The Coal Power Decommissioning Market 2013-2023

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Transcript of The Coal Power Decommissioning Market 2013-2023

Page 1: The Coal Power Decommissioning Market 2013-2023
Page 2: The Coal Power Decommissioning Market 2013-2023

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Contents 1. Executive Summary 1.1 Global Coal Power Decommissioning Market Overview

1.2 Benefits of This Report

1.3 Who is This Report For?

1.4 Methodology

1.5 Global Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

1.6 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecasts 2013-2023

2. Introduction to the Coal Power Decommissioning Market 2.1 Coal Power Decommissioning Market Definition

2.2 Largest Carbon Emitter Nations

3. Global Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 3.1 Drivers & Restraints in the Global Coal Power Decommissioning Market

3.2 Drivers

3.2.1 High Costs of Carbon Capture and Storage

3.2.2 Is Gas Cheap Enough to Replace Coal in Power Stations?

3.2.3 Gas Fired Power Stations Are Less Polluting & Safer Than Coal

3.2.4 New Generation of Coal Power Plants are less Polluting and More Efficient

3.2.5 Public Opposition to Pollution

3.3 Restraints

3.3.1 Coal is An Irreplaceable Source of Primary Fuel

3.3.2 For How Long Will the Price of Coal Remain Low?

3.3.3 Do Coal Power Stations Provide Enough Jobs?

3.3.4 Unregulated Markets and Uninhibited Greenhouse Gas Emissions

3.3.5 Coal-to-Biomass Combustion Conversion of Power Stations

4. Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Markets Forecast

2013-2023 4.1 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Markets Share Forecast 2013-2023

4.2 Barriers to Entry Analysis of the Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.3 The US Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

4.3.1 Drivers & Restraints in the US Coal Power Decommissioning Market

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Contents 4.3.2 Announced US Coal Power Decommissioning Programmes

4.4 The UK Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

4.4.1 UK Coal Power Plant Decommissioning Programmes

4.4.2 Drivers & Restraints in the UK Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.5 The Russian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

4.5.1 Russian Coal Power Decommissioning Programmes

4.5.2 Drivers & Restraints in the Russian Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.6 The German Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

4.6.1 German Coal Power Decommissioning Programmes

4.6.2 Drivers & Restraints in the German Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.7 The Australian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

4.7.1 Australian Coal Power Decommissioning Programmes

4.7.2 Drivers & Restraints in the Australian Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.8 The Canadian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

4.8.1 Canadian Coal Power Plant Decommissioning Programmes

4.8.2 Drivers & Restraints in the Canadian Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.9 The Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

4.9.1 Polish Coal Power Plant Decommissioning Programmes

4.9.2 Drivers & Restraints in the Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.10 The South African Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

4.10.1 South African Coal Power Decommissioning Programmes

4.10.2 Drivers & Restraints in the South African Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.11 The Rest of the World Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

4.11.1 The French Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.11.2 The Japanese Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.11.3 The South Korean Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.11.4 The Chinese Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.11.5 The Indian Coal Power Decommissioning Market

4.11.6 The Ukrainian Coal Power Decommissioning Market

5. PEST Analysis of the Coal Power Decommissioning Market 2013-

2023 5.1 Political Analysis of Coal Power Decommissioning

5.1.1 Foregone Jobs in the Coal Power Industry

5.1.2 Increase in Coal Exports from the US

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Contents 5.2 Economic Analysis of Coal Power Decommissioning

