The Election: Implications for Policy Change?ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/Clinton_Trump_2016.pdf ·...
Transcript of The Election: Implications for Policy Change?ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/Clinton_Trump_2016.pdf ·...
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The Election:Implications for Policy Change?
Menzie D. ChinnUniversity of Wisconsin, Madison
Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs
Madison, WI
November 1, 2016
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Macro/International Issues
Fiscal policy- short run- long run Labor markets Trade policy- tariffs- sanctions Immigration
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Summary
3“Trump vs Clinton: Polarization & uncertainty,” Research Briefing (Oxford Economics, 19 Sept. 2016)
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4Oxford Economics, Global scenarios service: Q3 2016.
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Macroeconomic Effects (static)
5“Trump vs Clinton: Polarization & uncertainty,” Research Briefing (Oxford Economics, 19 Sept. 2016)
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Clinton Tax Plan
6AN UPDATED ANALYSIS OF HILLARY CLINTON’S TAX PROPOSALS (October 18, 2016)
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Clinton Tax Plan
7AN UPDATED ANALYSIS OF HILLARY CLINTON’S TAX PROPOSALS (October 18, 2016)
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Clinton Tax Plan (omits spending)
8AN UPDATED ANALYSIS OF HILLARY CLINTON’S TAX PROPOSALS (October 18, 2016)
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Trump Tax Plan
9AN ANALYSIS OF DONALD TRUMP’S REVISED TAX PLAN (October 18, 2016)
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Trump Tax Plan
10AN ANALYSIS OF DONALD TRUMP’S REVISED TAX PLAN (October 18, 2016)
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Trump Tax Plan (omits spending)
11AN ANALYSIS OF DONALD TRUMP’S REVISED TAX PLAN (October 18, 2016)
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Differential Impact of Plans
12October 26, 2016
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Trade War (Trump – adverse)
13Oxford Economics, Global scenarios service: Q3 2016.
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Trade War (Trump –adverse)
14Oxford Economics, Global scenarios service: Q3 2016.