The Everything Shipper: Amazon and the new age of delivery by BI Intelligence
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Transcript of The Everything Shipper: Amazon and the new age of delivery by BI Intelligence
Providing in-depth insight, data, and analysis of everything digital.BI Intelligence
Source: AP
Amazon and the New Age of DeliveryTHE EVERYTHING SHIPPER
STILL THE FASTEST-GROWING MAJOR RETAILER
Source: Amazon
Amazon Net Sales
$0
$40
$80
$120
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Billion
s
AMAZON IS US E-COMMERCE
Source: Wall Street analysts
Amazon’s Share Of US E-Commerce Market
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
AND E-COMMERCE IS WHERE ALL THE GROWTH IS
Source: US Census, comScore, BI Intelligence
Forecast: US E-Commerce Sales
BUT E-COMMERCE OPERATIONS ARE EXPENSIVE
Source: Deloitte
What US Consumers Consider “Fast Shipping” (2015)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
100%
Same-day Nextday Within2days
Within3-4days
Within5-7days
Within1-2weeks
FastShipping NotFastShipping
AND AMAZON IS NOT IMMUNE TO THOSE COSTS
Source: Amazon
Amazon Shipping Costs
$0
$5
$10
$15
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Billion
s
AMAZON’S DOUBLE-EDGED SWORD
Source: Amazon
Amazon Shipping Costs
$0
$40
$80
$120
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
BillionsAmazon Net Sales
$0
$4
$8
$12
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Billions
SO AMAZON HAD TO OFFSET THOSE COSTS
Source: Amazon
Amazon Shipping Costs And Shipping Revenue
$0
$5
$10
$15
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Millions
ShippingCosts ShippingRevenue
#1: AMAZON PRIME
020406080100
déc-11
mars-12
juin-12
sept-12
déc-12
mars-13
juin-13
sept-13
déc-13
mars-14
juin-14
sept-14
déc-14
mars-15
juin-15
sept-15
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Millions
Source: Piper Jaffray, Morningstar, RBC, CIRP, BI Intelligence
Amazon Prime Members Worldwide
FREE SHIPPING DRIVES PRIME SIGN-UPS
Source: RBC Capital Markets
Primary Reason US Amazon Prime Members Signed Up For Prime
THIRD-PARTY SELLERS CORE TO AMAZON
Source: RW Baird
Percentage Of Amazon Orders, By Seller
83% 79% 81% 86% 87% 89% 90%
0%
50%
100%
Overall PetSupplies
MusicalInstruments
Automotive HomeSupplies
Appliances Patio,Lawn
Amazonasseller Third-partyseller
BRANDS FEEL STRONG-ARMED BY AMAZON
Source: Wall Street analysts
Amazon’s Share Of US E-Commerce Market
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
AMAZON’S COSTS NOW UNDER CONTROL
Source: Amazon
Amazon: Growth Of Shipping Costs vs. Growth Of Shipping Revenue
0%
20%
40%
60%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CostGrowth RevenueGrowth
BUT AMAZON WON’T STOP THERE
Source: Amazon
Amazon Shipping Costs And Shipping Revenue
$0
$5
$10
$15
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Millions
ShippingCosts ShippingRevenue
AMAZON NOW HAS FREIGHT AIRCRAFT
Number Of Freight Aircraft Planes In Operation, By Carrier
20
240
370
0
100
200
300
400
Amazon UPS FedEx
March2016
Source: Company filings, BI Intelligence
Source: US Census, comScore, BI Intelligence
Delivery Fee That Consumers Pay For A Small Package5lb package delivered within 10 miles in the US
BRINGING A NEW ERA OF FAST, CHEAP SHIPPING
IN-STORE PICKUP GROWING POPULAR
Source: Slice Intelligence
Percentage Of E-Commerce Sales That Are In-Store Pickup, By Retailer (2015)
ALIBABA GMV
Source: iResearch
Alibaba Global Gross Merchandise Volume
$0
$50
$100
$150
0% 20% 40% 60%
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
Q42013
Q12014
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
$Billions
ALIBABA’S SHARE OF CHINA E-COMMERCE
Source: iResearch
Share of China B2C E-Commerce Market
61,4%
Others Jumei
Yixun Amazon
Dangdang Yihaodian
Gome Vip
Suning JD
Tmall
CHINA E-COMMERCE MARKET STRUCTURE
Source: iResearch
China E-Commerce Sales, By Type Of Marketplace
25,3% 34,6% 40,4% 45,8% 51,4% 56,1% 59,6%
0%
50%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
B2C C2C
IN THE END, DELIVERY VOLUME WILL KEEP INCREASING
Year-Over-Year Increase In Holiday Package Shipments, By Carrier (2015)
Source: UPS, FedEx
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