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Transcript of The Chaos Theory of Careers · Working with uncertainty, complexity and change using the Chaos...
Working with uncertainty, complexity and change using the
Chaos Theory of Careers
CDI Annual Conference Cardiff, Mon 9th November 2015 Professor Jim Bright
Faculty of Education and Arts [email protected]
The Chaos Theory of Careers
•Complexity
•Change
•Chance
© Jim Bright 2015
Careers are subject to a huge number of different influences
• Parents
• Economy
• Globalisation
• Education
• Teachers
• Accidents
• Health
• Geography
• Acts of War
• Terrorism
• Relatives
• Friends
• Relationships
• Parenthood
• Chance Encounters
Complexity, puppies & ping pong
• Limits on Predictability
© Jim Bright 2015
How many combinations of a Rubik’s cube are there?
43,252,003,274,489,856,000 ~ 43 Quintillion
It is estimated by Simon Harper that it takes 90 days counting 16 hours a day to reach 1 million.
making it 10664877519737 years, 2 months & 20 days to count to 43 quintillion
(currently life expectancy is approximately 82 yrs) Good luck!
© Jim Bright 2015
Change
© Jim Bright 2015
Chance
Between 70% - 100%
of people say
a chance event
significantly changed
their career Pryor & Bright, 2011
© Jim Bright 2015
Lorenz, Chaos, Weather & Prediction
Non-linearity A tiny change in the initial conditions leads to a
dramatically different outcome
In this case the change was
C=C+0.01 between A and B
LorenzModified Lorenz attractor. It is defined by
the following 3 differential equations:dx/dt=-ax+aydy/dt=cx-y-xzdz/dt=-bz+xy
values a=10, b = 28, c= 3.99 from 3.98 x=y=z=1
© Jim Bright 2015
The Limits of Plans
Chaos Theory of Careers Pryor & Bright 2011
• Dynamic, continual change
• Planning NOT Plans
• Strategic Opportunism
• Being open to Possibilities
• Avoid being trapped into narrow & static thinking
• Stepping back and seeing bigger emergent picture
© Jim Bright 2015
Successful Careers Flow fromFlexibility
Curiosity
Creativity
Openness
Risking Failure
Persistence
Contact Jim Bright
• [email protected] or [email protected]
• https://au.linkedin.com/in/jimbright
• www.brightandassociates.com.au
• @DrJimBright
• https://www.facebook.com/jimbright.careerdevelopment
© Jim Bright 2015