The “Smart Grid”: Promise and Challengescree/documents/Hannegan conf.pdf · 2009-06-10 ·...
Transcript of The “Smart Grid”: Promise and Challengescree/documents/Hannegan conf.pdf · 2009-06-10 ·...
The “Smart Grid”: Promise and Challenges
Bryan Hannegan, Ph.D.Vice President, Environment & Generation
IU SPEA Wise Energy ConferenceJune 11, 2009
2© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
About EPRI
• Founded in 1973 as an independent, nonprofit center for public interest energy and environmental research.
• Objective, tax-exempt, collaborative electricity research organization
• Science and technology focus--development, integration, demonstration and applications
• Broad technology portfolio ranging from near-term solutions to long-term strategic research
Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity
3© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EPRI’s Role
Depends Upon The Specific Technology or Discipline
National
Laboratories
Universities
Suppliers
Vendors
EPRI
Basic
Research
&
Development
Technology
Commercialization
Collaborative
Technology
Development
Integration
Application
4© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
U.S
. E
lectr
ic S
ecto
r
CO
2 E
mis
sio
ns (
millio
n m
etr
ic t
on
s)
Technology EIA 2008 Reference Target
Efficiency Load Growth ~ +1.05%/yr Load Growth ~ +0.75%/yr
Renewables 55 GWe by 2030 100 GWe by 2030
Nuclear Generation 15 GWe by 2030 64 GWe by 2030
Advanced Coal Generation
No Heat Rate Improvement for Existing Plants
40% New Plant Efficiencyby 2020–2030
1-3% Heat Rate Improvement for 130 GWe Existing Plants
46% New Plant Efficiency by 2020; 49% in 2030
CCS None Widely Deployed After 2020
PHEV None10% of New Light-Duty Vehicle Sales
by 2017; 33% by 2030
DER < 0.1% of Base Load in 2030 5% of Base Load in 2030
Achieving all targets is very aggressive, but potentially feasible.
AEO2007*(Ref)
AEO2008*
(Early Release)
AEO2008*(Ref)
*Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook (AEO)
Impact of efficiency
measures in Energy
Independence and
Security Act of 2007
(EISA2007)
CO2 Reductions … Technical Potential
5© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
Impact on U.S. EconomyC
han
ge in
GD
P D
isco
un
ted
th
rou
gh
2050
($Tri
llio
ns)
Avoided
Policy Costs
Due to
Advanced
Technology
Cost of
Policy
(50% cut
by 2050)
Fu
ll P
ort
folio
Lim
ited
Po
rtfo
lio
+ P
HE
V O
nly
+ R
en
ew
ab
les O
nly
+ E
ffic
ien
cy O
nly
+ N
ucle
ar
On
ly
+ C
CS
On
ly
Value of R&D Investment
$1 T
rillio
n
6© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Key Technology Challenges
• Expanded Advanced Light Water
Reactor Deployment
• Enabling Efficiency, PHEVs, DER
via the Smart Distribution Grid
• Enabling Intermittent Renewables
via Advanced Transmission Grids
• Advanced Coal Plants with CO2
Capture and Storage
7© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EfficientBuildingSystems
UtilityCommunications
DynamicSystemsControl
DataManagement
DistributionOperations
DistributedGeneration& Storage
Plug-In Hybrids
SmartEnd-UseDevices
AdvancedMetering
Consumer Portal& Building EMS
Internet Renewables
PV
Smart Grid for Efficiency and Renewables
ControlInterface
8© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EPRI’s Involvement in Smart Grid
• IntelliGrid Architecture
– Designing the foundation of Smart Grid
– Accelerate development of standards (PHEV, AMI/HAN example) through content
– NIST Project
• Smart Grid Demonstration
– Integration of Distributed Energy Resources
• Example of Smart Grid Applications
• Smart T&D sensors for inspection and condition assessment
• Enabling distributed PV
• Distribution system applications
9© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Entire Electrical Power System
From Generation to End Use
Highly
Instrumented
with Advanced
Sensors and
Computing
Interconnected by a
Communication Fabric
that Reaches Every
Device
• Engaging Consumers
• Enhancing Efficiency
• Ensuring Reliability
• Enabling Renewables
Sensors…Two Way Communication…Intelligence…Response
Many Definitions – But All Roads Pointing to:
10© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Build the Foundation First
EPRI’s IntelliGrid Methodology is Focused on Helping Our
Members Build the Right Foundation
AMI
CommunicationsInformation Management
Security
Energy
MarketsReal-Time
Contingency
Outage
Management
SCADA Protection
Smart Grid Foundation
Security
Information Management
Communications
Interoperability
Systems Engineering Methodology
11© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
NIST Smart Grid Interoperability Roadmap
• National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST): Lead agency for coordinating the development of smart grid standards.
• NIST recently (1st week of April) contracted EPRI to develop an interim smart grid interoperability roadmap that includes:
– the Smart Grid architecture;
– priorities for interoperability and cyber security standards, and an initial set of standards to support implementation; and
– plans to meet remaining standards needs.
• Stakeholders workshop on May 19th and 20th; Interim roadmap delivered by early Fall.
