11221, Yangon, Myanmar. Phone : + 95- 1 -393-102 + 95-95-200-200 + 95-95-158-838 Fax : + 95- 1 -392099 Email : [email protected] Yangon Office pDpOfol Ypum; The Future Myanmar Business & Political Report vol (8) udk pmzwfolrsm;xHodkY av;pm;pGm xkwfa0wifqufvdkufygonf/ The Future tzGJUom;rsm;taejzifh rdrdwdkY avQmufvSrf;vdkonfh &nf&G,fcsufyef;wdkifodkU ra&mufao;aomfjim; rdrdwdkY wwfEdkiforQ tiftm;ESifh BudK;pm;aerItay: 0dkif;0ef;tBuHjyK em;vnfay;rIrsm;twGuf txl;yif aus;Zl;wif&SdygaMumif; ajymMum;vdkygonf/ ,ckuJhodkY rdrdwdkYEdkifiHtwGuf tifrwefta&;BuD;aeaom tcsdefwGif rD'D,morm;rsm;rSvnf; rdrdwdkY udk,fpGrf;ÓmPfpGrf;&Sdoa&GU u@aygif;pHkrS wifjy aeMuonfh tcsdefumvjzpfonfESifhtnD The Future rSvnf; tkwfwpfcsyf oJ wpf yG if h ud k tcs d ef ud k uf ae&mrS ef a&muf &S d ap&ef Bud K;pm; tm;xk wf vQuf &S d ygaMumif ; 0efcHwifjytyfygonf/ av;pm;pGmjzihf pdk;,ka0

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Myanmar Business and Political Report

Transcript of The Future Myanmar

Page 1: The Future Myanmar

Managing Editor : Soe Yu WaiConsultant (Chinese) : Stephen LeeExecutive Editor : Ko HtikeSenior Editor : Aung Pho (Mg Phone-Law)Editor : Thein Yu WaiResearch & Development Editor : Tin Maung AyeEnglish Editor : Tun Tun OoChinese Editor : Sai WinChinese Translation : Thein AungR & D Group : Tin Zarni Maung Naw Phu Ngone Ko KoMarketing Group : Su Myat MonDistribution Group : Aung Thu, Soe Moe Thu Finance Group : Nan Thuzar (Manager)Reception : Moe SandarPublisher : U Tin Maung AyeGraphic Design : Pwint PhyuColor Separation : FujiyamaPrinter : FujiyamaCover Permission No. : Circulation : 1000Price : 1500

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Build A-3-1, Room (1203) MyanmaGonyi Housing, Upper Pansodan St,Mingalar Taung Nyunt TownshipPost Code 11221, Yangon, Myanmar.Phone : + 95- 1 -393-102 + 95-95-200-200 + 95-95-158-838Fax : + 95- 1 -392099Email : [email protected]

Yangon Office

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4

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Page 5: The Future Myanmar

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Page 6: The Future Myanmar

''The world is changing very fast.Big will not beat small anymore.It will be the fast beating the slow."

Rupert Murdoch.

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6

Page 7: The Future Myanmar

The News of the World we*FaEGxkwf

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7

Page 8: The Future Myanmar

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Opinion

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Page 10: The Future Myanmar

EkdifiHa&;'óewGif vpfb&,f0g'udk

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jzpfonfh *Refavmhcf (John Locke) tvdkt&

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aMumifh EdkifiHom;wdkYonf tpdk;&tm; awmfvSef

ydkifcGifh (Right of Revolution ) &Sdayonf/

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[laom t,ltqrsm;onf acwfopf 'Drdkua&pD

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vsuf&Sdayonf/

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om;rsm; jzpfMuaomaMumifh EdkifiHom;tm;vHk;onf

EdkfifiHa&;wGif yg0if aqmif&GufEdkifcGifh&Sdolrsm;

jzpfMuonf} [laom avmhcf\t,ltqudk

tar&duefvGwfvyfa&; aMunmpmwrf;wGif

xnfhoGif; azmfjyxm;ayonf/ xdktcsdefrSpí

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onf urÇmwpf0ef; ysHUESHYoGm;\/ ,if;pepfonf

vpfb&,f0g' arG;zGm;jcif;ESifh w&m;rQwrI armifMunfopf

10

]]EdkifiHawmftmPmonf vlwpfOD;wpfa,mufwGif vnf;aumif;?

tzGJUwpfzGJUwGif vnf;aumif; rwnf&Sday/ vlUtzGJUtpnf;üom wnf&Sd\}}

Page 11: The Future Myanmar

urÇmUEdkifiHa&;ordkif;wGif ta&;tygqHk;aom

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ay:xGef;vmaom awmfvSefajymif;vJrIwpf&yfrSm

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[lí vnf;aumif; rajymMum;Muawmhay/

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cGifhjyKcsufrygvQif tpdk;&wpf&yfonf aumif;pGm

vIyf&Sm;vnfywfí r&EdkifaomaMumifh jzpf\/

xdkUaMumifhvnf; enf;vrf;rsKd;pHkudk toHk;

jyKí ]w&m;0iftpdk;&rsm;} udk xlaxmifMu\/

þae&mü EdkifiHa&;w&m;rQwrI (Political justice) onf ta&;ygayonf/ w&m;rQw

pGmjzifh jynfolwdddddddddddkY\ ,HkMunfaxmufcHrI (0g)

oabmwlcGifhjyKcsuf &&Sdaom tpdk;&onf

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jzpfNyD; rdrd\vkyfief;pOfrsm;udkvnf; acsmarGU

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jzpfayonf/ þodkY r[kwfvQif EdkifiHom;jynfol

wdkU\ ,HkMunfrI ysufjy,foGm;NyD;pdwfa&m

udk,fyg yl;aygif;aqmif&GufrIudkvnf; qHk;½IH;

oGm;um zGHU NzdK;wdk;wufrIvnf; &Edkifrnf

r[kwfacs/ a&&SnfwGif qlyl tHk<urIrsm;?

rauseyfrIrsm; ? tMurf;zufwdkufcdkuf qEjyKrI

rsm;onf xdkEdkifiHrsm;wGif qufwdkuf ay:vm

rnfom jzpfonf/ wleD;&Sm;? tD*spf?

t,fab;eD;,m;wdkY\ w&m;0if tpdk;&rsm;

BuHKawGUae&aom tjzpfqdk;rsKd; jzpfayonf/

odkYjzpfí acwfopfEdkifiHa&; odyHÜynm&Sifrsm;u

avmhcf ajymovdk EdkifiHom;wdkU\ EdkifiHa&;ü

yg0if vkyfaqmifEdkifcGifhESifh EdkifiHa&;t& w&m;0if

jzpfrIwdkUonf 'Drdkua&pDEdkifiH wnfaqmufjcif;

twGuf ta&;BuD;ouJhodkU jynfolwdkU\

,HkMunfrIudk wnfaqmufay;Edkifaom EdkifiHa&;

w&m;rQwrIonfvnf; r&Sdrjzpf ta&;yg

aMumif;qdkMuayonf/ xdkUaMumifh rsufarSmuf

acwf EdkifiHa&;'óeynm&Sif *Refa&m (John Raws) u ]w&m;rQwrIonf vltzGJUtpnf;

wnfaqmufa&;wGif tajccH tusqHk;aom

aumif;jrwfjcif; w&m;jzpfonf} [k qdkcJhjcif;

jzpfayrnf/

Ref:1; James Barber, 'Citizen Politic', 19862; Oxford Dictionary of Politics,2003

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]w&m;rQwrIonf vltzGJUtpnf; wnfaqmufa&;wGif tajccH tusqHk;aom aumif;jrwfjcif; w&m;jzpfonf}

Political

11

Page 12: The Future Myanmar

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]] uRefawmf rD'D,morm;}}

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Page 13: The Future Myanmar

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Satire

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Page 14: The Future Myanmar

The Future Myanmar Business & Political Report zwf½Iolrsm;twGuf tpDtpOfaumif;wpfckudk xyfrHtm;jznhf wifqufvdkuf

ygonf/ ,cktpDtpOfonf Radio Free Asia (RFA) rS xkwfvTifhonfhf vlxkacgif;aqmif a':atmifqef;pkMunfESihf urÇmwpf0Srf;&Sd jrefrmvlrsKd;rsm;rS

