The Dtm

13

Transcript of The Dtm

Page 1: The Dtm
Page 2: The Dtm

Introduction In this amazing presentation I will cover:Links between the DTM and age structure.The usefulness of the DTM.Finally, relating the DTM to LEDCs/MEDCs.

Page 3: The Dtm

What is the DTM? The DTM describes how the population of a

country changes over time. It gives changes in birth and death rates, and shows that countries pass through 5 stages of population change.

Page 4: The Dtm

The DTM

Page 5: The Dtm

Links between the DTM and age structure (population pyramids) The DTM can be used as a vehicle to

demonstrate changes in population and can be incorporated into a pyramid to identify which stage a country is in or a pyramid can be used to identify which stage a country is in.

Page 6: The Dtm

Por ejemplo The pyramid indicates that Sudan has a high birth rate and a short life expectancy. This shows that Sudan is in stage one of the DTM because it falls into the stage one criteria.

Page 7: The Dtm

The usefulness of the DTMThe DTM is useful because:It is universal – it can be applied to all

countries. It provides a starting point for the study of

demographic change over time.The timescales are flexible. It is easy to understand.It enables comparisons to be made between

the countries.

Page 8: The Dtm

Relating the DTM to LEDCs/MEDCs.In MEDCs:Most MEDCs have passed through all of the

stages.At Stage 4 ny about the 1960s.Some now moving to stage 5.Took about 200 yrs to move through the

stages.Growth rates rarely exceeded 1% per year.Economic growth led the transition.

Page 9: The Dtm

ExamplesItaly and Germany are in stage 5 – a population

decline, where death rate has over took birth rate.

USA, Japan, France and the UK are in stage 4 – where birth and death rate are low however the birth rate is higher than the death rate.

Reasons for stages 4 and 5:Birth rate - Family planning, good health,

improving status of women, later marriages.Death rate – Good health care. Reliable food

supply.

Page 10: The Dtm

Relating DTM to LEDCs/ MEDCs continued.In LEDCs:Not yet passed through all stages.Many entered Stage 2 in mid 20th century.Many still in Stages 2 or 3.Huge gap between birth and death rates – high

population growth.Population increase exceeds 4% per yr in some

countries and 2% in others.Moving through stages more rapidly.Driven more by government policies and western

medical aid.Economic development lagging behind.

Page 11: The Dtm

ExamplesEgypt, Kenya – Stage 2 – High birth rate, lower

death rate – rapid population growth. Brazil, India and China – Stage 3- Falling birth

and death rate, increase slows down.Reasons for stage 2: Birth rate – Child labour, no

family planning. Reasons for stage 2 and 3: Birth rate – Improved

medical care and diet. Fewer children needed. Death rate – Improvements in medical care. Water supply and sanitation, fewer children dying.

Page 12: The Dtm

Summary You hopefully should be able to know:Links between the DTM and age structure.The usefulness of the DTM.Finally, relating the DTM to LEDCs/MEDCs.

Page 13: The Dtm

“Very Nice! Any Questions?