5.2.1 Coal Power Decommissioning Reduces CO2 Emissions

5.2.2 Coal is the Most Affordable Fuel of Choice for Thermal Power Plants

5.3 Social Analysis of Coal Power Decommissioning

5.3.1 Lack of Globally Accepted Regulations on Coal Power Plant Greenhouse Gas Emissions

5.3.2 Emissions Trading Schemes (ETS) & Carbon Tax

5.4 Technological Analysis of Coal Power Decommissioning

5.4.1 Conversion to Biomass Technologies

5.4.2 Flue Gas Desulphurisation (FGD) and Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) Technologies

6. Expert Opinion 6.1 TRC Companies Inc.

6.1.1 TRC’s Projects in the Coal Power Industry

6.1.2 Technical Challenges in the Coal Power Decommissioning Market

6.1.3 Drivers in the Coal Power Plant Decommissioning Market

6.1.4 Restraints in the Coal Power Plant Decommissioning Market

6.1.5 Factors leading to Coal Power Plant Decommissioning

6.1.6 Cost of Coal Power Plant Decommissioning

6.1.7 Global Spending in the Coal Power Decommissioning Market

6.2 Veolia Environment Services

6.2.1 Veolia Environment Services in the Decommissioning Market

6.2.2 Technical Challenges in the Coal Power Decommissioning Market

6.2.3 What Drives the Coal Power Decommissioning Market?

6.2.4 Restraints in the Coal Power Decommissioning Market

6.2.5 Largest National Spenders on Coal Power Decommissioning

6.2.6 Cost of Coal Power Decommissioning

6.2.7 Annual Spending on Coal Power Decommissioning

6.2.8 How Long Does Coal Power Decommissioning Projects Take to be Completed?

7. 7. Leading Companies in the Coal Power Decommissioning Market 7.1 AECOM Overview

7.2 AF Decom AS

7.3 D.H. Griffin Wrecking

7.4 Keltbray Ltd.

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Contents 7.5 Mott MacDonald

7.6 Pöyry Plc.

7.7 Quantum Murray LLP

7.8 Silverdell Environmental Group

7.9 TRC Companies Inc.

7.10 Veolia Environmental Services

7.11 Other Leading Companies in the Coal Power Decommissioning Market

8. Conclusions 8.1 The Coal Power Decommissioning Market Outlook

8.2 Global Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023

8.3 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecasts 2013-2023

10. Glossary

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Contents List of Tables Table 1.1 Global Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2018, 2023 ($m, CAGR%)

Table 1.2 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecasts Summary 2013, 2018, 2023 ($m,

CAGR%)

Table 2.1 Percentage of Coal Power Providing the Electricity Grid in South Africa, Poland, China, Australia,

Kazakhstan, India & US (%)

Table 3.1 Global Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative)

Table 3.2 Drivers & Restraints in the Global Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.1 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Markets Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Table 4.2 US Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative)

Table 4.3 Drivers & Restraints in the US Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.4 UK Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative)

Table 4.5 List of UK Coal Power Plants (Location, Operator, Station Name, Most Recent Refurbishment, Capacity

(MW), Year Operation Began, Potential/Actual Decommissioning Year)

Table 4.6 Drivers & Restraints in the UK Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.7 Russian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative)

Table 4.8 List of Russian Coal Power Plants (Location, Plant Operator, Plant Name, Capacity (MW), Year Operation

Began, Year Last Additional Capacity Built, Potential Decommissioning Year)

Table 4.9 Drivers & Restraints in the Russian Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.10 German Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative)

Table 4.11 List of German Coal Power Plants Older than 40 Years (Plant Name, Plant Owner, State, Town, Capacity

(MW), Year Operation Began)

Table 4.12 List of German Coal Power Plants Less than 40 Years of Age (Plant Name, Plant Owner, State, Town,

Capacity (MW), Year Operation Began, Potential Year of Decommissioning)

Table 4.13 Drivers & Restraints in the German Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.14 Australian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative)

Table 4.15 List of Australian Coal Power Plants (Location, Plant Operator, Plant Name, Capacity (MW), Year

Operation Began, Potential Decommissioning Year)

Table 4.16 Drivers & Restraints in Australian Coal Power Decommissioning

Table 4.17 Australian Coal Power Stations Funded to Reduce Carbon Emissions (Name of Plant, State, Company,

Capacity (MW), Annual CO2 Emissions (Million Tonnes) and 2011/2012 Funding ($m)

Table 4.18 Canadian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)

Table 4.19 List of Canadian Coal Power Plants (Location, Plant Operator, Plant Name, Capacity (MW), Year

Operation Began, Year Last Additional Capacity Built, Potential Decommissioning Year)

Table 4.20 Drivers & Restraints in Canadian Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.21 Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative)

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Contents Table 4.22 List of Polish Coal Power Plants (Location, Plant Operator, Plant Name, Type of Fuel, Capacity (MW),

