THAILAND’S ENERGY SITUATION AND MAJOR...

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THAILAND’S ENERGY SITUATION AND MAJOR CHALLENGES Bundit Fungtammasan The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment (JGSEE) Center for Energy Technology and Environment (CEE) King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi (KMUTT) Naksitte Coovattanachai Advisor to the Secretary General, National Science Technology and Innovation Policy Office (STI), Ministry of Science and Technology Chairman of ARC, JGSEE, KMUTT

Transcript of THAILAND’S ENERGY SITUATION AND MAJOR...

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THAILAND’S ENERGY SITUATION AND MAJOR CHALLENGES

� Bundit Fungtammasan� The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment (JGSEE)

Center for Energy Technology and Environment (CEE)King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi (KMUTT)

� Naksitte Coovattanachai� Advisor to the Secretary General, National Science Technology and

Innovation Policy Office (STI), Ministry of Science and Technology� Chairman of ARC, JGSEE, KMUTT

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Thailand’s Energy Situation and Major Challenges

Outline

• Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems

• Energy Policies and Plans

• CO2 – Reduction Outlook

• Science, Technology and Innovation Needs

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Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems

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• Thailand Primary Energy Consumption (PEC)

(Source : Thailand Energy Situation, DEDE, 2010)

Total Thailand Primary Energy Consumption in 2008: 110 Mtoe

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Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy ProblemsThailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems

Hydro 1.0%Biomass andBiofuel18%

Fossil fuels(coal, oil and gas) 81%

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• Final Energy Consumption by Economic Sector

Total Final Energy Consumption in 2010 : 71.2 Mtoe

(Source : Thailand Energy Situation, DEDE, 2010)

Other 0.6% Agriculture 5.4%

Manufacturing36%

Transport35%

Commercial8% Residential

15%

Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy ProblemsThailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems

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Types of Energy Used For Electricity Generation (Present)

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Natural Gas 71%

Hydro 5% Renewable 2%

Elect. Import 1%

Coal & Lignite 21%

(Source : DEDE, Ministry of Energy)

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• Thailand has limited fossil fuel resources :� Oil reserve is insignificant.� Natural gas to run dry in 20 years� Increase use of lignite for power generation is not possible due

public opposition.

• The Role of Hydropower is limited :� Development of the remaining 7,000 MW of large hydropower is

not possible.� Thailand has been importing hydro electricity from neighboring

countries (total reserves 11,000 MW).

• Impact of Energy Import on the Economy is significant :

• Energy is not used very efficiently. � The energy intensity (E/GDP) is still high compared with those

of industrialized and neighboring countries.

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Thailand Main Energy Problems

Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy ProblemsThailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems

Energy Import

GDP10% in 2010

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• Energy security means adequate, affordable and reliable supplies of energy.

• Thailand’s energy security needs to be improved urgently due to the following:

� Nearby 50% of fossil energy used has to be imported.

� All major commercial energies have to be imported: • Oil (~85%)• Natural gas (~25%)• Electricity (~ 5%)• Coal (~ 70%)

� About 70% of electricity is produced from natural gas.

� Nearly all fuels for the transport sector (~90%) have to be imported.

� The total cost of energy import has been rising and has reached about 11.6% of GDP in 2011

� The contribution of renewable energy cannot be increased rapidly

Energy Security Challenges

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(Source : DEDE, Ministry of Energy)

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Crude Oil Dominates Energy Import(Total Import: 65 Mtoe, 2010)

Thailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy ProblemsThailand’s Energy Situation and Main Energy Problems

9(Source : DEDE, Ministry of Energy)

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� On average, energy consumption grew 4.4% annually over the past 2 decades, and projected to grow at 4.2 % annually over the next 2 decades (BAU scenario)

� Electricity demand grew even faster, at 7.1% annually, becoming more dependent on electricity and gas imports from neighbors

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Rising Energy Consumption Trend

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Continued High Growth Rate in Electricity Consumption

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Relatively high energy intensity as compared to world average and developed economies

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