NIST Selects EPRI Team to Develop Interim Smart Grid Interoperability Roadmap
12© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
• Deploying the Virtual Power Plant
• Demonstrate Integration and Interoperability
• 8-10 regional demonstrations
– Multiple Levels of Integration
– Multiple Types of Distributed Energy Resources and Storage
Smart Grid Demonstrations
13© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Smart Sensor RD&DAutomate Inspection and Condition Assessment
Wireless Mesh On-Line FRA 3D AcousticsAntenna Array Backscatter
Tri-State
SCANA
Powerlink
CenterPoint
Alliant
TNB
PNM
Southern Company
TVA
NYPA
ATC
Con Ed
National Grid
PSE&G
DukeFirstEnergy
14© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Wind Variability & Predictability
15© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.15
0
1000
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4000
1400000 1450000 1500000 1550000
Seconds since 00:00:00 Jan 1, 2007
kW
0
1000
2000
3000
250 750 1250
Minutes since start of day
kW
(b)
Solar Variability & Predictability
Minutes
kW
Source: Jay Apt CMU, 4.6 MW TEP Solar Array (Arizona)
16© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
16
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.50
10
20
30
40
Time (hours)
Po
we
r L
eve
ls (
MW
)
Wind + CT Operating Parameters
Ideal Fill Power
Wind Power
Actual Fill Power
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5-20
-10
0
10
20
Time (hours)
Ra
mp
Ra
te (
MW
/min
)
Ramp Rates
Acknowledgment: Research Conducted by Warren Katzenstein and Jay Apt, CMU
GE LM6000
Gas Turbines as a Balancing Resource?
Rapid Cycling Increases Costs, Adds Emissions
17© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Flow Batteries
ZrBr VRB PSB Novel Systems
NaS Battery
Li-Ion Battery
NiCd
NiMH
High Power Fly Wheels
SMESHigh Power Super Caps
1 kW 10 kW 100 kW 1 MW 10 MW 100 MW 1 GW
Lead Acid Battery
High Energy
Super Caps ZEBRA Battery
Dis
ch
arg
e T
ime
at
Ra
ted
Po
we
r
Seco
nd
s
M
inu
tes
H
ou
rs
UPS Grid Support Energy Management
Power Quality Load Shifting Bridging Power Bulk Power Mgt
Pumped
Hydro
CAES
© 2007 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Advanced Lead Acid Battery
Metal-Air Batteries
Energy Storage Options
18© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Shaping the Future of Electric Transportation
• Developing standard for bi-directional information flow between vehicle and grid
– EPRI Infrastructure Working Council working with Society of Automotive Engineering
• Direct engagement with automotive OEMs to influence their vehicle design to enable smart charging
– Ford program expanded to include 7 additional utilities and NYSERDA
– Direct engagement with GM design team to influence Chevy Volt production model
• In-depth analysis of PHEV impact on distribution system
Ford Announcing Expansion of PHEV
Program with EPRI at the 2009
Washington DC Auto Show
19© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Components of PHEV Grid Integration
MainframeMainframeMainframe
Back Office Systems
MainframeMainframeMainframeMainframeMainframeMainframe
Back Office Systems
Plug-In VehicleAMI Path
Smart Charging Back EndEnergy Management, Cust ID, Billing
Non-AMI Path
Standard
Interface• Utility – Auto industry collaboration
• Standardize interface vehicle-to-grid
• Common
• Open systems
20© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Distribution System Impacts
• Evaluate localized impacts of PHEVs to utility distribution systems
• Participants – ConEd, AEP, Hydro-Quebec, Dominion, TVA, Southern, NU, BC Hydro, SRP, Duke, PG&E,
• Thermal Loading
• Losses
• Voltage
• Imbalance
• Harmonics
• Protection System Impacts
• Advanced Metering
• EE devices
Distribution Impacts Plug-In Characteristics
• Plug-in vehicle type and range
• PEV market share and distribution
• Charge profile and power level
• Charger behavior
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ar M
ay
Jul Sep N
ov
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11000
kW
HourMonth
Total Loading on Feeder Under Study (2007) kW
10000-110009000-100008000-90007000-80006000-70005000-60004000-50003000-40002000-30001000-20000-1000
Peak - Jan and July and August
Peak Period @ July/Aug - 1pm - 8pm
Peak Period @ Jan - 8am - 11am & 5pm-9pm
Peak - 10.4MW @ July 27th, 2007 @ 5pm
21© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Is a Smart Grid a Green Grid?
Potential Impact
• Annual energy savings: 56–203 billion kWh
• Annual GHG emissions reduction: 60–211 million metric tons of CO2 eq.
• Equivalent to removing 14 to 50 million carsoff the road annually
Reduce Carbon
Emissions
Yield Energy Savings (kWh)
Smart Grid
Reduce Peak
Demand
Indirect Feedback via
Improved Billing
Reduced Transportation via Automated Meter Reading
Reduced Line Losses;
Voltage Control
Improve Operational Efficiency
Figure 6 – Goals of a Smart Grid from a Utility Company’s Perspective: All Paths Lead to Energy Savings and Reductions in Carbon Emissions
Greater EE Deployment
via Enhanced M&V
Expanded Options for Dynamic Pricing
and Demand Response
Indirect Feedback via Improved Metering and
Billing
Peak Demand Reductions
Reduced Operation of
Peaking Plants
Continuous Commissioning/
Proactive Maintenance
Integration of Intermittent Renewables
Facilitation of PHEV
Deployment
Accelerated Device Innovation via
Open Standards
Transform Customer Energy
Use Behavior
Enhance Demand Response/
Load Control
Enhance Customer Service
Support More Utility EE
Investment
Direct Feedback via
Display Devices
Greater Availability of Green Power
Eased Deployment of Renewables to
Meet Peak Demand
22© 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Insights from Recent EPRI Work
• The technical potential exists for the U.S. electricity sector to significantly reduce its CO2 emissions over the next several decades.
• No one technology will be a silver bullet – a portfolio of technologies will be needed.
• Development of a “smart grid” is a key enabling step, particularly for distributed renewables, PHEVs, and storage
• Much of the needed technology isn’t available yet –substantial R&D, demonstration is required.
• A low-cost, low-carbon portfolio of electricity technologies can significantly reduce the costs of climate policy.