Year Operation Began, Potential Decommissioning Year)

Table 4.23 Drivers & Restraints in the Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.24 South African Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%,

Cumulative)

Table 4.25 List of South African Coal Power Plants (Plant Operator, Plant Name, Capacity (MW), Year Operation

Began, Potential Decommissioning Year)

Table 4.26 Drivers & Restraints in the South African Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.27 The Rest of the World Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%,

Cumulative)

Table 4.28 List of French Coal Power Plants (Plant Name, Capacity (MW), Date of Planned Decommissioning, Plan

of Action)

Table 4.29 Drivers & Restraints in the Japanese Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.30 List of Japanese Coal Power Plants (Location, Plant Operator, Plant Name, Capacity (MW), Year

Operation Began, Year Last Additional Capacity Built, Potential Decommissioning Year)

Table 4.31 Drivers & Restraints in the South Korean Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.32 List of South Korean Coal Power Plants (Location, Plant Operator, Plant Name, Capacity (MW), Year

Operation Began, Year Last Additional Capacity Built, Potential Decommissioning Year)

Table 4.33 Drivers & Restraints in the Chinese Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.34 Drivers & Restraints in the Indian Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.35 List of Indian Coal Power Plants (Location, Plant Operator, Plant Name, Capacity (MW), Year Operation

Began, Year Last Additional Capacity Built, Potential Decommissioning Year)

Table 4.36 Drivers & Restraints in the Ukrainian Coal Power Decommissioning Market

Table 4.37 List of Ukrainian Coal Power Plants (Location, Plant Operator, Plant Name, Capacity (MW), Year

Operation Began, Year Last Additional Capacity Built, Potential Decommissioning Year)

Table 5.1 PEST Analysis of the Coal Power Decommissioning Market 2013-2023

Table 5.2 Carbon Emission Trading Schemes (Country, Planned Start Up Year) and Carbon Tax ($/Tonne of CO2

equivalent & Geographical Scope)

Table 7.1 AECOM Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters, Revenues 2012 ($m) & Stock

Market Ticker)

Table 7.2 AF Decom AS Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters, Revenues 2012 ($m) &

Stock Market Ticker)

Table 7.3 D.H. Griffin Wrecking Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters, Revenues 2012

($m) & Stock Market Ticker)

Table 7.4 Keltbray Ltd. Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters, Revenues 2012 ($m) &

Stock Market Ticker)

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Contents Table 7.5 Mott MacDonald Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters, Revenues 2012

($m) & Stock Market Ticker)

Table 7.6 Pöyry Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters, Revenues 2012 ($m) & Stock

Market Ticker)

Table 7.7 Quantum Murray LLP Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters)

Table 7.8 Silverdell Environmental Group Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters,

Revenues 2012 ($m) & Stock Market Ticker)

Table 7.9 TRC Companies Inc. Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters, Revenues 2012

($m) & Stock Market Ticker)

Table 7.10 Veolia Environmental Services Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees, Headquarters,

Revenues 2012 ($m) & Stock Market Ticker)

Table 7.11 Other Leading Companies in the Coal Power Decommissioning Market 2013 (Company, Type of Services

& Operating Domain (Country))

Table 8.1 Global Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2018, 2023 ($m, CAGR %)

Table 8.2 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecasts Summary 2013, 2018, 2023 ($m,

CAGR%)

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Contents List of Figures Figure 2.1 Total Carbon Emissions (Million Metric Tonnes) and per Capita Carbon Emissions (Tonnes/Capita) in 20

Largest Polluter Nations, 2010

Figure 3.1 Global Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 3.2 National Coal Power Capacities to Be Decommissioned 2012-2023 (GW)

Figure 3.3 Total Global Coal Power Stations by Size of Plant & Age (MW & %)

Figure 3.4 Planned Coal Power Capacity Proposed, Early Development, Advanced Development, Under Construction

& Retirement in European Union 2012-2020 (MW)

Figure 3.5 Total Emissions from Subcritical, Supercritical & Ultra-supercritical Coal Power Plants (kgCO2/MWh)

Figure 3.6 Total World Consumption of Energy by Source 2012 (Million Tonnes of Coal Equivalent)

