The Commerce Graph

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@ 2014 Hyperlocal Industries LLC. #commercegraph @stevenhjacobs Commerce Graph: Charting a future for physical exchange Steven Jacobs, Deputy Editor at Street Fight
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    19-Oct-2014
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The “Commerce Graph” is a new framework we have developed to think about the future of physical exchange. The model offers an alternative to the dominant narrative about the commerce landscape that frames digital networks as an adversary of physical exchange — a force that will inevitably drive us to buy and sell nearly everything virtually.

Transcript of The Commerce Graph

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@ 2014 Hyperlocal Industries LLC. #commercegraph@stevenhjacobs

Commerce Graph: Charting a future for physical exchange

Steven Jacobs, Deputy Editor at Street Fight

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1910 2014@ 2014 Hyperlocal Industries LLC. #commercegraph@stevenhjacobs

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@ 2014 Hyperlocal Industries LLC. #commercegraph@stevenhjacobs

“Retail guys are going to go out of business and ecommerce will become the place everyone buys.

You are not going to have a choice.”

- Marc Andreessen

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@ 2014 Hyperlocal Industries LLC. #commercegraph@stevenhjacobs

Consumers should have a choice.

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E-CommerceCOMMERCE GRAPH

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E-CommerceCommerce Graph is a new way to think

about the way we buy goods and services bringing together

remote and in-person commerce !into one cohesive system.

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First, three assumptions about the future

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The growth in connected devices will make the distinction between “online” and “offline”

behavior less distinct.

This will force “e-commerce” and “local

commerce” companies into each other’s markets.

One.50#billion#connected#devices#

2020

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The process of “buying” will become invisible.

!

The moment we decide to make a purchase, the transaction will

go through.

Two.

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E-CommerceThe Internet will not replace the physical world.Three.

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In the commerce graph, there are two axes: decisioning and fulfillment.

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The process of making a decision to buy a product.

The process of bringing the product/service to a customer

after point-of-purchase.

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These axes are weighted by “in-person” and “remote” activities.

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An interaction with a product/service provider in the real world

An interaction with a product/service provider which is not physically present.

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‘Brick-and-mortar’

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Decide In-person(Brick-and-mortar retail)

Ecommerce

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Decide In-person, Fulfill Remotely (Brick-and-mortar retail)

‘Omnichannel’

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Consumers already shop across the commerce graph.

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Nearly everyone buys goods or services

offline.

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Nearly everyone buys goods or services

offline.

196.6 million Americans shopped

online last year. That’s 90% of all

Internet users

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Nearly everyone buys goods or services

offline.

196.6 million Americans shopped

online last year. That’s 90% of all

Internet users

78% of consumers said they bought in-store after browsing

digitally.

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Nearly everyone buys goods or services

offline.

196.6 million Americans shopped

online last year. That’s 90% of all

Internet users

78% of consumers said they bought in-store after browsing

digitally.

72% of consumers said they bought

online after browsing in store.

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But sellers have lagged demand. The bulk of digital

innovation has remained in the remote — or e—

commerce quadrant.

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Ecommerce sales are projected to hit $491.5

billion by 2018.

$125.00

$250.00

$375.00

$500.00

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

(billi

ons)

!25

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$10 trillion

!

The biggest opportunity today is in where

remote and in-person commerce intersect.

But that’s still only 9% of the $10 trillion

consumers spent on retail goods last year.

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Over the next decade, the companies driving value

creation will bring together remote and in-person

commerce.

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A portion of that market will be owned by the existing players.

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E-CommerceHowever, new (and existing) firms will grow by solving problems within each

“omnichanel” quadrant.

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We’ve already seen explosive growth in the decide online, buy in-

person quadrant. !

These companies are often labeled as “local

commerce” firms

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Yelp has nearly doubled unique

visitors since 2009. !

Today, the reviews company draws 128

million UVs every month.

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In 2013, the company announced Yelp Platform, a new

initiative to close the gap between discovery and

transaction.

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The decide in-person, fulfill remotely quadrant

has seen less innovation. !

But there’s a big opportunity for new brands to flourish.

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This is the Tesla showroom in LA. (There’s no lot.)

Customers can test drive and buy a car, but its delivered

weeks later. !

A “showroom” model allows Tesla to sell its product in

malls and other high-traffic areas.

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The future of commerce lies at the intersection of digital and physical marketplaces.

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E-CommerceSTEVEN JACOBSDEPUTY EDITOR, STREET FIGHT

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