Thayer The Vietnam Communist Party and Relations with China
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Transcript of Thayer The Vietnam Communist Party and Relations with China
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TheVietnamCommunist
PartyandSino
e namese e a ons
ProfessorCarlThayer
Norwe ian Center for Human Ri hts
TheUniversityofOslo,Oslo,Norway
ep em er ,
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OneOnePartyStatePartyState
onoono rgan sa onargan sa ona oc a smoc a sm
VietnamCommunistPart
VietnamCommunistPart
TheState
TheStateArmedForces
ArmedForces
MassOrganisations
MassOrganisations
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PartyPowerStructurePartyPowerStructure
>3.6
>3.6 Congress
Congress Central
Central
Politburo
Politburomillion
members
millionmembers
1,377delegates
1,377delegates
175+25members
175+25members
14members
14members
General
General
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4.00
3.00
3.50
2.00
2.50
VCP Membershi
1.00
1.50
(inmillions)
0.00
0.50
6th
1986
7th
1991
8th
1996
9th
2001
10th
2006
11th
2011
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7.00%
ar y em ers p y eg on
5.00%
6.00%
3.00%
4.00%
1.00%
2.00%
0.00%
SMD SCV SCH S NTB NRR NCV N
, , ,
NorthTayBac,NorthRedRiver,NorthCentralVietnam,North
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180
200
140
160
80
100VCPCCFullMembers
40
60
0
4th1976 5th1982 6th1986 7th1991 8th1996 9th2001 10th2006 11th2011
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GenerationalChangeontheVCP
CentralCommittee2011
u mem ers
retained
Alternatemembers
promoted
Newfullmembers
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SecretaryGeneral
PrimeStateMinisterPresident
ChairNationalAssembly
PermanentSecretary
Party
CommitteeSecretariat
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EdMalesky winningcoalitions
STRATFOR actiona in ig tingreC ina
LongLe threegroupingsthatdifferonwhat
issocialistorientation
AlexVuvin modernisers antiim erialistsandrentseekers
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Stateshouldleadsociety statefirst
upporte y san t em tary
Integrationwithglobaleconomy EncourageFDIandentrepreneurship
Integrationwithglobalcommunity
Investinhumanresources,promotenewindustriesthatmeetinternationalstandards
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Antiimperialists
Modernisers
Vuvin II RegimeConservatives
o ern zers RentSeekers
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SectoralCompositionoftheCentral
Committee2011
9%11%
SeniorParty
CentralParty
State
38%
42%
Secondary/Provin
cial
ArmedForces
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PostsN=38
Politburo
CentralCommittee
13
2
3
5 Commissions
Partymedia
13
2 MassOrganisation
Secretariat
InspectionCommittee
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em ers o ng en ra
StatePostsN=47
11
7
17Cabinet
National
Assembly7
5 ercen ra s a e
MassOrganisation
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em ers o ng os s n e
MilitaryN=21(full&alternate)
MinisterandDeputyMinisters
6
3
2
1
MilitaryRegion
2
Other
GeneralPolitical
DepartmentGeneralStaff
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PostsN=94
1
511 PartySecretary
DeputyPartySecretary
5720
Regional
DistrictPartySecretary
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=
PhungQuangThanh
PhamQuangNghi
NguyenTanDung
NguyenSinhHung
TranDaiQuang
TongThiPhong NguyenPhuTrong
NgoVanDu
LeThanhHai
NguyenXuanPhuc
North:
6,
Centre
4,
and
South
4
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GrowingPoweroftheOfficeofthePrime
Minister
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M r
Asymmery
Viet Nam
c now e gement of China
Acknowledgement of
Vietnamsautonomy
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Longterm
greements
JointSteering
CommitteeDefence ties
HighlevelEconomic
statevisits
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$11billiondeficit
Economic
and
Trade
9billion
Relations
surpluswiththe
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VisitsbyCentralCommitteecommissions
Ideologicalseminars
GeneralDirectorateII(military
intelligence)
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High
level
visitsDefenceMinisters,ChiefofGeneralStaffetc.
Navalportvisits
ProfessionalMilitaryEducationandTraining
Armssales Nationaldefenceindustrycooperation
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Borderprovinces
MilitaryRegionsalongborder
Students(civilianandmilitary)
Partymedia
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SpecialEnvoyFebruary2011
Deputy ea Centra Mi itaryCommittee
JointCommitteeonBoundaryDiscussions SpecialEnvoyJune2011
7roundssince2010
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TheVietnamCommunist
PartyandSino
e namese e a ons
ProfessorCarlThayer
Norwe ian Center for Human Ri hts
TheUniversityofOslo,Oslo,Norway
ep em er ,