The EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS)
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1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
The EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS)
Environmental Policy: Taxes, Permits, Standards

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
2
1. Emissions Trading Scheme
… designed as an entity-based (countries) domestic cap & trade emissions allowance programme
… governed by Community Law specifying specificconditions for trading between entities & using a
special unit of trade – allowances – within the EU
… compatible with international emissions trading under the Kyoto Protocol (negotiated 1997; became effective 2005) & contribute towards achievement of KP target entity-based domestic cap & trade allowance scheme
...follow up agreement is going to discussed in Durban, 28th Nov. To 9th Dec. 2011

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
3
1. Emissions Trading Scheme
Coverage
• start with carbon dioxide, other greenhouse gases are excluded at the moment
• The ETS now operates in 30 countries (the 27 EU Member States plus Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway)
• CO2 emissions from installations such as power stations, combustion plants, oil refineries, iron & steel works, as well as factories making cement, glass, lime, bricks, ceramics, pulp, paper etc.

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
4
1. Emissions Trading Scheme
Coverage (2)
– Installations are registered, not companies
– large installations
– Approx. 12000 installations
– These account for more than 45% CO2, 30% greenhouse gases in the EU
– Other sectors like transport are not covered, but addresses but other governmental programs to reduce emissions

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
5
Time schedule of the ETS & initial allocation of permits
• Phase I: 2005 – 2007– free allocation (grandfathering)
• Phase II: 2008 – 2012 (incl. 2012)– Auctions for up to 10% of the permits
• Phase III: post 2012– A higher share of permits is planned to be sold
1. Emissions Trading Scheme

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
6
1. Emissions Trading Scheme
Allocation
- Member States may auction up to 5% for 2005 to 2007 and up to 10% for 2008 to 2012
- Each Member State draws up an ex-ante national allocation plan (NAP); transparency and comments by the public. The third phase won’t allow NAPs anymore.
- scrutiny by the Commission
- Member States observe common allocation criteria

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
7
1. Emissions Trading Scheme
Monitoring and reporting
– companies will monitor & report emissions following certain monitoring & reporting guidelines
– emission reports will be subject to independent verificationregistries
– Member States & the Community must establish & maintain electronic registries to track allowances
– at Community level a transaction log is maintained (see next slide)

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
Example of NAP &Transaction log
8

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
Example of transaction log - installation
9

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
10
1. Emissions Trading Scheme
Sanctions
– for every tonne of emissions that is not covered by an allowance a company will have to pay a penalty of 40€ in 2005 to 2007 & 100€ in the period 2008 – 2012
– companies will also have to surrender a compensating amount of allowances in the subsequent year

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
11
1. Emissions Trading Scheme
Cost-effective realisation of Kyoto-targets:
– cuts in greenhouse gases by 8% in the EU (average p.a. 2008-2012 compared to 1990)– e.g., UK: minus 12,5%; Germany: minus 21%
European Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS):(see EU Directive 2003/87/EC)
– CO2 emissions – energy-intensive sectors (iron and steel, minerals,
energy, pulp and paper)

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
Cap from 2013 on
• Cap for 2013 determined at 2,04 billion allowances
• The cap for the year 2013 has been determined at 2,039,152,882 allowances, i.e. just under 2.04 billion allowances.
• The cap will decrease each year by 1.74% of the average annual total quantity of allowances issued by the Member States
12

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
13
Emissions of carbon dioxide 2008 - (Mio t)
Source: Eurostat

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
14
2. Data on the ETS
Source: Eurostat
Greenhouse gas emissions - Index of greenhouse gas emissions and targets - In CO2 equivalents (Actual base year = 100)

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
15
Allocation of emissions & verified emissions2006
AT BE BG CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE GR HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE GB0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000Allocation & verified emissions all sectors Allocation
Verified emissions
1000
EUA
/ kt
CO
2
2. Data on the ETS
Source: Eurostat

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
16
Allocation of emissions, 2006
AT BE BG CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE GR HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE GB-40,000
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
Absolute difference between allocation & verfied emissions
1000
EUA
/ kt
CO
2
2. Data on the ETS
Source: Eurostat

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
Verified Emissions
17

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
18
Carbix – Price per certificate at the EEX
(European Energy Exchange)
2. Data on the ETS
Source: EEX, Leipzig; 2008