Figure 3.7 Coal Prices in US, Japan, Asia & North West Europe ($/Tonne)

Figure 3.8 Percentage of Power Produced from Coal in China, Australia, India, US & Germany 2010 (%)

Figure 4.1 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Markets Forecast 2013-2023 ($m)

Figure 4.2 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Markets Share Forecast 2013 (%)

Figure 4.3 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Markets Share Forecast 2018 (%)

Figure 4.4 Leading National Coal Power Decommissioning Markets Share Forecast 2023 (%)

Figure 4.5 Barriers to Entry vs. National Market Size & CAGR% 2013-2023 ($m, CAGR%)

Figure 4.6 US Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 4.7 US Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)

Figure 4.8 US Forecast Capacity of Coal Power Station Decommissioning & Conversion to Gas/Biomass 2012-2023

(GW)

Figure 4.9 US Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile by Technology Type (MW)

Figure 4.10 US Planned Coal Fired Power Plant Retirement 2012-2016 By Geographical Region (Map)

Figure 4.11 US Coal Power Stations in Operation by Age and Capacity Factor (%)

Figure 4.12 UK Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 4.13 UK Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)

Figure 4.14 UK Electricity Generation by Fuel Source 1996-2011 (MWh)

Figure 4.15 Russian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 4.16 Russian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)

Figure 4.17 Russian Forecast Capacity of Coal Power Station Decommissioning 2012-2023 (MW)

Figure 4.18 Russian Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile, by Technology Type (MW)

Figure 4.19 Russian Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Source 2012 (Mtoe)

Figure 4.20 German Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 4.21 German Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)

Figure 4.22 German Forecast Capacity of Coal Power Decommissioning 2012-2023 (GW)

Figure 4.23 German Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile, by Technology Type (MW)

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Contents Figure 4.24 Australian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 4.25 Australian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)

Figure 4.26 Australian Forecast Capacity of Coal Power Station Decommissioning 2012-2023 (GW)

Figure 4.27 Australian Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile, by Technology Type (MW)

Figure 4.28 Canadian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 4.29 Canadian Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)

Figure 4.30 Canadian Forecast Capacity of Coal Power Station Decommissioning 2012-2023 (GW)

Figure 4.31 Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 4.32 Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)

Figure 4.33 Polish Forecast Capacity of Coal Power Station Decommissioning 2012-2023 (GW)

Figure 4.34 Polish Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile, by Technology Type (MW)

Figure 4.35 South African Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 4.36 South African Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)

Figure 4.37 South African Forecast Capacity of Coal Power Station Decommissioning 2012-2023 (GW)

Figure 4.38 South African Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile, by Technology Type (MW)

Figure 4.39 South African Primary Energy Consumption 2012 (Mtoe & %)

Figure 4.40 The Rest of the World Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

Figure 4.41 The Rest of the World Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (%

Share)

Figure 4.42 French Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Source 2012 (Mtoe & %)

Figure 4.43 Japanese Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile, by Technology Type (MW)

Figure 4.44 Japanese Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Source 2012 (Mtoe & %)

Figure 4.45 South Korean Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile, by Technology Type

Figure 4.46 Chinese Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile, by Technology Type (MW)

Figure 4.47 Chinese Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Source 2012 (Mtoe & %)

Figure 4.48 Indian Coal Power Stations’ Age Profile, by Technology Type (MW)

Figure 4.49 Indian Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Source 2012 (Mtoe & %)

Figure 4.50 Ukrainian Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Source 2012 (Mtoe & %)

Figure 5.1 US Net Exports of Coal 2006-2012 (Thousand Short Tonnes)

Figure 7.1 AECOM’s Outline of Decommissioning Project

Figure 7.2 Mott MacDonald Regional Gross Revenue 2012 ($m) & Operating Profit/Loss 2012 ($m)

Figure 7.3 Pöyry Revenues by Business Segment 2012 (%)

Figure 7.4 Silverdell Environmental Group Earning Outlook According to Orders as of 2012 ($m)

Figure 7.5 TRC's Gross Revenue by Business Segment as of June 30th 2012 ($m & %)

Figure 7.6 Veolia Environmental Services Revenues By Business Segment ($m & %)

Figure 8.1 Regional Coal Power Consumption 1996-2012 (Million Tonnes of Coal)

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Contents Companies Mentioned in This Report Abhijeet Power Ltd.

