The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays...

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Transcript of The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays...

Page 1: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.
Page 2: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

The Crippling Effect of Survey Data

Page 3: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

Survey results lack credibility

The real price industry pays

Susceptible to manipulation

Strains trading relationships

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance

Page 4: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

Survey results lack credibility

The real price industry pays

Do not reflect your experience

Cannot support decisions on any level

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance

Page 5: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

Survey results lack credibility

The real price industry pays

Amplify the effects of marginal trades

Creates artificial price volatility

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance

Page 6: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

Survey results lack credibility

The real price industry pays

Not codified; no standards

Creates artificial price volatilityWreaks havoc with financials

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance

Page 7: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

Survey results lack credibility

The real price industry pays

Variable & unknowable margin of error

Forget about forecasting

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance

Page 8: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

Survey results lack credibility

The real price industry pays

Reflect market’s sentiment and forecast

Erodes decision-maker’s confidence

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance

Page 9: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

What Does Forest2Market Know About Data?

Data - Unique, current and proprietary database of wood raw material transactions and the extensive data collection infrastructure necessary to collect millions of market transactions every year.

Staff - Statisticians, economists and supply chain experts possess extensive industry knowledge and experience.

Neutrality - As a neutral third party, Forest2Market does not buy or sell timberland, timber or wood fiber of any kind; it does not manage timberland or provide credit wraps. Forest2Market is an independent source of wood and fiber supply chain expertise.

Page 10: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

Stumpage Price Forecast24-month timber and wood fiber price forecast

• Supports operational decision making • Provides insight into future stumpage prices and periods in

which buyers or sellers hold relative market advantage• Subscribers are better able to:

– Time sales or purchases– Negotiate prices– Manage workload– Control inventory levels

Page 11: The Crippling Effect of Survey Data Survey results lack credibility The real price industry pays Susceptible to manipulation Strains trading relationships.

Stumpage Price Forecast Features

Economic Outlook

• Reviews the current economy

• Assesses macroeconomic factors that influence the forest products industry

• Forecasts major economic indicators 24-months out

Regional Stumpage Report

• An in-depth look at the factors that affect regional timber prices

• Projects the relative influence of the general economy, industry capacity, and local capacity

• Forecasts prices for pine sawtimber, pine pulpwood, and hardwood pulpwood

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©2012 Forest2Market®, Inc. 12

Stumpage Price Forecast Regions

• Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas• Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia• North Carolina, Virginia• Western Gulf• Central Gulf• Southeast Coastal

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ContactSuzanne HearnVice President, Sales & Marketing Office: [email protected]

Forest2Market, Inc.15720 John J. Delaney Drive, Suite 550Charlotte, NC 28277Website: www.forest2market.com