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
19
Carbix – Price per certificate at the EEX (European Energy Exchange)
2. Data on the ETS (2)
Source: EEX, Leipzig; Nov. 2011

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
2. Data on the ETS
Cost-/Benefit analysis of the German limestone industry
2010 to 2020, full auction from 2013 on, CO2-Price 30 € (2010)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 110
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
Source: EEFA, Berlin/Münster
Contribution margin additional CO2 costs additional CO2 costs and electricityMio Euro

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
21
3. Problems and limitations
Problems: (what should be!)
Regulation of non-ETC sectors such that – marginal abatement costs are identical for all firms in
the non-ETS sectors and ETS sectors (cost effectiveness)
– national emission targets are met.– Info about marginal abatement costs necessary!
Limited number of participating sectors ‘appropriate’?See discussion Airlines!

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
22
3. Problems and limitations
Political-economic issues:– Limited number of ETS sectors makes lobbyism easier
– generous allocation of allowances
– stricter emission targets for non-ETS sectors
– different marginal abatement costs (technological restrictions)
– no overall cost-effectiveness

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
23
3. Problems and limitations
Dynamic issues:– Allocation of allowances is decided for each period
separately; no clear long-term perspective – incentives for strategic emission and production
behaviour– lack of dynamic incentives due to uncertainty about
future policy
Existing National Allocation Plans:- Allocation plans at short notice, e.g.: the aviation
industry might be included already within 3 years

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
24
3. Problems and limitations
Distributional conflicts• Generous free-of-charge allocation of allowances:
– preferential treatment of ETS sectors over non-ETS– unequal allocation within ETS sectors
The question which arise with regard to the allocation is, what method to use when a distribution plan for certificates needs to be agreed on! Producing electricity is a different technological process and cannot be compared with the production of limestone.

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
25
3. Problems and limitations
Competition Neutrality:Avoiding distortions of competition within the EU requires ‘identical’ cuts in emissions.
Problem: Competition neutrality inconsistent with EU burden sharing
Solution:– adjustment of total allowances for ETS sectors and
respective emissions in non-ETS sectorsBUT: inconsistent with cost-effectiveness
– partial auctioningBUT: inconsistent with compensation objective
•

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
26
3. Problems and limitations
Competition Neutrality (2)• Competition between EU and Rest-of-the-world• Compensation for abatement costs to avoid leakage effects
Discussion:• Does international trade force states to implement lax
environmental policies? (“Race to the bottom?”)

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
27
3. Problems and limitations
NAP Allocations
• The question of auctioning the permits and to which extend is still unsolved.
• Allocations below ‘business-as-usual’ policy but to generous to contribute to Kyoto targets.
• Preferential treatment of sectors exposed to international competition.

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
28
4. (some) Conclusions & remarks
• Cost-effectiveness are only partially achieved.
• The objective of neutrality with respect to competition is not compatible with the objective of compensation and cost-effectiveness, given the EU burden sharing.
• Dynamic incentives are reduced by political uncertainty.
• Administrative costs?
• Conflicting goals: economic growth and environmental protection ?

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
29
References
On various policies experiences:
• Tietenberg, T. (2007), Environmental Economics and Policy, 5th Edition, Boston et al.: Pearson – Addison Wesley, chapter 14-15.

1. Introduction2. Markets, Firms
&the Role of Government
3. The case of environmental policy
4. Global Economy I
5. Global Economy II
6. Global Economy III
Business in a Modern World Fabian Girod
30
References
On ETS:• European Commission on emission trading:
http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/emission/index_en.htm
• Gilbert, A., Bode, J.W., and Phylipsen, D. (2004), Analysis of the National Allocation Plans for the EU Emissions Trading Scheme. ECOFYS.
• Grubb, M., Azar, C., and Persson, U.M. (2005), Allowance Allocation in the European Emissions Trading Scheme, Climate Policy 5 (2005), 127-136.
• Kolshus, H.H., and Torvanger, A. (2005), Analysis of EU Member States’ National Allocation Plans, CICERO WP 2005:02.
• Zetterberg, L., et al. (2004), Analysis of National Allocation Plans for the EU ETS, IVL Report, IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute.