The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd...

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The Basics of the Wave Principle Presented by Wayne Gorman, Senior Tutorial Instructor Elliott Wave International P.O. Box 1618, Gainesville, GA 30503 USA 800-336-1618 or 770-536-0309 Fax 770-536-2514 www.elliottwave.com ' 2006 Elliott Wave International The e-learning Series for Traders

Transcript of The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd...

Page 1: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

The Basics of theWave Principle

Presented by Wayne Gorman, Senior Tutorial Instructor

Elliott Wave International P.O. Box 1618, Gainesville, GA 30503 USA

800-336-1618 or 770-536-0309Fax 770-536-2514

www.elliottwave.com

© 2006 Elliott Wave International

The e-learning Series for Traders

Page 2: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

1.00 Introduction � Ralph Nelson Elliott�s Discovery

2.00 Motive Waves

3.00 Corrective Waves

4.00 Rules

5.00 Guidelines

6.00 Wave Personalities

7.00 Fibonacci Relationships

8.00 Summary

The Basics of the Wave Principle

1.01

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Financial Market Behavior Characteristics

Emotional (Unconscious)

Subjective

Impulsive

Ignorance and Uncertainty

Herding

Values Cannot Revert To Anything

1.02

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The Wave Principle

Financial Markets are Patterned

1.03

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Ralph Nelson Elliott(1871 � 1948)

� Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves.

� These structures link together to form larger versions of the same patterns and how those, in turn, become the building blocks for patterns of the next larger size and so on.

� In 1938, he coined this phenomenon The Wave Principle.

� Nature�s Law � The Secret of the Universe1.04

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1.05

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1.06

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1.07

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1.08

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1.09

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A More Realistic Wave Depiction

1.10

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1 2 3

4 5 6

1.11

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65 7

1.12

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Mankind�s progress (popularly measured by stock market valuation) is not a straight line, random or cyclical.

Growth and thereby social systems are moving in a pattern consisting of five waves up and three waves down.

This pattern reflects the alternation of growth and non-growth or decline.

The Wave Principle

1.13

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Predict Market Direction

Identify turning Points

Provide Guidance for Entering and Exiting Positions

The Wave Principle

1.14

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2.00

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MOTIVE WAVES

Key Characteristics

� Five-wave structures, numbered 1-5

� In the direction of the main trend of one larger degree

� Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of wave 1

� Wave 3 can never be the shortest and is often the longest

2.01

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MOTIVE WAVES

Five-Wave Structures

� Impulse

1. Extensions

2. Truncations

� Diagonal Triangles

2.02

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IMPULSE WAVES

Key Characteristics

� Wave 4 never enters the price territory of wave 1.

� Actionary waves 1, 3 and 5 are motive waves.

� Wave 3 is always an impulse wave.

2.03

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2.04

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2.05

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2.06

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2.07

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2.08

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EXTENSIONS

Key Characteristics

� Elongated impulse wave

� Appears in either wave 1, 3 or 5

� Often seen in wave 3 for the stock market

� Often seen in wave 5 in commodities

2.09

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2.10

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2.11

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2.12

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2.13

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2.14

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TRUNCATIONS

Key Characteristics

� Wave 5 does not exceed the end of wave 3

� Contains necessary five subwaves

� Often occurs after a strong third wave

2.15

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2.16

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2.17

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DIAGONAL TRIANGLES

Key Characteristics

� Wave 4 almost always moves into the price territory of wave 1

� Waves 1, 3 and 5 are composed of three subwaves, not five

� Found at termination points of larger pattern, indicating exhaustion of larger pattern

� Normally has wedge shape within two converging lines

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Diagonal Triangles

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2.22

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2.23

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2.24

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2.25

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2.26

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SUMMARY

The Wave Principle = Graphic of Mass Psychology

Motive Waves = 5 Wave Structures, Main Trend of One Larger Degree

Types of Motive Waves = Impulse, Diagonal Triangle

Impulse:Waves 1, 3, 5 = 5 Impulse Subwaves

(Extensions, Truncations)

Wave 4 ≠ Price Territory of Wave 1

Diagonal Triangle: Waves 1, 3, 5 = 3 Subwaves

Wave 4 = Price Territory of Wave 1

Signal = Imminent Major Trend Reversal

2.27

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3.00

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Characteristics of Corrective Waves

