The 3 Reasons the next 90 Days are Crucial to your Career.
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Transcript of The 3 Reasons the next 90 Days are Crucial to your Career.
The 3 Reasons the next 90 Days
are Crucial to your Career
Foot Traffic (indicator of future sales)
We’ll Crush 2014 Production
NEXT YEAR
Projected Total Home Sales (Existing & New Construction in millions)
HOME PRICES
Home Price Expectation
Survey
A nationwide panel of over one hundred
economists, real estate experts and investment & market strategists.
Home Price Expectation Survey 2014 4Q
Cumulative House Appreciation
by 201932.8% 32.8%
23.5%
15.1%
Bulls All Projections Bears
RISING MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES
Quarter Fannie Mae
Freddie Mac MBA NAR Average
of all four
2015 1Q 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.28%
2015 2Q 4.2% 4.5% 4.6% 4.7% 4.50%
2015 3Q 4.3% 4.7% 5.0% 5.1% 4.78%
2015 4Q 4.4% 5.0% 5.1% 5.4% 4.98%
Mortgage Rate Projections
11/2014
“While higher interest rates generally detract from housing activity, when they occur with strong job and income growth the net result can be increases in household formations, construction, and home sales.
Our view for 2015 is exactly that, namely, income and job growth offset the negative effect of higher interest rates and translate into gains for the nation’s housing market.”
- Freddie Mac
July1984
October1987
December1994
May 2000
May 1983 March 1987 October 1993 April 1999
Real Estate Value Change During Each Time Period
Dra
mat
ic M
ort
gag
e R
ate
Incr
ease
s
NEW 3% DOWN PROGRAMS
Over 3,000 shares
MILLENNIALBUYERS
Percentage of Income…
More or Less Affordable?
Buying a Home
Renting a Home
…in the third quarter than it was in the pre-bubble years (1985 -1999)
Percentage of Millennials that are 1st Time Home Buyers
Purchase Price Distribution of Homes Purchased
by Millennials
To establish own household
Top 5 Reasons for Millennial Buyers to Move
Needed larger unit
Want to Own
New job or job transfer
Live in a higher quality unit
Top 5 Reasons Millennial Buyers Choose a Home
Financial Reasons
Like the Size
Layout/Design
Like the Neighborhood
Construction Quality
Buyers’ Guide
EXPIRED LISTINGS
Re-Up their listings that are
about to Expire
List EVERY expired listing in January
eGuides AvailableeGuides Available
The percentage of homes selling as a FSBO has decreased from 19% to 9% in the last 20+ years
FSBOs as a Percentage of all Home Sales
$209K
$235K
By FSBO By AGENT
*The ‘typical’ price is actually the average price in the survey. However, studies have shown that people are more likely to FSBO in markets with lower price points.
Typical Sold Price* FSBO vs. Agent
Where Buyers Find the Home They Purchase Over the Last 10 Years
by percentage
Newspapers
Yard Signs
The Internet
% of Buyerswho used an Agent
NAR
Sellers’ Guide
Thursday, February 19th 2PM EST
Thursday, February 19th 2PM EST
Next Strategy Call Wednesday, March 11th
2PM EST
Next Strategy Call Wednesday, March 11th
2PM EST