ACB India Limited

Aclagro NV

Adani Power Ltd.

Adani Power Maharashtra Ltd

AECOM

AF Decom AS

AF Gruppen

AGL & Loy Yang Power Management

Alberta Power Ltd. (ATCO)

Alcoa

Aldwych Kelvin Operations

Alinta Energy

Aman Environmental Construction Inc.

American Electric Power (AEP)

Andhra Pradesh Power Generation Corporation (APGENCO)

Appalachian Power

Aravali Power Company Private Limited (APCPL)

B.Trinkl GmbH

Babcock and Wilcox

Beelen Sloopwerken B.V.

Bharat Aluminium Company Ltd. (BALCO)

Bierlein Companies Inc

Bihar State Electricity Board (BSEB)

Black Hills Corporation

Bodo Freimuth GmbH

Bokaro Power Supply Company Ltd.

BOT Elektrownia Turow SA

BP

Brandenburg Industrial Services

Brown & Mason

Calcutta Electric Supply Corporation (CESC) Ltd.

Calpine Corporation

Cambria Contracting Inc.

Cardem Demolition

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Contents Centrenergo

Chattisgarh SEB

Cherepovetskaya TPP

Cherry Demolition, Inc

Cheyenne Light, Fuel & Power

China Shenhua Energy Company Limited (CSEC)

Chugoku Electric Power Co Ltd.

Cleveland Wrecking Company

CLP Power India Pvt. Ltd.

Coastal Gujarat Power Limited (CGPL)

Coleman & Company

Con Edison

CPS Energy

CRA Europe

Cross Environmental Services

CS Energy

Cuddy Group

D. H. Griffin Wrecking

Dalkia Łódź SA

Dalkia Poznan Zec

Damodar Valley Corporation (DVC)

DDM Demontage B.V.

Delta Electricity

Demolition Services Ltd.

Dniproenergo

Dominion Resources

Dominion Virginia Power

Doosan Keltbray Consortium (DKC)

Doosan Power Systems

Dore & Associates Contracting, Inc.

Drax Group Plc

Drax Power Ltd

DSM Demolition Group

DTE Energy

Duke Energy

Durgapur Projects Limited

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Contents Durr Heavy Construction LLC

E.On France

E.On Kraftwerke GmbH

E.On UK

EDF Kogeneracja SA

EDF Polska Krakow

EDS

EDS Group Holdings Limited

Eggborough Power Ltd

Electric Power Development Corporation (J-Power)

Électricité de France (EDF)

Elektrociepłownia Białystok S.A.

Elektrociepłownie Wybrzeże S.A.

Elektrownia Kozienice SA

Elektrownia Polaniec SA

Elektrownia Rybnik SA

Elektrownia Skawina SA

Enea

Enel OGK-5

Energa Elektrownie Ostrołęka SA

Energy Brix Australia Corporation

EnergyAustralia

EPCOR

Eraring Energy

Erith Group Ltd.

Eskom

Essar Energy

Eurovia

FirstEnergy Corporation

Flinders Power

GDF SUEZ Australian Energy

Gemeinschaftskraftwerk Veltheim GmbH

GenOn Energy Inc.

Griffin Energy

Grosskraftwerk Mannheim Aktiengesellschaft (GKM) AG

Gujarat Industries Power Company Ltd. (GIPCL)

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Contents Gujarat State Energy Generation Ltd. (GSEG)

Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam Limited (GUVNL)

Haryana Power Generation Corporation Limited (HPGCL)

Hatch Mott MacDonald

Hokkaido Electric Power Co. Ltd (HEPCO)

Hokuriku Electric Power Company

Hydro Québec

Indiana Michigan Power

Indraprastha Power Generation Co. Ltd. (IPGCL)

InterGen

International Power Australia

IPR-GDF SUEZ Hazelwood

Irkutsk Power Generation and Distribution Company (Irkutskenergo) OAO

J Power

Jharkhand SEB

Jindal Power Limited

John F Hunt

JSC Far East Generating Company

JSC Omskenergo TGK-11

JSC Omskenergo TGK-12

JSC Territorial Generating Company 14 (TGC-14 )

JSC Tomskenergo TGK-11

JSC Yenisei Territorial Generating Company (TGK-13)

JSW Energy Ltd.

Kansai Electric Power Company

Karnataka Power Corporation Limited (KPCL)

Keltbray Ltd.

Korea East-West Power Corporation

Korea Midland Power Co. (KOMIPO)

Korea South East Power Co., Ltd.

Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO)

Korea Western Power Co., Ltd.

Korean South-East Power Co (KOSEP)

KpH Environmental Services Ltd.

KSK Energy

Kuzbassenergo OAO / TGK-12

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Contents Kuzbassenergo OJSC Territorial Energy Company (TGK-12)

Kyushu Electric Power Company Inc.

Lanco Amarkantak Power Pvt. Ltd

Lanco Anpara Power Ltd.

LG&E and Kentucky Utility (LG&E and KU)

Loy Yang Power Management

LVI Services Inc.

Macquarie Generation

Madhya Pradesh Power Generating Co. Ltd (MPPGCL)

Madhya Pradesh State Electricity Board (MPGENCO)

Maharashtra State Electricity Generation Company (Mahagenco)

Maithon Power Limited (MPL)

Manafort Brothers Inc.

Manitoba Hydro Electric Energy

Mark-E AG

Max Wild GmbH

McGee Ltd.

McMahon Services

Milner Power Inc.

Minnesota Power

Moscow United Electric Grid Company

Mosenergo OAO

Mott MacDonald

Murray Demolition

Nabha Power Limited (NPL)

NASDI, LLC.

National Grid

National Lignite Corporation India

National Power

National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC)

National Wrecking Company

Nevada Power Company

New Brunswick Power Corporation

Neyveli Lignite Corp. Ltd. (NLC)

North American Dismantling Corporation

Nova Scotia Power Inc.

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Contents Novocherkasskaya TPP

Novosibirskenergo OJSC

NRG Energy

NRG Gladstone

NTPC Tamilnadu Energy Company Ltd (NTECL)

NTPC-SAIL Power Company Private Limited (NSPCL)

Odissa Power Generation Corporation (OPGC)

OJSC Donbasenergo

OJSC Far Eastern Generating Company (Yakutskenergo)

OJSC Fortum (TGK-10)

OJSC TGK-2

OJSC TGK-9

OJSC Volga Territorial Generating Company TGK-7

OJSC Zakhidenergo (Zapadenergo)

Okinawa Electric Power Company (OEPC)

Ontario Power Generation

O'Rourke Wrecking Company

Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E)

Penhall International Corporation

Pennsylvania Power & Light

PGE Elektrownia Bełchatów S.A.

PGE Zespol Elektrowni Dolna Odra SA

PKE Elektrownia Jaworzno III

PKE Elektrownia Laziska

PKE Elektrownia Siersza SA

Polska Grupa Energetyczna (PGE)

PowerGen

Pöyry Plc.

Prangenberg & Zaum GmbH

Priestly Demolition Inc.

Progress Energy

Progress Energy Carolinas

Public Service Company of Oklahoma

Punjab State Electricity Board (PSEB)

Quantum Environment

Quantum Murray LLP

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Contents R. Baker and Son All Industrial Services

Raj West Power Ltd. (RWPL)

Rajasthan Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam Limited (RRVUNL)

Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Ltd.

RATCH-Australia Corporation

Redbank Energy

Redhills

Robinette Demolition Inc.

Rosa Power Supply Company Limited

RWE npower

RWE Power AG

SaskPower International

Sasol

SCANA Corporation

Scottish and Southern Energy

ScottishPower

Shikoku Electric Power Co. Inc

Silverdell Environment Group

Silverdell Plc.

Simhapuri Energy Private Limited (SEPL)

South Carolina Electric & Gas Company

Squibb Group Ltd.

Stanwell Corporation

ST-CMS Electric Company India Ltd.

