The 7 myths of speed .
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Transcript of The 7 myths of speed .
Over 200 independent consultants in 16 countries…
helping companies get from here to there
www.fast-bridge.com
Who am I to talk about Speed ?
10 Start-ups, 6 countries, 8 wins, 1 loss, 1 I am trying to
figure out
Professor new product marketing (KU Leuven) and
Entrepreneurship (Solvay)
Fast Bridge: I didn't have a good business idea, so I
decided to help others
▫ A network of +/- 200 people that want to help start-ups
▫ I see lot's of business plans and hopeful entrepreneurs
▫ We work with about 1 in 40
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10/31/2013
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Pick a direction Be committed to your ideas Get cash now Get partners you can trust Make sure you are first Go as fast as you can Do more and more
And success will follow…
What you’d expect me to say about speed ..
“If things seem under control, you’re just not going fast enough.” —Mario Andretti
Wrong ....
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These are comfortable, logical ideas
and what we have been taught….
But, they are not the whole story
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Focus on needs, keep your options open
Myth:
Pick a direction and stick to it.
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Needs first, not ideas first !
Develop a solution
Find a need Find a market Ideas First
Success Rate*
5-10%
Find a need Develop a solution
Find a market Needs First
70 %
* According to Strategyn research on outcome driven innovation…
A test... Who are these companies
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personal podcasting and sharing audio content
Answers…
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personal podcasting and sharing audio content
Paypal
Flickr
“If people are not buying they are not stupid… they might not want what you’re selling.”
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Don’t drink the Koolaid
Myth: Be committed to your ideas
The biggest 2 mistakes of Entrepreneurs/ Innovators
1. Investing in the wrong business
2. Staying too long in the wrong business.. (after you should know it is time to change…)
• Lots of products only a mother could love
• Think in terms of base rates: 9 out of 10
products fail
• Be prepared to be wrong (more than once)
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The big innovation Paradox
Whoever Makes the Most Mistakes Wins
Richard Farson & Ralph Keyes
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Costs per stage
Introduction 19
A checklist …
Talk to 20 people (that are not your friends)
If no one hates the idea, be scared
Ask people “if this fails” why would it fail (you’ll get a lot more information than asking what they think of the idea !)
Keep it simple … check do people really understand
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Stay lean, until your business model is proven
Myth:
Get cash now
You lose money
Lessons learned (the hard way)
• Way too much time spent
looking for cash
• Fail fast, fail cheap
• Go for cheap and easy on
the cash, prove your
business then cash will come
to you
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Failure is easy !!! Are you spending more time looking for money than building your business model
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Learn to trust almost everyone
Myth:
Get partners you can trust
The facts...
• Ideas are cheap
• Original ideas are rare
• Great ideas are built through friction
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A question:
Is there any idea someone
hasn’t talked about on the Internet
(If they haven’t talked about yours be scared… )
Innovation = Size ^ power value
Power value
Cities Companies
1.3 0.7
Innovation output
1 100% 100%
Size 5 690% 309%
25 4759% 952%
Innovation per person
1 100% 100%
Size 5 138% 62%
25 190% 38%
Source: Geoffrey West: The surprising math of cities and corporations
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The Power Laws of Innovation
As cities grow and contact increases… innovation increases (25 X bigger = 2X more innovative) Why: contact increases … As companies get bigger and have more resources… innovation falls (25 X bigger = 60% less innovative ) Why: contact decreases
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Imagine this…
BMW has some of the best designers in the world and sells their designers by the day below cost
Why: to build creativity…
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Fast seconds are also a viable option
Myth:
Make sure you are first
The glory of fast seconds …
• A fast second lets other companies innovate and
experiment to create new market.
• Entry just as the dominant design is about to emerge,
helps create dominant design, and uses its [size] position
to capture the market
• Famous fast seconds
– Desktop printers (HP)
– Disposable diapers (Pampers)
– Discount shopping (Walmart)
– Search (Google)…
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Build in pauses and time to reflect
Myth: Go as fast as you can
Operational speed vs. strategic speed
• A study by Economist intelligence unit 312
companies
▫ Go, go, go
▫ Companies that paused at strategic moments
▫ 40% higher sales, 52% higher profits
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Build in tripwires to stop and think
• Set up times for decisions • Define how you will be decision before the time
comes... (1000 sales might be great, but not if you predicted 25,000)
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A detailed contract for companies setting up the installations Buried deep “M&Ms, but no brown ones” If they found a brown M&M they wouldn’t play
Do less to do more (write a do not do list)
Myth:
Do more and more
The productivity Paradox
• Even good people, spend most their time doing
the wrong things or things wrong
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Right thing Right thing
Done wrong Done Right
Wrong thing Wrong thing
Done wrong Done Right
“With so many things to do and so many great ideas… what we decide not to do is infinitely more important than what we decide to do”
– Steve Jobs
Research on innovation
211 companies
Worst Avg Best Top vs. bottom
% of revenues from new products 17% 28% 47% 2.76
% of profits from new products 11% 25% 44% 4.17
% of products that meet profit targets 43% 48% 66% 1.53
Go / Kill criteria set up front 26% 57% 85% 3.28
Decisions are objective / fast based 15% 42% 57% 3.85
Decisions are made in review meetings 26% 51% 60% 2.32
Cooper, Robert G. "Perspective: The Stage‐Gate® Idea‐to‐Launch Process Update, What's New, and NexGen Systems*." Journal of Product Innovation Management 25.3 (2008): 213-232.
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Summary
Pick a direction Focus on needs, keep your options open
Be committed to your ideas Don't drink the koolaid
Get cash now Stay lean, until your business model is proven
Get partners you can trust Learn to trust almost everyone
Make sure you are first Fast Seconds are a not bad
Go as fast as you can Take some time to think
Do more and more Do less to do more (write a do not do list)
And success will follow...
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Case:
Sophie’s Shopping Club vs.
Consodata
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Data
Providing/ Use
Data
Acquisition
Data
Management
The Belgian Context
Stop, please stop thinking about Belgium as a market
Find some one you can fight
Stop thinking about doing it alone
Get out of the office, belly to belly with10 people per week
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Discussion:
A live case, Nomadesk
Nomadesk is a leading provider of file sharing, storage and synchronization software that enables users to access, share, synchronize and safeguard files from any location, whether online or offline.
There were the first and might still be the best
Not even identified as an alternative ! On 9 of 10 sites
Interview with CEO
Mobile user and nomadic professional Work with / without 100% internet access Better file security
Not cloud But seen As cloud
Discussion
• What would you do if you were Nomadesk now ?
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My thoughts
Guidelines Your thoughts
Focus on needs, keep
your options open
Is all about unlimited and security
Don't drink the koolaid Say we're like XXX, but better in
the following ways
Stay lean, until your
business model is
proven
Develop and test alternative
business models...
Learn to trust almost
everyone
Work with 4-5 of the smaller
companies in the same space
Fast Seconds are a not
bad
Change the dialogue, make
dropboxes strengths weakness
Take some time to think Set up tripwire and real market
tests
Do less to do more (write
a do not do list)
Cut away from 80% of work
being done now (eg no
consumer)
Key take aways…
• Don't go for speed before you have a business
model
• Don't grow so fast you can't follow
• Don't grow just to grow
• Don't worry too much about being second
• Stop thinking about “Belgium” as a market unless
it is really the market..
But when you have it right, go, go , go ...
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