The Energy Future We Could Create The Sun is Amazing Workshop June, 2012
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Transcript of The Energy Future We Could Create The Sun is Amazing Workshop June, 2012
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The Energy Future We Could CreateThe Sun is Amazing Workshop
June, 2012
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What is the goal?
• Environmental stability?• Enough to meet needs?• Fairness in life chances?• Less about stuff, more about community, family?
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Five Elements:
1. Efficiency: low power, high performance appliances
2. Low Power high efficiency buildings3. Green Energy4. Smart Use: Matching consumption with power
production (e.g. electric cars with night wind)5. Sparing use of fossil fuels at transitional fuel and…
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Innovation
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Let’s consider examples of what we know works
Starting point: The Art of the Possible
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Example: Arthur Rosenfeld
• The Principle: Conserving Energy is simpler and cheaper than building more power plants.
• Efficiency measures save Californians $30B/ year.
• Air pollution Avoided: 100 million cars equivalent
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“Rosenfeld Effect”
20 power plants
not built
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Alliance to Save Energy
• Energy Efficiency Movement saves Americans $700 Billion per year in energy bills [ck]
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Low hanging Fruit:Cool Roofs: reflective colors
• Chicago to Sydney latitudes equivalent to taking ½ the worlds cars off the road; a 20 year reprieve on global warming
– Art Rosenfeld.
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Conservation and Efficiency: McKinsey Report (2009)
$520 B investment-1.2 Trillion saving (100% ROI)
23% reduction in U.S. Energy Consumption
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McKinsey analysis
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Political Will
When government sets standards and means it, engineers figure out how to
do it
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2008: Governor Schwarzenegger issues Executive Order S-14-08 requiring 33% renewables by 2020.
2011: Senate Bill X1-2, signed by Gov. Edmund G. Brown, Jr., codifies 33% by 2020 RPS.
California Leads Renewable Portfolio Standard:
33% by 2020ISO and Utilities have to figure it out
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ISO demonstrates effect of political mandates: Mandatechallenges solutions.
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Not bad: 1% or less margin
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When California leads….
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When California forces manufacturers to build more
efficient appliance….
e.g. refrigerator, it changes nation because manufacturers don’t want to
build two different products
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And US Solar market grew 109% last year (2011)
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And industry incentivized to improve Technology
E.G. market for battery technologyPrototypes with 10x greater energy
density
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Global element of improving energy future:
Help Developing World Leap Frog Fossil Fuel Step
E.g. wireless communications and electricity
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Renewable Resource is Huge
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Solar Resource10,000 x more energy then humans use
(Art Sussman)
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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States. (2009)
Wind Power Resource:
16 X Current Consumption
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Wind Resource in the United States(as percentage of in-state generation)
Dakotas and Nebraska are the “Saudi Arabia” of Wind Power
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People need jobs: let’s get it done
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Depression Era Project