STEAG GmbH

Sterlite Energy Ltd

StW Flensburg

STX Energy

Sunbury Generation

swb Erzeugung GmbH

Tamil Nadu Electricity Board

Tata Iron and Steel Co. (TISCO)

Tata Power Co. Ltd.

Tenughat Vidyut Nigam Limited (TVNL)

Territorial Generation Company TGK-2

Territorial Generation Company TGK-3

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Contents TGK-12 Kuzbassenergo

Thomson Metal & Disposal

Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO)

Torrent Power

Total E&P UK

Toyama Kyodo Jikahatsuden Power Company

TransAlta Corporation

Transfield Worley Power Services

TRC Companies Inc

TRUEnergy

Tuckamore Capital Management Inc.

TVF Altwert GmbH

Udupi Power Corporation Ltd.

Uttar Pradesh Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam (UPRVUNL)

Vattenfall

Vattenfall Heat Poland SA

Veolia Environmental Services

Verve Energy

Vinci Group

Vostokenergo LLC

VS Lignite Power Company

VW Kraftwerk GmbH

West Bengal Power Development Corporation Limited (WBPDCL)

Wisconsin Power & Light

Worsley Alumina

Zes Elek Patnow-Adamow-Konin (ZE PAK)

Zespol Elektrowni Patnow-Adamow-Konin

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Contents Government Agencies and Other Organisations Mentioned in This Report American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy

Australian Coal Association

Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy

China Coal Transport and Distribution Association (CCTD)

China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC)

Congressional Research Services (CRS)

Co-operative Research Centre for Greenhouse Gas Technologies (CO2CRC)

Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency (Australia)

Department of Energy & Climate Change (DECC) (UK)

Department of Energy (DOE)

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)

European Association of Coal & Lignite (Euracoal)

European Union (EU)

Global Energy Observatory

Health & Safety Executive (HSE)

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

International Energy Agency (IEA)

London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)

Ministry of Knowledge Economy (South Korea)

National Energy Board (Canada)

National Energy Technology Laboratory (US)

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)

University of Leeds

World Bank

World Coal Association

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4.9 The Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013- 2023

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2013-23

$m 50 51 52 52 53 53 53 52 50 47 45 43 550

AGR (%) 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.5 -0.5 -2.4 -4.1 -4.6 -5.0 -4.5

2018-23 -4.1

-1.7

0.8CAGR (%) 2013-18

CAGR (%) 2013-23

2013 2018 2023

-6-5-4-3-2-10123

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023AG

R (%

)

$m

Year Market Value AGR (%)

5.5% 4.8%

6.0%

Source: Visiongain 2013

Table 4.21 Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative)

Source: Visiongain 2013

Figure 4.32 Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)

Source: Visiongain 2013

Figure 4.31 Polish Coal Power Decommissioning Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)

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As Table 4.22 and Figure 4.33 show, Poland is expected to decommission around 5.8GW of its

coal power over 2013-2018 and another 5.8GW over the second half of the forecast period. Annual

spending on decommissioning is expected to rise from $51m in 2013 to $53m in 2018 with a

CAGR of 0.8% over 2013-2018. Over the second half of the forecast period this spending will fall to

$43m in 2023, with a CAGR of -4.1% over 2018-2023. The cumulative sum of spending on coal

power decommissioning is expected to be $550m over 2013-2023, with a CAGR of -1.7% over that

period.

4.9.1 Polish Coal Power Plant Decommissioning Programmes Table 4.22 provide details of operating coal power stations in Poland and their expected year of

decommissioning, assuming a 45 year life span.

Location Operator of

Power Plant

Name Of Power

Plant

Type of Fuel Capacity

(MW)

