The Federal R&D Budget: Context, Overview, Outlook Matt Hourihan January 28, 2015 for the AWIS...
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Transcript of The Federal R&D Budget: Context, Overview, Outlook Matt Hourihan January 28, 2015 for the AWIS...
The Federal R&D Budget: Context, Overview, OutlookMatt HourihanJanuary 28, 2015for the AWIS Leadership Series 2015
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Programhttp://www.aaas.org/program/rd-budget-and-policy-program
Bud
get
Rel
ease
Oct Nov Dec J an Feb Mar Apr May J un J ul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec J an Feb Mar Apr May J un J ul Aug Sep
Phase 1: Planning within Agency w/ OMB and OSTP oversight
Phase 2: OMB Review
Phase 3: Congressional budget and appropriations
The Federal Budget Cycle
Phase 1: Internal agency discussions and planning Joint guidance from OMB / OSTP on S&T (midsummer) Agencies deliver budget justifications to OMB (early fall)
Bud
get
Rel
ease
Oct Nov Dec J an Feb Mar Apr May J un J ul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec J an Feb Mar Apr May J un J ul Aug Sep
Phase 1: Planning within Agency w/ OMB and OSTP oversight
Phase 2: OMB Review
Phase 3: Congressional budget and appropriations
The Federal Budget Cycle
Phase 2: OMB performs multi-stage review, responds to agencies
Budget proposals are finalized in January President presents the proposed budget to Congress early
February
Bud
get
Rel
ease
Oct Nov Dec J an Feb Mar Apr May J un J ul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec J an Feb Mar Apr May J un J ul Aug Sep
Phase 1: Planning within Agency w/ OMB and OSTP oversight
Phase 2: OMB Review
Phase 3: Congressional budget and appropriations
The Federal Budget Cycle
Phase 3: Congress gets involved Approves budget resolution: spending targets, reconciliation
302(b) allocations
Approps committees write/approve 12 appropriations bills 12 subcommittees: one for each bill
“President proposes, Congress disposes”
That’s How It’s Supposed to Work, Anyway…
FY10: Final omnibus in December (~3 months late) FY11: No Budget Res; full-year CR in April (six months
late) FY12: No Budget Res; minibus/megabus (2-3 months
late) FY13: FISCAL CLIFF; final approps in March (5 months
late) FY14: No Budget Res; budget 2 months late;
SHUTDOWN; final approps in January FY15: Budget 1 month late; final approps in December
BCA takes effect: first year of caps
Sequestration kicks in (delayed and reduced by the American Taxpayer Relief Act)
Budget warfare resolved by Bipartisan Budget Act (restores some funding in FY14, FY15)
The Fiscal Context for FY 2015 Congress keeps (partially) restoring funding
FY15: 21% reduction in cuts
Discretionary spending cap is only 0.2% above FY14 before inflation Very little room for any sort of program growth… …reflected in the President’s budget
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%
TOTAL
Homeland Security
DOD S&T
Environ Protection Agency
National Science Foundation
Veterans Affairs
NASA
National Institutes of Health
Agriculture
DOE Science
DOD Other
Transportation
NOAA
NIST
US Geological Survey
DOE Energy Programs
DOE Defense
R&D in the FY15 Base Budgetpercent change from FY14, constant dollars
Source: AAAS analysis of the FY 2015 President's Budget. Does not include additional funding proposed via Opportunity, Growth, and Security Initiative. NOTE: Inflation is 1.7%. © 2014 AAAS
Admin R&D Priorities for FY15 Department of Energy: NNSA, renewables and
efficiency, ARPA-E Neuroscience NASA: industry partnerships Transportation: highways and high-performance rail Extramural ag research Advanced Manufacturing Environmental research
Plus: an extra $5.3 billion in the “Opportunity, Growth and Security Initiative”
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
Dept. ofDefense S&T
Commerce,Justice,Science
Energy &Water
Agriculture Interior andEnvironment
Labor, HHS,Education*
FY 2015 R&D Appropriations by Select Spending BillEstimated funding as a percent of FY 2012, in constant dollars
2012 2013 2014 2015 Request 2015 House 2015 Senate 2015 Omnibus
*Not introduced in House.CJS bill includes NSF, NASA, Commerce. Source: AAAS analyses of agency budget documents and appropriations bills and reports.FY 2014 figures are current estimates. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. © 2014 AAAS
Notes on Appropriations
Some notable gainers: DOD, NSF research NIH Alzheimer’s research NASA (especially Planetary Science, Aeronautics,
exploration) USDA: Poultry science center funding, AFRI NOAA Research
Modest increases for NIST, USGS NSF construction, BRAIN Initiative fully funded
Notes on Appropriations
Most NIH institutes: sub-inflation Mixed outcomes for Office of Science programs, energy
technology programs EPA, NASA Earth Science cut No high-performance rail R&D
Omnibus also included ~$500 billion for Ebola-related research and clinical trials
Excluded DHS Most agencies ahead of the discretionary curve
Looking ahead to FY16… Back to sequester levels?
President to propose cap increase
Size and composition of the discretionary budget? Can R&D stay ahead of the curve?
Deficits have fallen, but big-picture fiscal challenges remain largely unchanged Debt limit, entitlement growth Reconciliation strategy?
For more info…
202-326-6607http
://www.aaas.org/program/rd-budget-and-policy-program