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vlxkESifha':atmifqef;pkMunf

The Future

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Page 18: The Future Myanmar

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Page 19: The Future Myanmar

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ygonf/ n

19

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(1)

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tBudKufcsif; nDMuzdkYMunfrif;

20

Page 21: The Future Myanmar

aom tjzpfrsdK;udk pOf;pm;Munfhyg/ bmrS

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awGu BudK;pm;ay;EkdifMuygapownf;/ n

21

Page 22: The Future Myanmar

]t&ifwkef;uqdk&if ArmuwpfrsdK;? &Srf;uwpfzHk? ucsifuwpfvrf; tJ'DvdkjzpfaeMuw,f/

1947 ckESpfusawmh trsm;pkjzpfwJY ArmawGeJY wjcm;wdkif;&if;om;awG[m vufwGJNyD;vkyfvdkY&Sd&if

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a':atmifqef;pkMunf? azazmf0g&D 23? 2012? ucsifjynfe,fpnf;½Hk;a&;c&D;

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V O I C E S

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22

Page 23: The Future Myanmar

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V O I C E S

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23

Page 24: The Future Myanmar

w½kwfEdkifiHpD;yGm;a&; tusyfqdkufEdkkifovm; OD;[efxGef;(tcGef)

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tHYrcef;zG,f zGHU NzdK; wdk;wufrI EIef;rsm;udk

24

Page 25: The Future Myanmar

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rnfh (Dimi- bnishing returns)tqifY

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ed,mrudk &nfñTef;jcif;jzpfonf/)

w½kwfEdkifiHpD;yGm;a&;wGif a<u;NrDyrmP

wpf&Sdefxdk; jrifYwufvsuf&Sdonf/ 2011 ckESpf

wGif bPfacs;aiGyrmPonf wdkif;jynf *sD'DyD\

185 &mcdkifEIef;txd &Sdonf/ oHk;ESpfwmtwGif;

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jyóem trsm;tjym;&Sdaejcif;u b@ma&;

e,fy,fwGif Oya'pdk;rdk;rI (Rule of law) vpf[if;aeaMumif; jyo&m a&mufonf/ wvJG

wacsmfvrf;ñTefrIjzifY tvGeftuRH &if;ESD;jr§KyfESHrI?

tdrf&majraps;uGufazmif;um;rIESifY tpdk;&AsL½dk

u&ufrsm;\qHk;jzwfcsufrsm;tjyif a<u;NrDESifY

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tusyftwnf;jzpfay:Edkifonfh taMumif;w&m;rsm;

pkpnf;rdvmjcif;jzpfonf/ w½kwfEdkifiH pD;yGm;a&;

OD;wnf&mudk ajymif;vJatmif w½kwfEdkifiH

acgif;aqmifydkif;u jyKjyifajymif;vJ aqmif&Guf

Edkifjcif; r&SdcJYygvQif tusyftwnf;udk rvJG

ra&Smifom awGU BuKHvm&vdrfYrnf[k qdkygonf/

Ref; “ Why China Will Have an Econom-

ic Crisis “, by Michael Schuman.

n

Business

25

Page 26: The Future Myanmar

a&T? aiG? LC? pufoHk;qD? bdvyfajr? "mwfajrMoZmwdkY\aeYpOfajymif;vJaeaom aps;EIef;Z,m;rsm;

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aps;E

Ief;

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usyf^tdwf (50 kg)

bdvyfajr

usyf^tdwf (50 kg)

26

Page 27: The Future Myanmar

EdkifiHwum aiGaps;EIef;Z,m;rsm;

,l½dk

tdE´d, ½lyD;

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*syef ,ef;

w½kwf ,Grf

xdkif; bwf

1 USD 1 USD

1 USD 100 usyf

100 usyf 100 usyf

Special Report

27

Page 28: The Future Myanmar

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28photo - Internet

Page 29: The Future Myanmar

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