Year

Operation

Began

Potential

Decommissioning

Year

Warszawa-Żerań Vattenfall Heat

Poland SA

Żerań Heat Power

Station

Coal,

Biomass

350 1952 In Near Future

Warszawa-

Siekierki

Vattenfall Heat

Poland SA

Siekierki Heat Power

Station

Coal 622 1961 In Near Future

Skawina Elektrownia

Skawina SA

Skawina Power

Station

Coal 490 1961 In Near Future

Bogatynia Bot Elektrownia

Turow SA

Turów Power Station Lignite 2,106 1962 In Near Future

Konin Zes Elek Patnow-

Adamow-Konin

Pątnów Power

Station

Lignite 1,674 1967 In Near Future

Będzin PKE Łagisza Power

Station

Coal,

Biomass

1,060 1967 In Near Future

Łódź Dalkia Łódź SA Łódź Heat Power

Station EC3

Coal 205 1968 2013

Trzebinia Pke Elektrownia

Siersza Sa

Siersza Power Plant Coal 666 1970 2015

Gdańsk Elektrociepłownie

Wybrzeże

Gdańsk Heat Power

Station

Coal 217 1970 2015

Łaziska Górne PKE Elektrownia

Laziska

Łaziska Power

Station

Coal 1,155 1972 2017

Table 4.22 List of Polish Coal Power Plants (Location, Plant Operator, Plant Name,

Type of Fuel, Capacity (MW), Year Operation Began, Potential Decommissioning

Year)

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6. Expert Opinion ____ 6.1 TRC Companies Inc. TRC Companies Inc. is an environment engineering and consultancy company, headquartered in

Massachusetts, US. Edward Malley is the Vice President of TRC and manages exit strategies for

retirement, retrofit and replacement of aging power generation facilities. Visiongain interviewed

Edward Malley in June 2013 and would like to thank him for his comments.

6.1.1 TRC’s Projects in the Coal Power Industry Visiongain: What are the major projects or developments in which TRC is involved?

Edward Malley: TRC has, or is in the process of, decommissioning fifteen generating stations in

the US for Con Edison, National Grid, Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) and other utilities. These

plants are located in New York, California, Texas, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and West Virginia.

These markets started with oil fired plants on the east and west coasts and have progressed to the

coal belt.

6.1.2 Technical Challenges in the Coal Power Decommissioning Market Visiongain: Are there any technical challenges involved in decommissioning coal power plants?

Edward Malley: Health and safety of workers and the public must be the first priority. Technical

issues include weakened and corroded structures, energized systems, asbestos and hazardous

materials, and rigging of heavy equipment from higher elevations. Dust and vibration may affect

nearby transmission systems.

6.1.3 Drivers in the Coal Power Plant Decommissioning Market Visiongain: What are the drivers or advantages (socially, politically, economically, technologically

or regulatory) for decommissioning of coal-fired power plants?

Edward Malley: Many plant closures are driven by economics because natural gas prices are low

and modern gas turbine plants have more efficient heat rates than steam turbine technology.

Environmental regulatory drivers include air regulations (1 hour national ambient air quality

standards for SO2 and NOx), water regulations (impingement and entrainment and effluent limit

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7. Leading Companies in the Coal Power Decommissioning Market

7.1 AECOM Overview

Company Website www.aecom.com Number of Employees 45,000 Headquarters Los Angles, California, US 2012 Revenues ($m) $8,218m Stock Market Ticker Index ACM

AECOM is present in 140 countries, on six continents. The company offers two types of services

(a) professional technical services and (b) management support services for the following business

segments; architecture, building engineering, design & planning, design build, economics, energy,

environment, government, oil & gas, program, cost, consultancy, programme management,

transportation and water.

For over 40 years, AECOM has been providing environmental and engineering services to the

power industry. The company has been involved in 75 power related projects. The

decommissioning projects involve preparation of an Environmental Control Plan, which addresses

changes during the demolition of a power plant.

Other services include pre-demolition assessments which allows for proactive planning of soil

management. The company is not only involved in decommissioning, but also retrofitting of power

plants to meet environmental standards. One of the contracts that the company was offered was a

$275m project for design, procurement, installation and start-up of environmental controls to

improve air emission at NRG Energy’s coal burning power plants, located near New York. This

involves installation of filters and additional equipment for abatement of particulate matter, sulphur

dioxide, mercury, and nitrogen oxide emissions. The contract involved work on two power stations,

namely Huntley Generating Station in 2008 and Dunkirk Generating Station work that was carried

out in 2009.

Table 7.1 AECOM Overview (Company Website, Number of Employees,

Headquarters, Revenues 2012 ($m) & Stock Market Ticker)

Source: AECOM