Zigzag3.01

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3.02

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Characteristics of Corrective Waves

Flat3.03

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3.04

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Triangle3.05

Characteristics of Corrective Waves

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Horizontal Triangles

3.06

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Barrier Triangles

3.07

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Running Triangles

3.08

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3.09

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3.10

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3.11

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3.12

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3.13

Characteristics of Corrective Waves

Combination

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3.14

Combination

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3.15

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3.16

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3.17

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Corrective Waves Summary

A B C D E Shape Position

Zigzag 5 3 5 Sharp Wave 2

Flat 3 3 5 Sideways Wave 4

Triangle 3 3 3 3 3 Sideways Wave 4

Combination X wave Sideways Wave 4

3.18

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Rules

� Of waves 1, 3 and 5, wave 3 can never be the shortest wave.

� Wave 2 can never retrace more than 100% of wave 1.

� The end of wave 4 can never overlap the orthodox end of wave 1.

Strong Guideline

� No portion of wave 4 can enter the price territory of wave 1 or wave 2.

4.00

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Rules

4.01

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Rules

4.02

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Rules

This five-wave move cannot be the start of a new trend. It can be wave C of a corrective pattern.

4.03

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Rules

What might this be?

Significant Bottom

4.04

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Rules

What might this be?

4.05

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Rules

Wave 3 is never the shortest of waves 1, 3 and 5. This could be part of a wave 3 extension.

4.06

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Rules

What might this be?Significant Bottom

4.07

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Rules

What might this be?

4.08

Page 72: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Wave 4 does not overlap the price territory of wave 1. This could be the start of a 3rd

wave extension or an A-B-C correction.

Rules

4.09

Page 73: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Guidelines

� Equality

� Alternation

� Depth

� Channeling

� Throw-Over

� Volume

� Post-Triangle Thrust Measurement

5.00

Page 74: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Guidelines

Wave Equality

� Two of the motive waves in a five-wave sequence will tend toward equality in time and magnitude.

� This is generally true of the two non-extended waves.

� For example, if wave 3 is extended then waves 1 and 5 will tend toward equality.

5.01

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Equality

5.02

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Equality

5.03

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Guidelines

Alternation

Within Impulse Waves

� If wave 2 is a sharp correction, expect wave 4 to be a sideways correction, and vice versa.

� Sharp corrections never include a new price extreme. Example: Zigzags

� Sideways corrections usually include a new price extreme. Examples: Flats, Triangles, and Combinations

� Diagonal triangles do not display alternation in subwaves 2 and 4.

5.04

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Alternation within Impulse Waves

5.05

Page 79: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Alternation within Impulse Waves

5.06

Page 80: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Alternation within Impulse Waves

5.07

Page 81: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Alternation within Impulse Waves

5.08

Page 82: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Alternation within Impulse Waves

5.09

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Guidelines

Alternation

Within Corrective Waves

� If a correction begins with a flat a-b-c structure for wave A, then expect a zigzag a-b-c structure for wave B, and vice versa.

� If a large correction begins with a simple a-b-c zigzag for wave A, wave B will stretch out into a more complex a-b-c zigzag.

5.10

Page 84: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Guidelines

Alternation within Corrective Waves

5.11

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Guidelines

Alternation within Corrective Waves

5.12

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Alternation within Corrective Waves

5.13

Page 87: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Alternation within Corrective Waves

5.14

Page 88: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Alternation within Corrective Waves

Zigzag5-3-5

5.15

Page 89: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Guidelines

Depth of Corrective Waves

Corrections, especially when they are fourth waves, tend to register their maximum retracement within the span of travel of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree and most commonly near its terminus.

5.16

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Guidelines

Depth of Corrective Waves

5.17

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Depth of Corrective Waves

5.18

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Depth of Corrective Waves

5.19

Page 93: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Guidelines

Channeling

A parallel trend channel typically marks the upper and lower boundaries of impulse waves and zigzag corrective waves.

5.20

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Guidelines

Channeling in Impulse Waves

5.21

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Channeling in Impulse Waves

5.22

Page 96: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Channeling in Impulse Waves

5.23

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Channeling in Impulse Waves

5.24

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Channeling in Impulse Waves

5.25

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Channeling in Impulse Waves

5.26

Page 100: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Channeling in Impulse Waves

5.27

Page 101: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Guidelines

Channeling in Zigzags

5.28

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Channeling in Corrective Waves

5.29

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Channeling in Corrective Waves

5.30

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Channeling in Corrective Waves

5.31

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Guidelines

Throw-Over

5.32

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Throw-Over

5.33

Page 107: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Guidelines � Volume

Waves < Primary Degree

Normally, 3rd wave volume > 5th wave volume5th wave volume > 3rd wave volume = 5th wave extension

Waves > Primary Degree

Higher volume in 5th wavesAll-time high volume at terminal points in bull markets

� Volume often spikes briefly at the throw-over point of a parallel trend channel line or a diagonal triangle resistance line.

� Volume contracts in corrective waves.

5.34

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Volume

5.35

Page 109: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Post-Triangle Thrust Measurement

5.36

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5.37

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5.38

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Summary

� Two motive waves in a five wave sequence will tend toward equality.

� If the second wave is sharp, then the fourth wave is usually sideways, and vice versa.

� Corrective waves usually end in the span of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree.

� Impulse waves tend to be bounded by a channel composed of two parallel lines.

� A throw-over/throw-under occurs when wave 5 terminates beyond the trend channel.

� The post-triangle thrust measurement estimates price target for the next wave in the pattern of one larger degree.

5.39

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Wave Personality

6.00

Page 114: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Wave Personality

6.01

Page 115: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

The Golden Ratio

PHI Φ

.618 or 1.618

Fibonacci Relationships In Financial Markets

7.00

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Golden Ratio, PHI, Φ

7.01

Page 117: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Golden Ratio, PHI, Φ

7.02

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Fibonacci Relationships are Seenin Time and Amplitude

� Retracements

� Multiples

7.03

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Retracements

7.04

Page 120: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Retracements

7.05

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Retracements

7.06

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Retracements

7.07

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Retracements

7.08

Page 124: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Multiples in Impulse Waves

7.09

Page 125: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Multiples in Impulse Waves

7.10

Page 126: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Multiples in Impulse Waves

7.11

Page 127: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Multiples in Impulse Waves

Net of waves 1 through 3 times .382 = percent movement of wave 5

7.12

Page 128: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Multiples within Corrective Waves � Zigzags

7.13

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Fibonacci Time Relationships

7.14

Page 130: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Fibonacci Time Relationships

7.15

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Summary

� The Fibonacci Ratio (Φ), an irrational number approximating .618, known as the Golden Ratio, is found in nature, human biology, human thought, and aggregate human behavior such as the stock market.

� The Wave Principle is a robust fractal governed by Fibonacci mathematics.

� Sharp wave corrections tend to retrace 61.8% or 50% of the previous wave.

� Sideways corrections tend to retrace 38.2% of the previous wave.

� Subdivisions of impulse waves tend to be related by Fibonacci numbers .618, 1.0, 1.618 and 2.618.

� Subdivisions of corrective waves tend to be related by Fibonaccinumbers .382, .618, 1.0 and 1.618.

7.16

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The Basics of the Wave Principle

Summary

8.00

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8.01

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1 2 3

4 5 6

8.02

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8.03

Page 136: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

8.04

Page 137: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Rules

8.05

Page 138: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Equality

8.06

Page 139: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Alternation within Impulse Waves

8.07

Page 140: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Alternation within Corrective Waves

8.08

Page 141: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Depth of Corrective Waves

8.09

Page 142: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Channeling in Impulse Waves

8.10

Page 143: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Throw-Over

8.11

Page 144: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Volume

8.12

Page 145: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Post-Triangle Thrust Measurement

8.13

Page 146: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Wave Personality

8.14

Page 147: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

The Golden Ratio

PHI Φ

.618 or 1.618

Fibonacci Relationships In Financial Markets

8.15

Page 148: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Retracements

8.16

Page 149: The Basics of the Wave Principle · 2016. 10. 18. · Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871 Œ 1948) Ł Crowd behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns, that he called waves. Ł

Multiples in Impulse Waves

8.17

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